中国海关总署周二（4月13日）公布的数据显示，3月以美元计价出口同比增长30.6%，低于预估中值38%；3月以美元计价进口同比增长38.1%，远高于调查预估中值24.4%，并创下2017年2月以来最高增速。
分析人士指出，中国外贸延续前两个月的扩张势头，强劲的外贸增长支撑一季度经济数据向好，加之基数因素，预计外贸开门红仍可持续并支持中国经济强劲复苏。
海关新闻发言人李魁文表示，去年三季度以来中国外贸已连续三个季度保持同比正增长，未来一段时期这一趋势有望维持，但去年基数显著抬高客观上也对二季度外贸增长带来挑战
光大银行金融市场部分析师周茂华指出，一季度中国外贸延续强劲扩张态势，反映内需和外需同步复苏；预示中国一季度GDP同比增速表现“强劲”，这很大程度是受去年突发疫情导致低基数。
从趋势看，中国外贸仍有望延续高景气度。主要是受国内需求加快恢复。中国疫情持续受控，国内产业链供应链体系基本恢复，国内经济活动活跃度持续增强，国内经济供需更加平衡；同时海外需求稳步改善。
一方面是全球疫情影响趋缓，加码刺激政策带动需求回暖；另一方面，全球疫情尚未结束，全球对中国机电、医疗器械等需求仍较强；加之中国贸易结构优化，外贸稳定性逐步提升。外贸伙伴更趋于多元化，出口产品中高附加值、高技术产品比重逐步提升并占据相当比重，出口主体中，民营企业保持中国第一大外贸主体地位等。
近期大宗商品价格走高对外贸影响整体偏有限，大宗商品价格走高对中国影响较为复杂，需要防范大宗商品价格长时间维持高位或走高导致输入性通胀压力，同时，大宗商品价格对国内中下游制造业企业利润造成挤压，削弱支持政策效果。但预计整体影响有限。
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