截止收盘，日经225指数收涨0.7%；澳大利亚S&P/ASX200指数收盘上涨0.04%；韩国KOSPI指数收盘上涨1.03%。A股涨跌不一。
眼下，投资者期待企业财报季拉开帷幕以及重要通胀数据出炉、指明全球经济将如何从疫情中复苏。
“美国市场的波动性已经减弱，我们看到财报季来临前交易持平，”悉尼Baillieu Holst顾问James Rosenberg称，“在市场普遍处于创纪录水平的情况下，市场预期将非常强劲，这肯定不会留下太多失望空间。”
今天的一切都与通胀有关，美国CPI报告是市场上的关键风险事件。投资者认为，由于加大财政和货币刺激力度，以及企业在经历新冠相关封锁后复工，价格压力将会加大。
尽管每个人都预计这将是通胀压力可能持续上升的开始（这可能持续，也可能不会持续），但根据基数效应进行调整后，通胀数字将很容易上升——如果不是本月，那就是未来几个月。
市场关注的同比数据从本月开始就相当扭曲，去年3、4月份因疫情导致房价大幅下跌。这种影响至少应该会持续到今年的后几个阶段。
各国央行已就此发出警告，并指出这种压力可能只是暂时的。在未来几个月，还有其他因素需要考虑，比如拜登的财政刺激计划，供应受限导致的投入成本上涨，以及被压抑的需求重新回到消费活动中。
FHN Financial高级利率策略师Jim Vogel表示，现在市场已经建立了很多通胀预期指标，以至于必须在未来三四个月内获得较高增长的CPI报告，否则人们将不得不重新评估他们对此的担忧程度。杰富瑞集团经济学家Tom Simons表示，这将是我们看到基数效应推动同比增长的第一个月，但市场参与者已经意识到其影响，并且美联储也已表示将仔细研究暂时的通胀因素，因此预计美联储不会对此进行鹰派回应。 【来自金十数据】
汇市方面，美元保持坚挺，因为美国国债收益率在关键风险事件的预期下走高，而10年期国债收益率是否会突破1.75%这一水平将是很有趣的。
尽管如此，不那么热的数据本身可能会抑制债券空头的热情，降低债券收益率——这将对美元不利，尽管目前美元有所上涨。
欧元(1.1899, -0.0013, -0.11%)兑美元继续徘徊在其100小时移动均线和200天移动均线1.1892附近，近期进一步的支撑位见于1.1867-1.1872和1.1861-1.1864。
英镑(1.3752, 0.0011, 0.08%)兑美元从昨天的100日移动均线1.3684上方开始稳步反弹，尽管价格受到100小时移动均线1.3742的限制。近期波动跌势的38.2回档位1.3764也提供了一些较小的阻力，同时欧元兑英镑(0.8651, -0.0015, -0.17%)在0.8640-45也提供了一些支撑。后者目前在0.8658附近交易，当日变化不大。
澳元(0.7614, -0.0005, -0.07%)兑美元再次测试略低于0.7600的低点，昨日关键的小时移动均线限制了涨幅。空头需要稳固突破0.7592-96下方，以建立新的动能，测试关键支撑区域0.7531-63。
在大宗商品领域，金价看起来依然疲软，从1755美元附近的阻力位不断回落。金价目前交投在1725美元附近。
除了CPI数据外，关键的财报季来临也给市场增添一丝不安。银行是首批公布2021年第一季财报的行业之一，高盛、摩根大通和富国银行将于周三公布财报。
日内焦点、风向标：
17：00 德国及欧元区4月ZEW经济景气指数
18：00 美国3月NFIB小型企业信心指数
20：30 美国3月季调后CPI月率
24：00 美联储巴尔金发表讲话
24：00 明尼阿波利斯联储举办线上活动
待定 欧佩克公布月度原油市场报告
主要货币走势分析：
欧元：欧元/美元继续在200日均线附近徘徊，现交投于1.1895附近。技术面看，4小时图来看，MACD绿色动能柱小幅扩张，RSI指标徘徊在50水平附近，KDJ指标持稳于50上方，指示价格短线或进一步盘整。短期初步支撑位于1.1870，初步阻力位则可看1.1930。
英镑：英镑/美元目前在关键的100日均线支撑1.3693上方窄幅震荡，关注能否站稳这一水平。技术面看，4小时图来看，MACD红色动能柱小幅扩张，RSI指标向上突破50水平，KDJ指标反弹逼近超买水平，暗示价格短线或小幅反弹。短期初步支撑位于1.3700，初步阻力位则可看1.3780。
日元：美元/日元继续在20日均线支撑109.95附近交投，交投区间不断缩窄。技术面看，4小时图来看，MACD红色动能柱略有减弱，RSI指标徘徊在50水平附近，KDJ指标交投在50水平附近，预计价格短线或继续整固。短期初步支撑位于109.15，初步阻力位于109.95。
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