IEXS盈十证券汇市分析|俄石油管道运输公司:计划在2023年通过科兹米诺港转运至少4000万吨石油 

2023年02月22日 1586点热度 57人点赞 152条评论
基本面
​美指
美国又一经济数据“爆表”,美联储的加息之路或“停不下来”
美国2月Markit服务业PMI初值录得50.5,超过预期的47,并重回荣枯线上方,为2022年6月以来新高。此外,美国2月Markit制造业PMI初值创4个月新高,综合PMI初值创8个月新高。
   
黄金
拜登宣布美国将主办明年北约峰会 
当地时间2月21日,美国总统拜登宣布美国将主办明年的北大西洋公约(北约)峰会。拜登说:“明年,我将在美国接待北约的每一个成员来参加我们2024年的峰会。我们将一起庆祝世界历史上最强大的防御性联盟成立75周年。”此外,拜登重申了北约第五条款有关集体防御的承诺,即一旦确认成员国受到攻击,其他成员国将作出即时反应。
   
原油
俄石油管道运输公司:计划在2023年通过科兹米诺港转运至少4000万吨石油 
俄罗斯国家石油管道运输公司总裁托卡列夫表示,俄石油管道运输公司计划在2023年通过科兹米诺港转运至少4000万吨石油。科兹米诺港是东西伯利亚—太平洋?(ESPO) 石油管线终点站,通过这一管线运输的石油主要出口到亚太地区以及俄罗斯国内市场。
  
技术面
美元指数
市场行情整理: 
美元指数围绕104关口来回震荡,最终收涨0.31%,报104.19。因最新数据使交易员们对美联储保持谨慎,2年和10年期美债收益率都达到了去年11月以来的最高水平
观点整理:
谨小慎微处理每一次波动,认真仔细做出每一次交易,这样才可能顺利度过此次重大事件,只要大家要牢记一点,小心驶得万年船,只有活着才能笑到最后
  
黄金
市场行情整理:
周二,因强劲的经济数据引发交易员们对美联储的鹰派加息预期升温,现货黄金回吐日内大部分涨幅未能站上1840美元上方,最终收跌0.37%,报1835.34美元/盎司
观点整理:
周二出炉的美国综合PMI意外升至八个月最高,美元守在近六周高位附近,美债收益率创近三个月新高,这令金价承压明显。分析师预计会议纪要料显示支持更大幅度加息和更高利率峰值的程度,这令金价面临进一步下行风险。
  
原油
市场行情整理:
原油方面,两油日内走势纠结。WTI原油在美盘前涨至77.60美元的日高后回吐所有涨幅并转跌,最终收跌1.45%,报76.16美元/桶;布伦特原油收跌1.35%,报82.53美元/桶。
观点整理:
对美联储更高终端利率的预期和更长时间维持高利率水平的预期,加剧了市场对经济衰退的担忧,打压原油需求预期,美元相对坚挺,也令油价承压。在截至2月17日的一周内,俄罗斯海运原油出货量升至360万桶/日,为一个多月以来最高水平,加剧了市场对供给过剩的担忧。

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