黄金价格持续复苏反弹，目前坐稳1749美元附近震荡。美联储宣布将维持利率不变，避免即时加息的信号并上调经济预测，温和推动市场情绪促使美元下行，支撑着黄金涨势。而在中美两国高层即将会晤前，最新变数风险可能来自于中国企业，正寻求扭转前总统特朗普采取的惩罚性措施。但投资者需要谨慎观察美债收益率的走势，持续走高仍然会限制着金价上行空间。
截至截稿前香港时间08时16分，黄金价格涨幅达到0.27%，至1750.20美元。美国10年期国债收益率涨幅达到0.42%，至1.648。
基本面分析：美联储加息预期落空避险谨慎情绪浓厚
美联储大幅调高对经济增长的预期，但同时表示尽管经济前景有所改善，而且今年通货膨胀率有所上升，但预计在2023年之前不会加息。正如市场普遍预期的那样，制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)也投票决定将短期借款利率维持在接近于零的水平，同时继续实施资产购买计划，即美联储每月至少购买1200亿美元债券。
根据美国联邦公开市场委员会成员提交的季度经济预测，2021年美国国内生产总值(GDP)预计将增长6.5%，之后几年将降温。这一预估中值较去年12月进行的上一轮预测的4.2%有所改善。美联储预计2022年和2023年GDP将分别增长3.3%和2.2%，之后增长将稳定在较长期的2.3%范围内。
但在避险情绪浓厚的背景下，除非美国国债收益率不会延续美联储后的涨势，否则华尔街基准指数的最新走强，可能会帮助黄金买家保持希望。此外，澳大利亚和英国央行以及政策制定者的评论，可能也会为后市提供积极的指导。
基本面分析：中国企业寻求扭转政策解除特朗普制裁禁令
美国前总统特朗普政府时期，将多家中资企业列入投资制裁黑名单。随着美国法院取消对小米的制裁后，路透社指出，目前有多家中资企业正寻求律师协助，制定策略挑战美国投资禁令的程序，并且恢复在美国股市上市。
孔特雷拉斯将小米禁令标记为美国前朝政府程序的“严重缺陷”，指出小米被列入黑名单是基于两大基础，分别是美国国防部称其5G技术和人工智慧的发展，对现代军事行动至关重要。而另一个则是，有组织授予小米创始人兼首席执行官雷军一个奖项，称该奖旨在帮助中国政府消除商业和军事领域之间的壁垒。
随着复苏有望，总部位于华盛顿的全球律师事务所Steptoe＆Johnson香港办事处执行合伙人Wendy Wysong表示：“公司正在寻求律师来挑战上市，还有上市的理由。” 但截至截稿前，Steptoe＆Johnson和Hogan Lovells都不愿意透露具体参与讨论的中国公司名称。
为使得美国强化对中国的强硬路线，以及美国总统拜登也同时加入其行列，特朗普在卸任前签署了一项行政命令，该命令后来扩大至禁止所有美国投资者从2021年11月11日起，持有制裁名单中的任何证券。而拜登就职至今，该禁令尚未获得解除。
因此，这都取决于美国总统拜登如何应对中国企业的意愿，同时也要关注着他如何在中美会晤期间，刷新与世界第二大经济体的关系。
技术面分析：
黄金多头突破21日移动均线，目前在1741美元附近，使多头能够越过2.5个月的阻力线，目前为1750美元，并将持续挑战突破1765美元关口。同时，跌破1741美元将让黄金卖家想起1700美元门槛。
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