
市场概述:周五(4月2日)欧市盘中,全球市场因耶稣受难日假期休市。消息面来看,美国公布了最新的非农就业报告,3月非农就业人口暴增91.6万,为去年8月以来最大增幅;3月失业率降至6.0%。美元指数(92.3271, 0.0051, 0.01%)冲上93关口,欧元(1.1872, 0.0000, 0.00%)、英镑(1.3820, -0.0002, -0.01%)等回落……
消息面来看,根据FX168早前报道,美国3月非农就业人口增加91.6万,预期增长65万,前值修正为增长46.8万;3月失业率降至6.0%,预期6.0%,前值6.2%。
针对3月非农就业数据,美国劳工统计局称,3月份就业普遍增长,休闲和酒店、公立和私立教育以及建筑业就业增长最快。2月份非农新增就业人数从37.9万人上修至46.8万人;1月份非农新增就业人数从16.6万人上修至23.3万人。
今天报告还显示,美国3月私营部门就业人数增长了78万,预期为增长64.3万,上个月为58.5万。美国劳动力参与率,也从上个月的61.4%上升至61.5%,与预期相同。并且,临时裁员的失业人数再度下降,从222.9万下降至202.6万。
此外,美国3月平均时薪环比下降-0.1%,低于0.1%的预期,也低于上个月的0.3%,平均时薪同比增长4.2%,也低于4.5%的预期,以及上个月的5.2%。
综合媒体报道,经济学家预计,第二和第三季度的就业增长平均每月至少为70万,再加上财政刺激措施以及疫情期间家庭积累的约19万亿美元的超额储蓄以及疫苗接种率的提升,预计将释放出一股强大的被压抑的需求浪潮。
CNBC称,股市快速上涨加上政府前所未有的刺激力度引发了市场对通胀的担忧,不过美联储官员表示,任何通胀上升都将是暂时的。美联储正密切关注就业数据,但货币政策委员会一再表示,即使就业市场最近有所改善,但仍远未达到促使美联储升息的程度。
美国劳工部长:今天的就业报告数据“非常令人鼓舞”,报告数据不错,但这仅仅是一个月的表现,还有很长的路要走。基础设施法案将重新振兴劳动力和经济。
数据之后,汇市一度震荡,随后美元冲高至93关口上方,最高93.08;欧元/美元最低跌至.1748;英镑/美元或回撤至1.38关口……美债收益率暴动:美国十年期国债收益率涨至1.72%,刷新日高。5年期国债收益率升至0.962%,续刷去年2月以来新高。
FXStreet分析师Piovano称,欧元处于守势,令欧元兑美元回落至1.17区间中部。此前该货币对已连续反弹两天,不过在冲击1.18关口前失去动能,表明反弹缺乏可持续性,可能重启跌势。非农数据超过预期,美元买盘回升,令欧美承压。
美元近期持续的看涨偏好削弱了该货币对的走高预期。不过,欧洲央行的坚定态度以及疫情后的经济复苏预期可能会防止该货币对长期大幅走低。
日内焦点、风向标:
美国非农就业报告
主要货币走势分析:
欧元:周五欧市盘中,欧元/美元持续下跌,技术面,欧元/美元卖方仍控制着走势,使其很容易再次触及今年以来的低点1.1700左右。在1.1700下方,直到2020年11月的低点1.1600,都没有相关的支撑位。
英镑:周五欧市盘中,英镑/美元震荡回落,技术面,英镑/美元日收盘价必须高于下跌趋势线阻力位1.3843,才能证实上行突破。短期支撑位预计在1.3800,跌破则可能再次测试周四低点1.3745。
日元:周五欧市盘中,美元/日元窄幅震荡,技术面,美元/日元在周末之前不太可能在任何一个方向上做出决定性的举动。

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Sky-gazers may get a good chance to see fireballs streak across the night sky this week. Two meteor showers — the Alpha Capricornids and Southern Delta Aquariids — will reach their peak and another is ramping up.
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The Alpha Capricornids meteor shower, which is best known for producing very bright meteors called fireballs that may look like shooting stars, will be most visible at 1 a.m. ET Wednesday, according to Robert Lunsford, fireball report coordinator for the American Meteor Society. Its radiant — the point at which the meteor streaks seem to originate — is in the Capricorn constellation.
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The Alpha Capricornids are visible all over the world but are usually best seen from the Southern Hemisphere, in places such as Australia and Africa, according to Bill Cooke, the lead for NASA’s Meteoroid Environments Office. These meteors are expected to appear at a rate of three to five per hour. If you are viewing from the Northern Hemisphere, keep your eyes low along the southern sky to catch a glimpse.
If you stay up later, you’ll be able to see the Southern Delta Aquariids reach peak activity at 3 a.m. ET on Wednesday, said Lunsford. The Southern Delta Aquariids, which also are most visible in the Southern Hemisphere, make for a stronger shower than the Capricornids; people located in parts of the Northern Hemisphere such as the US can expect to view up to 10 to 15 meteors per hour, while those in the Southern Hemisphere may see 20 to 25 per hour.
The Aquariids appear to stream from the southern part of the Aquarius constellation, which is around 40 degrees east of the Capricorn constellation, according to Lunsford: “They’re going to kind of do a battle, shooting back and forth at each other.”
Both showers will be visible through August 13, though there is some disagreement about the date on which their peaks will occur. While experts at the American Meteor Society say peak activity will occur Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, those at NASA say it will happen Wednesday night going into Thursday.
“The time of a meteor shower peak is not constant from year-to-year. It can vary by plus or minus a day or two,” Cooke said.
But missing the peak, according to Lunsford, is nothing to fret about. “It’s not a real sharp peak …You can go out (on) the 31st or the 29th and see pretty much the same activity.”
For the best viewing, avoid areas with bright lights and objects that could obscure your view of the sky, such as tall trees or buildings. Picking a spot with a higher altitude, like a mountain or hill, may make it easier to spot these showers.
Ruby Williams’ birthday was not your average 18th. She celebrated it on the Klamath River, with a group of young people making a historic journey paddling from the river’s headwaters in southern Oregon to its mouth in the Pacific Ocean, just south of Crescent City, California. It marked the first time in a century that the descent has been possible, after the recent removal of four dams allowed the river to flow freely.
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Williams, together with fellow paddler Keeya Wiki, 17, spoke to CNN on day 15 of their month-long journey, which they are due to complete on Friday. At this point, they had just 141 miles (227 kilometers) of the 310-mile (499 kilometer) journey left to go and had already passed through some of the most challenging rapids, such as those at the “Big Bend” and “Hell’s Corner” sections of the river.
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Both were exhausted and hadn’t showered in days — although they promised they “aren’t completely feral.” However, despite tired minds, they were steadfast in their commitment.
“We are reclaiming our river, reclaiming our sport,” said Williams.
“We are getting justice,” Wiki, who is from the Yurok Tribe, added. “And making sure that my people and all the people on the Klamath River can live how we’re supposed to.”
The Klamath River runs deep in the cultures of the native peoples living in its basin, who historically used dugout canoes to travel along it. They view it as a living person, a relative, who they can depend on — and in turn protect.
“It’s our greatest teacher, our family member,” said Williams, who is from the Karuk Tribe, which occupies lands along the middle course of the Klamath. “We revolve ceremonies around it, like when the salmon start running (the annual migration from the sea back to freshwater rivers to spawn), we know it’s time to start a family.”
Historically, it was also a lifeline, providing them with an abundance of fish. The Klamath was once the third-largest salmon-producing river on the West Coast of the US. But between 1918 and 1966, electric utility company California Oregon Power Company (which later became PacifiCorp), built a series of hydroelectric dams along the river’s course, which cut off the upstream pathway for migrating salmon, and the tribes lost this cultural and commercial resource.
For decades, native people — such as the Karuk and Yurok tribes — demanded the removal of the dams and restoration of the river. But it was only in 2002, after low water levels caused a disease outbreak that killed more than 30,000 fish, that momentum really started to build for their cause.
Twenty years later, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission finally approved a plan to remove four dams on the lower Klamath River. This was when Paddle Tribal Waters was set up by the global organization Rios to Rivers to reconnect native children to the ancient river. Believing that native peoples ought to be the first to descend the newly restored river, the program started by teaching local kids from the basin how to paddle in whitewater. Wiki and Williams were among them — neither had kayaked before then.
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According to Cook, having multiple meteor showers occur at the same time is a common phenomenon. “For example, during the Perseids, you have the remnants of the Southern Delta Aquariids going on,” he said.
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Right now, the Alpha Capricornids, the Southern Delta Aquariids and Perseids are all active and while the Perseids is not at its peak , you might still see some of its meteors this week. There’s also the possibility of seeing 10 to 12 meteors that aren’t associated with any of these showers, according to Lunsford.
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Both the Alpha Capricornids and Southern Delta Aquariids become visible annually when Earth passes through debris fields left by two Jupiter-family comets: 169P/NEAT (Alpha Capricornids) and P2008/Y12 (Southern Delta Aquariids). Cook also noted that, each year, “we’re passing closer to the core of the material that produces (the Alpha Capricornids) shower and in 200 years, it’ll be the strongest shower that’s visible from Earth. It’ll actually produce more than 1,000 (meteor streaks) an hour, which is quite a bit stronger than it is now.”
For those interested in contributing to astronomers’ understanding of meteors, this week presents the perfect opportunity to count how many meteors you see in the night sky and report them to places like the American Meteor Society.
Upcoming Meteor Showers
Here are the other meteor showers to anticipate in 2025 and their peak dates, according to the American Meteor Society and EarthSky.
Perseids: August 12-13
Draconids: October 8-9
Orionids: October 22-23
Southern Taurids: November 3-4
Northern Taurids: November 8-9
Leonids: November 16-17
Geminids: December 12-13
Ursids: December 21-22
Related article
Lunar and solar eclipses in 2025
Two eclipse events will occur as summer ends.
A total lunar eclipse will be visible in Europe, Asia, Australia, Africa, parts of eastern South America, Alaska and Antarctica on September 7 and 8, according to Time and Date.
A lunar eclipse occurs when Earth passes exactly between the sun and the moon, throwing the latter into shadow and making it appear darker or dimmed.
When the moon sits in the darkest part of Earth’s shadow, the sun’s rays bend around Earth and refract light on the moon’s surface, which gives it a reddish hue, according to London’s Natural History Museum. Some people call the result a “blood moon.”
Two weeks after the total lunar eclipse, a partial solar eclipse will be visible in parts of Australia, the Atlantic, the Pacific and Antarctica on September 21.
Solar eclipses occur when the moon moves between the sun and Earth, blocking part of the sun’s surface from view, according to NASA. This creates a crescent shape — as if something took a “bite” out of the sun.
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