美元跌跌不停临近尾声?50%分析师看空本周美元走势

2021年04月12日 8641点热度 0人点赞 1,716条评论

美元跌跌不停临近尾声?50%分析师看空本周美元走势

本周能说是美元遇难期,联邦公开市场委员会会议(FOMC)纪要和美联储主席鲍威尔双双释放鸽派信号,对美国经济复苏基本面抱持乐观态度,促使美国10年期国债收益率跌至1.63%苦苦挣扎,美元指数(92.25520.06960.08%)跌跌不停后探至92.03水平。但接近周末之际,备受瞩目的美国PPI数据因着美国劳工统计局官网的崩溃而推迟发布,等待过程一度引发焦急情绪,美股、美债和黄金都纷纷遭到抛售。美元指数则是一枝独秀,短线拉升至92.41高点,但随后很快自高位回落。那究竟美元跌跌不停是否临近尾声,还是市场短期的震荡趋势呢?

针对美元本周走势,接受FX168调查的分析师中,有50%受访者表示看空美元,另有50%则持震荡看法。

FX Empire分析师指出,美元指数跌破200天简单移动平均线92.33,日支撑在91.60,随后在91和90则会看到更多支撑。以美元指数衡量的美元,上周下跌近1%,并突破三周的看涨阶段。从技术上讲,本周亮点是美元指数跌破200天简单移动平均线,该均线通常被解释为看跌信号。

趋势方面,自从美元指数在2020年3月达到顶峰以来,就持续存在下行偏见,由明显的较低低点和较低高点形成。有趣的是,3月31日的峰值93.43与当前下降趋势内的看跌波早期阶段相呼应,尤其是在跌破200天简单移动平均线之后。

如相对强度指数(RSI)所示,动能在最近的走势中突破了支撑位55.67,现在被认为是可能的阻力,强调了进一步下行动能至支撑位41.24的可能性。综合以上几点,技术研究暗示本周美元将进一步走软,初步目标为91.64。

经纪商Monex Europe的货币分析师西蒙·哈维(Simon Harvey)表示:“由于中国和美国的通货膨胀数据激发了美国国债曲线的恢复,在经历了一周的下跌之后,美元出现盘整。”

他继续分析道:“受压抑的需求推动,预计今年通货膨胀将加剧,并且去年春季疲软的数据已从计算中剔除。美国许多州强制关闭非基本业务,旨在减缓新冠疫情浪潮之际的价格暴跌。”

但大多数经济学家和美联储官员认为,由于劳动力市场疲软,较高的通货膨胀将是暂时的。美联储主席鲍威尔发表重要讲话,表示全球疫苗接种进度不一,是经济复苏面临的风险。尽管美国经济前景光明,但美国经济复苏仍然不完整、不均衡,约有900万至1000万人仍然处于失业状态,需要继续得到援助,美联储同时承诺持续为经济提供支持。

美联储理事布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)也指出,美国经济前景有明显好转的迹象,但就业人数仍比疫情前减少约900万人。美联储官员表示,他们不但希望能看到充分就业的环境,还希望能在收入、种族和性别等方面的包容性增长。他强调:“按照这意义来看,在美国经济取得成果之前,我们还有很长的路需要走。”

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    A Thai crocodile farmer who goes by the nickname “Crocodile X” said he killed more than 100 critically endangered reptiles to prevent them from escaping after a typhoon damaged their enclosure.

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    A Thai crocodile farmer who goes by the nickname “Crocodile X” said he killed more than 100 critically endangered reptiles to prevent them from escaping after a typhoon damaged their enclosure.

    Natthapak Khumkad, 37, who runs a crocodile farm in Lamphun, northern Thailand, said he scrambled to find his Siamese crocodiles a new home when he noticed a wall securing their enclosure was at risk of collapsing. But nowhere was large or secure enough to hold the crocodiles, some of which were up to 4 meters (13 feet) long.

    To stop the crocodiles from getting loose into the local community, Natthapak said, he put 125 of them down on September 22.

    “I had to make the most difficult decision of my life to kill them all,” he told CNN. “My family and I discussed if the wall collapsed the damage to people’s lives would be far bigger than we can control. It would involve people’s lives and public safety.”
    Typhoon Yagi, Asia’s most powerful storm this year, swept across southern China and Southeast Asia this month, leaving a trail of destruction with its intense rainfall and powerful winds. Downpours inundated Thailand’s north, submerging homes and riverside villages, killing at least nine people.

    Storms like Yagi are “getting stronger due to climate change, primarily because warmer ocean waters provide more energy to fuel the storms, leading to increased wind speeds and heavier rainfall,” said Benjamin Horton, director of the Earth Observatory of Singapore.

    Natural disasters, including typhoons, pose a range of threats to wildlife, according to the International Fund for Animal Welfare. Flooding can leave animals stranded, in danger of drowning, or separated from their owners or families.

    Rain and strong winds can also severely damage habitats and animal shelters. In 2022, Hurricane Ian hit Florida and destroyed the Little Bear Sanctuary in Punta Gorda, leaving 200 animals, including cows, horses, donkeys, pigs and birds without shelter.

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    A Thai crocodile farmer who goes by the nickname “Crocodile X” said he killed more than 100 critically endangered reptiles to prevent them from escaping after a typhoon damaged their enclosure.

    Natthapak Khumkad, 37, who runs a crocodile farm in Lamphun, northern Thailand, said he scrambled to find his Siamese crocodiles a new home when he noticed a wall securing their enclosure was at risk of collapsing. But nowhere was large or secure enough to hold the crocodiles, some of which were up to 4 meters (13 feet) long.

    To stop the crocodiles from getting loose into the local community, Natthapak said, he put 125 of them down on September 22.

    “I had to make the most difficult decision of my life to kill them all,” he told CNN. “My family and I discussed if the wall collapsed the damage to people’s lives would be far bigger than we can control. It would involve people’s lives and public safety.”
    Typhoon Yagi, Asia’s most powerful storm this year, swept across southern China and Southeast Asia this month, leaving a trail of destruction with its intense rainfall and powerful winds. Downpours inundated Thailand’s north, submerging homes and riverside villages, killing at least nine people.

    Storms like Yagi are “getting stronger due to climate change, primarily because warmer ocean waters provide more energy to fuel the storms, leading to increased wind speeds and heavier rainfall,” said Benjamin Horton, director of the Earth Observatory of Singapore.

    Natural disasters, including typhoons, pose a range of threats to wildlife, according to the International Fund for Animal Welfare. Flooding can leave animals stranded, in danger of drowning, or separated from their owners or families.

    Rain and strong winds can also severely damage habitats and animal shelters. In 2022, Hurricane Ian hit Florida and destroyed the Little Bear Sanctuary in Punta Gorda, leaving 200 animals, including cows, horses, donkeys, pigs and birds without shelter.

    The risk of natural disasters to animals is only increasing as human-caused climate change makes extreme weather events more frequent and volatile.

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    Thai farmer forced to kill more than 100 endangered crocodiles after a typhoon damaged their enclosure
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    A Thai crocodile farmer who goes by the nickname “Crocodile X” said he killed more than 100 critically endangered reptiles to prevent them from escaping after a typhoon damaged their enclosure.

    Natthapak Khumkad, 37, who runs a crocodile farm in Lamphun, northern Thailand, said he scrambled to find his Siamese crocodiles a new home when he noticed a wall securing their enclosure was at risk of collapsing. But nowhere was large or secure enough to hold the crocodiles, some of which were up to 4 meters (13 feet) long.

    To stop the crocodiles from getting loose into the local community, Natthapak said, he put 125 of them down on September 22.

    “I had to make the most difficult decision of my life to kill them all,” he told CNN. “My family and I discussed if the wall collapsed the damage to people’s lives would be far bigger than we can control. It would involve people’s lives and public safety.”
    Typhoon Yagi, Asia’s most powerful storm this year, swept across southern China and Southeast Asia this month, leaving a trail of destruction with its intense rainfall and powerful winds. Downpours inundated Thailand’s north, submerging homes and riverside villages, killing at least nine people.

    Storms like Yagi are “getting stronger due to climate change, primarily because warmer ocean waters provide more energy to fuel the storms, leading to increased wind speeds and heavier rainfall,” said Benjamin Horton, director of the Earth Observatory of Singapore.

    Natural disasters, including typhoons, pose a range of threats to wildlife, according to the International Fund for Animal Welfare. Flooding can leave animals stranded, in danger of drowning, or separated from their owners or families.

    Rain and strong winds can also severely damage habitats and animal shelters. In 2022, Hurricane Ian hit Florida and destroyed the Little Bear Sanctuary in Punta Gorda, leaving 200 animals, including cows, horses, donkeys, pigs and birds without shelter.

    The risk of natural disasters to animals is only increasing as human-caused climate change makes extreme weather events more frequent and volatile.

    2024年10月4日
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    A Thai crocodile farmer who goes by the nickname “Crocodile X” said he killed more than 100 critically endangered reptiles to prevent them from escaping after a typhoon damaged their enclosure.

    Natthapak Khumkad, 37, who runs a crocodile farm in Lamphun, northern Thailand, said he scrambled to find his Siamese crocodiles a new home when he noticed a wall securing their enclosure was at risk of collapsing. But nowhere was large or secure enough to hold the crocodiles, some of which were up to 4 meters (13 feet) long.

    To stop the crocodiles from getting loose into the local community, Natthapak said, he put 125 of them down on September 22.

    “I had to make the most difficult decision of my life to kill them all,” he told CNN. “My family and I discussed if the wall collapsed the damage to people’s lives would be far bigger than we can control. It would involve people’s lives and public safety.”
    Typhoon Yagi, Asia’s most powerful storm this year, swept across southern China and Southeast Asia this month, leaving a trail of destruction with its intense rainfall and powerful winds. Downpours inundated Thailand’s north, submerging homes and riverside villages, killing at least nine people.

    Storms like Yagi are “getting stronger due to climate change, primarily because warmer ocean waters provide more energy to fuel the storms, leading to increased wind speeds and heavier rainfall,” said Benjamin Horton, director of the Earth Observatory of Singapore.

    Natural disasters, including typhoons, pose a range of threats to wildlife, according to the International Fund for Animal Welfare. Flooding can leave animals stranded, in danger of drowning, or separated from their owners or families.

    Rain and strong winds can also severely damage habitats and animal shelters. In 2022, Hurricane Ian hit Florida and destroyed the Little Bear Sanctuary in Punta Gorda, leaving 200 animals, including cows, horses, donkeys, pigs and birds without shelter.

    The risk of natural disasters to animals is only increasing as human-caused climate change makes extreme weather events more frequent and volatile.

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    When my friends and I walked into homeroom on the first day of school this year, my teacher told all of us to put our phones in a black plastic box on an old desk by the classroom door.

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    Several states have passed laws attempting to restrict cell phone use in schools, and California Gov. Gavin Newsom recently signed legislation requiring school districts to regulate cell phone use. At least seven of the 20 largest school districts in the nation have either banned phones during the school day or plan to do so.

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    The practice followed into the early 20th century and across the world, when the first wave of Middle Eastern immigrants came to Detroit to work in the auto industry or shipping yards, Howell said. Most immigrants were men who migrated alone, so one of the first institutions they created were coffee houses where they would gather to socialize, share news about their home country, and even write letters back home. Many of the initial mosques in the area were originally established in the backs of the coffee houses.
    Yemeni men working in shipping on the Great Lakes “would work for months at a time and then have a few weeks off and then work again,” leaving them unable to visit their families back in Yemen, Howell said. “The coffee houses in the Detroit area were a really important institution.”

    “Our mission is to bring everyone in one place and share history,” Ibrahim Alhasbani, founder of the first contemporary Yemeni coffee chain Qahwah House, told CNN. “That’s why we serve the coffee in a pot. People come inside the store and they share one pot and they can talk and they share different stories.”

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    The very first Qahwah Houses in Dearborn were airy and upscale, a familiar setting to patrons of established coffee chains. But they also brought with them Yemeni culture, with coffee beans imported from local farmers, artifacts from the region and the founder’s family tree on the wall.

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    The practice followed into the early 20th century and across the world, when the first wave of Middle Eastern immigrants came to Detroit to work in the auto industry or shipping yards, Howell said. Most immigrants were men who migrated alone, so one of the first institutions they created were coffee houses where they would gather to socialize, share news about their home country, and even write letters back home. Many of the initial mosques in the area were originally established in the backs of the coffee houses.
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    But at night, they serve as de-facto living rooms, especially for young Muslims who don’t go to clubs and bar. From New York to Dallas, especially during the late nights of Ramadan, the crowd overflows into the street and you often have to yell to be heard inside. Some young Muslims even venture to the coffee shops in hopes of finding a life partner.

    Nowhere is this coffeehouse culture more pronounced, and celebrated, than in Dearborn, Michigan, a suburb of Detroit and home to one of the largest Arab American communities in the United States.

    Downtown Dearborn is peppered with different Yemeni coffee houses, which Howell said helped revitalize the Detroit area after the city became the largest municipality go to bankrupt in 2013. And it’s only growing.

    “It’s become sort of contagious,” Howell said. “Several Yemeni entrepreneurs are opening coffee houses of their own, each with its own sort of style and atmosphere.”

    The coffee chains have big ambitions beyond Dearborn. Qahwah House hopes to open another 20 to 30 locations in the next year, spanning across 12 states and Canada, Alhasbani said. They are also licensed out, but Alhasbani says he sets a high standard before agreeing to let anyone open a shop.

    “We have too many people that come (asking me) they want to open. I have more than 10 different requests a day just to open this kind of business,” he said. “We don’t give anyone license until we make sure the person has the love for the brand and his mind and his heart in the Qahwah House.”
    Another authentic Yemeni coffee chain, Haraz, also sees crowds of people throughout the day and night. They opened their first location in New York City last week — less than half a mile away from Qahwah House’s downtown Manhattan shop — and the franchisees plan to grow.

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    In the vast and boundless realm of the digital cosmos, where every business, great or modest, doth strive for recognition amidst the celestial constellations of the internet, there exists a beacon—a company of noble purpose and profound wisdom. This is the tale of such an enterprise, an SEO company that, like a masterful alchemist, transmutes the ordinary into the extraordinary, guiding both small ventures and mighty corporations toward the zenith of their potential.
    SEO for Your Business
    Imagine, if you will, a humble merchant, whose wares, though crafted with utmost care and unparalleled quality, remain unseen by the wandering eyes of the multitude. Beside him stands a titan of industry, whose name echoes through the corridors of commerce, yet seeks to ascend even higher, to realms unexplored. Both stand upon the shores of the vast digital sea, gazing toward the horizon, yearning for a guide to navigate the treacherous waters that lie ahead.

    Enter the SEO company, a sage of the digital age, whose knowledge penetrates the very fabric of the internet’s intricate tapestry. With wisdom gleaned from years of toil and triumph, they approach the merchant and the titan alike, offering not mere services, but a partnership forged in mutual aspiration.

    2024年10月29日