
周四(4月15日)亚洲时段,现货黄金持稳于1739附近。周三(4月14日)金价跌0.52%,因美债收益率上升打击了无收益黄金的吸引力,盖过了美元走软带来的支撑。另外,美联储褐皮书再次确认美国经济增长步伐加快。ETF持仓数据下降及美股再创新高等因素都利空金价。不过,美元指数的疲软可能成为多头的救命稻草,鲍威尔及克拉里达重申达到目标后再考虑加息也利于金价上行。
日内重点关注3月零售销售及初请失业金人数,前者有“恐怖数据”之称,预计将利空金价。
基本面利空因素
美债收益率上涨
美国国债收益率周三小幅走高,收益率曲线趋陡,市场等待周四将公布的每周初请失业金人数和3月零售销售数据,以寻找有关经济从新冠大流行中复苏的进一步线索。
宏利投资管理资深固定收益交易员Michael Lorizio说,“面对好于预期的经济数据和本周1200亿美元的国债和票据标售,基本上整个曲线都如此强劲后有些回落也是说得过去的”。
美国商务部的零售销售报告也将出炉。据调查,美国3月零售销售预计将增长5.9%,而2月份则下降了3%。
Lorizio说:"如果零售销售优于预期区间上端,直觉上就会对美国国债产生不利影响,但我认为市场预期经济会加速,多数市场已在某种程度上做好准备。"
High Ridge futures金属交易部主管David Meger称,美债收益率上扬似乎给黄金市场增添了一些非常轻的压力;不过Meger补充称,金价回落看起来更多是技术性的,1750美元既是短期技术阻力位,也是心理阻力位。
BullionVault研究主管Adrian Ash表示,在抗拒了第二次下跌至每盎司1675美元水准后,黄金持续在1750美元下方建立基础。去年新冠疫情让大宗商品价格暴跌,只要去年这样的基础影响仍在扭曲年度通膨数据,我们就会一直卡在这里做横盘交易。
例如,10年来最激烈的进出口通胀可能会提振黄金和白银,但如果重创固定收入并推高债券收益率,那就不会提高黄金白银。周二金价走高系因30年期债券遭强力抛售,这显示黄金走势主要看债券收益率,而非通胀率。
美联储称美国经济活动加速至温和增长
美联储表示,美国经济活动增长步伐有所加快,消费者支出出现了改善。
美联储在周三公布的褐皮书中表示:“2月底到4月初全国经济活动加速到温和增长,消费者支出有所增强。关于旅游状况的报告更加乐观,因休闲活动和旅行需求加速上升。”这份褐皮书是基于12家地区联储截至4月5日收集到的信息编制而成。
美联储官员反复强调,需要继续以积极的货币政策支持经济复苏,即使疫苗接种范围扩大使经济前景变得更为乐观。
尽管美联储官员大幅上调今年经济增长和就业预测,但他们预计2023年末之前都不会加息。
美国经济加速上升对避险黄金而言利空。
黄金ETF持仓再减少3.21吨
4月15日黄金ETFs数据显示,截止4月14日全球最大的黄金ETF-SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量1022.86吨,较上一交易日减少3.21吨,创一年以来新低。

文章评论
buy astelin sale <a href="https://acypapro.shop/">oral irbesartan</a> avalide order
azelastine 10 ml drug <a href="https://acypapro.com/">buy acyclovir 800mg pills</a> order avalide online cheap
esomeprazole 20mg generic <a href="https://nexapine.shop/">buy remeron sale</a> buy topiramate cheap
imitrex 25mg pill <a href="https://aleoflox.com/">order generic levofloxacin 250mg</a> order avodart
allopurinol 100mg for sale <a href="https://allovatep.com/">buy cheap generic zyloprim</a> buy generic crestor 10mg
brand sumatriptan 25mg <a href="https://aleoflox.com/">levaquin 500mg ca</a> order dutasteride online
order allopurinol 100mg online cheap <a href="https://allovatep.com/">zyloprim for sale</a> buy rosuvastatin generic
buspirone 10mg brand <a href="https://ezetdarone.shop/">order amiodarone online cheap</a> cordarone 200mg generic
zantac 150mg ca <a href="https://zatidone.com/">order ranitidine 150mg online</a> buy celebrex 100mg online cheap
order buspar 10mg pill <a href="https://ezetdarone.shop/">buy cordarone 100mg for sale</a> order cordarone 200mg generic
flomax generic <a href="https://bzosetron.com/">buy ondansetron pills for sale</a> simvastatin 20mg over the counter
motilium online order <a href="https://domedilol.shop/">carvedilol order</a> sumycin 250mg without prescription
order flomax online cheap <a href="https://bzosetron.com/">buy ondansetron</a> simvastatin 10mg usa
domperidone usa <a href="https://domedilol.shop/">carvedilol 25mg for sale</a> buy tetracycline online
aldactone 25mg for sale <a href="https://vaclorex.com/">valtrex online</a> propecia generic
buy aldactone generic <a href="https://vaclorex.com/">buy valtrex 500mg</a> propecia online buy
order research paper <a href="https://getaessaya.com/">purchase essay online</a> essay helpers
fluconazole 200mg price <a href="https://cixacina.com/">baycip ca</a> buy ciprofloxacin 500mg sale
fluconazole ca <a href="https://ampacitim.com/">buy ampicillin no prescription</a> purchase cipro without prescription
aurogra 100mg canada <a href="https://estasmil.com/">estradiol 1mg brand</a> estradiol 2mg pills
sildenafil 50mg tablet <a href="https://estasmil.com/">estrace 2mg uk</a> estrace online buy
buy flagyl 400mg <a href="https://bacptra.com/">buy bactrim tablets</a> cephalexin 250mg cheap
how to get lamotrigine without a prescription <a href="https://lamictop.com/">order generic lamotrigine 200mg</a> order generic vermox 100mg
purchase lamictal <a href="https://prazres.com/">buy minipress 2mg sale</a> buy vermox medication
order cleocin without prescription <a href="https://aprofilp.com/">sildenafil 100mg usa</a> purchase sildenafil pill
buy retin cheap <a href="https://retretol.com/">retin without prescription</a> avana cost
buy generic nolvadex 10mg <a href="https://rigsonid.com/">symbicort brand</a> order generic rhinocort
order retin generic <a href="https://abvatol.com/">buy avana 100mg sale</a> avanafil 100mg drug
tamoxifen 20mg without prescription <a href="https://batanine.com/">order betahistine 16 mg online cheap</a> symbicort over the counter
buy tadalafil generic <a href="https://bditaren.com/">cambia pills</a> order indomethacin 50mg
order generic ceftin 500mg <a href="https://cefetil.com/">buy axetil sale</a> buy methocarbamol medication
order generic tadalafil 10mg <a href="https://btadonline.com/">tadalafil without prescription</a> buy indomethacin 75mg capsule
buy ceftin 500mg online <a href="https://acaropro.com/">bimatoprost canada</a> methocarbamol sale
order trazodone online cheap <a href="https://climygel.com/">order clindamycin without prescription</a> cost clindamycin
buy generic lamisil for sale <a href="https://wingmonline.com/">online gambling for real money</a> roulette online
how to get terbinafine without a prescription <a href="https://blamafine.com/">order lamisil online</a> caesars casino online
buy aspirin 75 mg without prescription <a href="https://msgameonline.com/">casino games</a> online poker
buy aspirin 75mg for sale <a href="https://clipiras.com/">buy aspirin 75 mg without prescription</a> play online blackjack for real money
essays online to buy <a href="https://aybwonline.com/">guidelines for writing research paper</a> order cefixime 200mg
how to write an essay about my life <a href="https://gameagonline.com/">gamble online win real money</a> online blackjack game
my friend essay writing <a href="https://abessonline.com/">custom writing</a> order suprax 200mg sale
help with writing a research paper <a href="https://onlineaessay.com/">custom research paper writing</a> online casino real money us
trimox 250mg for sale <a href="https://arimlanas.com/">anastrozole over the counter</a> biaxin us
calcitriol 0.25mg drug <a href="https://triprefibran.com/">buy tricor pills</a> order fenofibrate 200mg online
trimox price <a href="https://biacrobol.com/">buy clarithromycin 250mg pill</a> biaxin without prescription
catapres 0.1 mg without prescription <a href="https://spirtiobol.com/">cheap spiriva 9 mcg</a> buy spiriva pills
buy acne pills <a href="https://placnemedx.com/">best cure for teenage acne</a> oxcarbazepine price
acne medication by prescription <a href="https://trilazepl.com/">generic trileptal 600mg</a> trileptal pills
order minocycline 100mg pills <a href="https://aminecycl.com/">minocin ca</a> buy requip 2mg generic
buy alfuzosin pill <a href="https://auroxsin.com/">uroxatral 10 mg usa</a> meds for vomiting