近期，全球疫情出现了大反弹，变异病毒肆虐，日本正在经历疫情第三波，美国西部俄勒冈州疫情恶化，欧洲疫情仍在蔓延。这其中最引人关注的是印度。印度卫生部25日公布的数据显示，该国单日新增349691例新冠肺炎确诊病例，近期连创新高，最近三天确诊超过了100万，累计报告新冠肺炎确诊病例1696万例，仅次于美国，单日新增创纪录的2767例新冠肺炎死亡病例。
印度医疗系统不堪重负，医用氧气耗尽，火葬场排队等待火化，大批富人乘飞机逃离．．．今年初疫情一度好转的印度，已然成为全球疫情的“震中”。印度政府25日预测，5月中旬疫情达到峰值时，印度每天新增确诊病例将高达50万例。张文宏医生25日晚间也在其个人社交媒体上发表的《印度疫情失控的深层原因和走向》一文中认为，印度疫情更大的暴发还在后面。
据南方+报道，雪上加霜的是，继此前发现双重变异病毒之后，印度多地已经出现了由三重变异病毒（triple-mutant variant），意味着三种不同的新冠病毒毒株结合形成一个新的变种，这种新的变种毒株比其他旧毒株具有更强的传播力，这无疑将给抗击疫情带来了更大挑战。
在这种背景之下，已经出现泡沫的全球资本市场将如何运行呢？分析人士认为，首先全球经济复苏再度陷入黯淡，因此成长股和周期股可能都面临压力，但抱团股可能存在机会。特别是美元杀跌背景之下的A股核心资产，可能会受到外资的青睐；其次，由于印度疫情非常严重，作为全球超大的香料出口国，香料产业可能会受到短期刺激。另外，印度也是非常重要的医药生产国，原料药、制剂等可能会受到追捧。
张文宏解读印度疫情
更大的暴发还在后面
4月25日晚间，@张文宏医生 发微博解读印度疫情失控的深层原因和后续的疫情走势。
由于疫情不断恶化，印度新冠肺炎死亡病例数急剧增长。
印度流行病毒株出现了双突变，但不是此次疫情完全失控的原因。
印度B.1.617的双突变株自2020年10月在印度被检出，因含有S蛋白上E484Q和L452R的突变，被称为“双突变”病毒株。在印度的突变株中，B.1.617所占比例即高于B.1.1.7和B.1.351突变株。B.1.617的比例自4月份开始显著增加，所占比例已经超过70%。目前多个国家已经对印度航班禁航。截至2021年4月20日，B.1.617的双突变株已在20多个国家被检出，其他国家并未发生类似印度的疫情大爆发。根据基因组数据提示的流行趋势来看，B.1.617（印度突变株）的传播性和B.1.17（英国突变株）相当，高于B.1.351（南非株）。印度的死亡率在4月迅速上升
自4月16日起，每日死亡人数突破1300人，达到了新冠疫情暴发每日死亡人数的新高，其趋势与印度范围内B1.617占比逐渐增高相对应。4月25日左右的每日死亡人数上升至接近2000人。主要的原因还是医疗挤兑了。当氧气供给都跟不上的时候，很多年轻的病人都可能会死去，原本他们只要有一口氧气吸就能活下来的。印度目前最需要的是氧气，氧气胜过任何药物，可以降低年轻病人死亡。印度是否能通过大流行获得群体免疫
截至2021年4月24日，根据官方数据，印度累计感染率为1.16%。离群体免疫70%的水平估计需要几十年的时间。还要额外至少死亡数百万人。如果在1918年大流感后的今天还走到这一步，则政府势必需要被人民问责。因此，印度后续的局势存在非常大的不确定性。印度疫情是否标志着疫苗的失败
根据突变株对于血清中和以及疫苗的影响研究发现，接种当地疫苗和康复者血清的样本虽然对B.1.617中和活性下降2倍左右。但是仍对突变株有效，目前虽然印度疫苗的接种总量仅次于美国和中国，但因其国内的人口基数较大，单剂疫苗接种比例为8.0% ，疫苗的接种比例较低，目前根本达不到阻止疫情传播的程度。以色列虽然有英国突变株流行，对疫苗的作用略有下降，但是今天以色列疫苗接种率加自然感染或的保护率达到70%以上，宣布疫情得到完全控制。再次显示当前疫苗仍然是对付疫情的重要法宝。印度后续的疫情走势
今年三月份印度的社会管控出现了放松，多次举办各种传统文化节，彻底放弃社交距离的措施。且疫情刚暴发时，政府对疫情处理也不够积极，才会出现4月内疫情进一步发展。即使是现在马上加快疫苗接种，也已经来不及了，更大的暴发还在后面。后续只有采取极其严格的公共卫生措施，政府采取坚决的正确应对，百姓有很好的配合，才能度过目前的危机。
印度预测本国疫情可能5月中旬达峰
日增将高达50万！
据新华社报道，印度政府25日预测，该国这一波新冠疫情可能于5月中旬达到峰值。继马哈拉施特拉邦、古吉拉特邦和首都新德里之后，北方邦将成为下一个疫情热点地区。
印度总理莫迪当天召集疫情严重各邦的首席部长商讨疫情对策。会上，印度国家转型委员会负责卫生的成员维诺德·保罗对疫情预测作了演示。
保罗说，到本月底，北方邦、马哈拉施特拉邦和新德里地区将成为病例新增最快的地区。到5月中旬疫情达到峰值时，印度每天新增确诊病例将高达50万例。
保罗警告说：“人口稠密的邦将面临特殊风险，各邦卫生基础设施将不足以应对严重疫情。”政府预计，新德里每天将缺口16061张带氧气的病床、约2877张重症监护病床和1450台呼吸机。北方邦每天将缺口约16752张带氧气的病床、约3061张重症监护病床和1538台呼吸机。
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The world’s best pizza for 2024 isn’t in Naples – or even in Italy. Here’s where it is …
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Many New Yorkers will gladly tell anyone who’ll listen – and even those who won’t – about how they have the best pizza. And now they’ve got some mouth-watering new back-up for their long-standing culinary claims.
This week, the Italy-based 50 Top Pizza Awards came out with its 2024 worldwide list, and a Lower East Side restaurant came out on top.
Una Pizza Napoletana, opened by pizza maestro Anthony Mangieri in March 2022, not only beat out US competitors but also global ones. That includes pizzerias in Naples, Italy, the holy land for pizza aficionados and foodies in general.
“It’s inspiring to be recognized for this 30 years into my career, especially in Naples where pizza originated,” Mangieri said in an email to CNN Travel on Thursday.
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Adding to their bragging rights, New Yorkers saw three other pizzerias make the 2024 list, which included 101 restaurants in total (despite the “50” in the name of the awards). The rankings for the other New York pizzerias were Ribalta at No. 19, Don Antonio at No. 30 and L’industrie Pizzeria at No. 80.
Italy still managed to dominate the overall list with 41 eateries while the United States got a total of 15 places recognized. And Naples managed to best New York with five entries on the list, including a tie for the No. 2 spot with Diego Vigtaliano Pizzeria.
Showing how truly global the awards are, nations not exactly known for their pizza scenes –South Korea, Bolivia and India, to name three – were represented on the list.
Hyundai and GM to work together on developing new cars
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Hyundai and General Motors (GM) have agreed to look for ways to work together on developing new vehicles, supply chains and technologies in an effort to cut costs and move more quickly.
Global carmakers are under intense pressure to come up with new electric vehicle (EV) and battery technology because they face vehicle emissions regulations around the world. Those research and development efforts could cost tens of billions of dollars.
They’re also facing an onslaught of potential competition from Chinese automakers, particularly EV producers, trying to export their lower-cost models overseas in order to escape a huge oversupply problem at home.
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South Korea’s Hyundai and America’s GM (GM) said on Thursday they would collaborate on joint product development, manufacturing and future clean energy technologies. They plan to work together on internal combustion, clean-energy, electric and hydrogen vehicles.
The non-binding framework agreement was signed by Hyundai Motor Executive Chair Euisun Chung and GM Chair and CEO Mary Barra.
“Our goal is to unlock the scale and creativity of both companies to deliver even more competitive vehicles to customers faster and more efficiently,” Barra said in the statement.
Including its affiliate Kia, Hyundai Motor is the world’s third-largest automaker by sales, according to Reuters, while GM is currently America’s largest carmaker, having retaken that title from Toyota (TM) in 2022.
“This partnership will enable Hyundai Motor and GM to evaluate opportunities to enhance competitiveness in key markets and vehicle segments, as well as drive cost efficiencies and provide stronger customer value,” Chung said in the statement.
Carmakers are increasingly sealing partnerships as a way of becoming more competitive in a cut-throat industry driven by price wars.
Last year, Nissan and Renault finalized the terms of their revamped alliance, which will focus on developing EVs. GM and Honda (HMC), along with Cruise — GM’s autonomous driving subsidiary — have agreed to create a driverless ride-hailing company in Japan.
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The world still holds many unanswered questions. But thanks to the efforts of the research teams awarded the IG Nobel Prize on Thursday, some of these questions – which you might not even have thought existed – now have answers.
We now know that many mammals can breathe through their anuses, that there isn’t an equal probability that a coin will land on head or tails, that some real plants somehow imitate the shapes of neighboring fake plastic plants, that fake medicine which causes painful side-effects can be more effective than fake medicine without side-effects, and that many of the people famous for reaching lofty old ages lived in places that had bad record-keeping.
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The awards – which have no affiliation to the Nobel Prizes – aim to “celebrate the unusual, honor the imaginative – and spur people’s interest in science, medicine, and technology” by making “people laugh, then think.”
In a two-hour ceremony as quirky as the scientific achievements it was celebrating, audience members were welcomed to their seats by accordion music, before a safety briefing warned them not to “sit on anyone, unless you are a child,” not to “feed, chase or eat ducks” and to throw their paper airplane safely. There were two “paper airplane deluges” during the ceremony in which the audience attempted to throw their creations – safely – at a target in the middle of the stage.
Among those collecting their prizes was a Japanese research team led by Ryo Okabe and Takanori Takebe who discovered that mammals can breathe through their anuses. They say in their paper that this potentially offers an alternative way of getting oxygen into critically ill patients if ventilator and artificial lung supplies run low, like they did during the Covid-19 pandemic.
American psychologist B.F Skinner was posthumously awarded the peace prize for his work attempting to use pigeons to guide the flight path of missiles, while a European-wide research team was awarded the probability prize for conducting 350,757 experiments to demonstrate that a coin tends to land on the same side it started when it is flipped.
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Scientists have solved the mystery of a 650-foot mega-tsunami that made the Earth vibrate for 9 days
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It started with a melting glacier that set off a huge landslide, which triggered a 650-foot high mega-tsunami in Greenland last September. Then came something inexplicable: a mysterious vibration that shook the planet for nine days.
Over the past year, dozens of scientists across the world have been trying to figure out what this signal was.
Now they have an answer, according to a new study in the journal Science, and it provides yet another warning that the Arctic is entering “uncharted waters” as humans push global temperatures ever upwards.
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Some seismologists thought their instruments were broken when they started picking up vibrations through the ground back in September, said Stephen Hicks, a study co-author and a seismologist at University College London.
It wasn’t the rich orchestra of high pitches and rumbles you might expect with an earthquake, but more of a monotonous hum, he told CNN. Earthquake signals tend to last for minutes; this one lasted for nine days.
He was baffled, it was “completely unprecedented,” he said.
Seismologists traced the signal to eastern Greenland, but couldn’t pin down a specific location. So they contacted colleagues in Denmark, who had received reports of a landslide-triggered tsunami in a remote part of the region called Dickson Fjord.
The result was a nearly year-long collaboration between 68 scientists across 15 countries, who combed through seismic, satellite and on-the-ground data, as well as simulations of tsunami waves to solve the puzzle.
The world’s best pizza for 2024 isn’t in Naples – or even in Italy. Here’s where it is …
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Many New Yorkers will gladly tell anyone who’ll listen – and even those who won’t – about how they have the best pizza. And now they’ve got some mouth-watering new back-up for their long-standing culinary claims.
This week, the Italy-based 50 Top Pizza Awards came out with its 2024 worldwide list, and a Lower East Side restaurant came out on top.
Una Pizza Napoletana, opened by pizza maestro Anthony Mangieri in March 2022, not only beat out US competitors but also global ones. That includes pizzerias in Naples, Italy, the holy land for pizza aficionados and foodies in general.
“It’s inspiring to be recognized for this 30 years into my career, especially in Naples where pizza originated,” Mangieri said in an email to CNN Travel on Thursday.
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Adding to their bragging rights, New Yorkers saw three other pizzerias make the 2024 list, which included 101 restaurants in total (despite the “50” in the name of the awards). The rankings for the other New York pizzerias were Ribalta at No. 19, Don Antonio at No. 30 and L’industrie Pizzeria at No. 80.
Italy still managed to dominate the overall list with 41 eateries while the United States got a total of 15 places recognized. And Naples managed to best New York with five entries on the list, including a tie for the No. 2 spot with Diego Vigtaliano Pizzeria.
Showing how truly global the awards are, nations not exactly known for their pizza scenes –South Korea, Bolivia and India, to name three – were represented on the list.
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Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
“We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
“You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
“You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
“The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”
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Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
“We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
“You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
“You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
“The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”
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Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
“We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
“You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
“You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
“The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”
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