这个帖子大概意思是说，最近美国钢材价格上涨了145%，木头上涨了126%
油价上涨了80%，大豆上涨了71%，玉米上涨了69%。
所有东西都在肉眼可见的大涨价，然而小时工资只上涨了5%
可按照官方的报道，通胀只上涨了1%，这美联储的工作也太出色了吧。
吐槽完以后，这哥们发现，自己被美联储官方推特拉黑了，啥也看不见了。
熟悉美林时钟的小伙伴都知道，萧条之前的经济阶段就是过热。
从美国目前的物价涨幅看，现在就是过热阶段的开始。现在我们可能也已经正式步入，拜登萧条之前的拜登过热。
01
货币刺激加剧贫富分化
大家知道自打零八年金融危机以来，以美联储为首的全球主要央行，不停的放水刺激经济。
这个放水刺激经济的方式，基本都是货币刺激，而不是财政刺激。
货币刺激和财政刺激最大的不同点在于，货币刺激是通过银行信贷的方式，把钱放出去。
通常情况下，银行贷款是要看资质的。所以在货币刺激大放水的背景下，有钱有资产的人，更容易拿到钱。
这道理想想也明白，你是个一穷二白的人去银行贷款容易呢？还是你是个手里有房产的人，去银行贷款容易。
所以在这种背景下，越是有钱有资产的人，越容易拿到这些货币刺激放出来的钱。
他们拿到这些钱以后，并不会放在手里等购买力贬值，而是会拿这些钱去买入各种资产。
在全球央行不断货币刺激的背景下，这些有钱有资产的富人们，似乎形成了一个闭环。
因为有钱有资产，所以他们能从银行拿到更多更便宜的钱。拿到更多便宜的钱，就可以买入更多资产。
手里的资产在货币大放水的背景下升值，这些有钱有资产的人变得更有钱。
之后他们又能从银行借更多的钱，买入更多的资产，使得贫富差距进一步拉大。
和货币刺激是完全不同的，是财政刺激。财政刺激是通过补贴的方式，直接给老百姓发钱。
这个钱不是通过银行这个管道放出去的，所以就不涉及到信用和抵押物这玩意，等于说人人都有。
多数老百姓拿到这笔钱不会去搞投资，而是会消费掉，最终这些钱会参与到流通中去。
如果用熟悉的费雪公式解释一下，财政刺激和货币刺激产生的不同效果，大家就应该非常清楚了。
我们知道费雪公式的组成，是MV=PT。
这里M是货币总量，V是货币流通速度，P是商品和服务价格，T是商品和服务总量。
之前单单货币刺激的时候，虽然货币总量M变大了许多，但是货币流通速度V是不断下降的。
因为大部分超发的货币，都被富人拿去投资了，并没参与到实际流通中去。
这等于是货币总量M虽然在不断增多，但大部分都沉淀在房产股票这些资产里面。
观察2008年以后的货币总量M，可以发觉这个总量，是不断在上升的。
但如果你跑去观察货币流通速度V，则会发现是不断下降的。
最终带来的结果是，公式左边的MV乘积，在M大涨的情况下，变化并不太大。
因为货币总量M上涨带来的效应，被货币流通速度V的下滑带来的效应抵消了。
02
财政刺激驱动消费
这次经济刺激和以往最大的不同是，除了货币刺激，还搞了财政刺激。
在这种背景下出现的现象是，货币总量M上升的同时，货币流通速度V也起来了。
原因还是前面说的，多数拿到财政补贴的老百姓，都是中低收入者。
他们在疫情期间失业，拿到财政补贴，自然就会去买东西消费。
所以大规模的财政刺激一旦实施，这些发给老百姓的钱，都会参与到流通领域中去，而不是拿去投资，这会促使货币流通速度V提升。
如果公式左边的MV出现了同步提升，那么意味着MV的乘积，会迅速变大。
疫情期间，因为供应链被阻断和生产停滞的原因，商品和服务产能T没办法快速提升。
那么在公式左边MV迅速提升的情况下，为了维持公式两边相等，能提升的只有商品和服务价格P了。
所以疫情之后大家最明显的感受就是，到处都在涨价，不管是商品还是服务都在涨价。
服务涨价最明显的应该是理发了吧，商品里涨价最明显的是大宗商品和农产品，
不过既然财政刺激这么有效，为啥之前老美一直只采用货币刺激，不采用财政刺激呢？
因为在美国搞财政刺激，需要两党达成一致，国会通过，总统签署法案，程序非常复杂。
这在共和党担忧美国债务水平过高的背景下，并没有那么容易通过。
搞货币刺激就简单多了，只需要美联储这个机构实施就可以了。
疫情之后情况又不一样了，很多没有储蓄的美国老百姓失业，这些人吃不上饭是要闹事的。
在这种背景下，不管是民主党还是共和党，都有动力快速通过财政刺激法案，给老百姓发钱。
这时候也没人纠结债务问题和程序问题了，两党很快达成一致，大规模的财政刺激来了。
03
美林时钟为啥失效了
前两天有小伙伴问了个很好的问题，说美林时钟这玩意还有效么？即使有效又适合中国么？
按照他的理解，美林时钟的规律，是根据美国过往几十年经验总结出来的，
但是美国是单纯的市场经济，咱们国内调控能力又非常强。是不是美林时钟这东西，在国内不太适用啊。
而且从他的观察来看：即使是欧美国家，在2008年金融危机以后，美林时钟似乎也失效了。
欧美主要国家从2008年金融危机之后，虽然一直在印钞放水，可是通胀也好多年没起来了，美林时钟似乎已经不转了。
其实美林时钟是不是依然有效的争议，从2008年以后，一直就挺厉害的。
很多人觉得，从2008年金融危机以后，全球主要国家一直在放水刺激经济。
可是时间过了这么久，还不是经济增长起不来，通胀也一直起不来。
这个阶段给人的感觉是：
美林时钟里面最关键的两个因素，经济增长衰退和通胀上升下降，似乎都失效了。
因为从全球的角度看，经济增长似乎停滞了，通胀也稳定在某个数值，没啥波动了。
为啥会出现这个现象呢？
其实原因非常简单，因为全社会的贫富差距过大，导致底层购买力不足，整个社会都失去了消费的动力。
历史数据一再表明，当社会贫富差距拉大到一定程度以后，就会出现私人消费不足。
进而引发总需求增长停滞，出现生产相对过剩。这时候经济增长会彻底失去动力，最终走向萧条。
这也是为啥我们在《资本新时代的圈地运动》里面会说：
今年明年即使所有经济指标出现改善，出现经济繁荣的景象，后面世界性萧条依然会来。
因为在目前贫富分化到极致的状况下，从全球角度看，已经没啥东西能给底层注入购买力了。
只要分配机制不改变，最终复苏都是假的，只是短暂的昙花一现。
GDP增速就是再高，不改善贫富差距，底层没有足够的购买力，萧条依然会来。
全球主要国家，除了我们在不断扶贫，其他国家都没做这个事情，全球的贫富分化程度又怎么可能会改善。
金融危机以后，美联储为首的全球央行，不断通过货币放水刺激经济，又进一步拉大了全社会的贫富差距。
这个阶段经济增长停滞的同时，全球都出现的另外一个现象就是。资产价格越来越高，贫富差距越来越大。
因为全球央行们放出来的这些超发货币，不断流入富人手中，推高资产价格。
看图说话也知道，现在全球又走到了大萧条边缘。
就像我们在《通胀以后就是债务崩塌》里面说的，这是经济转萧条之前的最后一次繁荣。
后面美股泡沫如果被刺破，会引发老美的债务危机，进而带动全球经济步入萧条。
04
美林时钟重新开始转动
我们知道一战以后，美国因为拿走了世界大部分财富，成为全球消费发动机。
1929年因为老美社会整体贫富差距太大，引发全球消费不足，最终带来了大萧条
2008年以后美林时钟之所以会失效，其实还是因为同样的原因。
看图说话就知道，2008年金融危机的时候，老美社会贫富差距已经拉大到极致。
带来的结果就是，08年以后底层丧失购买力导致消费不足，美林时钟失去了动力。
现在财政刺激以后，钱直接通过现金支票的形式，发到了中低收入人群手里。
驱动消费的动力，短时间内又回来了。美林时钟的动力，似乎也回来了。
所以大家才看到，我们的世界短时间内，似乎又回到了08年之前那个状态。
不光是全球经济出现复苏，资产价格出现了全面上涨，而且通胀也逐步起来了。
虽然美联储一直在强调：通胀还没到来，经济还没有复苏。
但是如果你看实际数据，感受显然不是这样。
可以说不管是大宗商品粮食，还是各种生活必需品和服务的价格，都出现了大幅上涨。
现在很多美国原材料的价格涨幅，已经是过去40年的最高水平了。
比如钢铁价格创下1939年以来纪录，化工品价格创下1947年以来的纪录，塑料价格也已经创下1974年以来的纪录。
按照这个原材料涨价的态势，美林时钟已经从之前的经济复苏期，正式步入到经济过热初期。
涨幅这么剧烈的原因也很简单
财政刺激到来以后，疫情期间失业的普通老百姓，人人都拿到了钱可以用于消费。
之前因为剧烈贫富分化，消失已久的那些消费需求，又回来了。
消费需求会带动大宗商品的需求，也会驱动整个经济体系加速运转。
从下图也可以看出，大宗商品价格和政府转移再分配的财政刺激政策，是息息相关的。
所以这个阶段你会看到，美林时钟又有效了，经济也按照美林时钟的顺序，重新恢复了转动。
从疫情时候的短暂衰退，疫情后的出现复苏，到现在开始出现经济过热。
05
拜登过热
国际货币基金组织前副总裁朱民，最近在演讲里也提到了这个经济过热的问题。
他的原话是，2021年全球经济的最大不确定性，就是拜登过热。
拜登过热带来的通货膨胀，和美国基准利率的调整，是未来一两年全球金融市场最主要的变量。
朱民表达的意思用大白话讲就是：
拜登政府释放的大量美元流动性，会在全球各地推起资产价格泡沫，和经济过热。
后面如果美国因为通胀过高和经济过热，出现加息和其他收紧货币政策的动作。
我们很可能要面对的是，资产价格泡沫破裂带来的巨大冲击。
为啥这经济突然就过热了呢？原因也很简单，财政刺激以后需求太旺盛了。
整个社会的需求，大致上可以分为三类，消费+投资+净出口。
这意味着生产出来的产品，要么卖给国内消费者，要么卖给国内企业，要么卖给国外消费者。
如果生产出来的商品国内消费者不买，国内企业不买，外国消费者也不买，那就卖不出去。
如果大家的需求非常旺盛，那么就会出现商品价格上涨，经济过热的状况。
财政刺激对通胀和经济有多大影响，很大程度上是刺激政策的具体内容决定的。
分析拜登刺激可以发现，这次拜登政府搞得财政刺激主要是两类用途。
第一类是中低收入群体的转移支付，也就是直接通过财政刺激，给他们每人发1400美元的支票。
第二类是扩大政府的消费类支出，包括提供1600亿美元用于病毒和疫苗，提供1700亿美元帮助学校开放等。
可以看出拜登这1.9万亿美元刺激里面，主要把钱花在发现金支票，让中低收入人群消费。
通过直接发现金补贴疫情期间受损的个人和机构，支撑他们的消费需求。
所以在拜登政府大规模发钱财政刺激的情况下，等于是给中低收入人群注入消费资金，会带来消费需求会大幅提升。
另外一个政府方向的刺激，也是扩大消费支出，只不过扩大的是政府的消费支出。
要知道美国那边经济的主要推动力就是消费，投资和净出口对美国经济增长的贡献很小。
朱民的演讲也提到了这点，刺激美国经济增长的主要动力，就是消费部分。
从下图可以看出，橙色是投资，蓝色是消费，灰色是进出口对美国经济增长的贡献。
灰色的净出口，对美国经济贡献几乎没有，有些年份甚至是负值，原因也很简单，美国是贸易逆差国。
橙色的投资部分，对美国经济增长的贡献也不算大。三驾马车里最大的，就是蓝色的消费部分。
如果按照国际货币基金组织的预测，美国2021年经济增长的速度会达到6%，要知道2020年美国经济增长只有-3%。
从-3%到+6%的经济增长，主要就是靠消费带动，可见消费带来的需求提升会有多大。
06
通胀来了
然而财政刺激带来的需求提升，在短期内会对通胀出现显著推动。
这就是我们现在看到一切涨价的根源。
因为这些中低收入人群边际消费意愿强烈，拿到支票就会花掉。所以政府发给个人的现金补助，可以显著扩张消费需求。
可以看出，疫情之后美国零售销售数据的增速，在不断增加。
政府消费型支出扩大，同样会带来需求大幅扩张。因为美国政府直接扮演了购买者的角色，等于市场上多了新的购买者。
居民和政府消费的增加带来的增量需求，最终会对衰退期的经济增长，产生乘数效应。
消费需求增多了，市场上对劳动力、原材料、资本和土地这些生产要素的需求，自然也就增多了。
之前的经济衰退中，这些生产要素往往会被闲置。这些闲置要素开始使用，会增加大家的收入。
大家收入增多的以后，又会带动消费回升，进一步增加闲置要素的使用。
之后重复前面的循环，带来总需求的扩张。
总需求扩张，不仅会推升终端消费品价格。还会带来大宗商品价格，和劳动者收入的上涨。
原因也很简单，不管是大宗商品还是劳动力的本质上都是一种商品，价格是供需决定的。
消费旺盛会带来大宗商品需求旺盛，和劳动力需求的不断提升。
所以我们才看到，美国那边原材料价格上涨的同时，中小企业雇工需求和劳动者收入都出现了上涨。
观察美国的非农就业数据，现在不少行业就业数据甚至已经超过了疫情之前。
消费需求带来的价格上涨，还会带来通胀预期的提升，进一步推动价格的上涨。这就是大家常说的，通胀预期会进一步加剧通胀。
通胀预期会抬升通胀的原因也很简单，多数人倾向于通过最近的价格涨跌，来推测后面的价格波动。
当企业预期未来价格更高的时候，不但对客户的报价会不断提升。还会囤积商品，减少市面上的供应。
简单说就是大家都觉得未来价格要涨，卖你东西时候就给你报个高价，或者索性把货囤在仓库不卖了，等后面卖个高价。
在大家都预期价格上涨去囤货的背景下，市面上的商品供应，自然就会出现不足。
朱民这个演讲，也提到了通胀预期的问题，下面这张图显示的很清楚。
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A severe geomagnetic storm could cause colorful auroras over Northern California and Alabama
<a href=смотреть>гей порно парни</a>
Colorful auroras could be visible in areas of the United States such as Alabama and Northern California — much farther south than they typically appear — on Thursday evening due to a powerful solar flare and coronal mass ejection released from the sun, according to the National Weather Service’s Space Weather Prediction Center.
The severe solar storm, classified as a level 4 on a scale from 1 to 5, also could disrupt communications, the power grid and satellite operations, according to officials at the center.
The storm is expected to reach Earth between early morning and 12 p.m. ET Thursday, with the potential to last through Friday.
The intensity and full characteristics of the storm, moving toward Earth at more than 2.5 million miles per hour (about 4 million kilometers per hour), won’t be known until it reaches the Deep Space Climate Observatory and the Advanced Composition Explorer satellites orbiting 1 million miles from Earth.
The satellites will measure the speed and magnetic intensity of the storm, which is expected to arrive at Earth 15 to 30 minutes after reaching the space observatories, said Shawn Dahl, service coordinator for the Space Weather Prediction Center, at a news briefing Wednesday.
A series of the most intense type of solar flares, known as X-class flares, have released from the sun this week. The flares also coincided with coronal mass ejections on Tuesday.
Coronal mass ejections are large clouds of ionized gas called plasma and magnetic fields that erupt from the sun’s outer atmosphere. When these outbursts are directed at Earth, they can cause geomagnetic storms, or major disturbances of Earth’s magnetic field.
“Geomagnetic storms can impact infrastructure in near-Earth orbit and on Earth’s surface,” according to the Space Weather Prediction Center.
As a result, the center has notified the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the North American power grid and satellite operators to prepare for disruptions, especially given the amount of preparations and expected relief efforts for Hurricane Milton, Dahl said.
Historically, G4 storms are common during a solar cycle, but G5, or extreme geomagnetic storms such the one that occurred on May 10, are incredibly rare, Dahl said. This new storm has a 25% chance of becoming a G5, he said.
<img alt="Станислав Кондрашов" id="Станислав Кондрашов" longdesc="Станислав Кондрашов" src="https://dimonvideo.ru/files/screens.dimonvideo.ru/320/blog/blogi/stanislav-kondrashov-galstuk-5_3011.jpg" style="border-style:solid; border-width:0px; float:left; height:100px; margin:0px; width:129px" title="Станислав Кондрашов" />
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Ультразвуковая диагностика (УЗИ) занимает одно из ведущих мест среди методов исследования в медицине благодаря своей безопасности, информативности и отсутствию инвазивности. При выборе УЗИ-аппарата для медицинского учреждения важно учитывать несколько ключевых аспектов, которые помогут принять правильное решение. В этой статье мы подробно рассмотрим, на что обратить внимание, когда вы планируете купить УЗИ-аппарат.
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Первый шаг при покупке ультразвукового аппарата — это выбор типа устройства, который будет наилучшим образом отвечать потребностям вашей практики. Существуют следующие основные категории УЗИ-аппаратов
Покупка УЗИ-аппарата — это серьезное вложение, которое требует внимательного подхода и анализа множества факторов. Правильный выбор оборудования поможет повысить качество диагностики, улучшить обслуживание пациентов и увеличить эффективность работы вашего медицинского учреждения. Перед покупкой рекомендуется тщательно изучить рынок, определить потребности вашей клиники и выбрать оптимальное решение, которое будет соответствовать вашим требованиям и бюджету.
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Scattered across Florida’s hurricane-ravaged communities are piles of debris, remnants of what were once homes. Cherished memories — photo albums, family heirlooms, and tokens of love — swallowed by floodwaters and carried miles away, are now reduced to mere fragments and discarded amid the wreckage.
But in one of these piles of lost memories, a small, inconspicuous velvet black box was discovered with a ring and a note that read: “I was 18 when my parents gave it to me.”
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Now, Joe Kovach, the engineer managing one of the debris sites in Tarpon Springs, Florida, where the box was found, is searching for its owner.
“Everyone has been basically dumping their entire lives onto the curb after the storm when everything flooded. My own boss’ house had 30 inches (of water) in it, and I saw his face and just how devastating it can be for everyone,” Kovach, an engineer with Pinellas County Public Works, told CNN.
“A lot of people in the community were really affected by these two storms, if there’s just a little bit I can do to give back, then that’s perfect.”
A contractor, who was gathering and condensing debris with an excavator, discovered the ring when he looked down and saw the box.
“This was a needle in a haystack for sure. For something like that to survive all that when everything else was so wet and saturated, that was kind of incredible,” Kovach said.
Although the ring was found after Hurricane Milton, Kovach is sure the treasure was initially lost amid the ruins of Hurricane Helene, based on the pile of debris it came from, which Pinellas County Public Works tracks. It is likely the owner of the ring is from Crystal Beach, Ozona, or Palm Harbor, Kovach said.
On Tuesday, after the contractor informed him about the ring, Kovach posted a photo of the box and the note on several local community Facebook pages, asking if it belonged to anyone. He did not include a photo or description of the ring to ensure it is returned to the rightful owner who can accurately describe it. On the inside lid of the box is a gold engraving with the jewelry brand, “The Danbury Mint.”
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Если ты когда-нибудь задумывался, почему твой сайт где-то на задворках Яндекса, а не сияет на первой странице, то ты по адресу. Сегодня мы разберемся, как раскрутить сайт в Яндексе, чем SEO для Яндекса отличается от Google, и что за загадочные поведенческие факторы все обсуждают. Поехали!
Чем SEO для Яндекса отличается от Google?
Давай начнем с того, что Яндекс и Google — это как два разных мира со своими правилами игры. Представь, что это как играть в футбол и в американский футбол: мяч вроде есть, но правила разные.
1. Региональность
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Google более глобален и не так сильно зациклен на региональности.
2. Поведенческие факторы
Яндекс обращает внимание на то, как пользователи взаимодействуют с твоим сайтом: сколько времени проводят, сколько страниц просматривают и т.д.
Google тоже смотрит на это, но не настолько фанатично.
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Яндекс уделяет больше внимания морфологии русского языка и лучше понимает сложные конструкции.
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Что такое поведенческие факторы?
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Ультразвуковые аппараты (УЗИ) играют ключевую роль в современной диагностической медицине. Они позволяют проводить точную и быструю диагностику различных заболеваний, что делает их незаменимыми для клиник и больниц. Однако, как и любая сложная техника, ультразвуковые аппараты могут выходить из строя. В таких случаях необходим профессиональный ремонт УЗИ-оборудования, который обеспечивает дальнейшую надежную и точную работу устройства.
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Итак, вы, наверное, думаете: «SEO есть SEO, какая разница?» Но нет! Яндекс и Google — это как разные вселенные со своими правилами игры.
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Яндекс очень серьезно относится к поведенческим факторам. Это значит, что ему важно, как пользователи взаимодействуют с вашим сайтом.
Google тоже учитывает это, но в меньшей степени.
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Google любит, когда на ваш сайт ссылаются другие ресурсы, и учитывает это при ранжировании.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country’s war aims.
The precise details of the “victory plan” Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.
But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader’s urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia’s invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.
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The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky’s response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win — and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end — if enough assistance is rushed in.
That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he’s recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.
Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it’s unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.
Biden is usually apt to take his time making decisions about providing Ukraine new capabilities. But with November’s election potentially portending a major change in American approach to the war if Trump were to win, Ukrainian officials — and many American ones — believe there is little time to waste.
Trump has claimed he will be able to “settle” the war upon taking office and has suggested he’ll end US support for Kyiv’s war effort.
“Those cities are gone, they’re gone, and we continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refused to make a deal, Zelensky. There was no deal that he could have made that wouldn’t have been better than the situation you have right now. You have a country that has been obliterated, not possible to be rebuilt,” Trump said during a campaign speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, on Wednesday.
Comments like those have lent new weight to Thursday’s Oval Office talks, according to American and European officials, who have described an imperative to surge assistance to Ukraine while Biden is still in office.
As part of Zelensky’s visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.
The president previewed Zelensky’s visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was “determined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.”
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“Tomorrow, I will announce a series of actions to accelerate support for Ukraine’s military – but we know Ukraine’s future victory is about more than what happens on the battlefield, it’s also about what Ukrainians do make the most of a free and independent future, which so many have sacrificed so much for,” he said.
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Where did Yemeni coffee shops come from?
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In the Middle East, coffee isn’t a grab-and-go drink used to wake up with, but a social exchange. While coffee beans originated in Ethiopia, the earliest evidence of cultivation appeared in Yemen through trading across the Red Sea.
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The practice followed into the early 20th century and across the world, when the first wave of Middle Eastern immigrants came to Detroit to work in the auto industry or shipping yards, Howell said. Most immigrants were men who migrated alone, so one of the first institutions they created were coffee houses where they would gather to socialize, share news about their home country, and even write letters back home. Many of the initial mosques in the area were originally established in the backs of the coffee houses.
Yemeni men working in shipping on the Great Lakes “would work for months at a time and then have a few weeks off and then work again,” leaving them unable to visit their families back in Yemen, Howell said. “The coffee houses in the Detroit area were a really important institution.”
“Our mission is to bring everyone in one place and share history,” Ibrahim Alhasbani, founder of the first contemporary Yemeni coffee chain Qahwah House, told CNN. “That’s why we serve the coffee in a pot. People come inside the store and they share one pot and they can talk and they share different stories.”
A new chapter for Yemeni coffee
Contemporary chains are designed by a new demographic — the descendants of these immigrants who are bringing Yemeni coffee culture to the American mainstream.
The very first Qahwah Houses in Dearborn were airy and upscale, a familiar setting to patrons of established coffee chains. But they also brought with them Yemeni culture, with coffee beans imported from local farmers, artifacts from the region and the founder’s family tree on the wall.
Where did Yemeni coffee shops come from?
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In the Middle East, coffee isn’t a grab-and-go drink used to wake up with, but a social exchange. While coffee beans originated in Ethiopia, the earliest evidence of cultivation appeared in Yemen through trading across the Red Sea.
https://kraken2trfqodidvlh4aa337cpzfrhdlfldhve5nf7njhumwr7insta.cc
Кракен даркнет
The practice followed into the early 20th century and across the world, when the first wave of Middle Eastern immigrants came to Detroit to work in the auto industry or shipping yards, Howell said. Most immigrants were men who migrated alone, so one of the first institutions they created were coffee houses where they would gather to socialize, share news about their home country, and even write letters back home. Many of the initial mosques in the area were originally established in the backs of the coffee houses.
Yemeni men working in shipping on the Great Lakes “would work for months at a time and then have a few weeks off and then work again,” leaving them unable to visit their families back in Yemen, Howell said. “The coffee houses in the Detroit area were a really important institution.”
“Our mission is to bring everyone in one place and share history,” Ibrahim Alhasbani, founder of the first contemporary Yemeni coffee chain Qahwah House, told CNN. “That’s why we serve the coffee in a pot. People come inside the store and they share one pot and they can talk and they share different stories.”
A new chapter for Yemeni coffee
Contemporary chains are designed by a new demographic — the descendants of these immigrants who are bringing Yemeni coffee culture to the American mainstream.
The very first Qahwah Houses in Dearborn were airy and upscale, a familiar setting to patrons of established coffee chains. But they also brought with them Yemeni culture, with coffee beans imported from local farmers, artifacts from the region and the founder’s family tree on the wall.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
CNN
—
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country’s war aims.
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The precise details of the “victory plan” Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.
But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader’s urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia’s invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.
The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky’s response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win — and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end — if enough assistance is rushed in.
That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he’s recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.
Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it’s unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.
Biden is usually apt to take his time making decisions about providing Ukraine new capabilities. But with November’s election potentially portending a major change in American approach to the war if Trump were to win, Ukrainian officials — and many American ones — believe there is little time to waste.
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Trump has claimed he will be able to “settle” the war upon taking office and has suggested he’ll end US support for Kyiv’s war effort.
“Those cities are gone, they’re gone, and we continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refused to make a deal, Zelensky. There was no deal that he could have made that wouldn’t have been better than the situation you have right now. You have a country that has been obliterated, not possible to be rebuilt,” Trump said during a campaign speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, on Wednesday.
Comments like those have lent new weight to Thursday’s Oval Office talks, according to American and European officials, who have described an imperative to surge assistance to Ukraine while Biden is still in office.
As part of Zelensky’s visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.
The president previewed Zelensky’s visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was “determined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.”
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“Tomorrow, I will announce a series of actions to accelerate support for Ukraine’s military – but we know Ukraine’s future victory is about more than what happens on the battlefield, it’s also about what Ukrainians do make the most of a free and independent future, which so many have sacrificed so much for,” he said.
A ring found among the debris of Florida’s recent hurricanes awaits its owner
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Scattered across Florida’s hurricane-ravaged communities are piles of debris, remnants of what were once homes. Cherished memories — photo albums, family heirlooms, and tokens of love — swallowed by floodwaters and carried miles away, are now reduced to mere fragments and discarded amid the wreckage.
But in one of these piles of lost memories, a small, inconspicuous velvet black box was discovered with a ring and a note that read: “I was 18 when my parents gave it to me.”
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Now, Joe Kovach, the engineer managing one of the debris sites in Tarpon Springs, Florida, where the box was found, is searching for its owner.
“Everyone has been basically dumping their entire lives onto the curb after the storm when everything flooded. My own boss’ house had 30 inches (of water) in it, and I saw his face and just how devastating it can be for everyone,” Kovach, an engineer with Pinellas County Public Works, told CNN.
“A lot of people in the community were really affected by these two storms, if there’s just a little bit I can do to give back, then that’s perfect.”
A contractor, who was gathering and condensing debris with an excavator, discovered the ring when he looked down and saw the box.
“This was a needle in a haystack for sure. For something like that to survive all that when everything else was so wet and saturated, that was kind of incredible,” Kovach said.
Although the ring was found after Hurricane Milton, Kovach is sure the treasure was initially lost amid the ruins of Hurricane Helene, based on the pile of debris it came from, which Pinellas County Public Works tracks. It is likely the owner of the ring is from Crystal Beach, Ozona, or Palm Harbor, Kovach said.
On Tuesday, after the contractor informed him about the ring, Kovach posted a photo of the box and the note on several local community Facebook pages, asking if it belonged to anyone. He did not include a photo or description of the ring to ensure it is returned to the rightful owner who can accurately describe it. On the inside lid of the box is a gold engraving with the jewelry brand, “The Danbury Mint.”
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Tiny house with elaborate – and erotic – frescoes unearthed at Pompeii
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Archaeologists have uncovered a tiny house in Pompeii that is filled with elaborate – and sometimes erotic – frescoes, further revealing the ornate way in which Romans decorated their homes.
Situated in the central district of the ancient city, the house is smaller than normal and unusually lacks the open central courtyard – known as an atrium – that is typical of Roman architecture, the Archaeological Park of Pompeii, which oversees the site, said in a statement Thursday.
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This change could have occurred due to shifting trends in Roman - and particularly Pompeian - society, during the first century AD, archaeologists said.
Pompeii was destroyed by the eruption of Mount Vesuvius in AD 79 when its buildings and thousands of inhabitants were buried beneath layers of ash and pumice. This coating perfectly preserved the city for millennia, making it one of the most important archaeological sites in the world as it offers an unprecedented insight into Roman daily life.
This latest discovery spotlights the ornate decorations that rich Romans enjoyed in their homes – several frescoes depict mythical scenes and others are decorated with plant and animal motifs on a white background.
One small square painting set against a blue-painted wall depicts intercourse between a satyr and a nymph, while another shows Hippolytus, son of the mythical Greek king Theseus, and his stepmother Phaedra who fell in love with him before killing herself when he rejected her in disgust.
Tiny house with elaborate – and erotic – frescoes unearthed at Pompeii
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Archaeologists have uncovered a tiny house in Pompeii that is filled with elaborate – and sometimes erotic – frescoes, further revealing the ornate way in which Romans decorated their homes.
Situated in the central district of the ancient city, the house is smaller than normal and unusually lacks the open central courtyard – known as an atrium – that is typical of Roman architecture, the Archaeological Park of Pompeii, which oversees the site, said in a statement Thursday.
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This change could have occurred due to shifting trends in Roman - and particularly Pompeian - society, during the first century AD, archaeologists said.
Pompeii was destroyed by the eruption of Mount Vesuvius in AD 79 when its buildings and thousands of inhabitants were buried beneath layers of ash and pumice. This coating perfectly preserved the city for millennia, making it one of the most important archaeological sites in the world as it offers an unprecedented insight into Roman daily life.
This latest discovery spotlights the ornate decorations that rich Romans enjoyed in their homes – several frescoes depict mythical scenes and others are decorated with plant and animal motifs on a white background.
One small square painting set against a blue-painted wall depicts intercourse between a satyr and a nymph, while another shows Hippolytus, son of the mythical Greek king Theseus, and his stepmother Phaedra who fell in love with him before killing herself when he rejected her in disgust.
Scientists say skeletal remains found in castle well belong to figure from 800-year-old saga
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Researchers have connected the identity of skeletal remains found in a well at Norway’s Sverresborg castle to a passage in a centuries-old Norse text.
The 800-year-old Sverris saga, which follows the story of the real-life King Sverre Sigurdsson, includes the tossing of the body of a dead man — later known as “Well-man” — down a well during a military raid in central Norway in 1197.
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It’s likely, according to the text, that raiders lobbed the body into the well to poison the main water source for locals, but little else is said about the man or who he was in the saga.
Researchers initially uncovered the bones in the castle’s well in 1938, but they were only able to carry out a visual analysis at the time. Now, scientists have an array of analytical techniques at their disposal, including genetic sequencing and radiocarbon dating.
A new study on the remains, published Friday in the Cell Press journal iScience, reveals unprecedented insights into Well-man’s appearance based on in-depth research on samples of his teeth.
“This is the first time that a person described in these historical texts has actually been found,” said study coauthor Michael D. Martin, a professor in the department of natural history at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology’s University Museum in Trondheim, in a statement.
“There are a lot of these medieval and ancient remains all around Europe, and they’re increasingly being studied using genomic methods.”
The findings not only shed fresh light on what Well-man looked like but also who he was, with a surprising twist about how he ended up in a Norse saga.
This teen became the youngest person to summit the world’s highest peaks. Now he wants others to follow in his footsteps
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Nima Rinji Sherpa’s ears are still tinged black from wind chill, an occupational hazard of climbing to heights where humans struggle to breathe, and where the weather can turn deadly in an instant.
This month, Nima became the youngest person to summit all 14 of the world’s highest peaks, but the 18-year-old Nepalese mountaineer is already getting ready for his next big feat.
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Speaking to CNN via video call from the Nepali capital Kathmandu last week, Nima said he’s taking a couple weeks’ rest before preparing to climb the world’s eighth-highest mountain, Manaslu, with Italian mountaineer Simone Moro – in winter, alpine-style.
“That means we’re climbing an 8,000-meter mountain in winter… There’s no fixed ropes for us, there’s no (supplemental) oxygen for us, there is no support for us. So, it’s like pure human endurance,” Nima said. “It has never been done in the history of mountaineering.”
After that, “I’ll take some rest,” Nima laughed.
On October 9, Nima reached the top of the 8,027-meter (26,335-foot) Shishapangma along with his partner Pasang Nurbu Sherpa. For Nima, it was the final of the “eight-thousanders,” the 14 peaks recognized by the International Climbing and Mountaineering Federation as standing more than 8,000 meters above sea level.
Describing the moment of summiting the final peak as “pure joy,” Nima said his motivation comes from his family, many of whom are renowned mountaineers.
His father, Tashi Lakpa Sherpa, has climbed Everest nine times, and at age 19 became the youngest person to summit without bottled oxygen. His uncle Mingma Sherpa became the first South Asian climber to summit the 14 peaks in 2011.
“My uncles and my father, they are way more successful than I would ever be because they came from a very small village. To even dream about being this successful, for them it was really hard,” Nima said. “I have the privilege that they didn’t have.”
Scientists say skeletal remains found in castle well belong to figure from 800-year-old saga
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Researchers have connected the identity of skeletal remains found in a well at Norway’s Sverresborg castle to a passage in a centuries-old Norse text.
The 800-year-old Sverris saga, which follows the story of the real-life King Sverre Sigurdsson, includes the tossing of the body of a dead man — later known as “Well-man” — down a well during a military raid in central Norway in 1197.
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It’s likely, according to the text, that raiders lobbed the body into the well to poison the main water source for locals, but little else is said about the man or who he was in the saga.
Researchers initially uncovered the bones in the castle’s well in 1938, but they were only able to carry out a visual analysis at the time. Now, scientists have an array of analytical techniques at their disposal, including genetic sequencing and radiocarbon dating.
A new study on the remains, published Friday in the Cell Press journal iScience, reveals unprecedented insights into Well-man’s appearance based on in-depth research on samples of his teeth.
“This is the first time that a person described in these historical texts has actually been found,” said study coauthor Michael D. Martin, a professor in the department of natural history at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology’s University Museum in Trondheim, in a statement.
“There are a lot of these medieval and ancient remains all around Europe, and they’re increasingly being studied using genomic methods.”
The findings not only shed fresh light on what Well-man looked like but also who he was, with a surprising twist about how he ended up in a Norse saga.
Scientists say skeletal remains found in castle well belong to figure from 800-year-old saga
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Researchers have connected the identity of skeletal remains found in a well at Norway’s Sverresborg castle to a passage in a centuries-old Norse text.
The 800-year-old Sverris saga, which follows the story of the real-life King Sverre Sigurdsson, includes the tossing of the body of a dead man — later known as “Well-man” — down a well during a military raid in central Norway in 1197.
https://kra16f.cc
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It’s likely, according to the text, that raiders lobbed the body into the well to poison the main water source for locals, but little else is said about the man or who he was in the saga.
Researchers initially uncovered the bones in the castle’s well in 1938, but they were only able to carry out a visual analysis at the time. Now, scientists have an array of analytical techniques at their disposal, including genetic sequencing and radiocarbon dating.
A new study on the remains, published Friday in the Cell Press journal iScience, reveals unprecedented insights into Well-man’s appearance based on in-depth research on samples of his teeth.
“This is the first time that a person described in these historical texts has actually been found,” said study coauthor Michael D. Martin, a professor in the department of natural history at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology’s University Museum in Trondheim, in a statement.
“There are a lot of these medieval and ancient remains all around Europe, and they’re increasingly being studied using genomic methods.”
The findings not only shed fresh light on what Well-man looked like but also who he was, with a surprising twist about how he ended up in a Norse saga.