美国5月制造业ISM指数从60.7上升到61.2，带动美元微幅上升，不过原物料和劳动力短缺仍持续抑制美国制造业成长潜力，且油价上涨对通胀的影响正在使其他国家的央行收紧货币政策，这相对于美联储的无所作为，将使美元继续走弱。
以下是荷兰国际集团本交易日 （6月2日） 对下列货币的一些分析：
美元：
OPEC+产油国的供应增幅低于预期，已将油价推至多年高位，这不仅对石油出口国的货币有利，而且鉴于油价上涨和相关的基数效应对今年迄今为止的总体CPI通胀上升做出了重大贡献，油价上涨以及对CPI的溢出效应表明，货币政策收紧的前景变得更高。CPI显著高于目标的中东欧货币应受益于货币政策收紧，而更高的CPI前景以及挪威经济复苏，都增加了挪威央行今年两次加息的可能性，从而使挪威克朗受益。相比之下，美联储忽视价格上涨且不打算在短期内对利率做出反应，美元前端实际利率为负值应继续维持美元疲软，尤其是相对于那些央行已准备好升息的货币，因此，预计挪威克朗和中东欧外汇兑美元将有更多涨幅。
欧元：
欧元区5月CPI升至2% 的水平。从欧洲央行官员的最新评论来看，似乎不太可能立即改变超宽松的货币立场，在6月份的会议上不太可能提出将缩减量化宽松政策。尽管如此，只要美联储继续忽视高价格的压力，相对而言，对美元就更为不利，尤其是当美元从全球经济增长反弹中受益的幅度将低于欧元时。
英镑：
对印度变种病毒传播的担忧以及6月21日全面重新开放计划的风险打压了英镑，但随着欧元/美元普遍上涨，这应该会抵消部分英镑/美元的下行风险，为1.41水平提供强大的支撑。变种病毒的负面溢出影响对欧元/英镑更大（相对于英镑/美元），但我们注意到，在近期英镑下跌之后，欧元/英镑目前的交易价格比其短期公允价值高出约1%。
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