BK资产管理董事总经理Kathy Lien周三（6月2日）撰文称，本周对货币来说是重要的一周，但到目前为止，我们看到的只是整固。在今天的交易中，美元兑纽元和瑞郎(0.8987, 0.0008, 0.09%)走强，兑英镑(1.4152, -0.0017, -0.12%)和加元走弱，兑欧元(1.2197, -0.0013, -0.11%)和日元保持不变。
美联储的褐皮书报告证实了投资者已经知道的事实，即美国经济在4月和5月以更快的速度增长。市场对这份报告反应不大，因为周五的主要焦点是非农就业数据。经济正在改善，但就业增长在4月份明显放缓。Lien认为，如果5月份招聘情况没有好转，货币和股市将陷入困境。
Lien表示，股市的犹豫是投资者整体感到担忧的信号。美国股市今日收盘持平，延续多日盘整，可能已见顶。要实现这一目标，就业报告必须是丑陋的。本周早些时候，我们得知制造业活动加速，但美元下跌，因为制造业就业增长速度放缓。周四，ISM将发布非制造业报告。如果服务业未能报告就业出现明显好转，交易商可能因担心非农就业数据疲弱而抛售美元。如果ISM表现良好，我们可能会看到对美元的新需求，因交易商预计周五就业市场将强劲反弹。
美国就业报告是本月发布的许多重要数据之一，这些数据可能为外汇市场的大幅波动奠定基础。美联储和欧洲央行将公布最新的经济预测。通胀和经济增长预期料将上调，但投资者真正关注的是缩减购债规模的迹象。英国央行、加拿大央行和新西兰联储已经采取了首批行动，要么减少了资产购买，要么预测将早些时候加息。美国经济的扩张速度似乎并不比英国和加拿大慢，但它们一直不愿改变其前瞻性指引。
澳大利亚联储的处境也类似。经济正在改善，但由于数据好坏参半，澳大利亚联储保持了其鸽派倾向。该国第一季度GDP增长强于预期，但零售额的收缩更为严重。有趣的是，虽然新西兰联储不如澳大利亚联储那么鸽派，但纽元却是表现最差的货币。奶制品价格下跌、进出口价格下跌也起到了推波助澜的作用。
加元表现最佳，得益于建筑许可的小幅下降和油价创下两年半新高。德国零售销售疲软阻碍了欧元/美元的上涨，但强劲的住房数据提振了英镑/美元。展望未来，欧元区和英国的PMI修正值将于周四发布。
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