汇市分析|美国6月CPI数据创近13年以来新高

2021年07月14日 10761点热度 29人点赞 2,360条评论
基本面
  
美指
美国6月CPI数据创近13年以来新高
美国6月未季调CPI年率录得5.4%,续创2008年8月以来新高;6月季调后CPI月率录得0.9%,创2008年6月以来新高;6月未季调核心CPI年率录得4.5%,高于预期并创1991年来的最高水平。
数据公布后,美国联邦基金利率期货显示,美联储在2022年12月加息的可能性为90%,在2023年1月加息的可能性为100%。 
  
美联储布拉德:是时候撤回刺激措施了
圣路易斯联储主席布拉德表示,现在是撤回刺激措施的时候了,并支持2022年加息。他预计经济可能增长7%,核心通胀率为3%。旧金山联储主席戴利也认为,现在开始谈论缩减购债是合适的,但谈论加息为时尚早。
  
黄金
欧洲央行管委森特诺称欧元区通胀上升是暂时的
欧洲央行管委森特诺认为,欧元区通胀的上升“显然是暂时的”,短期的不确定性仍然存在,但复苏并不处于危险之中。欧洲央行必须对过去从未容忍过的通胀偏离保持耐心。
   
新西兰议会委员会计划对加密货币进行调查
新西兰财政和支出特别委员会主席Duncan Webb在声明中表示,委员会已经对加密货币的当前和未来的性质、影响和风险展开调查。此外,英国警方在洗钱调查中,扣押了价值1.8亿英镑的加密货币。
   
原油
IEA月报:除非欧佩克+增产,否则油市将“显著收紧”
国际能源署(IEA)警告称,除非欧佩克+联盟解决僵局并同意增加产量,否则全球石油市场将“显著收紧”。报告显示,即使欧佩克+达成协议,正在考虑的40万桶/日的增产将远远不能满足消费者的需求。
  
技术面
  
美元指数
市场行情整理: 
美元指数周二午后开始上扬,美盘前短线拉升,随即小幅回调后再度上行,最终收报92.78,收涨0.6%
  
观点整理:
盘面继续维持震荡区间的可能性较大;原因在于,目前市场并没有出现需求去改变当前局势,也就没有更多动能去改变市场的运行轨迹;随着昨日盘面走出倒转锤头,这种初级底部信号的出现,能在一定程度上起到支撑作用
  
黄金
市场行情整理: 
周二现货黄金小幅走高,美国CPI数据公布后,金价上下扫荡,一度跌回1800关口下方,美盘开盘后短线拉升,维持日内涨势,最终收涨0.09%,报1807.40美元/盎司
   
观点整理:
 金价周二再收十字星,短线横盘的趋势愈加明显,这一趋势或将继续维持。从技术面来看,考虑到目前处于上涨趋势之中,涨势暂歇可能意味着多头后续动能不足。与此同时,美元仍处于升势,也给黄金多头更大的压力。建议投资者暂时观望,
   
原油
市场行情整理: 
国际油价方面,WTI原油期货震荡上行,美盘后一度站上75.4美元/桶,截至收盘,WTI原油收涨1.37%,报75.18美元/桶;布伦特原油收涨1.57%,报76.34美元/桶。
   
观点整理:
美原油走势震荡走强,基本面利好的格局并没有遭到破坏,未来有进一步上涨的空间,不过市场对OPEC+谈判破裂、伊核谈判的不确定性以及疫情的反弹有所担忧,这限制了油价的涨势。建议保守者可以暂时观望,激进者关注低位做多的机会。

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    The staff at Australian flag carrier Qantas must have been flat-out like a lizard drinking sorting that mess out. And if you don’t understand that lingo, it’s time to check out our guide to Aussie slang.

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    At the top of the first page are familiar words but in regular type instead of the sweeping Gothic script we’re used to seeing: “WE, the People …”

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    The wrecks of explosives-laden Nazi ships sunk in the Danube River during World War II have emerged near Serbia’s river port town of Prahovo, after a drought in July and August that saw the river’s water level drop.

    Four vessels dating from before 1950 have also come to light in Hungary’s Danube-Drava National Park near Mohacs, where the Danube’s water level stood at only 1.5 meters (4.9 feet) on Tuesday, the lingering effect of severe heat waves and persistent drought in July and August.

    The vessels revealed in Prahovo were among hundreds scuttled along the Danube by Nazi Germany’s Black Sea fleet in 1944 as they retreated from advancing Soviet forces, destroying the ships themselves. The wrecks can hamper river traffic during low water levels.
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    Endre Sztellik, a guard at the Danube-Drava national park, said of one of the ships, “we still don’t know what this is exactly. What is visible and an unfortunate fact is that the wreck is diminishing as people are interested in it and parts of it are going missing.”
    The Danube stood at 1.17 meters (3.8 feet) in Budapest on Tuesday, which compares with an all-time record low of around 0.4 meters (1.3 feet) registered in October 2018. During floods, the Danube rises well above 6 meters (19.7 feet).

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    2024年9月12日
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    Singing about the perils of fame, being dragged out from beneath a fallen chandelier then bleeding to death in front of a roomful of celebrities: Lady Gaga was not shy about making her debut at the MTV Video Music Awards.

    The year was 2009 — many will remember it as the year rapper Ye (formerly Kanye West) stage-crashed 19-year-old Taylor Swift and suggested her award for Best Female Video should have gone to Beyonce instead. But never one to be overshadowed, Lady Gaga, then 23, made some pop culture history of her own that night.

    Her rendition of “Paparazzi” — lamenting both unrequited love and the sinister effects of hounding tabloids — has gone down in the mists of Gaga legend; not least because a lack of high-quality footage means fans must resort to watching grainy screen-recorded versions circulated on social media.
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