股市分析|美联储主席鲍威尔:将在会议上继续购买债券的辩论

2021年07月15日 11219点热度 24人点赞 2,112条评论
基本面
   
美股
美联储主席鲍威尔:将在会议上继续购买债券的辩论

美联储主席鲍威尔表示,劳动力市场正在改善,但仍有很长的路要走。他认为本周的通胀数据超出预期,美联储也迫切希望通胀率下降,将在7月份的会议上讨论缩减购债规模的时机和组成,房地产市场将成为美联储讨论缩债计划及其组成的一个因素。 
   
A股
工信部:将建立健全数据安全保护的管理机制和技术防护体系

工业和信息化部办公厅副主任利华在2021中国互联网大会上表示,将建立健全数据安全保护的管理机制和技术防护体系,切实把涉及国家安全和个人隐私的数据作为重点保护对象,严格数据资源的采集、存储、流动和使用的各环节,确保数据安全。
   
上海发布先进制造业发展“十四五”规划相关通知
发展重点显示,要以自主创新、规模发展为重点,提升芯片设计、制造封测、装备材料全产业链能级。重点发展新能源汽车、智能网联汽车、整车及零部件等制造领域,延伸发展智慧出行、汽车金融等服务领域。
   
全国碳交易市场将于今年7月择机启动
生态环境部副部长赵英民表示,全国碳交易市场将于今年7月择机启动,考虑通过改进配额分配方法,引入抵消机制等政策措施,来引导市场预期,从而形成合理的碳价。
  
技术面
  
美股
市场走势技术分析
股市方面,周三美股三大股指涨跌不一。截至收盘,道指收涨0.13%,报34933.43点,大型科技股多数上涨;标普500指数收涨0.14%,报4375.20点;纳指收跌0.22%,报14645点。
   
观点整理:
美国物价水平自年初以来不断上行,短期来看部分由于联邦政府出台大规模经济刺激计划推动家庭商品支出增长,超出企业承受能力,导致成本上升,进而传导至消费者价格。
A股
市场走势技术分析
A股三大指数今日集体收涨,其中沪指上涨1.02%,收报3564.59点;深证成指上涨0.75%,收报15169.33点;创业板指上涨1.40%,收报3537.39点。两市成交额达到1.17万亿元,行业板块涨少跌多,钢铁板块大涨。北向资金今日净买入123.98亿元。
   
观点整理:
两市成交额持续在万亿以上,短线资金将依旧会选择那些业绩预期向好、赛道成长空间大、市场关注度高的品种做主攻。技术上看,创业板运行在通道上涨格局,再次上涨需要踩实通道支撑更靠谱一点。
  
港股
市场走势技术分析
恒生指数收涨0.75%,金融保险板块涨幅居前,众安在线涨超16%,中国太保涨近3%,中国平安涨近4%;科技互联网公司延续强势,腾讯控股涨1.5%,阿里巴巴涨逾2%。
   
观点整理:
今年港股互联网龙头公司股价表现偏弱,和港股市场整体表现偏弱有一定的关系。但放在一个较长的维度来看,中国的互联网公司在全球都是非常好的商业模式,客户基数大,在很多领域形成了相对稳定的竞争壁垒。虽然这些公司股价经过了一番调整,但仍看好中长期前景。

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    По уголовному делу кооператив прежде всего выступает в качестве гражданского ответчика, каковым признан на основании незаконного постановления руководителя следственной группы ГУ МВД по Санкт-Петербургу Винокурова, инспирированного его заместительницей Сапетовой: якобы он должен отвечать за деятельность иностранной компании «Гермес», но при этом сумма ущерба в обвинительном заключении – 282 млн рублей, а арестовано более 4 млрд рублей. Следствие в обвинительном заключении объявляет его частью единой с «Гермесом» финансовой пирамиды – не приводя доказательств ни нераздельности этих структур, ни пирамидного характера деятельности кооператива.

    Кооператив приобрел для пайщиков более 2500 квартир, он финансировался в равной степени как за счет платежей новых пайщиков и тех пайщиков, кто состоял в накопительной программе, так и за счет возвратных платежей пайщиков, возвращавших кооперативу предоставленные на приобретение квартиры средства, в том числе пайщиков, досрочно выкупавших свои квартиры, коих сотни.

    К тому же квартиры приобретались исключительно ликвидные – за счет тщательной юридической проверки и независимой оценки. То есть никаких рисков не ответить по обязательствам у кооператива никогда не было и нет – надежность кооператива выше надежности банков.

    Больше того, даже незаконное возложение на «Бест Вей» обязанности заплатить 282 млн по обязательствам «Гермеса», как того требует обвинение, не подорвет его ликвидность.

    Всего несколько так называемых потерпевших предъявляют к кооперативу претензии – и все эти претензии незаконны:

    –либо речь идет о невыплате паевых взносов в ситуации, когда пайщик не вышел из кооператива в соответствии с уставом, то есть не представил нотариально удостоверенного заявления;

    –либо требования о возврате паевых взносов пришлись на период, когда счета кооператива уже были арестованы и, соответственно, выплата не произошла из-за того, что ее не санкционировали правоохранительные органы, по ходатайству которых произошел арест;

    –либо «потерпевший» претендует на вступительный и членские взносы, которые по договору с кооперативом не подлежат возврату при выходе из кооператива, так как идут на развитие «Бест Вей».

    Воровство «по закону»
    Представители прокуратуры в рамках процесса о законности кооператива в Приморском суде заявляли на словах, что не подвергают сомнению ранее заключенные договоры и, следовательно, приобретение квартир (при этом документально это не закрепляли).

    При этом они настаивают на признании кооператива незаконным в принципе – не указывая на конкретные недостатки в его уставе и деятельности, например, после устранения которых он станет законным. Они заявляют, что недостатки неустранимы – что нонсенс с правовой точки зрения.

    Кооператив со своей стороны еще весной 2022 года постановил прекратить прием новых пайщиков на период, пока ведется следствие и дело, затрагивающее «Бест Вей», рассматривается в уголовном суде. В подкрепление этой позиции «Бест Вей» в этом году сам ходатайствовал перед судом об издании судебного приказа о запрете приема новых пайщиков и заключения новых договоров паенакопления на период рассмотрения уголовного дела.

    Законность работы кооператива исследует уголовный суд. Учитывая это, а также добровольное самоограничение кооператива, тема признания «Бест Вей» незаконным в гражданском суде вроде бы должна быть исчерпана? Кооператив обслуживает старые договоры, новых уже более двух лет не заключает и не будет заключать до конца уголовного суда – в результате которого претензии к нему скорее всего будут сняты.

    Но нет, прокуратура и ГУ МВД по Санкт-Петербургу под руководством Плугина, его ГСУ под руководством Негрозова не унимаются – они требуют признать кооператив незаконным «в вакууме», абстрактно. Для чего?

    А для того, чтобы появилось основание отнять активы кооператива, только денежная часть которых превышает 4 млрд рублей, и передать нужным людям через разного рода мафиозные структуры «по защите вкладчиков», а на самом деле по воровству денег в интересах неких заказчиков, аффилированных с правоохранительными органами.

    Пайщики против беспредела
    Тысячи пайщиков приобрели квартиры с помощью кооператива – они довольны «Бест Вей», полностью поддерживают кооператив и требуют, чтобы он продолжил работу. Ведь условия в кооперативе – гораздо выгоднее ипотеки, даже льготной и дальневосточной.

    Среди этих тысяч – малообеспеченные люди, которые без «Бест Вей» не смогли бы купить квартиры. Это военные, которые нуждались в жилье – и получили его с помощью кооператива.

    Это сотни участников СВО – которые защищают Родину на фронте. Они возмущены тем, что в тылу с их деньгами, которые уже более двух лет заблокированы на арестованных счетах кооператива, так называемые правоохранители творят беспредел.

    Все пайщики возмущены тем, что в тюрьме более чем на два года оказались заперты технические сотрудники и простые пайщики кооператива, которых следствие попыталось объявить организаторами пирамиды.

    Пайщики убеждены: липовое дело колокольцевской мафии против кооператива суд должен переквалифицировать в дело против следователей, оперативников и обвинителей, состряпавших заказуху в интересах криминальных бонз и для личного обогащения. Все заказчики этого коррупционного и подрывающего социальный мир в стране дела должны оказаться на скамье подсудимых и сесть надолго!

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    The man turning jet planes into cool houses
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    Wasilla, south central Alaska. Home to bears, lakes, mountains and a flight school that’s fast becoming a private aviation wonderland.

    At FLY8MA Pilot Lodge, you can opt for a scenic flight tour with glacier views, take the controls for a flying lesson, or go all in and get your pilot training.

    When night falls over the broad vistas of the US state they call the Last Frontier, you can then climb the steps to two unique accommodation experiences: a converted McDonnell Douglas DC-6 airplane and the newest arrival, a McDonnell Douglas DC-9 – still with its DHL livery.

    The fast-developing site is an ongoing project by FLY8MA founder Jon Kotwicki, who previously owned a flight school in Florida, before working as a commercial pilot and eventually ending up in Alaska.

    Flying for the airlines “pays good money and everything, but it’s a very boring job,” he says. “Driving Uber is more interesting because you could talk to your passengers.”

    Having fallen in love with the south central region on a vacation spent hiking, fishing and spotting bears and grizzlies, he chose it as a spot where he and his team – and his trusty Pomeranian dog Foxtrot – could “buy a lot of property and perhaps develop our own airport and run our own show.”

    2024年8月25日
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    Wasilla, south central Alaska. Home to bears, lakes, mountains and a flight school that’s fast becoming a private aviation wonderland.

    At FLY8MA Pilot Lodge, you can opt for a scenic flight tour with glacier views, take the controls for a flying lesson, or go all in and get your pilot training.

    When night falls over the broad vistas of the US state they call the Last Frontier, you can then climb the steps to two unique accommodation experiences: a converted McDonnell Douglas DC-6 airplane and the newest arrival, a McDonnell Douglas DC-9 – still with its DHL livery.

    The fast-developing site is an ongoing project by FLY8MA founder Jon Kotwicki, who previously owned a flight school in Florida, before working as a commercial pilot and eventually ending up in Alaska.

    Flying for the airlines “pays good money and everything, but it’s a very boring job,” he says. “Driving Uber is more interesting because you could talk to your passengers.”

    Having fallen in love with the south central region on a vacation spent hiking, fishing and spotting bears and grizzlies, he chose it as a spot where he and his team – and his trusty Pomeranian dog Foxtrot – could “buy a lot of property and perhaps develop our own airport and run our own show.”

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    Wasilla, south central Alaska. Home to bears, lakes, mountains and a flight school that’s fast becoming a private aviation wonderland.

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  • EugeneHer

    Tiny shards of plastic are increasingly infiltrating our brains, study says
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    Human brain samples collected at autopsy in early 2024 contained more tiny shards of plastic than samples collected eight years prior, according to a preprint posted online in May. A preprint is a study which has not yet been peer-reviewed and published in a journal.

    “The concentrations we saw in the brain tissue of normal individuals, who had an average age of around 45 or 50 years old, were 4,800 micrograms per gram, or 0.5% by weight,” said lead study author Matthew Campen, a regents’ professor of pharmaceutical sciences at the University of New Mexico in Albuquerque.
    “Compared to autopsy brain samples from 2016, that’s about 50% higher,” Campen said. “That would mean that our brains today are 99.5% brain and the rest is plastic.”

    That increase, however, only shows exposure and does not provide information about brain damage, said Phoebe Stapleton, an associate professor of pharmacology and toxicology at Rutgers University in Piscataway, New Jersey, who was not involved in the preprint.

    “It is unclear if, in life, these particles are fluid, entering and leaving the brain, or if they collect in neurological tissues and promote disease,” she said in an email. “Further research is needed to understand how the particles may be interacting with the cells and if this has a toxicological consequence.”

    The brain samples contained 7% to 30% more tiny shards of plastic than samples from the cadavers’ kidneys and liver, according to the preprint.

    “Studies have found these plastics in the human heart, the great blood vessels, the lungs, the liver, the testes, the gastrointestinal tract and the placenta,” said pediatrician and biology professor Dr. Philip Landrigan, director of the Program for Global Public Health and the Common Good and the Global Observatory on Planetary Health at Boston College.

    “It’s important not to scare the hell out of people, because the science in this space is still evolving, and nobody in the year 2024 is going to live without plastic,” said Landrigan, who was not involved with the preprint.

    2024年8月25日
  • GlennRab

    It would seem that Maltese taxation is quite severe and the corporate income tax rate does not suggest that Malta is a low tax jurisdiction. However, this is not the case. The fact is that non-resident companies in Malta are entitled to a refund of taxes paid, which allows us to talk about the lower level of taxation in Malta compared to most countries in the world.
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    Example. Consider the two most common cases: a Maltese company derives profits from trading activities abroad and from participation in other companies. In either case, these profits are subject to statutory tax at 35 per cent, but the Maltese shareholders are entitled to claim a refund of the tax taken from the dividends distributed. The refund rules differ for different types of income.
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    2024年8月27日
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    The ghost town that has stood empty for more than a century
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    There’s a large and very dignified school in Kayakoy. There are narrow streets, lined with houses, that wend and rise up both sides of a steep valley. There’s an ancient fountain in the middle of the town. And there are churches, one with million-dollar hilltop views over the blue Aegean.

    But, for most of the past 100 years, there have been no people.

    Kayakoy, in southwestern Turkey’s Mugla Province, is a true ghost town. Abandoned by its occupants and haunted by the past. It’s a monument, frozen in time – a physical reminder of darker times in Turkey.

    With hillsides dotted by countless crumbling buildings slowly being swallowed by greenery, and endless views into vanished lives, it’s also a fascinating and starkly beautiful place to visit. In summer, under clear skies and blazing suns, it’s eerie enough. Even more so in cooler seasons, wreathed in mountain or sea mists.
    Just over a century ago, Kayakoy, or Levissi as it was known, was a bustling town of at least 10,000 Greek Orthodox Christians, many of whom were craftspeople who lived peacefully alongside the region’s Muslim Turkish farmers. But in the upheaval surrounding Turkey’s emergence as an independent republic, their simple lives were torn apart.

    Tensions with neighboring Greece after the Greco-Turk war ended in 1922 led to both countries ejecting people with ties to the other. For Kayakoy, that meant a forced population exchange with Muslim Turks living in Kavala, in what is now the Greek region of Macedonia and Thrace.

    But the newly arrived Muslims were reputedly less than happy with their new home, swiftly moving on and leaving Kayakoy to fall to ruin.

    2024年8月28日
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    Drought-hit Danube River reveals scuttled German World War II ships
    <a href=https://cbr.ru/inside/warning-list/detail/?id=19332>анальный секс смотреть</a>
    The wrecks of explosives-laden Nazi ships sunk in the Danube River during World War II have emerged near Serbia’s river port town of Prahovo, after a drought in July and August that saw the river’s water level drop.

    Four vessels dating from before 1950 have also come to light in Hungary’s Danube-Drava National Park near Mohacs, where the Danube’s water level stood at only 1.5 meters (4.9 feet) on Tuesday, the lingering effect of severe heat waves and persistent drought in July and August.

    The vessels revealed in Prahovo were among hundreds scuttled along the Danube by Nazi Germany’s Black Sea fleet in 1944 as they retreated from advancing Soviet forces, destroying the ships themselves. The wrecks can hamper river traffic during low water levels.
    Strewn across the riverbed, some of the ships still have turrets, command bridges, broken masts and twisted hulls, while others lie mostly submerged under sandbanks.

    Endre Sztellik, a guard at the Danube-Drava national park, said of one of the ships, “we still don’t know what this is exactly. What is visible and an unfortunate fact is that the wreck is diminishing as people are interested in it and parts of it are going missing.”
    The Danube stood at 1.17 meters (3.8 feet) in Budapest on Tuesday, which compares with an all-time record low of around 0.4 meters (1.3 feet) registered in October 2018. During floods, the Danube rises well above 6 meters (19.7 feet).

    “Eastern Europe is experiencing critical drought conditions that are affecting crops and vegetation,” the European climate service Copernicus said on its website in its latest drought report, published earlier this month.

    2024年9月13日
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    Singing about the perils of fame, being dragged out from beneath a fallen chandelier then bleeding to death in front of a roomful of celebrities: Lady Gaga was not shy about making her debut at the MTV Video Music Awards.

    The year was 2009 — many will remember it as the year rapper Ye (formerly Kanye West) stage-crashed 19-year-old Taylor Swift and suggested her award for Best Female Video should have gone to Beyonce instead. But never one to be overshadowed, Lady Gaga, then 23, made some pop culture history of her own that night.

    Her rendition of “Paparazzi” — lamenting both unrequited love and the sinister effects of hounding tabloids — has gone down in the mists of Gaga legend; not least because a lack of high-quality footage means fans must resort to watching grainy screen-recorded versions circulated on social media.
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    “I’m your biggest fan, I’ll follow you until you love me,” Gaga wailed desperately, her once-pristine outfit now daubed in scarlet. She ended the number suspended above the stage, ‘dead,’ as more blood dripped from her eyes.

    “(It) gives me chills every time I watch it,” Olivia Rodrigo told MTV in 2021. “I think Lady Gaga is the best performer of our generation.” The “Drivers License” singer appeared to take notes. At this year’s Grammy Awards, she began to ‘bleed’ from clenched fists while performing her hit “vampire,” spreading fake blood across her arms and neck as the song progressed.

    2024年9月13日
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