美联储会议纪要:Taper可能在11月中旬或12月中旬开始
会议纪要显示,与会者们认为,美联储已接近实现其经济目标,很快可以通过降低每月资产购买的步伐来开始政策正常化。渐进式的缩减购债计划可能在11月中旬或12月中旬开始,到2022年年中可能会结束。会议纪要的Taper路径显示,国债和住房抵押贷款支持证券将分别减少100亿美元和50亿美元。
世卫组织:全球新冠肺炎新增死亡病例数降至近一年来最低水平
世卫组织总干事谭德塞表示,全球新冠肺炎单周新增死亡病例数量继续下降,已降至近一年来的最低水平,但根据世卫组织统计数据,全球每周仍有近五万人死于新冠肺炎,实际数字肯定更高。除欧洲外,各个区域的新冠肺炎新增死亡病例数量都在下降。
月报显示,尽管油价上涨,欧佩克仍对石油需求持谨慎态度。欧佩克将2021年全球石油需求增速预测下调16万桶/日,至580万桶/日。美国方面,EIA最新报告下调今年美国油产预期至1102万桶/日,对WTI和布油明年价格预期均上调近6美元。
美元指数日内走势疲软,美盘前曾一度小幅回升,但在美国9月CPI数据公布后又接着扭头向下,下跌幅度相较于美盘前进一步扩大,最终收跌0.54%,报94。
美元指数维持震荡格局的可能性较大,所以操作思路也会以高估低渣为主,尽量选择有价值点位进行布局,考虑到今日行情的可能情况,建议今日只做短线交易,选择有效点位进场
周三现货黄金在美国9月CPI数据公布后一度上演短线跳水,但很快一改跌势,大幅度回升,重新站上1790美元关口,日内最大涨幅达38美元,最终收涨1.87%,报1792.57美元/盎司
金价目前仍然处于横盘震荡阶段,不过随着美联储官员集体表态支撑11月缩减,金价承受的压力将越来越大,短线金价并没有太多上升的支撑因素,建议保守者观望,激进者逢高做空
国际油价方面,WTI原油持续下行并一度跌破80美元关口,于美盘时段时触底反弹,触及日高81.02美元后回落,最终小幅收跌0.05%,报80.54美元/桶;布伦特原油走势类似WTI原油,日内最大涨幅达1.44美元,收涨0.02%,报83.33美元/桶。
油价短线涨势暂歇,横盘格局逐渐清晰,在基本面利好的背景下,空头也不敢大举入场,市场观望情绪渐浓,建议投资者可暂时观望,等待进一步的动向。
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