
美联储的加息行动最终成为美元的头号敌人,从而颠覆华尔街今年以来的共识。虽然传统逻辑表明收益率上升应该会提振美元,但交易员目前押注美联储的紧缩政策将阻碍经济增长。随着美元回吐年初以来的涨幅,美元看涨期权的需求已降至九个月最低。这让摩根士丹利、美国银行和花旗集团的美元多头处于守势。
因消费品进口额激增,美国2021年贸易逆差扩大至历史最高水平。疫情抑制了服务消费,商品支出有所扩大。
美国商务部周二公布的数据显示,全年商品和服务贸易逆差连续第二年扩大,增加26.9%至8591亿美元。12月逆差环比扩大至807亿美元,略低于彭博调查的经济学家830亿美元预估中值。上述数据未经通胀因素调整。
周二于奥地利首都恢复伊朗核谈判之前的一系列外交动作显示,各方正试图达成一项长期以来寻求的协议。美国和伊朗建立信任的姿态引发了新的乐观情绪,即双方距达成协议仅一步之遥,而伊朗可能在年底前再次出口石油,做为伊朗限制核子计划的交换。但在解除制裁的时间以及允许伊朗运行哪些离心机方面仍存在争议。

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