IEXS盈十证券汇市分析|美国联邦存款保险公司正准备再次拍卖硅谷银行

2023年03月14日 9596点热度 56人点赞 1,461条评论
基本面
​美指
美国前财政部官员:美联储将不得不停止其高利率政策 
美联储前财政部助理部长表示,美联储将不得不停止其高利率政策,因为该政策正在破坏金融部门的资产负债表。美国银行系统不安全,因为其五大银行的风险敞口是全球GDP的两倍。由于全球相互联系,美国银行业危机将蔓延到国外。
   
黄金
美国联邦存款保险公司正准备再次拍卖硅谷银行
据知情人士透露,在周末未能为硅谷银行找到买家后,联邦存款保险公司的官员周一告诉参议院共和党人,鉴于监管机构已宣布该公司倒闭对金融体系构成威胁,他们在出售该公司方面拥有更大的灵活性,即监管机构可以更灵活地向潜在买家提供损失分担协议等优惠条件。FDIC官员周一对国会议员表示,尽管在周日的标售中,没有一家美国大型银行竞购硅谷银行,但至少有一家机构提出了收购要约,但被FDIC拒绝了,目前第二次拍卖的时间表尚不清楚
   
原油
【沙特阿美认为,石油市场中短期内将保持紧张平衡】 
沙特阿美总裁兼首席执行官纳瑟尔(Amin Nasser)周日表示,石油市场在中短期内将保持紧张平衡,并补充说他持谨慎乐观态度。纳赛尔对媒体发表上述讲话之前,沙特阿美公布该公司录得自上市以来最高年度利润。业绩公布后,该公司股价上涨0.6%,但收盘基本持平于每股32.8里亚尔(8.74美元)。。
  
技术面
美元指数
市场行情整理: 
受到硅谷银行在内多家银行倒闭的影响,市场对美联储加息预期骤然降温,美元指数一度跌穿104,跌近1%,最低跌至103.49,收跌0.59%,报103.63。
观点整理:
低多美元指数的策略,虽然高沽也不是不行,但显然目前进行高沽已不具备良好位置,反而低多机会更好,故今日可择机低多美元指数,逢高沽空非美货币,重点就在于点位选择,这将直接影响最终操作结果
  
黄金
市场行情整理:
避险情绪继续利好贵金属,现货黄金盘中大涨近50美元,上破1900美元大关后继续上行,收涨2.09%,报1913.36美元/盎司
观点整理:
在美国两大地区性银行倒闭后,市场预期美联储升息力度将减弱,市场预计美国2月份CPI同比6.0%,如果晚间数据符合预期,这将是2021年10月以来最慢增速,将进一步支撑美联储放缓加息步伐。该预期偏向利多金价。
  
原油
市场行情整理:
作为风险资产的原油盘中一度重挫超5%,WTI原油一度跌至72.3美元/桶,布伦特原油一度跌破80美元/桶大关,最低跌至78.33美元/桶,不过受到中国需求的提振,美盘初跌幅一度收窄至2%左右,WTI原油收跌2.4%,报74.68美元/桶;布伦特原油收跌2.99%,报80.65美元/桶。
观点整理:
硅谷银行倒闭事件让股票市场感到震惊,并引发对新的金融危机的担忧,欧美股市全线大跌,对油价拖累明显。下方重点关注2月6日低点72.24附近支撑。

    Kratos

    保持饥渴的专注,追求最佳的品质

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