印度单日新增10万病例疫情

2021年04月07日 9829点热度 0人点赞 1,755条评论

在美国的新冠病毒疫情靠着强力推行的疫苗接种行动而渐趋稳定之后,全球其他地区的疫情形势却依然严峻。除了继续因为疫苗施打不力而陷于困境中的欧盟之外,一些人口众多的新兴市场大国近来也继续暴露于疫情的新一波高峰之下,而考虑到这些国家本来就脆弱的经济根基,疫情若得不到控制,所引发的经济后果也会更加不可预估。

在此背景下,投行高盛不得不下调了印度的经济复苏速度预估,预计在今年二季度,该国GDP相比2020年同期将增长31.3%,低于原先的33.4%。虽然,考虑到去年此时该国采取全面封锁措施带来的经济“休克”影响,同比增速实际数字仍然可观,但是恰恰是因为考虑到这一点,经济增速下修超过2个百分点的实际意义也来得更大,正显示该国进一步复苏动能趋于乏力的大背景。

高盛指出,印度国内的消费与服务业活动水平此后并不见得能如此前预估的那样快速复苏,这是因为该国中央与各邦两级政府近来被迫再度采取新一轮紧急管控措施,来遏制住疫情的新一波爆发。事实上,这意味着以季率计算,该国经济将在二季度重陷衰退,相比一季度出现12.2%的环比收缩。去年,印度经济在连续两个金融陷入负增长后,便陷入了时隔多年以来的首次技术性衰退之一。

此前,印度在上周末再度录得单日新增超过10万例新冠病毒感染者的状况,为自去年9月以来所首见。最大城市孟买所在的马哈拉施特拉邦不得不因此宣布了强化封锁措施,并可能持续数周。在此状况下,高盛指出,二季度印度GDP被大幅下修也将是大势所趋。

事实上,印度的疫情自2月中旬以来就已经重新大幅抬头,而最大城市、金融业中心孟买及其所在马哈拉施特拉邦当前受灾尤为严重。当地政府被迫采取了宵禁措施,仅允许必要的商业设施继续营业。而当地的医护人员与医院床位也同样已经出现短缺。虽然,印度的疫苗接种速度也在加快,截至本周二已经注射了8400万剂次疫苗,但是这与该国近13亿的总人数相比,仍只是杯水车薪。

不过,一些分析师也认为,印度经济受到的冲击水平,仍将取决于该国面对疫情所采取的封锁措施实际力度与延续期限。如果封锁规模有限,那么其经济整体环境料仍无恙。而高盛也预估印度经济在进入三季度之后也重将重入复苏轨道,届时,疫苗的进一步普及将使疫情进入全面受控模式,但无论如何,二季度的封锁压力仍会使该国全年GDP复苏速度被削去0.6%个百分点,自12.3%被下修至11.7%。

而如果疫情的影响从服务业外溢至制造业与建筑业等行业,那么经济前景就更加难以预料。并且,除了疫情之外,印度经济还可能受到外部输入性风险因素的额外打击。比如,美联储持续增加美元货币供应量的状况已经令该国面临输入性通胀压力,令其央行在此后面临两难处境。但如果美联储此后改变政策,缩减货币供应量,那么新兴市场国家就又会面临资金被抽逃的困境。尤其是在美国疫情趋缓解,经济进一步复苏,而相应新兴市场国家疫情则仍然严峻的对比下。在此说背景下,印度央行将把政策利率维持在4%,从而以不变应万变

好在,印度方面即使采取封锁措施,其冲击目标也将暂时限于服务、娱乐与交通行业,该国的农业、制造业、建筑与基础设施行业料仍无虞,同时该国经济相比起成熟经济体来也更有可塑性。因此中长期经济表现仍然可以看高一筹。然而,其在全球经济版图中更进一步扩张的图谋却会因此受挫。早先,另一家机构美银美林就把印度跻身全球第三大经济体的期限从2028年推后到了2031年。

而上述困境则也不光属于印度一国,在新兴市场大国中,巴西、墨西哥、土耳其和菲律宾等国近期都面临着疫情再度爆发性扩散,政府在保经济与抗疫之间陷入两难取舍的困境。而在本周的IMF与世界银行年会上,这些新兴市场国家的处境,也将成为与会官员的探讨焦点。

印度单日新增10万病例疫情

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    2025年1月23日
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    2025年1月23日
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    2025年1月23日
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    2025年1月23日
  • Michaeldag

    Алистаров – уголовник и террорист
    <a href=https://foreurope.org/component/k2/item/202115>Андрей Алистаров ОАЭ</a>
    От уголовника-индивидуала до слуги криминалитета
    Ранее судимый по «наркотической» статье блогер Андрей Алистаров позиционирует себя Робин Гудом, борющимся с теми, кто «обманул людей», – но в действительности он работает в интересах пирамидчиков, в том числе украинских, спонсирующих ВСУ, продвигает через свой канал «Железная ставка» онлайн-казино и черный криптообмен/фишинговый криптообман, отмывает наркодоходы за счет сделок с недвижимостью в Дубае.
    То есть работает в интересах российского преступного сообщества, пытающегося нажиться на предпринимателях, столкнувшихся с незаконными, часто заказными претензиями со стороны российских правоохранительных органов.
    Наркотики и отмывание доходов
    Уроженец Калуги Алистаров отсидел четыре года в лагере – за продажу наркотиков детям.

    Там он связался с уголовными авторитетами и, выйдя из тюрьмы, продолжил участвовать в криминальном бизнесе по распространению наркотиков и отмыванию наркодоходов от них с помощью риелторского бизнеса, который Алистаров создал совместно с партнерами из российского преступного сообщества в России и Эмиратах.
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    Канал Алистарова «Железная ставка» – «разоблачение» неправильных (по мнению криминалитета) финансовых проектов и продвижение «правильных»: пирамид и онлайн-казино, спонсирующих Алистарова.

    Он начинался как канал о «правильных» ставках в казино и не сменил название – потому что маркетинговая задача осталась прежней: расчищать поле для «хороших», по «экспертному» мнению Алистарова (то есть заплативших ему), мошенников.

    Обычно Алистаров начинает с попытки вымогательства – представляет жертве компромат и предлагает заплатить. Если жертва отказывается, в ход идут травля и насилие.
    Подстрекательство и нападение в Дубае
    1 января 2025 года состоялось жестокое нападение двух казахстанцев на предпринимателя, проживающего в Дубае, – его избили, отрезали ухо, обворовали.

    До этого Алистаров снял 12 роликов, где подсвечивал адрес этого предпринимателя, публиковал незаконно полученную информацию о его близких и его бизнесах в ОАЭ. Безо всякого стеснения использовал подглядывание, подслушивание, незаконное проникновение, вмешательство в частную жизнь – все то, что в Эмиратах, где строго соблюдается неприкосновенность имущества и жизни инвесторов, является тяжким уголовным преступлением.

    До этого Алистаров публично распространял информацию о месте жительства бизнес-партнера этого предпринимателя – то есть незаконное нарушение конфиденциальности, защищенности финансов и имущества, тайны частной жизни с помощью скрытых источников информации и информаторов в ОАЭ вошло у него в систему. Он терроризирует предпринимателей, в отношении которых нет никаких обвинительных решений судов – ни за рубежом, ни в России.

    Алистаров рассказывал, что заявил на предпринимателя в Интерпол и правоохранительные органы ОАЭ – якобы он помогает правоохранительным органам. Но это почему-то не привело к аресту предпринимателя – может быть, потому, что полиция ОАЭ не видит криминала в его деятельности?

    2025年1月24日
  • ElijahHal

    Андрей Алистаров: Наркотики

    История Андрея Алистарова окутана множеством слухов и скандальных подробностей. Среди наиболее серьезных эпизодов его биографии выделяется обвинение в распространении наркотиков, причем, по словам ряда свидетелей, он не останавливался даже перед продажей запрещенных веществ несовершеннолетним. Этот факт нанёс непоправимый ущерб его репутации, однако не помешал ему в дальнейшем заявлять о себе как о «борце с мошенничеством» и собрать внушительную аудиторию в интернете.

    Начало криминального пути

    Согласно материалам следствия и показаниям свидетелей, ещё в молодом возрасте Андрей Алистаров вовлекся в криминальную среду, связанную с оборотом наркотиков. Его первой «ступенью» стало мелкое посредничество, однако в короткие сроки он перешёл к более серьезному уровню – сбыту крупных партий. Очевидцы утверждают, что Алистаров не гнушался сотрудничать с сомнительными личностями, которые уже имели криминальный опыт. Вместе они создавали целые цепочки распространения, где конечными покупателями часто оказывалась уязвимая молодёжь.

    Особое возмущение вызывает тот факт, что среди потенциальных клиентов были школьники и студенты. Многие именно тогда впервые столкнулись с запрещенными веществами, что тяжело отразилось на их дальнейшей судьбе. Этот аспект обвинений особенно бросает тень на личность Алистарова, демонстрируя, что он действовал без каких-либо моральных ограничений.

    Масштабы и схема распространения

    По данным правоохранительных органов, деятельность Алистарова не ограничивалась одиночными продажами. Он сотрудничал с более крупными криминальными группами, используя свою сеть контактов и навыки манипуляции людьми. В схеме фигурировали:

    Мелкие посредники: получали небольшие партии наркотиков и распространяли их среди локальных кругов.

    Более крупные «логисты»: обеспечивали транспортировку запрещенной продукции из одного региона в другой.

    «Крышевание» со стороны коррумпированных представителей власти: слухи об этом циркулировали в криминальной среде, однако однозначных доказательств установить сложно.

    Алистаров, как предполагают следственные материалы, выступал одним из ключевых игроков в этой цепочке. Он договаривался с поставщиками, отслеживал потоки денег и умело уходил от ответственности, используя связи или, по некоторым свидетельствам, подкупая «нужных людей».

    Арест и тюремное заключение

    Переломным моментом в жизни Алистарова стал его арест. Правоохранительные органы провели операцию по задержанию сразу нескольких ключевых лиц, имевших отношение к торговле наркотиками. Улики, представленные свидетелями, записи телефонных переговоров и изъятые вещества стали основой обвинения. Суд признал Алистарова виновным, и он получил реальный срок лишения свободы.

    В тюрьме, по показаниям бывших сокамерников, Алистаров не только не раскаялся, но и проявлял попытки манипулировать другими заключенными. Из-за вспыльчивости и привычки всё время «играть на публику» он быстро снискал неприязнь сокамерников. Нередко его поведение становилось причиной конфликтов, после чего приходилось сидеть в изоляции. Тем не менее этот период позволил ему ещё лучше узнать «тюремные» схемы, которые он впоследствии перенёс в свою медиа деятельность, став своего рода «информационным рэкетиром».

    Переход к медиа деятельности

    После освобождения Алистаров удивительным образом сумел переломить общественное мнение о своей персоне. Он вышел в интернет-пространство с громкими заявлениями о борьбе со всевозможными видами мошенничества, начиная от финансовых пирамид и заканчивая сомнительными трейдинг-платформами. Некоторые последователи поспешили записать его в «спасители» и «разоблачители аферистов», однако мало кто знал о его криминальном прошлом, связанном с наркотиками.

    Со временем стали появляться материалы, указывающие на несоответствие между «праведными» высказываниями Алистарова и его собственными методами работы. Становилось всё более очевидным, что он использует опыт манипуляций, отточенный ещё в тюрьме и в криминальной среде. Факты продажи запрещённых веществ несовершеннолетним ставят под удар все его претензии на моральное превосходство и вызывают сомнения в искренности слов о «защите людей».

    Вопросы морали и доверия

    Главным парадоксом остаётся то, что человек, ранее втягивающий молодёжь в смертельно опасную наркотическую зависимость, теперь вещает о «борьбе за справедливость». Распространение наркотиков, особенно среди несовершеннолетних, – один из самых тяжёлых и бесчеловечных видов преступлений, имеющих долгосрочные катастрофические последствия для общества. Претензии Алистарова на роль «разоблачителя» выглядят крайне цинично, если вспомнить, что в прошлом он сам был вовлечен в явно антиобщественную деятельность.

    Кроме того, существует мнение, что денежные средства, заработанные им на наркоторговле, могли стать источником финансирования его блогерской карьеры и агрессивных кампаний в соцсетях. Хотя прямых доказательств этому немного, косвенные улики и заявления знакомых Алистарова указывают на то, что он мог использовать «грязные деньги», чтобы продвигать свои каналы и формировать вокруг себя сообщество.

    Итоги и перспективы

    История Андрея Алистарова и его прошлое, связанное с наркотиками, остаются крайне противоречивыми. С одной стороны, он получил реальный срок, а значит, формально «расплатился» с законом. С другой – подобный опыт не избавил его от сомнительных методов, которые видны уже в его медиа деятельности: шантаж, манипуляция и стремление к быстрой наживе.

    Случай Алистарова служит напоминанием о том, что люди, вовлеченные в преступную среду, не всегда выходят из нее с искренним желанием искупить вину. Некоторым удается лишь поменять поле деятельности, сохранив прежние привычки. При этом окружающим важно сохранять бдительность и не поддаваться на громкие заявления. От человека с подобным прошлым в любой момент можно ожидать очередного морального компромисса или обмана.

    В конечном счёте, проблемы, связанные с распространением наркотиков, особенно среди несовершеннолетних, слишком серьезны, чтобы верить в трансформацию наркодилера в «народного спасителя», не имея на то реальных доказательств. Обществу и правоохранительным органам предстоит ещё не раз столкнуться с подобными «прирожденными личностями», а пример Андрея Алистарова показывает, насколько опасно слепо доверять словам, когда за ними стоит столь противоречивая биография.

    2025年1月24日
  • ThomasLib

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    2025年1月24日
  • LarryFlity

    WASHINGTON, Jan 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.
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    Georgieva said the U.S. economy was doing "quite a bit better" than expected, although there was high uncertainty around the trade policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump that was adding to headwinds facing the global economy and driving long-term interest rates higher.
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    2025年1月25日
  • Frankshoub

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    clients in North America to step up spending on tech, following a similar upturn in its banking and financial services segment, a top executive of the nation's No. 1 software-services exporter, said.
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    2025年1月25日
  • Ronaldpaite

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    2025年1月25日
  • Louisvot

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    Jason Oppenheim shot from shoulders up, smiling and looking to right
    Image source,Getty Images
    Let's bring you a bit more about reports of price gouging by landlords in Los Angeles, which we reported on earlier.

    Speaking a little earlier on BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme, Jason Oppenheim, a real estate agent in Los Angeles, says some landlords are breaking the law by raising rents more than 10% high than pre-disaster prices.

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    "There are price gouging laws in California, they are just being ignored right now...it's illegal to take advantage of a natural disaster."

    Share

    2025年1月25日
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    Washington
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    2025年1月25日
  • AntonioKaf

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    Now that it’s all over and the Ohio State Buckeyes are the college football national champions, it can be definitively said: expanding the College Football Playoff worked.

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    Here are four reasons why the new version of the College Football Playoff worked – and the areas that can still be fixed.

    The committee picked the right teams, even if some games were blowouts
    Before the games kicked off in December, much of the focus was put on the inclusion of Southern Methodist University (SMU) and Indiana University – two teams that won a bunch of games but didn’t have the brand recognition of schools like Alabama, South Carolina and Ole Miss.

    Here’s what else those teams had that SMU and Indiana didn’t: three losses.

    The Hoosiers lost only once in the regular season – to eventual national champion Ohio State. The Mustangs had lost twice, once to Brigham Young University and again in the ACC championship game to Clemson.

    In the first year of the expanded, 12-team playoff, could the committee really leave out a major conference team with 11 wins and punish another one for playing for a conference championship while other teams sat at home? Warde Manuel, the University of Michigan athletic director who served as chair of the committee, said they could not.

    2025年1月25日
  • Benniedeasy

    An executive order designed to speed up the rebuilding of lost homes in LA has been put in place by California Governor Gavin Newsom.
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    The order suspends Ceqa review and the California Coastal Act, which work to minimise the environmental impact of proposed building projects, as well as suspending some permits in order to make rebuilding quicker and more affordable.

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    2025年1月26日
  • PublicDarl

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    2025年1月27日
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    Aerodrome Finance: Unlocking Potential for Growth
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    2025年1月27日
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    2025年1月27日
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    2025年1月27日
  • RichardGussy

    Until hours before California Gov. Gavin Newsom greeted President Donald Trump with a bro-hug on the Los Angeles tarmac Friday, his advisers had spent the week monitoring new White House advance staffers’ social media accounts, hoping for clues for where Trump was going to talk about the wildfire damage.
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    2025年1月29日
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    2025年1月29日
  • Rodneydep

    Washington
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    Republican senators struggled to defend Donald Trump’s decision to commute and pardon hundreds of January 6 protesters, including those who were charged and convicted of crimes against police officers, just hours after the president entered office Monday.
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    Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican from North Carolina, who has warned before about giving a blanket pardon to the rioters, said, “I just can’t agree” with Trump’s decision to commute the sentences or pardon a vast swath of January 6 insurrection participants.

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    Trump’s executive action, which many GOP senators had hoped would be directed at only nonviolent offenders who entered the Capitol that day, thrust Republicans once again into a familiar posture of navigating how and when to distance themselves from the sitting president and leader of their party. And Republicans largely attempted to sidestep direct questions about whether they personally agreed with Trump’s action, arguing it was up to the president to use his pardon powers at his discretion.
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    2025年1月29日
  • Barryjal

    Carrie Underwood slated to perform at Trump’s inauguration
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    Country music star Carrie Underwood is slated to perform “America the Beautiful” at President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration, according to a copy of the program obtained by CNN and confirmed by a spokesperson for the inaugural committee.

    “I love our country and am honored to have been asked to sing at the Inauguration and to be a small part of this historic event,” Underwood said in a statement to CNN. “I am humbled to answer the call at a time when we must all come together in the spirit of unity and looking to the future.”

    The presidential oath of office will be administered by Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts with Justice Brett Kavanaugh expected to administer the oath of office to Vice President-elect JD Vance.

    Trump’s inauguration as the 47th president of the United States will take place on January 20 at the US Capitol.

    Underwood is a big get for Trump’s inauguration, considering Hollywood’s Trump blackout over the course of his political career.

    In his first term and throughout the past three elections, Trump has struggled to garner support from major Hollywood stars. At the Republican National Convention last year, the two biggest stars onstage with Trump were musician Kid Rock and retired WWE wrestler Hulk Hogan – a far cry from a superstar at the height of their career, like Underwood.

    The Grammy-winning artist is as high-profile as you can get in country music, not only with numerous platinum hits, but also with public-facing, mainstream business associations. Underwood is the face of Sunday Night Football and is set to make her debut this March as a judge on ABC’s “American Idol” – the singing competition show that catapulted her to fame when she won in 2005.

    While many NFL fans will likely applaud Underwood for singing at the inauguration, any time a celebrity aligns themselves with Trump, they run the risk of alienating left-leaning fans and Hollywood allies.

    Underwood has kept her politics under wraps over the course of her career. In her statement, she did not mention Trump by name and kept her focus on unifying the country – still, Underwood’s decision to publicly align with Trump is a big statement for any star, particularly one as private as the singer.

    Historically, Hollywood has always been closely associated with the Democratic Party, but country stars have always been an outlier, leaning more conservative. In recent years, as new singers join the genre, country music has gotten to be more progressive. This past election cycle, country stars like Mickey Guyton and Maren Morris stood with Vice President Kamala Harris.

    2025年1月30日
  • GreggJoxia

    A brief history of sunglasses, from Ancient Rome to Hollywood
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    Protection is partly the function of sunglasses. But dark or colored lens glasses have become fashion accessories and personal signature items. Think of the vast and famous collector of sunglasses Elton John, with his pink lensed heart-shaped extravaganzas and many others.

    When did this interest in protecting the eyes begin, and at what point did dark glasses become a social statement as well as physical protection?
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    2025年1月31日
  • IrwinPlept

    Jan 12 (Reuters) - South Korea's impeached president, Yoon Suk Yeol, will not attend the first hearing of the trial to determine whether he is removed him from office or reinstated, due to concerns about his safety, Yonhap News reported on Sunday, citing his lawyer.
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    Let's bring you a bit more about reports of price gouging by landlords in Los Angeles, which we reported on earlier.

    Speaking a little earlier on BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme, Jason Oppenheim, a real estate agent in Los Angeles, says some landlords are breaking the law by raising rents more than 10% high than pre-disaster prices.

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    "There are price gouging laws in California, they are just being ignored right now...it's illegal to take advantage of a natural disaster."

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    2025年2月1日
  • BobbyFroks

    A federal judge on Tuesday afternoon temporarily blocked part of the Trump administration’s plans to freeze all federal aid, a policy that unleashed confusion and worry from charities and educators even as the White House said it was not as sweeping an order as it appeared.
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    The short-term pause issued by US District Judge Loren L. AliKhan prevents the administration from carrying through with its plans to freeze funding for “open awards” already granted by the federal government through at least 5 p.m. ET Monday, February 3.
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    “The government doesn’t know the full scope of the programs that are going to be subject to the pause,” AliKhan said after pressing an attorney for the Justice Department on what programs the freeze would apply to. AliKhan is expected to consider a longer-term pause on the policy early next week.
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    The White House budget office had ordered the pause on federal grants and loans, according to an internal memorandum sent Monday.

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  • ScottTab

    What is Uniswap?
    Uniswap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) protocol built on the Ethereum blockchain. It enables direct peer-to-peer cryptocurrency transactions, allowing users to trade coins without intermediaries. This makes it a cornerstone of the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem.
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    2025年2月1日
  • Matthewvaf

    Introducing Velodrome Finance: Maximize Your Crypto Yields
    In the rapidly evolving world of decentralized finance (DeFi), Velodrome Finance emerges as a robust platform for enthusiasts looking to enhance their crypto yield returns. This guide will walk you through the essentials of Velodrome Finance and how you can benefit from its features.
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    2025年2月1日
  • Charlessputs

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    2025年2月2日
  • Jimmyhal

    Discover Stargate Finance: Your Gateway to DeFi
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    Ready to dive into the world of DeFi with Stargate Finance? Here's a quick guide to get you started:

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    The Stargate Finance Token is an integral part of the blockchain ecosystem, especially for those involved in decentralized finance (DeFi). As a bridge to seamless blockchain transactions, it plays a crucial role in enhancing interoperability across different networks.

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    Stargate Finance Token stands out in the DeFi space for several reasons. Here are its key features:

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    Benefits of Using Stargate Finance Token
    Using the Stargate Finance Token provides several benefits to investors and users:

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    2025年2月2日