鲍威尔:风险来自新增感染 通胀上涨不足为惧

2021年04月09日 9096点热度 0人点赞 1,955条评论

周四(4月9日)美联储主席鲍威尔暗示,距离美联储减少对美国经济的支持还很遥远,他指出,今年预期中的物价上涨可能是暂时的,他还警告称,新冠新确诊病例数增加可能会减缓复苏。

美联储称风险来自新增感染,而非暂时性价格上涨

美联储主席鲍威尔在在国际货币基金组织(IMF)和世界银行春季会议上表示,“新病例数正在回升,所以我只想敦促人们接种疫苗,继续保持社交距离。我们不想再爆发一波感染,即使这造成的经济损失和死亡人数没之前那么多,也会拖慢复苏。”在另一场活动上,圣路易斯联储主席布拉德表示,

在疫情明显结束之前,美联储甚至都不应该讨论调整货币政策。他将美联储未来的讨论与疫苗接种计划的成功紧密联系在一起。

美联储长期以来一直表示,疫情演变将决定经济复苏的进程。一年多前,疫情造成了数十年来最严重的经济萎缩。

目前每天约有300万美国人接种疫苗,大多数最有病亡风险的老年人已经完成了接种。不过,新的变种病毒正在推动新增病例数攀升,尤其在中西部和东北部大片地区。

明尼亚波利斯联储主席卡什卡利表示,新冠病毒变种是对美国经济复苏的“最大威胁”。而此时,世界上大部分地区几乎还没有开始大规模疫苗接种,这构成了联储政策制定者所说的另一个风险。

物价面临上行,美联储表示并不担心

政策制定者们确实预计,未来几个月支出将激增,加上供应瓶颈,这将在今年推高价格。

他们还称,这不太可能演变成价格螺旋式上升,构成他们认为令人担忧的通胀,并要求美联储用加息来应对。鲍威尔称:“我们认为物价将面临上行压力,这可能会以涨价的形式转嫁给消费者,我们认为这将是暂时的,”他还指出通胀低迷已有25年之久,这助长了低通胀预期的心理。

在回答有关通胀以及美联储何种情况下会采取措施的问题时,

鲍威尔说,“尽管随着经济重启,物价压力料将升高,但这个过程是暂时的,如果这个现象看起来可能长期持续,美联储会采取行动。我们将非常密切关注通胀预期。如果看到他们持续变化,并显著超过我们希望的水平,我们会作出回应”。

他还表示,仍有900万或1000万美国人处于失业状态,他们在努力寻找新工作时需要支持。

经济数据强劲但是复苏仍不稳定

上周的一份政府报告显示,美国3月就业岗位增加了近100万个,但就业人数仍比疫情爆发前减少了近900万。鲍威尔称,他希望看到

“连续几个月出现类似的就业岗位增幅,这样我们才能真正开始朝着实现目标取得进展。”

他还表示,复苏参差不齐也是一个严重问题,少数族裔、女性和休闲和酒店等行业的工人的情况不如其他人群。

美联储政策制定者上调了对今年经济增长、通胀和就业的预测;但鲍威尔指出,这不一定会导致任何政策变化。在判断是否到了减少资产购买规模的时候这一点上,鲍威尔称:“在这方面我们真的不会看预测,而是看通胀和就业方面取得的实际进展”

鲍威尔淡化通胀风险 承诺要令美国经济重拾荣光

鲍威尔承诺将令美国经济重拾荣光,他以华盛顿市中心一个无家可归者聚集区为例来说明经济复苏仍未完成。鲍威尔在IMF小组会议上说:“因此,我们需要不断提醒自己,即使经济的某些部分表现良好,但仍有很大一部分人并没有。我真的很想完成工作任务,让美国经济再次伟大。”

美联储官员一再强调,即使在疫苗接种扩大的情况下经济前景光明,美国仍需要积极的货币政策支持。周三公布的3月会议纪要显示,决策者们预计,“就业和通胀可能还需要一段时间才能朝着美联储的目标取得重大进展。”

美联储的最新预测显示,尽管大幅提高了今年的经济增长和就业预测,但他们不打算在2023年年末前提高接近于零的基准利率。美联储预计今年通胀率将达到2.4%,2022年料回落至2%的目标水平。

鲍威尔:风险来自新增感染 通胀上涨不足为惧

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    Ирек Фаатович Сафин – успешный индивидуальный предприниматель, который за годы своей деятельности смог создать устойчивый бизнес в различных сферах экономики. Его имя ассоциируется с профессионализмом, инновациями и ответственным подходом к делу. В этой статье мы рассмотрим ключевые аспекты его карьеры, достижения и принципы ведения бизнеса.

    Начало пути

    Ирек Сафин родился в 1978 году в городе Уфа, Республика Башкортостан. С детства он проявлял интерес к экономике и предпринимательству. После окончания школы поступил в Башкирский государственный университет на экономический факультет. Во время учебы активно участвовал в студенческих проектах и научных конференциях, что позволило ему получить ценный опыт и знания.

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    Свою карьеру Ирек начал сразу после окончания университета. Он открыл свою первую компанию, которая занималась оптовой торговлей строительными материалами. Благодаря грамотному управлению и стратегическому планированию, компания быстро заняла лидирующие позиции на рынке. Это стало первым успешным шагом в карьере Ирека Сафина.

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    В последующие годы Ирек Сафин расширил свой бизнес, открыв новые направления. Он стал заниматься производством строительных материалов, а также оказанием услуг в сфере строительства и ремонта. Благодаря внедрению современных технологий и использованию качественных материалов, его компании смогли завоевать доверие клиентов и партнеров.

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    Одним из важных аспектов деятельности Ирека Сафина является социальная ответственность. Он активно участвует в благотворительных проектах, поддерживает образовательные учреждения и спортивные мероприятия. Кроме того, он уделяет большое внимание экологии и внедряет экологически чистые технологии в своем производстве.

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    Ирек Фаатович Сафин – яркий пример успешного предпринимателя, который сумел построить устойчивый бизнес и внести значительный вклад в развитие экономики региона. Его опыт и достижения могут служить примером для многих начинающих предпринимателей.

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    Camera phones at the ready, around 700 guests hailing from across India and the world expected a visual spectacle on Saturday evening — and they weren’t disappointed. A hush descended as the doors opened to the Jio World Center in Mumbai, where legendary Indian fashion designer Sabyasachi Mukherjee presented a star-studded 25th anniversary runway show for his namesake brand.

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    There were also trench coats, sweaters, shorts and shirts made in more conventionally western silhouettes. These marked a departure from Mukherjee’s usual festive and bridal wear, which are heavily inclined towards traditional Indian styles, such as saris, ghagra cholis and sherwanis.

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    2025年2月4日
  • ClaudeJus

    President Donald Trump speaks about the mid-air crash between American Airlines flight 5342 and a military helicopter in Washington. Roberto Schmidt/AFP/Getty Images
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    President Donald Trump on Thursday blamed the Federal Aviation Administration’s “diversity push” in part for the plane collision that killed 67 people in Washington, DC. But DEI backers, including most top US companies, believe a push for diversity has been good for their businesses.

    Trump did not cite any evidence for how efforts to hire more minorities, people with disabilities and other groups less represented in American workforces led to the crash, saying “it just could have been” and that he had “common sense.” But Trump criticized the FAA’s effort to recruit people with disabilities during Joe Biden’s administration, even though the FAA’s Aviation Safety Workforce Plan for the 2020-2029 period, issued under Trump’s first administration, promoted and supported “the hiring of people with disabilities and targeted disabilities.”
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    It’s not the first time opponents of diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives, or DEI, have said they can kill people. “DEI means people DIE,” Elon Musk said after the California wildfires, criticizing the Los Angeles Fire Department and city and state officials for their efforts to advance diversity in their workforces.

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  • Travisscoks

    Former US President Joe Biden, a self-professed Catholic, has joined an African-American Masonic lodge as a ‘Master Mason’. The Vatican takes a dim view of Freemasonry, and Catholics who join the fraternal order face excommunication.
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    Biden was inducted into the Most Worshipful Prince Hall Grand Lodge in South Carolina on Sunday, one day before he left office. In a private ceremony, the lodge’s grand master, Victor C. Major, granted Biden “Master Mason membership with full honors,” according to a statement published by the organization last weekend that circulated online on Friday.
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    ”To be a Freemason is to be part of a brotherhood dedicated to personal growth, service to others, and the pursuit of knowledge and truth,” the lodge wrote. Biden’s service, the statement added, “reflects the core values” of this brotherhood.
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    Biden was inducted into the Most Worshipful Prince Hall Grand Lodge in South Carolina on Sunday, one day before he left office. In a private ceremony, the lodge’s grand master, Victor C. Major, granted Biden “Master Mason membership with full honors,” according to a statement published by the organization last weekend that circulated online on Friday.
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    Secretary of State Marco Rubio appeared to escalate the Trump administration’s confrontation with Panama on Sunday, telling its leader that President Trump had determined that Chinese “influence and control” over the Panama Canal threatens the waterway and demanding “immediate changes,” according to the State Department.
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    Panama’s president, Jose Raul Mulino, provided a different account of the discussion, saying after the meeting that he did not believe Mr. Rubio had conveyed a threat that Mr. Trump might move to reclaim the American-built shipping route. He said he saw little risk of such an intervention.
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    The State Department’s summary of the meeting in Panama City, Mr. Rubio’s first with a foreign leader since becoming secretary of state, struck a tone that was sometimes aggressive. It said Mr. Rubio had told his host that Mr. Trump had made a “preliminary determination” that China’s government exercised control over the canal.

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    The State Department’s summary of the meeting in Panama City, Mr. Rubio’s first with a foreign leader since becoming secretary of state, struck a tone that was sometimes aggressive. It said Mr. Rubio had told his host that Mr. Trump had made a “preliminary determination” that China’s government exercised control over the canal.

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  • RonaldRat

    Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum, US President Donald Trump and Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Getty Images
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    President Donald Trump announced that he’s pausing tariffs on Mexico and Canada after speaking to leaders of both countries on Monday — just hours before the sweeping actions were set to go into effect.
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    He took to Truth Social with a similar announcement later in the day, after Trudeau first announced the 30-day pause.

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    Interest in the night skies is booming. Booking.com recently named "noctourism" as a top travel trend for 2025, with their survey of more than 27,000 travellers finding that around two-thirds have considered going to "darker sky destinations" to experience things like starbathing (lying down and looking at the night skies) and witnessing once-in-a-lifetime cosmic events.
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    "The cool thing about night adventures is you see so many different sides to a destination, by just staying up late or rising early," says Stephanie Vermillon, author of the new book 100 Nights Of A Lifetime: The World's Ultimate Adventures After Dark. "Our senses are heightened, and there are things you see at night that you don't see any other time, so everything feels exciting and new."
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    It was a 2010 trip to Morocco that sparked Vermillon's interest in all things nocturnal. "I grew up in Dayton, Ohio, which has terrible light pollution," she tells the BBC. "Then I went to the Sahara Desert and camped under the stars – I saw the Milky Way and two dozen shooting stars that night. I went home, took an astronomy class and later started hunting Northern Lights, which got me curious about what else happens around the world after dark."

    Vermillon believes that major events such as the April 2024 total solar eclipse or the 2024-2025 peak in aurora activity has led to a "bump" in the number of people wanting to experience dark skies. There are also now more than 200 Dark Sky Reserves across the globe. "The great thing about the night sky is the perspective it gives you – it's humbling and grounding," she says. "You can experience pure awe."

    Starry skies and aurora borealis might be the headline acts, but there's plenty more to do after dark in cities or out in nature. "You see a city so differently at night," Vermillon says. "I think of it as a city letting its hair down – it's more relaxed. I've also done night safaris, where it's more about listening than just seeing, and I've seen water sparkling with bioluminescence, which looks like magic. Everything at night has a little extra sparkle."

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    It was a 2010 trip to Morocco that sparked Vermillon's interest in all things nocturnal. "I grew up in Dayton, Ohio, which has terrible light pollution," she tells the BBC. "Then I went to the Sahara Desert and camped under the stars – I saw the Milky Way and two dozen shooting stars that night. I went home, took an astronomy class and later started hunting Northern Lights, which got me curious about what else happens around the world after dark."

    Vermillon believes that major events such as the April 2024 total solar eclipse or the 2024-2025 peak in aurora activity has led to a "bump" in the number of people wanting to experience dark skies. There are also now more than 200 Dark Sky Reserves across the globe. "The great thing about the night sky is the perspective it gives you – it's humbling and grounding," she says. "You can experience pure awe."

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    Vermillon believes that major events such as the April 2024 total solar eclipse or the 2024-2025 peak in aurora activity has led to a "bump" in the number of people wanting to experience dark skies. There are also now more than 200 Dark Sky Reserves across the globe. "The great thing about the night sky is the perspective it gives you – it's humbling and grounding," she says. "You can experience pure awe."

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  • WilliamNox

    These apes can tell when humans don’t know something, study finds
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    Some great apes realize when a human partner doesn’t know something and are capable of communicating information to them to change their behavior, a new study shows.

    Researchers from Johns Hopkins University studying bonobos found that they would point to where treats were hidden if they could see their human partner didn’t know where they were, according to a statement from the university, published Monday.

    Working with three male bonobos, study co-author Luke Townrow, a Johns Hopkins PhD student, would sit across a table from one of the animals as another person placed a treat under one of three cups.
    In some cases, Townrow would be allowed to see which cup the treat was under, and the bonobo would wait for him to pass it the food.

    At other times, he would not be able to see where the treat was, and the bonobo would point to the right cup to help him find the food.

    The “seemingly simple experiment that demonstrated for the first time that apes will communicate unknown information in the name of teamwork,” the statement reads.

    And study co-author Chris Krupenye, a Johns Hopkins assistant professor of psychological and brain sciences, told CNN that the study “is one of the clearest pieces of evidence that a non-human primate understands when someone else is ignorant.”

    This ability to intuit gaps in others’ knowledge is known as theory of mind.

    “As humans we have theory of mind, the ability to think about others’ perspectives,” Krupenye told CNN on Tuesday.

    2025年2月9日
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    "The cool thing about night adventures is you see so many different sides to a destination, by just staying up late or rising early," says Stephanie Vermillon, author of the new book 100 Nights Of A Lifetime: The World's Ultimate Adventures After Dark. "Our senses are heightened, and there are things you see at night that you don't see any other time, so everything feels exciting and new."
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    It was a 2010 trip to Morocco that sparked Vermillon's interest in all things nocturnal. "I grew up in Dayton, Ohio, which has terrible light pollution," she tells the BBC. "Then I went to the Sahara Desert and camped under the stars – I saw the Milky Way and two dozen shooting stars that night. I went home, took an astronomy class and later started hunting Northern Lights, which got me curious about what else happens around the world after dark."

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    Starry skies and aurora borealis might be the headline acts, but there's plenty more to do after dark in cities or out in nature. "You see a city so differently at night," Vermillon says. "I think of it as a city letting its hair down – it's more relaxed. I've also done night safaris, where it's more about listening than just seeing, and I've seen water sparkling with bioluminescence, which looks like magic. Everything at night has a little extra sparkle."

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    The tariffs, he said, will be imposed as a way of punishing the three nations, which Trump claims are responsible for helping people enter the country illegally and supplying fentanyl consumed in the US.

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