截止收盘，日经225指数收涨0.7%；澳大利亚S&P/ASX200指数收盘上涨0.04%；韩国KOSPI指数收盘上涨1.03%。A股涨跌不一。
眼下，投资者期待企业财报季拉开帷幕以及重要通胀数据出炉、指明全球经济将如何从疫情中复苏。
“美国市场的波动性已经减弱，我们看到财报季来临前交易持平，”悉尼Baillieu Holst顾问James Rosenberg称，“在市场普遍处于创纪录水平的情况下，市场预期将非常强劲，这肯定不会留下太多失望空间。”
今天的一切都与通胀有关，美国CPI报告是市场上的关键风险事件。投资者认为，由于加大财政和货币刺激力度，以及企业在经历新冠相关封锁后复工，价格压力将会加大。
尽管每个人都预计这将是通胀压力可能持续上升的开始（这可能持续，也可能不会持续），但根据基数效应进行调整后，通胀数字将很容易上升——如果不是本月，那就是未来几个月。
市场关注的同比数据从本月开始就相当扭曲，去年3、4月份因疫情导致房价大幅下跌。这种影响至少应该会持续到今年的后几个阶段。
各国央行已就此发出警告，并指出这种压力可能只是暂时的。在未来几个月，还有其他因素需要考虑，比如拜登的财政刺激计划，供应受限导致的投入成本上涨，以及被压抑的需求重新回到消费活动中。
FHN Financial高级利率策略师Jim Vogel表示，现在市场已经建立了很多通胀预期指标，以至于必须在未来三四个月内获得较高增长的CPI报告，否则人们将不得不重新评估他们对此的担忧程度。杰富瑞集团经济学家Tom Simons表示，这将是我们看到基数效应推动同比增长的第一个月，但市场参与者已经意识到其影响，并且美联储也已表示将仔细研究暂时的通胀因素，因此预计美联储不会对此进行鹰派回应。 【来自金十数据】
汇市方面，美元保持坚挺，因为美国国债收益率在关键风险事件的预期下走高，而10年期国债收益率是否会突破1.75%这一水平将是很有趣的。
尽管如此，不那么热的数据本身可能会抑制债券空头的热情，降低债券收益率——这将对美元不利，尽管目前美元有所上涨。
欧元(1.1899, -0.0013, -0.11%)兑美元继续徘徊在其100小时移动均线和200天移动均线1.1892附近，近期进一步的支撑位见于1.1867-1.1872和1.1861-1.1864。
英镑(1.3752, 0.0011, 0.08%)兑美元从昨天的100日移动均线1.3684上方开始稳步反弹，尽管价格受到100小时移动均线1.3742的限制。近期波动跌势的38.2回档位1.3764也提供了一些较小的阻力，同时欧元兑英镑(0.8651, -0.0015, -0.17%)在0.8640-45也提供了一些支撑。后者目前在0.8658附近交易，当日变化不大。
澳元(0.7614, -0.0005, -0.07%)兑美元再次测试略低于0.7600的低点，昨日关键的小时移动均线限制了涨幅。空头需要稳固突破0.7592-96下方，以建立新的动能，测试关键支撑区域0.7531-63。
在大宗商品领域，金价看起来依然疲软，从1755美元附近的阻力位不断回落。金价目前交投在1725美元附近。
除了CPI数据外，关键的财报季来临也给市场增添一丝不安。银行是首批公布2021年第一季财报的行业之一，高盛、摩根大通和富国银行将于周三公布财报。
日内焦点、风向标：
17：00 德国及欧元区4月ZEW经济景气指数
18：00 美国3月NFIB小型企业信心指数
20：30 美国3月季调后CPI月率
24：00 美联储巴尔金发表讲话
24：00 明尼阿波利斯联储举办线上活动
待定 欧佩克公布月度原油市场报告
主要货币走势分析：
欧元：欧元/美元继续在200日均线附近徘徊，现交投于1.1895附近。技术面看，4小时图来看，MACD绿色动能柱小幅扩张，RSI指标徘徊在50水平附近，KDJ指标持稳于50上方，指示价格短线或进一步盘整。短期初步支撑位于1.1870，初步阻力位则可看1.1930。
英镑：英镑/美元目前在关键的100日均线支撑1.3693上方窄幅震荡，关注能否站稳这一水平。技术面看，4小时图来看，MACD红色动能柱小幅扩张，RSI指标向上突破50水平，KDJ指标反弹逼近超买水平，暗示价格短线或小幅反弹。短期初步支撑位于1.3700，初步阻力位则可看1.3780。
日元：美元/日元继续在20日均线支撑109.95附近交投，交投区间不断缩窄。技术面看，4小时图来看，MACD红色动能柱略有减弱，RSI指标徘徊在50水平附近，KDJ指标交投在50水平附近，预计价格短线或继续整固。短期初步支撑位于109.15，初步阻力位于109.95。
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Deepika Padukone and Christy Turlington star in landmark Sabyasachi fashion show
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Camera phones at the ready, around 700 guests hailing from across India and the world expected a visual spectacle on Saturday evening — and they weren’t disappointed. A hush descended as the doors opened to the Jio World Center in Mumbai, where legendary Indian fashion designer Sabyasachi Mukherjee presented a star-studded 25th anniversary runway show for his namesake brand.
The celebrated designer — known for his maximalist Indian style — has dressed some of the biggest names across Bollywood and Hollywood, including Priyanka Chopra, Deepika Padukone, Oprah Winfrey, Rihanna and Jennifer Lopez. For his landmark show, the stars showed up to lend their support: Padukone opened proceedings in an all-white ensemble adorned with necklaces, including a crucifix from Mukherjee’s jewelry line. She later walked again with supermodel Christy Turlington as part of the grand finale.
Over 150 looks were presented, including pants and skirts embroidered with gold threads, frilled head gear, stacked jewelry and tops with slogans such as “cat lady,” “table for one,” “where has love gone,” and “all dressed up nowhere to go.” Mukherjee explained in a phone interview that these pieces were intended to be satire on how technology is dehumanizing humans. “We seem to have forgotten how to establish human relationships,” he said.
There were also trench coats, sweaters, shorts and shirts made in more conventionally western silhouettes. These marked a departure from Mukherjee’s usual festive and bridal wear, which are heavily inclined towards traditional Indian styles, such as saris, ghagra cholis and sherwanis.
But with no shortage of drama, the new collection featured heavily embroidered jackets embellished with semi-precious stones, brocade dresses, ostrich leather jackets and skirts, and blouses with velvet appliques overlaid with faux fur.
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President Donald Trump speaks about the mid-air crash between American Airlines flight 5342 and a military helicopter in Washington. Roberto Schmidt/AFP/Getty Images
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President Donald Trump on Thursday blamed the Federal Aviation Administration’s “diversity push” in part for the plane collision that killed 67 people in Washington, DC. But DEI backers, including most top US companies, believe a push for diversity has been good for their businesses.
Trump did not cite any evidence for how efforts to hire more minorities, people with disabilities and other groups less represented in American workforces led to the crash, saying “it just could have been” and that he had “common sense.” But Trump criticized the FAA’s effort to recruit people with disabilities during Joe Biden’s administration, even though the FAA’s Aviation Safety Workforce Plan for the 2020-2029 period, issued under Trump’s first administration, promoted and supported “the hiring of people with disabilities and targeted disabilities.”
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Former US President Joe Biden, a self-professed Catholic, has joined an African-American Masonic lodge as a ‘Master Mason’. The Vatican takes a dim view of Freemasonry, and Catholics who join the fraternal order face excommunication.
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Secretary of State Marco Rubio appeared to escalate the Trump administration’s confrontation with Panama on Sunday, telling its leader that President Trump had determined that Chinese “influence and control” over the Panama Canal threatens the waterway and demanding “immediate changes,” according to the State Department.
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Country music star Carrie Underwood is slated to perform “America the Beautiful” at President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration, according to a copy of the program obtained by CNN and confirmed by a spokesperson for the inaugural committee.
“I love our country and am honored to have been asked to sing at the Inauguration and to be a small part of this historic event,” Underwood said in a statement to CNN. “I am humbled to answer the call at a time when we must all come together in the spirit of unity and looking to the future.”
The presidential oath of office will be administered by Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts with Justice Brett Kavanaugh expected to administer the oath of office to Vice President-elect JD Vance.
Trump’s inauguration as the 47th president of the United States will take place on January 20 at the US Capitol.
Underwood is a big get for Trump’s inauguration, considering Hollywood’s Trump blackout over the course of his political career.
In his first term and throughout the past three elections, Trump has struggled to garner support from major Hollywood stars. At the Republican National Convention last year, the two biggest stars onstage with Trump were musician Kid Rock and retired WWE wrestler Hulk Hogan – a far cry from a superstar at the height of their career, like Underwood.
The Grammy-winning artist is as high-profile as you can get in country music, not only with numerous platinum hits, but also with public-facing, mainstream business associations. Underwood is the face of Sunday Night Football and is set to make her debut this March as a judge on ABC’s “American Idol” – the singing competition show that catapulted her to fame when she won in 2005.
While many NFL fans will likely applaud Underwood for singing at the inauguration, any time a celebrity aligns themselves with Trump, they run the risk of alienating left-leaning fans and Hollywood allies.
Underwood has kept her politics under wraps over the course of her career. In her statement, she did not mention Trump by name and kept her focus on unifying the country – still, Underwood’s decision to publicly align with Trump is a big statement for any star, particularly one as private as the singer.
Historically, Hollywood has always been closely associated with the Democratic Party, but country stars have always been an outlier, leaning more conservative. In recent years, as new singers join the genre, country music has gotten to be more progressive. This past election cycle, country stars like Mickey Guyton and Maren Morris stood with Vice President Kamala Harris.
Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum, US President Donald Trump and Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Getty Images
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President Donald Trump announced that he’s pausing tariffs on Mexico and Canada after speaking to leaders of both countries on Monday — just hours before the sweeping actions were set to go into effect.
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Some great apes realize when a human partner doesn’t know something and are capable of communicating information to them to change their behavior, a new study shows.
Researchers from Johns Hopkins University studying bonobos found that they would point to where treats were hidden if they could see their human partner didn’t know where they were, according to a statement from the university, published Monday.
Working with three male bonobos, study co-author Luke Townrow, a Johns Hopkins PhD student, would sit across a table from one of the animals as another person placed a treat under one of three cups.
In some cases, Townrow would be allowed to see which cup the treat was under, and the bonobo would wait for him to pass it the food.
At other times, he would not be able to see where the treat was, and the bonobo would point to the right cup to help him find the food.
The “seemingly simple experiment that demonstrated for the first time that apes will communicate unknown information in the name of teamwork,” the statement reads.
And study co-author Chris Krupenye, a Johns Hopkins assistant professor of psychological and brain sciences, told CNN that the study “is one of the clearest pieces of evidence that a non-human primate understands when someone else is ignorant.”
This ability to intuit gaps in others’ knowledge is known as theory of mind.
“As humans we have theory of mind, the ability to think about others’ perspectives,” Krupenye told CNN on Tuesday.
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"The cool thing about night adventures is you see so many different sides to a destination, by just staying up late or rising early," says Stephanie Vermillon, author of the new book 100 Nights Of A Lifetime: The World's Ultimate Adventures After Dark. "Our senses are heightened, and there are things you see at night that you don't see any other time, so everything feels exciting and new."
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It was a 2010 trip to Morocco that sparked Vermillon's interest in all things nocturnal. "I grew up in Dayton, Ohio, which has terrible light pollution," she tells the BBC. "Then I went to the Sahara Desert and camped under the stars – I saw the Milky Way and two dozen shooting stars that night. I went home, took an astronomy class and later started hunting Northern Lights, which got me curious about what else happens around the world after dark."
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It was a 2010 trip to Morocco that sparked Vermillon's interest in all things nocturnal. "I grew up in Dayton, Ohio, which has terrible light pollution," she tells the BBC. "Then I went to the Sahara Desert and camped under the stars – I saw the Milky Way and two dozen shooting stars that night. I went home, took an astronomy class and later started hunting Northern Lights, which got me curious about what else happens around the world after dark."
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It was a 2010 trip to Morocco that sparked Vermillon's interest in all things nocturnal. "I grew up in Dayton, Ohio, which has terrible light pollution," she tells the BBC. "Then I went to the Sahara Desert and camped under the stars – I saw the Milky Way and two dozen shooting stars that night. I went home, took an astronomy class and later started hunting Northern Lights, which got me curious about what else happens around the world after dark."
Vermillon believes that major events such as the April 2024 total solar eclipse or the 2024-2025 peak in aurora activity has led to a "bump" in the number of people wanting to experience dark skies. There are also now more than 200 Dark Sky Reserves across the globe. "The great thing about the night sky is the perspective it gives you – it's humbling and grounding," she says. "You can experience pure awe."
Starry skies and aurora borealis might be the headline acts, but there's plenty more to do after dark in cities or out in nature. "You see a city so differently at night," Vermillon says. "I think of it as a city letting its hair down – it's more relaxed. I've also done night safaris, where it's more about listening than just seeing, and I've seen water sparkling with bioluminescence, which looks like magic. Everything at night has a little extra sparkle."
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A federal judge on Tuesday afternoon temporarily blocked part of the Trump administration’s plans to freeze all federal aid, a policy that unleashed confusion and worry from charities and educators even as the White House said it was not as sweeping an order as it appeared.
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The short-term pause issued by US District Judge Loren L. AliKhan prevents the administration from carrying through with its plans to freeze funding for “open awards” already granted by the federal government through at least 5 p.m. ET Monday, February 3.
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The White House budget office had ordered the pause on federal grants and loans, according to an internal memorandum sent Monday.
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The political turmoil follows a parliamentary election that was won by the ruling Georgian Dream party, although its opponents allege the vote was rigged.
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Since President Donald Trump won the election in November, businesses across the globe have been bracing for higher tariffs — a key Day One promise the president made.
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Ross, who was one of a handful of initial cabinet members in Trump’s first administration who kept their position for the entire four-year term, said he advocated for such exclusions when he advised Trump on tariff policies.
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