周三(4月28日),在鲍威尔的新闻发布会后,欧元/美元跃升至1.2135,达到2月26日以来的最高水平。由于美联储会议后美元面临压力,欧元/美元一直保持在1.2120上方,美元/加元则跌破1.23。
正如预期的那样,美联储将利率维持在接近于零的水平,每月购买资产的速度保持不变。在声明中,它提到经济和劳动力市场已经加强。在新闻发布会上,尽管鲍威尔被反复问到通货膨胀、房价压力以及反复出现的六七十年代的通货膨胀问题,但他始终保持着自信。鲍威尔主席解释说,通货膨胀的暂时上升不能保证加息。他说,现在还不是开始谈论减少购买计划的时候。他的言论引发美元进一步下跌,华尔街股市上涨。美国国债收益率最初对此做出了上行反应,但现在转跌,一度触及日低点1.61%。美元指数(90.4775, -0.1313, -0.14%)跌至90.55,为近五周以来的最低水平。
富国银行(Wells Fargo)的分析师表示,美联储的声明和主席鲍威尔的开场讲话略趋乐观,但并未打消人们对当前政策立场将在未来数月保持不变的预期。
欧元/美元将突破为期4天的盘整区间,创下两个月来的最高日收盘水平。在1.2135上方,下一个阻力位可能是1.2150。从当前水平回调至1.2100下方可能意味着逆转,使欧元面临进一步损失。
欧元/美元1小时走势图
加元也受到美元整体走软的提振,油价继续在64美元附近得到支撑,导致美元/加元全线下跌,1.23是短期整数目标,1.2247是2018年1月以来的低点。
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