原油交易提醒:印度周边6个国家新冠病例显著上升,多重因素拖累油价

2021年05月10日 8651点热度 0人点赞 1,881条评论

原油交易提醒:印度周边6个国家新冠病例显著上升,多重因素拖累油价

周一(5月10日)亚洲时段,

美原油

徘徊于65.62美元,油价上周五窄幅震荡,尽管印度新冠危机恶化,在对全球经济复苏持乐观态度的背景下,油价周线连续第二周上涨。上周公布的4月美国新增就业不及预期,表明复苏道路漫长,限制油价需求。

原油交易提醒:印度周边6个国家新冠病例显著上升,多重因素拖累油价

日内重点关注芝加哥联储主席埃文斯就当前的美国经济状况和货币政策发表的讲话;本周还需关注OPEC、EIA、IEA的三大原油是月度报告。

 

 

影响油价利多因素

 

 

【美国最大成品油管道商遭遇勒索软件攻击】

 

 

美国最大成品油管道商Colonial Pipeline确认,该公司的工业控制系统遭遇网络袭击,并涉及勒索软件。该公司于5月7日获悉袭击事件,目前已暂停东海岸燃料运输管道的运营,美国东海岸的汽油和柴油供应将受到影响。

 

Colonial Pipeline称正在努力恢复运营,且已雇佣第三方网络安全公司进行调查。Colonial Pipeline运营的管道是美国东海岸的主要汽油、柴油和航空燃油的输送渠道,从得州到北卡罗来纳州的日均输油量约250万桶。该管线承担着东海岸近一半的燃料消耗。

据叙利亚当地媒体,叙利亚巴尼亚斯附近海域有一艘空载油轮在维护期间发生爆炸。

 

【发改委将上调油价】

 

 

发改委将于5月14日晚上进行今年第9次油价调整,最新的预计油价调整幅度为每吨汽油价格上调105元,已经超过现行成品油价格形成机制的油价上调标准,加油站每升汽油价格涨幅为0.08元到0.10元。

 

数据显示,中国4月出口意外加速增长,民间调查亦显示服务业活动强劲扩张。

英国燃油销售升至疫情开始以来最高水平,美国炼油厂开工率也达到疫情开始以来最高,为夏日驾驶季做准备,瑞银大宗商品负责人本周在彭博电视采访中表示,预计大宗商品进一步上涨,部分OPEC及其盟国约束供应。

Oanda Corp.高级市场分析师Ed Moya表示,令人失望的就业报告短期支持美元走软,将为大宗商品价格上涨提供助力

 

标普500和道指再创新高 疲软就业数据提振宽松预期】

 

美国股市升至历史新高,意外疲软的就业数据缓解了人们对通货膨胀率上升和刺激力度可能减小的担忧。

标普500

指数所有主要板块悉数走高, 能源、房地产和工业股领涨。

 

4月美国新增就业仅26.6万人,远低于预期的100万。许多分析师认为,这个数据可能有助于拜登推销其总值6万亿美元的经济刺激方案,也给了美联储维持宽松立场的依据。

 

 

影响油价利空因素

 

 

【美国4月非农就业增长差于所有预期】

 

美国4月非农就业增长出人意料地疲软,雇主发现招聘困难,这种状况阻碍了劳动力市场的发展势头。

美国劳工部周五公布的数据显示,4月非农就业人数增加26.6万,远远不及增加100万的彭博调查经济学家预估中值。3月数据向下修正为增加77万。失业率小幅升至6.1%。

原油交易提醒:印度周边6个国家新冠病例显著上升,多重因素拖累油价

这份令人失望的就业数据使整体就业远低于新冠疫情前的水平,也与公司高层最近有关招人难的说法相一致。休闲住宿等行业就业加速增长,但临时支援派遣机构、运输和仓储等领域就业人数急剧下降。

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔上周称,这种差异可能反映了职业技能差距、育儿义务和对疫情的恐惧心理。

一些公司表示,即使职位空缺数接近纪录高位,但失业救济金增加和新一轮疫情纾困支票的发放正阻止人们重返工作岗位。

一些州正因求职者匮乏而采取措施缓解劳动力短缺状况。蒙大拿州规定,若人们停止领取失业救济并至少工作四周,就可拿到1200美元的奖励,希望以此吸引人们重新进入劳动力市场。南卡罗莱纳州计划6月底终止所有联邦和疫情相关的失业救济计划。

美国财长耶伦表示,就业报告凸显出复苏的道路将是漫长的,但是她维持今年恢复充分就业的预期。

 

摩根大通资产管理公司全球市场策略师Mike Bell表示,“今天的报告说明就业复苏没有许多人预期的那么快,如果就业增长保持这种缓慢步调,美联储加息时间可能晚于市场预期”,面对华尔街有关美联储经济支持力度激进的批评,明尼阿波利斯联储行长Neel Kashkari说,他对华尔街批评者“零同情”,现在数以百万计的美国人仍然失业。

 

Kashkari说,“我们需要重建劳动力市场,让人们恢复工作。然后我们会有充足的时间使货币政策正常化。”

 

【活跃钻机数温和增长】

 

能源服务公司贝克休斯(Baker Hughes)表示,美国活跃石油和天然气钻机数上周增加八座,至448座,为2020年4月以来最多。自去年8月触及纪录低位以来,随着油价回升,活跃钻机数也一直在温和增长。这是衡量未来产量的一个早期指标。

 

石油经纪公司PVM的Stephen Brennock表示:“上周,布伦特原油期货差一点突破每桶70美元,但最终未能突破这个关口,因需求不确定性造成拖累。”

 

 

【伊朗外长敦促美国政府在伊核协议问题上做出选择】

 

伊朗外长扎里夫8日在社交媒体上表示,当前的伊核危机是美国上届政府3年前单方面退出伊朗核问题全面协议造成的,美国现任政府必须做出选择。伊朗副外长阿拉格希7日在接受媒体采访时说,伊核协议相关方正在认真寻求重回协议的解决方案。美国总统拜登7日表示,美方认可伊朗在谈判中的“认真态度”,但“认真程度与准备如何行事是另一回事”。

 

【印度周边6个国家新冠病例显著上升】

 

 

据报道,随着印度新冠疫情恶化,新一轮疫情浪潮正迅速席卷南亚和东南亚越来越多的国家。目前,印度周边6个国家新冠病例出现显著上升的情况。世卫组织日前指出,在过去一周内,印度新增的新冠病例占全球近一半,新增死亡人数则占全球四分之一。与此同时,印度周边国家病例也在急剧上升,范围从北部的尼泊尔到南部的斯里兰卡、马尔代夫,此外,东南亚地区,泰国、柬埔寨、印尼的感染病例也在显著上升。

 

印度卫生部公布的最新数据,截至当地时间5月9日8时,印度累计确诊病例达22296414例,累计死亡病例242362例。过去24小时内,印度新增确诊病例403738例,新增死亡病例4092例。印度单日新增连续4天在40万例以上,同时也是连续第18天在30万例以上。

日本首都东京新增1032例新冠确诊病例,连续两天单日新增病例数超过千例,引发居民担忧。同时,日本疫情正从首都向各地蔓延,北海道疫情形势严峻,9日新增506例新冠确诊病例再创历史新高。5月8日,日本全国新增确诊病例人数自1月中旬以来首次超过7000例。

据《国会山报》9日报道,福奇在美国全国广播公司的一档节目中,回答了主持人查克·托德关于华盛顿大学一项研究的提问,该研究表明,美国新冠肺炎死亡病例数可能高达90万例。

当地时间5月9日,泰国政府新冠肺炎疫情管理中心发布通告,在4月初暴发的第三波疫情已致分布在全国57个府的512名医务人员确诊新冠肺炎。

 

总体来看,尽管美国炼油厂开工率达到疫情开始以来最高,为夏日驾驶季做准备,增加原油需求,但美国4月不及预期的就业数据显示复苏道路或不容乐观,而随着印度新冠疫情恶化,新一轮疫情浪潮正迅速席卷南亚和东南亚越来越多的国家,疫情的严峻形势再一次蔓延,将限制油价的上涨。短期继续关注美伊核谈判和疫情相关消息。

 

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    This year’s Super Bowl halftime show was hardly a fashion extravaganza, with headliner Kendrick Lamar keeping things simple in a backwards cap and motorbike-style varsity jacket, which he kept on throughout.

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    Meanwhile, Pesto — a baby king penguin who was eating more fish than his parents by the time he was a few weeks old — is also an online celebrity, with human stars like Olivia Rodrigo and Katy Perry stopping by to meet him.

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    Two bombs were initially removed by the British Army, the UK Ministry of Defense said in a statement. The parish council was then advised that a full survey of the area was required, according to a council spokesperson.
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    Seven years after SpaceX launched Elon Musk’s cherry red sports car into orbit around our sun, astronomers unwittingly began paying attention to its movements once again.

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    An amateur astronomer noticed a string of data points in January that appeared to fit together, describing the orbit of a relatively small object that was swooping between the orbital paths of Earth and Mars.

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    Seven years after SpaceX launched Elon Musk’s cherry red sports car into orbit around our sun, astronomers unwittingly began paying attention to its movements once again.

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    Several observations of the vehicle, gathered by sweeping surveys of the night sky, were inadvertently stashed away in a database meant for miscellaneous and unknown objects, according to the International Astronomical Union’s Minor Planet Center.

    An amateur astronomer noticed a string of data points in January that appeared to fit together, describing the orbit of a relatively small object that was swooping between the orbital paths of Earth and Mars.

    The citizen scientist assumed the mystery object was an undocumented asteroid and promptly sent his findings to the MPC, which operates at the Harvard Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, Massachusetts, as a clearinghouse that seeks to catalog all known asteroids, comets and other small celestial bodies. An astronomer there verified the finding.

    And thus, the Minor Planet Center logged a new object, asteroid “2018 CN41.”

    Within 24 hours, however, the center retracted the designation.

    The person who originally flagged the object realized their own error, MPC astronomer Peter Veres told CNN, noticing that they had, in fact, found several uncorrelated observations of Musk’s car. And the center’s systems hadn’t caught the error.

    2025年2月20日
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    Seven years after SpaceX launched Elon Musk’s cherry red sports car into orbit around our sun, astronomers unwittingly began paying attention to its movements once again.

    Observers spotted and correctly identified the vehicle as it started its extraterrestrial excursion in February 2018 — after it had blasted off into space during the Falcon Heavy rocket’s splashy maiden launch. But more recently, the car spawned a high-profile case of mistaken identity as space observers mistook it for an asteroid.
    Several observations of the vehicle, gathered by sweeping surveys of the night sky, were inadvertently stashed away in a database meant for miscellaneous and unknown objects, according to the International Astronomical Union’s Minor Planet Center.

    An amateur astronomer noticed a string of data points in January that appeared to fit together, describing the orbit of a relatively small object that was swooping between the orbital paths of Earth and Mars.

    The citizen scientist assumed the mystery object was an undocumented asteroid and promptly sent his findings to the MPC, which operates at the Harvard Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, Massachusetts, as a clearinghouse that seeks to catalog all known asteroids, comets and other small celestial bodies. An astronomer there verified the finding.

    And thus, the Minor Planet Center logged a new object, asteroid “2018 CN41.”

    Within 24 hours, however, the center retracted the designation.

    The person who originally flagged the object realized their own error, MPC astronomer Peter Veres told CNN, noticing that they had, in fact, found several uncorrelated observations of Musk’s car. And the center’s systems hadn’t caught the error.

    2025年2月20日
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    Seven years after SpaceX launched Elon Musk’s cherry red sports car into orbit around our sun, astronomers unwittingly began paying attention to its movements once again.

    Observers spotted and correctly identified the vehicle as it started its extraterrestrial excursion in February 2018 — after it had blasted off into space during the Falcon Heavy rocket’s splashy maiden launch. But more recently, the car spawned a high-profile case of mistaken identity as space observers mistook it for an asteroid.
    Several observations of the vehicle, gathered by sweeping surveys of the night sky, were inadvertently stashed away in a database meant for miscellaneous and unknown objects, according to the International Astronomical Union’s Minor Planet Center.

    An amateur astronomer noticed a string of data points in January that appeared to fit together, describing the orbit of a relatively small object that was swooping between the orbital paths of Earth and Mars.

    The citizen scientist assumed the mystery object was an undocumented asteroid and promptly sent his findings to the MPC, which operates at the Harvard Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, Massachusetts, as a clearinghouse that seeks to catalog all known asteroids, comets and other small celestial bodies. An astronomer there verified the finding.

    And thus, the Minor Planet Center logged a new object, asteroid “2018 CN41.”

    Within 24 hours, however, the center retracted the designation.

    The person who originally flagged the object realized their own error, MPC astronomer Peter Veres told CNN, noticing that they had, in fact, found several uncorrelated observations of Musk’s car. And the center’s systems hadn’t caught the error.

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    The suspect, described by authorities as a “forger-restorer,” was even in possession of a typewriter and computer devices used to create paintings and falsify certificates of authenticity for the fraudulent pieces.

    One tactic the suspect used was to collage over auction catalogues, replacing the painter’s original work with an image of the fake art he created, police said. This would give the appearance that the fake painting had been the real one all along.

    Police also found various works still in the process of being made on the forger’s table bearing the signatures of different artists – leading them to believe that the suspect had created them recently.

    This is far from the first time that Italian authorities have unearthed forged artworks. Established in 1969, the Carabinieri art police are specialized in combatting crimes relating to arts and culture.

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    2025年2月22日
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    “I always had too much going on with sport to think about wildlife,” said Crombie, who has covered three Olympic Games and usually shoots rugby and the Irish game of hurling, in a Zoom interview.

    With the pandemic bringing major events to a halt, however, the photographer found himself at a loose end. So, when a recently bereaved friend proposed visiting a nearby lake to see flocks of starlings in flight (known as murmurations), Crombie brought along his camera — one that was conveniently well-suited to the job.

    “You get one split second,” he said of the similarities between sport and nature photography. “They’re both shot at relatively high speeds and they’re both shot with equipment that can handle that.”

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    2025年2月23日
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    By his own admission, James Crombie knew “very, very little” about starlings before Covid-19 struck. An award-winning sports photographer by trade, his only previous encounter with the short-tailed birds occurred when one fell into his fireplace after attempting to nest in the chimney of his home in the Irish Midlands.

    “I always had too much going on with sport to think about wildlife,” said Crombie, who has covered three Olympic Games and usually shoots rugby and the Irish game of hurling, in a Zoom interview.

    With the pandemic bringing major events to a halt, however, the photographer found himself at a loose end. So, when a recently bereaved friend proposed visiting a nearby lake to see flocks of starlings in flight (known as murmurations), Crombie brought along his camera — one that was conveniently well-suited to the job.

    “You get one split second,” he said of the similarities between sport and nature photography. “They’re both shot at relatively high speeds and they’re both shot with equipment that can handle that.”

    On that first evening, in late 2020, they saw around 100 starlings take to the sky before roosting at dusk. The pair returned to the lake — Lough Ennell in Ireland’s County Westmeath — over successive nights, choosing different vantage points from which to view the birds. The routine became a form of therapy for his grieving friend and a source of fascination for Crombie.

    “It started to become a bit of an obsession,” recalled the photographer, who recently published a book of his starling images. “And every night that we went down, we learned a little bit more. We realized where we had to be and where (the starlings) were going to be. It just started to snowball from there.”
    ‘I’ve got something special here’
    Scientists do not know exactly why starlings form murmurations, though they are thought to offer collective protection against predators, such as falcons. The phenomenon can last from just a few seconds to 45 minutes, sometimes involving tens of thousands of individual birds. In Ireland, starlings’ numbers are boosted during winter, as migrating flocks arrive from breeding grounds around Western Europe and Scandinavia.

    Crombie often saw the birds form patterns and abstract shapes, their varying densities appearing like the subtle gradations of paint strokes. The photographer became convinced that, with enough patience, he could capture a recognizable shape.

    2025年2月23日
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    By his own admission, James Crombie knew “very, very little” about starlings before Covid-19 struck. An award-winning sports photographer by trade, his only previous encounter with the short-tailed birds occurred when one fell into his fireplace after attempting to nest in the chimney of his home in the Irish Midlands.

    “I always had too much going on with sport to think about wildlife,” said Crombie, who has covered three Olympic Games and usually shoots rugby and the Irish game of hurling, in a Zoom interview.

    With the pandemic bringing major events to a halt, however, the photographer found himself at a loose end. So, when a recently bereaved friend proposed visiting a nearby lake to see flocks of starlings in flight (known as murmurations), Crombie brought along his camera — one that was conveniently well-suited to the job.

    “You get one split second,” he said of the similarities between sport and nature photography. “They’re both shot at relatively high speeds and they’re both shot with equipment that can handle that.”

    On that first evening, in late 2020, they saw around 100 starlings take to the sky before roosting at dusk. The pair returned to the lake — Lough Ennell in Ireland’s County Westmeath — over successive nights, choosing different vantage points from which to view the birds. The routine became a form of therapy for his grieving friend and a source of fascination for Crombie.

    “It started to become a bit of an obsession,” recalled the photographer, who recently published a book of his starling images. “And every night that we went down, we learned a little bit more. We realized where we had to be and where (the starlings) were going to be. It just started to snowball from there.”
    ‘I’ve got something special here’
    Scientists do not know exactly why starlings form murmurations, though they are thought to offer collective protection against predators, such as falcons. The phenomenon can last from just a few seconds to 45 minutes, sometimes involving tens of thousands of individual birds. In Ireland, starlings’ numbers are boosted during winter, as migrating flocks arrive from breeding grounds around Western Europe and Scandinavia.

    Crombie often saw the birds form patterns and abstract shapes, their varying densities appearing like the subtle gradations of paint strokes. The photographer became convinced that, with enough patience, he could capture a recognizable shape.

    2025年2月23日
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    By his own admission, James Crombie knew “very, very little” about starlings before Covid-19 struck. An award-winning sports photographer by trade, his only previous encounter with the short-tailed birds occurred when one fell into his fireplace after attempting to nest in the chimney of his home in the Irish Midlands.

    “I always had too much going on with sport to think about wildlife,” said Crombie, who has covered three Olympic Games and usually shoots rugby and the Irish game of hurling, in a Zoom interview.

    With the pandemic bringing major events to a halt, however, the photographer found himself at a loose end. So, when a recently bereaved friend proposed visiting a nearby lake to see flocks of starlings in flight (known as murmurations), Crombie brought along his camera — one that was conveniently well-suited to the job.

    “You get one split second,” he said of the similarities between sport and nature photography. “They’re both shot at relatively high speeds and they’re both shot with equipment that can handle that.”

    On that first evening, in late 2020, they saw around 100 starlings take to the sky before roosting at dusk. The pair returned to the lake — Lough Ennell in Ireland’s County Westmeath — over successive nights, choosing different vantage points from which to view the birds. The routine became a form of therapy for his grieving friend and a source of fascination for Crombie.

    “It started to become a bit of an obsession,” recalled the photographer, who recently published a book of his starling images. “And every night that we went down, we learned a little bit more. We realized where we had to be and where (the starlings) were going to be. It just started to snowball from there.”
    ‘I’ve got something special here’
    Scientists do not know exactly why starlings form murmurations, though they are thought to offer collective protection against predators, such as falcons. The phenomenon can last from just a few seconds to 45 minutes, sometimes involving tens of thousands of individual birds. In Ireland, starlings’ numbers are boosted during winter, as migrating flocks arrive from breeding grounds around Western Europe and Scandinavia.

    Crombie often saw the birds form patterns and abstract shapes, their varying densities appearing like the subtle gradations of paint strokes. The photographer became convinced that, with enough patience, he could capture a recognizable shape.

    2025年2月23日
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    Lucky Jet — это не просто игра, а захватывающее приключение, в котором каждый момент может стать решающим! Эта краш-игра бросает вызов вашим инстинктам и способности быстро принимать решения. В основе игры — динамичная механика, где игроки ставят на рост коэффициента, но задача не в том, чтобы ждать до последнего, а вовремя вывести свой выигрыш, прежде чем персонаж взлетит слишком высоко и случится крах.

    Чем выше коэффициент, тем более значительная награда! Но не забывайте: в этом азартном путешествии важен каждый момент, ведь именно ваше решение о выводе решит, насколько велик будет ваш выигрыш. Это не просто игра, а настоящее испытание на скорость и удачу! Простые правила, быстрые раунды и реальные выигрыши – вот почему игроки выбирают Lucky Jet.
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    В Lucky Jet вас ждут щедрые бонусы и эксклюзивные промокоды, которые помогут увеличить ваш баланс и продлить удовольствие от игры! Мы ценим активных игроков и регулярно запускаем новые акции, чтобы сделать ваш игровой процесс еще выгоднее.
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    Как начать играть в Lucky Jet
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    2025年2月23日
  • DavidWheli

    ‘You get one split second’: The story behind a viral bird photo
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    By his own admission, James Crombie knew “very, very little” about starlings before Covid-19 struck. An award-winning sports photographer by trade, his only previous encounter with the short-tailed birds occurred when one fell into his fireplace after attempting to nest in the chimney of his home in the Irish Midlands.

    “I always had too much going on with sport to think about wildlife,” said Crombie, who has covered three Olympic Games and usually shoots rugby and the Irish game of hurling, in a Zoom interview.

    With the pandemic bringing major events to a halt, however, the photographer found himself at a loose end. So, when a recently bereaved friend proposed visiting a nearby lake to see flocks of starlings in flight (known as murmurations), Crombie brought along his camera — one that was conveniently well-suited to the job.

    “You get one split second,” he said of the similarities between sport and nature photography. “They’re both shot at relatively high speeds and they’re both shot with equipment that can handle that.”

    On that first evening, in late 2020, they saw around 100 starlings take to the sky before roosting at dusk. The pair returned to the lake — Lough Ennell in Ireland’s County Westmeath — over successive nights, choosing different vantage points from which to view the birds. The routine became a form of therapy for his grieving friend and a source of fascination for Crombie.

    “It started to become a bit of an obsession,” recalled the photographer, who recently published a book of his starling images. “And every night that we went down, we learned a little bit more. We realized where we had to be and where (the starlings) were going to be. It just started to snowball from there.”
    ‘I’ve got something special here’
    Scientists do not know exactly why starlings form murmurations, though they are thought to offer collective protection against predators, such as falcons. The phenomenon can last from just a few seconds to 45 minutes, sometimes involving tens of thousands of individual birds. In Ireland, starlings’ numbers are boosted during winter, as migrating flocks arrive from breeding grounds around Western Europe and Scandinavia.

    Crombie often saw the birds form patterns and abstract shapes, their varying densities appearing like the subtle gradations of paint strokes. The photographer became convinced that, with enough patience, he could capture a recognizable shape.

    2025年2月23日
  • Shawnweank

    Airbus exploring double-level airplane seat design
    <a href=https://abn.agency/2024/04/09/v-peterburge-zhilishhnyj-kooperativ-best-vej-bezuspeshno-popytalsya-oprovergnut-slova-sledovatelya/>анальный секс можно</a>

    If you’ve seen images of the infamous double-level airplane seat concept and thought “that’s never going to happen” — maybe think again.

    Aviation start-up Chaise Longue, the brains behind the controversial dual-level seat, announced today it’s “exploring some early stage concepts” with aviation giant Airbus.

    This collaboration with an aircraft manufacturing heavyweight is a significant step in this seat design’s journey from college student project to potential in-air reality.

    Designer and Chaise Longue CEO Alejandro Nunez Vicente tells CNN Travel he’s thankful Airbus sees “the true potential of two-level seating.”

    An Airbus representative confirmed to CNN Travel that “Chaise Longue is exploring some early stage concepts with Airbus on two-level seating solutions for Airbus commercial aircraft.”

    The representative added that “given the nature of this early phase level,” Airbus preferred “not to further comment at this stage.”
    The crux of Nunez Vicente’s Chaise Longue seat design is the removal of the overhead cabin to allow two levels of seats in a single aircraft cabin.

    The idea is that travelers would have the option of booking the top row or the bottom row — and while the lower level might look less-than-appealing in photos, bottom passengers would be able to stretch out their legs and enjoy extra leg room. The top level is also designed to give “larger recline angles” and “leg-stretching possibility” than your average economy airplane seat, says Nunez Vicente.

    Nunez Vicente initially developed the design for economy cabins before last year premiering a business class/first class iteration.

    CNN Travel tested out early prototypes of both concepts and concluded that while the lower level has definite claustrophobia potential, the increased leg room could cancel out the potential cabin fever for some passengers.

    2025年2月23日
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