美元突然V型反转的原因找到了!数据潮考验接踵而至

2021年05月27日 569点热度 0人点赞 35条评论

周三(5月26日),FXStreet首席分析师Valeria Bedanrik撰文称,市场情绪再次成为汇率走势背后的因素。美元在前半天下跌,因为政府债券收益率仍然低迷,而股市上涨。在华尔街开盘前,这种积极情绪发生了变化,帮助美元走高。欧元/美元当日触及1.2066的盘中高点,但当日以低于1.2200的水平收盘。

美元上涨背后没有什么特别的催化剂,政府债券收益率仍然低迷,其跌势延续至一周新低,而美国股市盘中小幅上涨。宏观经济数据乏善可查,但美元的上涨可能归因于获利回吐和仓位调整,因央行的一些行动令预期降温。

周四,美国将公布4月耐用品订单,预计小幅增长0.7%,截止5月21日当周初请失业金人数预计为42.5万。美国还将公布第一季度个人消费支出和4月份成屋待完成销售数据。

在此背景下,FXStreet首席分析师Valeria Bedanrik撰文就欧元、英镑、日元、澳元的走势进行了分析预测:

欧元/美元

欧元/美元接近日低1.2184,短期内有望继续下跌。4小时图表显示,该货币对位于平坦的20移动均线之下,但在较长期移动均线之上,维持其看涨倾向。技术指标在穿过中线进入负值后坚定走低,如跌破1.2165这一当前支撑位,预计会再次下滑。

美元突然V型反转的原因找到了!数据潮考验接踵而至

下行支撑:1.2165 1.2120 1.2075

上行阻力:1.2225 1.2270 1.2310

英镑/美元

根据盘中技术数据,英镑/美元面临继续下跌的风险。4小时图表显示,技术指标未能将其上涨延伸至中线上方,目前正朝负值水平下行。20移动均线在当前水平上方获得看跌牵引力,而较长期的移动平均线则在当前水平下方继续向上移动。在明确跌破1.4100后,该货币对可能会继续下跌。

美元突然V型反转的原因找到了!数据潮考验接踵而至

下行支撑:1.4095 1.4065 1.4020

上行阻力:1.4130 1.4175 1.4220

美元/日元

美元/日元已经突破了自本月高点109.78的下降趋势线,这表明短期看涨将继续下去。在4小时图表中,该货币对在其移动均线上方结算,该移动平均线仍无方向性,且局限于狭窄的25个基点区间。与此同时,技术指标已进入上涨区域,但看涨力度有限。该货币对需要清除109.35的阻力位,才能在接下来的交易日确认更大幅度的上涨。

美元突然V型反转的原因找到了!数据潮考验接踵而至

下行支撑:108.90 108.55 108.20

上行阻力:109.35 109.80 110.10

澳元/美元

澳元/美元短期内保持中性。4小时图表显示,汇价已经回到了移动均线之下,均线仍然没有方向,并局限于一个狭窄的范围。技术指标已在积极水平内转低,目前在中线附近。跌破周低点0.7705后,进一步看跌的可能性会增加,而关键阻力位在0.7820。

美元突然V型反转的原因找到了!数据潮考验接踵而至

下行支撑:0.7705 0.7675 0.7640

上行阻力:0.7780 0.7820 0.7850

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