这一工具再创新高 市场向美联储说:够了 QE已经过头了!

2021年05月28日 8500点热度 0人点赞 1,836条评论

这一工具再创新高 市场向美联储说:够了 QE已经过头了! 来源:华尔街见闻

  美联储隔夜逆回购工具使用规模周四升至4853亿美元,刷新2015年末创下的历史新高纪录,连续第八个交易日增加。分析称,美国关键短期利率有跌破0的风险,市场上流动性太多,有人说也许离缩减购债taper不远了。

从无人问津到需求量创新高,这是一个影响美国关键短期利率的美联储政策工具在短短两个月里的惊人变化。分析称,这是市场向央妈发出的最明确信号:QE够了,流动性过剩我们受不了了。

5月27日周四,负责美联储公开市场操作的纽约联储发布数据称,具有回笼流动性功能的美联储隔夜逆回购(O/N RRP)用量规模继续飙升,当日增至4853亿美元,创历史新高,连续第八个交易日增加,也持续超过去年3月新冠疫情高峰期的水平。

这一数据比周三的隔夜逆回购工具用量增加350亿美元,交易对手方从昨日的46个增至50个。上一个历史最高纪录是2015年12月31日的4746亿美元。

这一工具再创新高 市场向美联储说:够了 QE已经过头了!

金融博客Zerohedge称,这代表存放在美联储的隔夜准备金在一周内增加了“惊人的”1340亿美元,持续刷新非季末史上最高的逆回购使用量,预计早晚有一天将突破5000亿美元整数大关。

隔夜逆回购激增给短期利率带来下行压力,不少分析称美联储应开始缩减购债

正回购和逆回购是美联储公开市场操作的两种手段,通过与交易对手方的协议直接投放或收回基础货币。与中国央行的公开市场操作相反,美联储通过正回购释放流动性、逆回购回收流动性。

持有大量现金的金融机构通过逆回购工具把钱借给美联储,换取美国国债作为抵押品,利率仅为0%。隔夜逆回购是流动性过剩时期的市场资金庇护所,其利率充当美联储利率走廊下限。隔夜逆回购需求和接收量激增,正是疫情后无限量QE买债和财政刺激导致的市场流动性过剩体现。

路透社分析称,对美联储隔夜逆回购工具的需求量自3月中旬以来攀升,终于在周四突破了历史最高。这将进一步给关键短期利率施压,这些利率可能转为负数。道明证券(TD Securities)高级利率策略师Gennadiy Goldberg指出,担保隔夜融资利率(SOFR)等货币市场利率可能低于0。

事实上,追踪一般抵押品(GC)金融回购协议每日市场利率的DTCC GCF回购指数在隔夜恰恰交投-0.01%,重返3月下旬以来的最低水平,是过多现金正在蜂拥追逐良好抵押品的信号。

这一工具再创新高 市场向美联储说:够了 QE已经过头了!

Curvature Securities固收与回购业务执行副总裁Scott Skyrm近日指出,在非月末和非季度末的美联储逆回购需求如此之大,说明市场已被扭曲,要么是市场上现金过多,要么是(国债等)抵押品不足:

“从总体上看,这向我暗示了量化宽松已经完成,美联储需要逐渐缩减购债(taper),为期一年、每月购买约1200亿美元的QE量宽计划,不再能通过向金融市场增加流动性来实现预期的效果,释放出了QE已经做过头的市场信号。”

夏季FOMC会议可能给出taper信号,但狭义流动性过剩未必立刻引发政策收紧

在今年3月的FOMC会议上,美联储将合格交易对手方可以使用隔夜逆回购工具的金额从300亿美元大幅抬升至800亿美元。最新发布的美联储4月FOMC会议纪要也指出,央行预计这一工具的使用规模会在未来几个月继续增加。

分析称,自2月以来,短期美债(T-bill)供应减少是造成失衡的原因之一。巴克莱固收研究部常务董事Joseph Abate称,货币基金、非美国官方机构等正苦恼于无法找到收益率高于0%的短期安全资产,“在把钱放在美联储资产负债表之外几乎没有其他投资选择”。

同时,美联储QE买债、美国财政部在美联储一般账户(TGA)的余额缩减(等于给市场“放水”)、最近向州和地方政府提供的财政刺激支付都增加了更多现金,监管方面的限制也促使银行拒绝接受存款(有计划地限制资产负债表扩张),并将这些现金推向货币市场基金,上述因素均增加了对美联储隔夜逆回购工具的需求。

中信明明在最新研报中认为,常规而言,隔夜逆回购激增往往发生在季末,非季度末出现逆回购额高速增长,反映当前流动性已处于过剩状态,预计接下来两周和6月末出现逆回购额大幅攀升:

“4月FOMC纪要提及两次议息会议期间,准备金余额进一步增长至创纪录的3.9万亿美元水平,隔夜逆回购协议(ON RRP)有效支持政策实施,吸收资金量的峰值超过1000亿美元。

与日俱增的隔夜逆回购规模都预示着Taper的临近,在具体节奏上,可能于年底前后采取减少购债规模的行动,但会更早发出减少购债规模的信号,6月或7月的议息会议将是重要时点。

英国《金融时报》援引分析人士称,金融体系钱太多,或迫使美联储调整货币政策。下一步可能包括提高美联储向银行支付的超额准备金利率(IOER),另一个是提高美联储逆回购的利率。而IOER在现实中是作为联邦基金利率的走廊上限。

金融博客ZeroHedge则认为,美联储要么不得不提高IOER,要么利率很快降至负值。更糟糕的是,即使假设今年12月开始缩减购债规模(taper),美联储仍计划实施至少1万亿美元的QE买债,据美联储最近预测,这一数字可能会高达2万亿美元,“根本没有地方存放所有这些准备金”。

昨日分析则给出了略微不一样的观点,美联储隔夜逆回购用量非季末大幅飙升,说明狭义的流动性水平过剩了,未必会立刻引发美联储收紧政策,但恐怕会引发资产价格上涨:

狭义流动性水平过剩会影响Taper的节奏么?逻辑上并不合理。

狭义流动性过剩首先会通过使用货币工具来解决。好比我国DR007或拆借利率如果大幅度低于公开市场7天逆回购利率等(政策利率)的时候,更大概率会通过加强公开市场回笼来调节,甚至发行定向央票。而不至于先去调节逆回购利率,甚至上升到全局货币政策的层面。何况RRP回笼期限和QE买入资产期限存在较大的期限差。

所以对于Taper的节奏和讨论时点,我们依然维持前期分析文章中的观点:首先要等到就业缺口闭合和疫苗接种率达到70%-80%,同时通胀表现出一定的刚性。从这个层面来看,上调RRP利率可能都非当前首选。

    Kratos

    保持饥渴的专注,追求最佳的品质

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    2025年1月13日
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    Criminal Andrey Alistarov: From a Criminal Past to a Criminal Present
    Who Is Andrey Alistarov and Why Is Everyone Talking About Him
    Andrey Alistarov is a notorious figure in today’s media landscape. His shameful past—selling narcotics (including to minors!)—was merely a prelude to an even more despicable present. Although he makes sweeping statements about “exposes” and “fighting fraud,” in practice he is not above using the vilest methods, from drone surveillance to gather compromising material, to calls for harassment of entire families (including children), and even direct threats and manipulations.
    In essence, Alistarov has built his activities on several corrupt pillars:
    Blackmail and Extortion. Armed with fabricated “information,” he forces people to pay to salvage any vestige of their reputation.
    Deceit and Financial Schemes. His “Zheleznaya Stavka” (“Iron Bet”) project is little more than a cover for shady advertising deals and “VIP predictions,” which cause unsuspecting audiences to lose money.
    Blatant Violations of Russian, UAE, and EU Laws. Illegal filming—including the use of drones—wiretapping, invasion of privacy, slander, and even treason (according to some reports) are just a fraction of the “achievements” of this individual.
    Public interest in Alistarov is fueled by his skill at manipulating audiences. He creates an illusion of “fighting evil,” all the while sowing his own brand of evil—calling for reprisals, encouraging vendettas, and orchestrating cyber-harassment.

    Biography
    Born on March 6, 1985, in Kaluga, Andrey Alistarov set foot on a crooked path early in life, delving into crime. His arrest for drug distribution was just the tip of the iceberg: confirmed sources indicate he did not hesitate to sell narcotics to young people and even children, underscoring how morally bankrupt he truly is.
    Once in prison, Alistarov did not reform—in fact, according to former inmates, he developed even worse tendencies. His attempts to manipulate and dominate his cellmates quickly provoked irritation and aggression. Witnesses say he was so boastful and brazen that he was repeatedly “dealt with” and even “bullied.” Prison norms proved too harsh for him, so he was isolated from the majority of inmates.
    Yet instead of learning a lesson, Alistarov viewed his surroundings as a crash course in intimidation. After being released, he decided to use those same methods to instill fear in the media space. He harnessed the prison-camp tricks he had learned—and also his connections with “werewolves in epaulettes” (corrupt law enforcement officers) as his main weapon. Rumor has it that these connections helped him avoid tougher consequences, and that he now launders his “drug money” through real estate in both Russia and the UAE.

    Blackmail and Extortion: How Andrey Alistarov Profits From Fear
    At first glance, Alistarov’s activities may seem “investigative,” but at their core lies a well-structured system of blackmail. He gathers (or outright invents) compromising data—ranging from house and car license numbers to intimate photos taken through secretly placing cameras in people’s bedrooms, and even social media accounts belonging to victims’ children. Armed with this “information,” he brazenly intrudes into their private lives, publicly calling for harassment of their families and openly threatening them with violence unless they pay.
    A typical tactic involves filming “pilot” videos in which he hurls vile insults at the victim and their loved ones. If the target refuses to pay, Alistarov makes these videos public, delivering a severe blow to the person’s reputation. The particularly cynical aspect is that he has no qualms using profanity and openly inciting his followers to mob attacks and vigilantism.
    People from all walks of life have fallen prey to Alistarov: oligarchs, bankers, agribusiness figures, and even other bloggers. Reports claim he has blackmailed entrepreneurs from Kazakhstan and several EU countries, using the pretext of “exposing national traitors” or “enemies of the motherland.” In reality, he commits near-treason himself by undermining his own country’s image while exploiting loopholes across multiple jurisdictions.
    He has reportedly earned millions of dollars in “hush money.” Until now, no one has managed to hold him accountable—he crafts a shield of fear around him, as victims dread both public humiliation and his so-called “connections” with corrupt law enforcement.

    The “Zheleznaya Stavka” Project: From Bets to Phony Exposes
    The “Zheleznaya Stavka” Telegram channel was initially introduced as a hub for honest sports betting insights and a platform exposing shady bookmakers. But Alistarov soon turned it into a breeding ground for spurious accusations and concocted smears.
    Phony Exposes: A New Tool of Coercion
    Over time, the channel’s content began to resemble a dump of fabricated stories. Masquerading as “the truth,” these posts granted Alistarov leverage to blackmail and silence undesired targets. Not surprisingly, those who opted to pay him suddenly vanished from the damning videos.
    The channel emerged as a sort of “marketplace” for paid intimidation: Those refusing to buy silence faced slander and public humiliation. Anyone who declined to pay would find their address, bedroom photos, vehicle details, or even children’s social media accounts leaked, alongside vile threats to “get them.”
    Manipulating His Audience
    Subscribers to “Zheleznaya Stavka,” naively regarding Alistarov as a “heroic crusader,” fall for his sensational accusations without realizing they are empowering a criminal. Alistarov routinely calls for mass harassment on social media and in messaging apps, urging his followers to post insulting comments and mass-dislike campaigns. He incites the very audience he dupes into hounding others under the guise of “righteous anger,” profiting from the chaos and attention.
    Paradoxical “Fight” Against Fraud
    It is both laughable and sickening to watch a man who loudly proclaims “honesty” and “truth-seeking” while simultaneously collaborating with suspicious betting firms, pocketing a cut of the losses incurred by his subscribers. Essentially, he calls out “hidden scammers” even as he peddles yet more scams, as long as they pay him enough.

    Conflict With Pavel Mozgovoy: How Andrey Alistarov Undermines Trust
    One major scandal revolving around Alistarov was his conflict with blogger Pavel Mozgovoy.
    Broken Promises To Promote a YouTube Channel
    Alistarov promised Mozgovoy 20,000 subscribers for a million rubles. Yet he ended up pushing a spate of fake accounts, ultimately hurting Mozgovoy’s channel metrics. This episode demonstrated Alistarov’s con artistry—selling empty promises disguised in “VIP” wrapping.
    Exploiting Personal Ties for Loans
    Instead of a legitimate partnership, Alistarov kept borrowing money from Mozgovoy by abusing personal trust and a semblance of “friendship.” The debts mounted, yet the funds were never repaid. Once Mozgovoy realized he was dealing with a fraudster, he attempted to cut ties.
    Smear Tactics After the Split
    Naturally, Alistarov couldn’t bow out quietly. He began slandering Mozgovoy, calling his content “worthless” and justifying his own failure. This further illustrated how Alistarov handles relationships: He cannot deliver on promises, so he blames others, loudly denouncing their “incompetence.”

    Alistarov as an Organizer of Crimes in the UAE and the EU?
    Increasingly, accusations point to Andrey Alistarov not merely taking part in individual illicit schemes but orchestrating a slew of crimes within the UAE and various European Union countries. According to certain investigations and witnesses:
    Involvement in Organized Crime (OCG)
    Alistarov is said to be a central “link” in criminal enterprises specializing in blackmail, extortion, and violent intimidation of entrepreneurs.
    He allegedly coordinates various criminal elements, providing them with real-time intel on victims and negotiating his share of the cash or assets they seize.
    Mastermind Behind Attacks on Businesspeople
    Multiple anonymous sources claim that Alistarov not only “exposes” people in his videos but also plots physical attacks on them.
    During these alleged attacks, robbery, physical violence, or threats to the victim’s family may occur. Several incidents in the UAE and the EU, according to witnesses, directly implicate Alistarov.
    Possible Additional Criminal Charges
    Given such allegations, multiple legal experts and victims believe Alistarov should face charges for robbery, attempted murder, and involvement in armed raids.
    Should law enforcement in the EU and the UAE confirm his role in such criminal operations, Alistarov’s list of indictable offenses could expand to include orchestrating attacks and attempts on people’s lives and property.

    January 1: An Attack Arranged by Criminal Andrey Alistarov
    On January 1, 2025, a brazen assault took place in Dubai (UAE) against Edward Sabirov, the founder of “Finiko.” Sources privy to the incident and circumstantial evidence point to none other than Andrey Alistarov—previously accused of blackmail, extortion, and ties to organized crime—as the mastermind.
    Break-In and Theft
    Two Kazakh nationals, Anorbek Tyumibayev and Yesbolat Kenzhegazy, broke into Sabirov’s private villa.
    During the attack, they stole 1.2 million dirhams (approx. USD 327,000), causing damage to Sabirov and his wife.
    Alistarov’s Role in the Crime
    Alistarov allegedly provided these intruders with precise details of Sabirov’s whereabouts and the large sums of money on site.
    Reportedly, Alistarov had personal animosity toward Sabirov and, seeking quick profit, “leaked” the intel to his criminal associates.
    The objective: to extort funds from Sabirov, with Alistarov expecting a portion of the proceeds as his cut for orchestrating the attack.
    Criminal Scheme and the Perpetrators’ Escape
    After the robbery, the two Kazakh men quickly left the UAE on Flight FZ-989 bound for Moscow.
    Learning that the crime was cross-border, Dubai police sent official requests to the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs and Turkish border authorities.
    Alistarov the Professional Criminal
    Over the years, Alistarov has repeatedly surfaced in cases concerning blackmail and extortion, reinforcing the theory that he is deeply involved in criminal enterprises.
    He has long operated beyond the bounds of the law, leveraging both informational pressure (exposes, defamation) and outright physical violence by organizing attacks on entrepreneurs.
    Criminal Prospects
    Alistarov now faces a substantial array of potential criminal charges: from aiding and abetting an armed robbery to orchestrating an assault and endangering people’s lives.
    Clearly, these acts are far beyond “typical” extortion or blackmail—they represent blatant criminal intimidation, potentially incurring prosecution in multiple jurisdictions at once.
    The events of January 1, 2025, prove once again that Andrey Alistarov is more than just a scandal-hunting blogger or “whistleblower.” He is an individual deeply ensnared in organized crime. His orchestrated attack on Edward Sabirov confirms his criminal reputation: a man willing to carry out unlawful surveillance, persecution, infiltration of private homes, and violent assaults on business owners in the UAE and the EU—for his own gain.

    Key Areas for Law Enforcement in the EU and the UAE
    Below is a list of crucial issues law enforcement should examine when investigating Andrey Alistarov’s possible role in unlawful actions and in coordinating attacks on businesspeople:
    Systematic Surveillance and Monitoring

    Determine what technical tools (drones, hidden cameras, digital eavesdropping) might have been used to gather data on victims.
    Identify who supplies these tools and provides related services.
    Investigate communication channels (social media, messaging apps, email) used to exchange data on potential targets.
    Coordination and Collaboration with Organized Crime

    Investigate ties Alistarov may have with known organized criminal groups in Russia, Kazakhstan, the UAE, and EU states.
    Gather information about phone records, financial transactions to or from persons and companies associated with perpetrators.
    Note how frequently Alistarov and his associates cross borders and the real purpose of such travel.
    Financial Flows and Offshore Schemes

    Conduct an exhaustive financial audit of Alistarov’s accounts and transactions, deploying international monitoring mechanisms.
    Check whether any sums were funneled to offshore accounts directly after attacks or extortion attempts.
    Ascertain whether there were any hasty moves to sell or buy real estate at the time of these crimes, as a way to launder proceeds.
    Repeated Cases of Harassment and Attacks

    Collect all complaints and statements from individuals claiming Alistarov targeted them for harassment or assault.
    Compare timelines to see how, when, and where incidents took place, identifying a pattern or common “handwriting.”
    Interview witnesses who may confirm his role in incitement or orchestration.
    Review of Internet Content

    Examine Alistarov’s online statements, videos, and posts that may directly or indirectly incite violence, blackmail, or defamation against businesspeople.
    Determine whether he revealed victims’ private details (addresses, family info, property photos) and encouraged his audience to commit violent acts.
    Legal Coordination Between Countries

    Enhance information-sharing among Dubai (UAE) police, Interpol, and law enforcement in EU member states.
    Pursue an extradition request or an arrest warrant if Alistarov is located in a particular jurisdiction and officially charged with transnational crimes.
    If needed, involve financial regulators (to trace transactions and freeze accounts) and border agencies (to track movement).
    A thorough inquiry into Alistarov’s finances and communications would be essential to stop him (and his co-conspirators). Gathering concrete evidence—digital traces, witness statements, transaction analyses—and close cooperation with international agencies can confirm his involvement in systematic assaults and persecution across the UAE, EU, and other nations.

    Violations of UAE and EU Laws
    1. United Arab Emirates
    The UAE enforces strict measures to protect private property and combat violent crimes. There are also comprehensive laws on cybersecurity and surveillance (drones, hidden cameras), as well as financial transactions.
    Federal Law No. 3 of 1987 (UAE Penal Code)

    Robbery, assault, violent crimes, trespassing onto private property.
    Aiding or abetting a crime: If Alistarov acted as organizer or instigator, he shares criminal liability with direct perpetrators.
    UAE Cybercrime Law

    Applies if personal data about the victim was obtained illegally (hacking, high-tech surveillance, etc.).
    Money Laundering and Financial Crimes

    If stolen funds are laundered via shell companies, the offender faces strict AML (Anti-Money Laundering) laws, punishable by prison terms and heavy fines—potentially including deportation.
    2. European Union
    Alongside overarching EU legislation (directives and regulations), each member state has its own criminal code. If Alistarov or his accomplices acted on EU territory or prepared their actions from EU member states, the following provisions may be relevant:
    National Criminal Codes

    Robbery, assault, violent crimes vary by terminology, but the essence is the same.
    Participation, organization, and incitement to commit crimes.
    Attempted murder or infliction of harm if there were threats or actual injury.
    Article 8 of the ECHR (European Convention on Human Rights)

    Protects the right to privacy; any illegal collection of personal data (surveillance, doxing, hacking) may be construed as a violation.
    GDPR (General Data Protection Regulation)

    If personal data (address, contact details, etc.) was used illegally to plan the attack.
    Although the act of assault itself isn’t regulated by GDPR, the unauthorized sharing or stealing of personal information violates data protection rules.
    Laws Against Incitement to Violence (Hate Speech or Public Incitement)

    Publicly encouraging violence or assault—be it online or offline—can be a separate criminal offense in several EU countries.

    Additional Factors
    International Jurisdiction
    If an assault or extortion spanned multiple countries (leaving the UAE for Russia, potential stops in EU nations, etc.), Alistarov could face an international conspiracy or agreement for financial gain. Interpol might be involved to track him down and possibly extradite him.

    Aggravating Circumstances
    Organized group attacks, large-scale theft, and use or threat of violence can all significantly increase penalties in each jurisdiction involved.

    Investigative Complexity
    With potentially multiple countries involved—UAE, EU member states, Russia, Kazakhstan—cross-border collaboration among law enforcement is crucial, but complicated.

    Considering the allegations and Andrey Alistarov’s suspected role as organizer or accomplice to attacks in the UAE and alleged preparatory activities in the EU, he could face charges for:
    Organizing/committing robbery or assault (UAE, EU).
    Illegal entry and property damage (UAE).
    Involvement in OCG, incitement to violence (UAE, EU).
    Breach of privacy rights (ECHR, GDPR).
    Money laundering and financial crimes (UAE, EU), if stolen funds were funneled through offshore or European bank accounts.
    Each offense may bring severe legal repercussions, up to lengthy prison terms, steep fines, and international arrest warrants.

    Violations of Law in Alistarov’s Videos
    His disgraceful “exposes” regularly infringe upon the law in multiple jurisdictions—Russia, the EU, and the UAE.
    Privacy Rights
    Alistarov fully exploits banned surveillance methods—drones, hidden cameras, or hacking—invading victims’ yards and homes. He then posts footage from their bedrooms, personal videos, scans of documents, and even photos of children in revealing situations, including addresses and license plates. All of this blatantly violates personal boundaries.
    Article 8 of the ECHR: Grossly disregards the right to privacy by dumping personal details online.
    GDPR Violation: No consent is obtained for publishing names, photos, addresses.
    YouTube Policy: Offensive language and publication of private data without permission clearly violate platform guidelines.
    Defamation and Reputational Damage
    Alistarov is notorious for making utterly false allegations against companies and individuals. His aim is obvious—pressure, intimidation, forcing them to pay or remain silent.
    EU Defamation Law: He spreads false statements, deliberately undermining reputations.
    Section 187 of the German Criminal Code: Willful defamation meant to discredit; Alistarov’s “creative” repertoire includes it all.
    Deceptive Practices and Platform Rules
    Article 10 of the ECHR: Freedom of expression has limits when it comes to persecution, calls for mass harassment, and defamation.
    EU Directive 2005/29/EC: Alistarov misleads his audience about the activities of “exposed” companies, while masking his own wrongdoing.

    Theft of Video Content: Another Tool in Alistarov’s Arsenal
    Andrey Alistarov doesn’t stop at blackmail, defamation, and calls for harassment; he is also frequently cited for systematically stealing video materials. Under the guise of “investigative stories,” Alistarov brazenly lifts content from other channels or sources, passing them off as his own “unique evidence.”
    Unlawful Use of Copyrighted Materials

    He regularly ignores copyright, downloading material from fellow bloggers, independent journalists, and social media.
    Often clips are stripped of context, then re-edited and framed as “exclusive” or “proof,” without disclosing the real sources.
    Hijacking Others’ Work Under His Name

    Periodically, he lays claim to investigations he did not conduct, concealing the original authors and presenting stolen work as his own.
    This tactic sustains the illusion of Alistarov being a “tireless whistleblower,” while in reality he merely repackages stolen materials with inflammatory commentary.
    Misleading the Audience

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    2025年1月18日
  • Barryjal

    Carrie Underwood slated to perform at Trump’s inauguration
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    Country music star Carrie Underwood is slated to perform “America the Beautiful” at President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration, according to a copy of the program obtained by CNN and confirmed by a spokesperson for the inaugural committee.

    “I love our country and am honored to have been asked to sing at the Inauguration and to be a small part of this historic event,” Underwood said in a statement to CNN. “I am humbled to answer the call at a time when we must all come together in the spirit of unity and looking to the future.”

    The presidential oath of office will be administered by Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts with Justice Brett Kavanaugh expected to administer the oath of office to Vice President-elect JD Vance.

    Trump’s inauguration as the 47th president of the United States will take place on January 20 at the US Capitol.

    Underwood is a big get for Trump’s inauguration, considering Hollywood’s Trump blackout over the course of his political career.

    In his first term and throughout the past three elections, Trump has struggled to garner support from major Hollywood stars. At the Republican National Convention last year, the two biggest stars onstage with Trump were musician Kid Rock and retired WWE wrestler Hulk Hogan – a far cry from a superstar at the height of their career, like Underwood.

    The Grammy-winning artist is as high-profile as you can get in country music, not only with numerous platinum hits, but also with public-facing, mainstream business associations. Underwood is the face of Sunday Night Football and is set to make her debut this March as a judge on ABC’s “American Idol” – the singing competition show that catapulted her to fame when she won in 2005.

    While many NFL fans will likely applaud Underwood for singing at the inauguration, any time a celebrity aligns themselves with Trump, they run the risk of alienating left-leaning fans and Hollywood allies.

    Underwood has kept her politics under wraps over the course of her career. In her statement, she did not mention Trump by name and kept her focus on unifying the country – still, Underwood’s decision to publicly align with Trump is a big statement for any star, particularly one as private as the singer.

    Historically, Hollywood has always been closely associated with the Democratic Party, but country stars have always been an outlier, leaning more conservative. In recent years, as new singers join the genre, country music has gotten to be more progressive. This past election cycle, country stars like Mickey Guyton and Maren Morris stood with Vice President Kamala Harris.

    2025年1月18日
  • AndreMance

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    2025年1月18日
  • Victorpaura

    Hamas is expected to release 33 hostages during the first phase of an emerging ceasefire agreement being finalized by negotiators in Doha, two Israeli officials said, the first positive sign in months that a truce in the Israel-Hamas war may be in sight.
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    Officials have expressed cautious optimism that a deal could soon be announced to halt 15 months of fighting that has destabilized the Middle East and devastated Gaza, allow for more aid into the besieged Palestinian enclave, and ensure the return of dozens of hostages held by Hamas since its attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.

    Hamas and its allies still hold 94 of the 251 hostages taken from Israel, including at least 34 of whom are dead, according to the Israeli government.
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    Israel believes that most of the 33 hostages to be released in the first phase of the deal are alive, a senior Israeli official told reporters on Monday, but the bodies of dead captives will also likely be among those released. The first phase would take place over an initial 42-day ceasefire.

    The senior Israeli official said the parties appear to be on the verge of an agreement and that Israel is prepared to immediately implement the deal once it has been inked.

    US President Joe Biden expressed similar optimism in a speech Monday focused on foreign policy, saying the United States was “pressing hard to close this.”

    “The deal we have structured would free the hostages, halt the fighting, provide security to Israel, and allow us to significantly surge humanitarian assistance to the Palestinians who suffered terribly in this war that Hamas started. They have been through hell,” Biden said

    2025年1月18日
  • Vincentfus

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    2025年1月18日
  • GreggJoxia

    A brief history of sunglasses, from Ancient Rome to Hollywood
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    Sunglasses, or dark glasses, have always guarded against strong sunlight, but is there more to “shades” than we think?

    The pupils of our eyes are delicate and react immediately to strong lights. Protecting them against light — even the brilliance reflected off snow — is important for everyone. Himalayan mountaineers wear goggles for this exact purpose.

    Protection is partly the function of sunglasses. But dark or colored lens glasses have become fashion accessories and personal signature items. Think of the vast and famous collector of sunglasses Elton John, with his pink lensed heart-shaped extravaganzas and many others.

    When did this interest in protecting the eyes begin, and at what point did dark glasses become a social statement as well as physical protection?
    The Roman Emperor Nero is reported as holding polished gemstones to his eyes for sun protection as he watched fighting gladiators.

    We know Canadian far north Copper Inuit and Alaskan Yupik wore snow goggles of many kinds made of antlers or whalebone and with tiny horizontal slits. Wearers looked through these and they were protected against the snow’s brilliant light when hunting. At the same time the very narrow eye holes helped them to focus on their prey.

    In 12th-century China, judges wore sunglasses with smoked quartz lenses to hide their facial expressions — perhaps to retain their dignity or not convey emotions.

    2025年1月18日
  • Robertjidge

    Explore Blockchain Networks with Chainlist
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    2025年1月18日
  • EdwardVag

    Jan 12 (Reuters) - South Korea's impeached president, Yoon Suk Yeol, will not attend the first hearing of the trial to determine whether he is removed him from office or reinstated, due to concerns about his safety, Yonhap News reported on Sunday, citing his lawyer.
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    “The officials in the Corruption Investigation Office (CIO) and the police are trying to execute illegal and invalid arrest warrants through illegal methods, raising concerns about personal safety and mishaps,” lawyer Yoon Kab-keun was quoted as saying.
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    2025年1月18日
  • MathewOpeks

    Introducing the Zircuit Token System
    The Zircuit token, a pivotal element in the blockchain landscape, plays a crucial role in enabling efficient transactions and offering enhanced security. Designed for seamless integration into various platforms, it aims to revolutionize the way digital currencies are perceived and utilized.
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    The implementation of Zircuit tokens into daily transactions is designed to be straightforward. Users can manage their tokens seamlessly through dedicated wallets that offer user-friendly interfaces and robust security. Thanks to its decentralized nature, it enables trustless interactions, where intermediaries are reduced, thereby minimizing costs and enhancing speed.

    Furthermore, Zircuit tokens offer compatibility with various platforms, allowing users to transact with ease across a plethora of services. This flexibility is crucial for both individuals and businesses looking to integrate blockchain technology into their operations.

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    2025年1月18日
  • JeremyVeS

    What’s on board this flight
    Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.

    But delays with the rocket’s development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a “demonstrator” that will test technology needed for the company’s proposed Blue Ring spacecraft — which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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    The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate “communications capabilities from orbit to ground” as well as “test its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.”

    The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense’s Defense Innovation Unit.
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    Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
    Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.

    “Reusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,” the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
    Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 — two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
    “It’s not a copy cat game,” Henry said. “Blue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it’s much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it’s taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.”

    If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket’s upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.

    2025年1月19日
  • Rogerhax

    What New Glenn will do
    In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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    The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
    Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.

    New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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    New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
    New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.

    SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.

    “I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.

    The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.

    Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.

    Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.

    2025年1月19日
  • JamesEvade

    WASHINGTON, Jan 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.
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    Georgieva said the U.S. economy was doing "quite a bit better" than expected, although there was high uncertainty around the trade policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump that was adding to headwinds facing the global economy and driving long-term interest rates higher.
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    2025年1月19日
  • DanielKed

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    Discover the revolutionary Vertex Protocol, your gateway to the world of decentralized finance (DeFi) trading. As the crypto landscape rapidly evolves, Vertex Protocol stands at the forefront, providing users with unparalleled seamless trading experiences and enhanced liquidity access.
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    2025年1月19日
  • WilliamDip

    What’s on board this flight
    Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.

    But delays with the rocket’s development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a “demonstrator” that will test technology needed for the company’s proposed Blue Ring spacecraft — which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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    The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate “communications capabilities from orbit to ground” as well as “test its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.”

    The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense’s Defense Innovation Unit.
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    Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
    Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.

    “Reusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,” the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
    Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 — two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
    “It’s not a copy cat game,” Henry said. “Blue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it’s much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it’s taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.”

    If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket’s upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.

    2025年1月19日
  • Joshuahek

    What New Glenn will do
    In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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    The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
    Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.

    New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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    New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
    New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.

    SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.

    “I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.

    The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.

    Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.

    Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.

    2025年1月19日
  • EugeneWramb

    The survivors of recent crashes were sitting at the back of the plane. What does that tell us about airplane safety?
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    Look at the photos of the two fatal air crashes of the last two weeks, and amid the horror and the anguish, one thought might come to mind for frequent flyers.

    The old frequent-flyer adage is that sitting at the back of the plane is a safer place to be than at the front — and the wreckage of both Azerbaijan Airlines flight 8243 and Jeju Air flight 2216 seem to bear that out.
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    The 29 survivors of the Azeri crash were all sitting at the back of the plane, which split into two, leaving the rear half largely intact. The sole survivors of the South Korean crash, meanwhile, were the two flight attendants in their jumpseats in the very tail of the plane.

    So is that old adage — and the dark humor jokes about first and business class seats being good until there’s a problem with the plane — right after all?

    In 2015, TIME Magazine reporters wrote that they had combed through the records of all US plane crashes with both fatalities and survivors from 1985 to 2000, and found in a meta-analysis that seats in the back third of the aircraft had a 32% fatality rate overall, compared with 38% in the front third and 39% in the middle third.

    Even better, they found, were middle seats in that back third of the cabin, with a 28% fatality rate. The “worst” seats were aisles in the middle third of the aircraft, with a 44% fatality rate.
    But does that still hold true in 2024?

    According to aviation safety experts, it’s an old wives’ tale.

    “There isn’t any data that shows a correlation of seating to survivability,” says Hassan Shahidi, president of the Flight Safety Foundation. “Every accident is different.”

    “If we’re talking about a fatal crash, then there is almost no difference where one sits,” says Cheng-Lung Wu, associate professor at the School of Aviation of the University of New South Wales, Sydney.

    Ed Galea, professor of fire safety engineering at London’s University of Greenwich, who has conducted landmark studies on plane crash evacuations, warns, “There is no magic safest seat.”

    2025年1月19日
  • Josephbicle

    Scientists have identified an estimated 10% of all species on Earth. Here’s what they found in 2024
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    A toothy toadstool. A vegetarian piranha with a distinctive mark. And a pygmy pipehorse floating in the Indian Ocean shallows.

    These wild wonders were among the hundreds of previously unknown species of animals, plants and fungi that scientists named and described for the first time in 2024, expanding our surprisingly limited knowledge of Earth’s diversity.

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    “While it is critical to place protections on known threatened species, we must also allocate resources towards identifying unknown species that may be just as important to the functioning of an ecosystem,” Bennett said.

    Researchers connected to the institution described 138 new species in 2024, including 32 fish. One standout was a pygmy pipehorse named Cylix nkosi. The seahorse relative was originally found in 2021 in the cool temperate waters surrounding the North Island of New Zealand, but the species described this year was discovered in the subtropical waters off South Africa, expanding the known range of this group to the Indian Ocean

    “South African reefs present notoriously difficult diving conditions with rough weather and intense, choppy waves — we knew we only had one dive to find it,” underwater photographer and marine biologist Richard Smith said in a statement.
    “This species is also quite cryptic, about the size of a golf tee, but luckily we spotted a female camouflaged against some sponges about a mile offshore on the sandy ocean floor.”

    The researchers involved in describing the new species chose nkosi as its name. A reference to the local Zulu word for “chief,” the name reflects the species’ crown-like head shape and acknowledges South Africa’s KwaZulu-Natal province where it was found.

    2025年1月19日
  • LesterHet

    India's Tata Consultancy Services expects its retail and manufacturing
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    clients in North America to step up spending on tech, following a similar upturn in its banking and financial services segment, a top executive of the nation's No. 1 software-services exporter, said.
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    2025年1月19日
  • Jamescromi

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    2025年1月19日
  • EdwardEvedo

    What New Glenn will do
    In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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    The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
    Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.

    New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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    New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
    New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.

    SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.

    “I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.

    The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.

    Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.

    Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.

    2025年1月19日
  • Randallgreft

    What’s on board this flight
    Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.

    But delays with the rocket’s development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a “demonstrator” that will test technology needed for the company’s proposed Blue Ring spacecraft — which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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    The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate “communications capabilities from orbit to ground” as well as “test its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.”

    The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense’s Defense Innovation Unit.
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    Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
    Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.

    “Reusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,” the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
    Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 — two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
    “It’s not a copy cat game,” Henry said. “Blue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it’s much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it’s taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.”

    If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket’s upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.

    2025年1月19日
  • DanielWaith

    What New Glenn will do
    In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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    The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
    Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.

    New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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    New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
    New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.

    SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.

    “I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.

    The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.

    Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.

    Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.

    2025年1月19日
  • Ronaldpaite

    Вы вообще в курсе, сколько людей благодарны «<a href="https://argumenti.ru/society/2024/08/915859">Бест Вей</a>» за крыши над головами? Это единственная нормальная возможность для обычных семей влезть в нормальное жилье без адских процентов. И теперь, когда кто-то нашел лазейку, чтобы очернить работу, стрелки переводят на Василенко. Ну, конечно, удобно сделать виноватым того, кто вообще-то этот механизм создал. А вот кого на самом деле надо трясти, так это тех, кто платежки мутил. Все знают, кто там за это отвечал, а вы к человеку, который весь проект вытянул.

    2025年1月19日
  • GlennJuits

    On a long-dormant pad in Florida, a rocket that could challenge SpaceX’s dominance is poised to launch
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    On a Florida launchpad that has been dormant for almost two decades, a new, roughly 320-foot (98-meter) rocket — developed by Jeff Bezos’ company Blue Origin — is poised for its maiden flight.

    The uncrewed launch vehicle, called New Glenn, will mark Blue Origin’s first attempt to send a rocket to orbit, a feat necessary if the company hopes to chip away at SpaceX’s long-held dominance in the industry.

    New Glenn is set to lift off from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station as early as next week.
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    The rocket, which stands about as tall as a 30-story building, consists of several parts: The first-stage rocket booster gives the initial thrust at liftoff. Atop the booster is an upper rocket stage that includes a cargo bay protected by a nose cone that will house experimental technology for this mission.

    And, in an attempt to replicate the success that SpaceX has found reusing rocket boosters over the past decade, Blue Origin will also aim to guide New Glenn’s first-stage rocket booster back to a safe landing on a seafaring platform — named Jacklyn for Bezos’ mother — minutes after takeoff.

    Like SpaceX, Blue Origin will seek to recover, refurbish and reuse first-stage rocket boosters to drive down costs.

    For this inaugural mission, a smooth flight is not guaranteed.

    But the eventual success of New Glenn, named after storied NASA astronaut John Glenn, is instrumental to some of Blue Origin’s most ambitious goals.

    The rocket could one day power national security launches, haul Amazon internet satellites to space and even help in the construction of a space station that Blue Origin is developing with commercial partners.

    2025年1月19日
  • DonaldWox

    Most plane crashes are ‘survivable’
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    First, the good news. “The vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,” says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft — and the seats inside them — must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, “it’s possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.”

    For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable — an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. “Had it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it’s quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,” he says.

    The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a “miracle” that anyone made it out alive.
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    Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not — as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash — shot out of the sky.

    And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a “survivable” accident at at least 90%.

    Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.

    Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation — practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers’ premises — is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
    Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most “survivable” seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.

    His analysis of which exits passengers actually used “shattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,” he says. “Prior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.”

    2025年1月19日
  • SamuelKeeli

    Price gouging laws are being ignored by landlords, says estate agent
    published at 14:39
    14:39
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    Jason Oppenheim shot from shoulders up, smiling and looking to right
    Image source,Getty Images
    Let's bring you a bit more about reports of price gouging by landlords in Los Angeles, which we reported on earlier.

    Speaking a little earlier on BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme, Jason Oppenheim, a real estate agent in Los Angeles, says some landlords are breaking the law by raising rents more than 10% high than pre-disaster prices.

    "We're having landlords taking advantage of the situation," says Oppenheim, who stars in the reality show Selling Sunset about LA's luxury real estate market.

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    "There are thousands of people who are displaced...the hotels are overwhelmed," he says.

    Oppenheim says he sent a client to a rental property which was listed for $13,000 (?11,000) a month. "(My client) offered $20,000 (?16,400) a month and he offered to pay six months upfront and the landlord said 'no, I want $23,000 (?19,000) a month'," he says.

    "There are price gouging laws in California, they are just being ignored right now...it's illegal to take advantage of a natural disaster."

    Share

    2025年1月19日
  • DannyRew

    A year ago today, things went from bad to worse for Boeing
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    At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn’t last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.

    As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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    Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse — even a fatal crash.

    Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.

    The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year’s worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
    But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing’s fault.

    And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.

    Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.

    It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.

    2025年1月19日
  • WesleyTrita

    Scientists have identified an estimated 10% of all species on Earth. Here’s what they found in 2024
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    A toothy toadstool. A vegetarian piranha with a distinctive mark. And a pygmy pipehorse floating in the Indian Ocean shallows.

    These wild wonders were among the hundreds of previously unknown species of animals, plants and fungi that scientists named and described for the first time in 2024, expanding our surprisingly limited knowledge of Earth’s diversity.

    “Scientists estimate that we’ve identified only one-tenth of all species on Earth,” said Dr.
    Shannon Bennett, chief of science at the California Academy of Sciences, in a statement.

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    “While it is critical to place protections on known threatened species, we must also allocate resources towards identifying unknown species that may be just as important to the functioning of an ecosystem,” Bennett said.

    Researchers connected to the institution described 138 new species in 2024, including 32 fish. One standout was a pygmy pipehorse named Cylix nkosi. The seahorse relative was originally found in 2021 in the cool temperate waters surrounding the North Island of New Zealand, but the species described this year was discovered in the subtropical waters off South Africa, expanding the known range of this group to the Indian Ocean

    “South African reefs present notoriously difficult diving conditions with rough weather and intense, choppy waves — we knew we only had one dive to find it,” underwater photographer and marine biologist Richard Smith said in a statement.
    “This species is also quite cryptic, about the size of a golf tee, but luckily we spotted a female camouflaged against some sponges about a mile offshore on the sandy ocean floor.”

    The researchers involved in describing the new species chose nkosi as its name. A reference to the local Zulu word for “chief,” the name reflects the species’ crown-like head shape and acknowledges South Africa’s KwaZulu-Natal province where it was found.

    2025年1月19日
  • Jeromesup

    The survivors of recent crashes were sitting at the back of the plane. What does that tell us about airplane safety?
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    Look at the photos of the two fatal air crashes of the last two weeks, and amid the horror and the anguish, one thought might come to mind for frequent flyers.

    The old frequent-flyer adage is that sitting at the back of the plane is a safer place to be than at the front — and the wreckage of both Azerbaijan Airlines flight 8243 and Jeju Air flight 2216 seem to bear that out.
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    The 29 survivors of the Azeri crash were all sitting at the back of the plane, which split into two, leaving the rear half largely intact. The sole survivors of the South Korean crash, meanwhile, were the two flight attendants in their jumpseats in the very tail of the plane.

    So is that old adage — and the dark humor jokes about first and business class seats being good until there’s a problem with the plane — right after all?

    In 2015, TIME Magazine reporters wrote that they had combed through the records of all US plane crashes with both fatalities and survivors from 1985 to 2000, and found in a meta-analysis that seats in the back third of the aircraft had a 32% fatality rate overall, compared with 38% in the front third and 39% in the middle third.

    Even better, they found, were middle seats in that back third of the cabin, with a 28% fatality rate. The “worst” seats were aisles in the middle third of the aircraft, with a 44% fatality rate.
    But does that still hold true in 2024?

    According to aviation safety experts, it’s an old wives’ tale.

    “There isn’t any data that shows a correlation of seating to survivability,” says Hassan Shahidi, president of the Flight Safety Foundation. “Every accident is different.”

    “If we’re talking about a fatal crash, then there is almost no difference where one sits,” says Cheng-Lung Wu, associate professor at the School of Aviation of the University of New South Wales, Sydney.

    Ed Galea, professor of fire safety engineering at London’s University of Greenwich, who has conducted landmark studies on plane crash evacuations, warns, “There is no magic safest seat.”

    2025年1月19日
  • KeithBut

    What New Glenn will do
    In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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    The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
    Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.

    New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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    New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
    New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.

    SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.

    “I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.

    The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.

    Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.

    Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.

    2025年1月19日
  • Jaredses

    What’s on board this flight
    Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.

    But delays with the rocket’s development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a “demonstrator” that will test technology needed for the company’s proposed Blue Ring spacecraft — which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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    The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate “communications capabilities from orbit to ground” as well as “test its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.”

    The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense’s Defense Innovation Unit.
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    Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
    Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.

    “Reusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,” the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
    Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 — two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
    “It’s not a copy cat game,” Henry said. “Blue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it’s much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it’s taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.”

    If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket’s upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.

    2025年1月19日
  • HarryCib

    Most plane crashes are ‘survivable’
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    First, the good news. “The vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,” says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft — and the seats inside them — must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, “it’s possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.”

    For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable — an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. “Had it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it’s quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,” he says.

    The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a “miracle” that anyone made it out alive.
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    Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not — as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash — shot out of the sky.

    And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a “survivable” accident at at least 90%.

    Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.

    Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation — practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers’ premises — is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
    Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most “survivable” seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.

    His analysis of which exits passengers actually used “shattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,” he says. “Prior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.”

    2025年1月19日
  • HermanpussY

    A year ago today, things went from bad to worse for Boeing
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    At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn’t last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.

    As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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    Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse — even a fatal crash.

    Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.

    The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year’s worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
    But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing’s fault.

    And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.

    Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.

    It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.

    2025年1月19日
  • Forrestsow

    What’s on board this flight
    Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.

    But delays with the rocket’s development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a “demonstrator” that will test technology needed for the company’s proposed Blue Ring spacecraft — which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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    The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate “communications capabilities from orbit to ground” as well as “test its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.”

    The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense’s Defense Innovation Unit.
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    Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
    Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.

    “Reusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,” the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
    Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 — two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
    “It’s not a copy cat game,” Henry said. “Blue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it’s much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it’s taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.”

    If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket’s upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.

    2025年1月19日
  • Kevinrig

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    2025年1月19日