IEXS盈十证券汇市分析|美联储博斯蒂克:视通胀情况而定,可能在9月暂停加息

2022年05月24日 11026点热度 42人点赞 2,487条评论
基本面
​美指
美联储博斯蒂克:视通胀情况而定,可能在9月暂停加息
亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克表示,在接下来两次会议每次加息50个基点之后,可在9月暂停加息,具体要看通胀的情况。如果通货膨胀持续高企,9月可能加息25或50个基点。他预计今年的通胀率仍在3%的高位。
   
黄金
拉加德巩固7月加息的预期,其加息计划引起部分激进人士的不快
周一,欧洲央行行长拉加德称10多年来的首次加息可能会发生在7月,但淡化了在经济增长引发担忧之际加息50个基点的可能性。她称“很可能”将在第三季度末结束负利率政策,预计净资产购买计划将在第三季度初结束。
美国发现第三例疑似猴痘病例
当地时间5月22日,美国卫生部门称,可能已在该国国内发现了第三例猴痘病例,正在对佛罗里达州的一名病人进行检测,以确认其是否感染。
  
原油
拜登:希望欧佩克提高石油产量
美国总统拜登表示,战略石油储备的释放不足以满足需求,希望欧佩克提高石油产量。国际能源署署长比罗尔呼吁,希望拥有闲置产能的产油国做出积极贡献。据沙特阿美CEO称,目前全球的闲置石油产能不足2%。
  
技术面
美元指数
市场行情整理: 
美元指数在103关口下方持续走软,最终收跌0.932%,报102.09。美国10年期国债收益率盘中维持坚挺,最终收报2.861%。
观点整理:
今日给予看空美元指数的判断,也就是可择机逢高沽空美元指数,虽然目前价格已走了不少,但是今日美元指数存在着较大可能性会产生波动,所以机会也还是存在,只要选择好合适布局点位
  
黄金
市场行情整理:
周一现货黄金延续涨势,日内最高触及1865.25美元/盎司,美盘时段回吐部分涨幅,最终收涨0.39%,报1853.59美元/盎司
观点整理:
 虽然隔夜美元延续跌势,一度帮助金价涨至1865附近,但该位置附近阻力极强,而且美国股市反弹,美债收益率回升,欧洲央行强化了7月份加息的预期,本周将迎美联储大概率偏向鹰派,都对金价不利。
  
原油
市场行情整理:
国际油价方面,两油波幅收窄。WTI原油在110美元关口附近震荡,最终收涨0.04%,报110.56美元/桶;布伦特原油最终收跌0.70%,报113.33美元/桶。
观点整理:
经济衰退和石油消费减弱的担忧压过对全球供应紧张及亚洲燃料需求回升的预期,此外一些投资者预计油价上涨会抑制全球燃料的消费,再加上猴痘病毒也增加市场担忧情绪,美国股指期货周二普遍下跌,亚洲股市普遍下跌,也在短线拖累油价表现。

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