人民币汇率连贬七周 专家:不会出现趋势性贬值

2021年04月09日 9446点热度 0人点赞 2,219条评论

继2020年6月以来持续升值后,人民币(6.55110.00860.13%)兑美元汇率一段时间以来呈现波动态势。清明节假期前,人民币兑美元一度连续七周下跌,创去年12月以来新低。

人民币汇率波动对出口企业和居民跨境消费有着广泛影响。近期的人民币兑美元贬值,意味着境内企业的出口商品以美元计价时价格降低,而境内居民购买以美元计价的商品和服务时成本更高。

接下来,人民币汇率走势将会如何?对此,多位专家向时代周报记者表示,由于预计短期内美元将保持强劲,因此人民币可能仍面临一定的贬值压力。

人民币汇率连贬七周 专家:不会出现趋势性贬值

双向波动新常态

从去年5月底到今年2月末,在岸人民币兑美元收盘价从最低7.13左右大幅升高至最高6.43左右。这一过程中,金融市场对于人民币保持升值走势产生了较强预期。部分机构曾预计,人民币汇率在2021年年底前将升值至6.32附近,甚至有机构预测年内人民币有可能升破6。

然而,进入2月以来,此前显著的升值趋势有所反转。截至4月2日,也就是清明节假期前的最后一个交易日,在岸人民币兑美元收盘价跌至6.57。而根据最新数据显示,4月8日人民币兑美元中间价下调79个基点,报6.5463。

国家外汇管理局国际收支司原司长、中银证券全球首席经济学家管涛4月7日在新华社主办的《经济参考报》刊文表示,近期人民币汇率回落,仍属于健康、正常的调整,反映人民币汇率步入了双向波动的新常态。管涛还指出,双向波动有助于缓解持续单边升值给国内企业造成的财务压力。

浙江宁波一位熟悉当地外贸企业的政府工作人员向时代周报记者表示,当前工业原材料价格和工资水平处于上升态势中,再加上人民币此前升值势头,给企业造成了一定的成本压力。

短期来看,较大规模的出口企业具有汇率风险管理机制,而规模较小的出口企业则更容易受到汇率升值的冲击。“小企业大多只能‘靠天吃饭’。”上述政府工作人员透露,部分企业为了维系老客户,会等待汇率回落时再对前期接下的订单进行交付结算。

对于接下来人民币汇率的走势, 摩根士丹利华鑫证券首席经济学家章俊在接受时代周报记者采访时预计,短期内人民币兑美元汇率会经历一些回调,但他并不认为会出现趋势性的贬值。“长期而言,人民币汇率依然会在一个区间内双向波动。”

影响人民币兑美元汇率的一个主要因素在于中国与美国利率水平的差异,而利率水平可在很大程度上反应经济状况。金融机构通常用两国基准的十年期国债收益率来进行对比。章俊分析说,只要美国的通胀格局不发生根本变化,今年中美10年期国债利差可能保持在100至150个基点左右。“这是一个比较合理的水平,不会造成(中国境内)资本大幅流出。”

中美利差收窄,美元指数(92.0577-0.0159-0.02%)短期强势

2020年初,美国经济遭受新冠肺炎疫情重创,十年期美国国债收益率一度跌至0.5%的低位。中国经济则率先走出疫情影响,利率水平也快速回升。十年期中国国债收益率于去年9月前后便已恢复到疫情前水平,并于当年11月中旬创下3.34%的年内高点。

这使得中美利差在2020年下半年一度达到250个基点以上(1个基点代表0.01%)的历史性高位,也是导致此前一个阶段人民币兑美元大幅升值的主要原因之一。

而近几个月来,随着美国疫苗接种进度加快,且拜登政府出台了新一轮大规模经济刺激计划,美国经济复苏预期有所升温。这种情况下,中美利差正呈现大幅收窄的态势。时代周报记者梳理数据发现,截至4月2日,中美十年期国债收益率利差已经收缩至149个基点。

“人民币升值的趋势可能暂时受阻,因为美元短期有可能会持续走强。人民币2020年下半年的走强,主要受美元走弱推动。同样,人民币目前的走弱,也是受美元走强的推动。” 国家金融与发展实验室特聘高级研究员戴险峰如是告诉时代周报记者。

截至4月7日,美元指数收于92.45,去年年底时则一度跌破90。美元指数用于衡量美元兑欧元(1.19150.00020.02%)、日元等六种主要货币的汇率变化,其中并不包括人民币。美元指数走强,是由于美国与欧元区等经济体利差扩大,而这背后是因为美国经济的表现相对这些经济体而言更好。

戴险峰说,未来两个月后,疫苗在美国可能就会全面普及,美国经济因此有望迅速反弹,并且在未来几个月都有可能维持相对优势,“这会在短期内推动美元的强势。”

不仅如此,中美经济表现的差距也可能较去年缩小。章俊分析说,去年中国经济基本面明显优于海外,这为人民币持续走强提供了动力。“现在来看,全球疫情一定程度上得到控制、疫苗正在广泛接种,海外、特别是发达国家经济都在持续复苏。中国与海外经济基本面的差异也随之在收窄。”他对记者表示。

事实也确实如此,国际货币基金组织(IMF)4月6日发布的最新预测数据显示,美国经济今年预计增长6.4%,中国今年预计将增长8.4%。

恒生银行(中国)首席经济学家王丹在接受时代周报记者采访时认为,今年二、三季度,人民币贬值力量可能会占据主导。但从长期来看,由于中国的实际生产率预期增速高于美国,人民币仍会面临实际升值的压力。

美元指数回升的势头未来也可能逆转。戴险峰认为,当全球经济都从疫情中走出时,资金可能再次从美国流出,尤其是流入发展中国家,以寻求更高的回报——这会使得美元再次走弱。但由于今年发展中国家在疫苗接种方面都会落后于发达国家,因此他预计,发展中国家经济反弹更快的情况会更晚,或许要到2022年才会出现,从而推迟美元再次走弱的时间。

基于目前的人民币汇率波动情况,王丹建议企业和居民根据自身财务状况做好风险对冲。“中国小企业在过去会依赖自身对于货币走势的判断,甚至希望从波动中盈利,但由于巨大的市场不确定性,未来需要尽力做到‘风险中性’。”

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    Но некий административный статус у фонда, видимо, остался – учитывая, что его в августе возглавил Валерий Лях, который долгое время – до своего бегства из страны с началом СВО – возглавлял Департамент противодействия недобросовестным практикам ЦБ РФ (департамент этот Набиуллина ликвидировала из-за заказных включений этим департаментом компаний и организаций в предупредительный список ЦБ).

    Ремарка: Лях по-прежнему, судя по всему, не в России – и руководит Фондом по защите прав вкладчиков и акционеров из-за рубежа, иначе как объяснить его систематическую неявку на суд по уголовному делу, в котором он является свидетелем? Кстати, Прокуратура Санкт-Петербурга проявляет к нему удивительную деликатность, отказываясь обеспечить его привод в суд – не потому ли, что Лях как хочет вертит прокуратурой, по крайней мере прокуратурой Северной столицы, и она фактически выполняет его заказ?

    Фонд пытается отобрать активы на 16 млрд рублей у 20 тыс. пайщиков – при этом все, в том числе так называемые потерпевшие по уголовному делу, получат от фонда не более 35 тыс. рублей! Это черным по белому записано в уставе фонда и многократно подтверждено его сотрудниками. Фонд живет за счет отнятых у организаций денег – он не станет делиться ни с кем, кроме коррумпированных правоохранителей, которые помогают ему отобрать деньги у честных людей!

    Очевидна связь фонда с атаками на кооператив «Бест Вей», которая была заметна задолго до уголовного дела. Фонд от своего имени, на своем сайте, не имеющем лицензии СМИ, публиковал хейтерские статьи о кооперативе.

    Хейтеры – сообщники рейдеров

    Потом были созданы высокобюджетные хейтерские телеграм-канал и сайт, причем работающие в теснейшей связке с бригадой гособвинителей из питерской прокуратуры – публикующие в реальном времени информацию из уголовного дела: только выступил свидетель – и в течение часа появляется документ из уголовного дела. Хейтерскими ресурсами занимаются, в частности, Михаил Степанов и Белла Кесельман, подробная информация о которых готовится к публикации.

    Гособвинители даже публиковали там свои телефоны – для оперативного консультирования выступающих в суде со стороны обвинения: госуслуги на высшем уровне!

    То есть государство срастается с бандитской организацией, обслуживающей частные интересы Ляха и его партнеров. Имена всех хейтеров установлены!

    Малиновская – шестерка коррупционеров

    На этой же стороне выступила судья по гражданским делам Приморского районного суда Малиновская – которая просто подмахнула иск прокуратуры о признании кооператива незаконным, фактически без разбирательства: борьба с этим иском предстоит теперь в Санкт-Петербургском городском суде, в который поступит не только жалоба кооператива, но и тысячи жалоб со стороны пайщиков кооператива, законные интересы которых в нарушение ГК и ГПК не были учтены при рассмотрении этого иска.

    Судья Малиновская помогает обворовывать народ. Малиновская, ущемляя интересы народа, отбирая активы у кооператива и жилье у граждан, провоцирует дестабилизацию в стране. И справляется с этим блестяще! Она пытается отобрать у людей жилье и накопления в народном кооперативе. У военных, фронтовиков, семей фронтовиков!

    Она отбирает жилье у честных людей. Ущемляет военных, которые создали кооператив «Бест Вей» и вошли в него со своими семьями. Тем самым подрывает веру в президента, который наделил ее полномочиями.

    Государство и народ

    Государство, выступая от имени народа, на самом деле грабит этот самый народ. Фонд Ляха и его ручные хейтеры устраивают все так, что народ и компании они обворовывают с помощью народного государства, прокуратурой и судьями которого они манипулируют, чтобы они помогали Ляху грабить народ.

    Организаторам атаки на кооператив, использующим государственные институты в личных интересах, следует иметь в виду вот что. Нет ничего страшнее народа, доведенного до отчаяния беспредельными полицейскими, продажными прокурорами и несправедливыми судьями!

    Нет ничего страшнее униженных людей, у которых отобрали накопления и жилье, которым уже нечего терять. Они дойдут до высших инстанций и добьются того, что их мнение будет услышано!

    2024年11月28日
  • HenryJeage

    Как вообще можно понимать ситуацию с <a href="https://www.pravda.ru/realty/2089299-paischiki-best-vei/">Бест Вей</a>? Для многих он стал спасением. Вот прочитал историю Светланы Кучмар, риелтора. Она человек опытный, с 23-летним стажем работы. Если кто-то понимает, как работают сделки с недвижимостью, так это она. И что? Она вступила в кооператив, проверила все документы, получила квартиру без головной боли, без странных комиссий. Даже сейчас, несмотря на сложности, Светлана говорит, что проблемы начались не из-за кооператива, а из-за действий правоохранительных органов. На кой черт арестовывать счета организации, если люди платят, получают свои квартиры и довольны? Это просто разнос системы, которая работает и угрожает банковской монополии. Зачем же другим-то дать шанс?
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    2024年11月28日
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    The Italian village offering $1 homes to Americans upset by the US election result was one of our top stories on CNN Travel this week.

    Like many other places in rural Italy (such as Sambuca in Sicily), the Sardinian village of Ollolai has an ongoing campaign to persuade outsiders to move there to revive the town’s fortunes. Focusing on the US election result is its latest strategy.

    Despite all the houses going on offer, working visas to Italy are still very limited. Professional musicians Zeneba Bowers and Matt Walker gave up their Tennessee home in 2019 and moved to a village north of Rome after securing super-rare self-employed visas. Here’s how they did it.

    California woman Chelsea Waite says it was “nothing less than a miracle” when she snagged the new digital nomad visa that launched in April 2024, although there have been few accounts of people getting hold of one. Here’s how it fell into place for the self-employed public relations professional.

    For well-heeled Americans who set their sights beyond Italy, the options are greater. Interest in citizenship-by-investment “golden visas” has soared since the election, according to consultants who help the wealthy migrate.
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    Parma ham is one of Italy’s tastiest exports, but fans of the cured delicacy should prepare themselves for potential disappointment as a crisis threatens supplies and drives up prices.

    Over in the world of dairy, this year’s World Cheese Awards saw 4,786 cheeses from 47 countries assembled in the Portuguese city of Viseu to face judges’ scrutiny. The winning coagulated curd was a “voluptuous … match of protein and fat,” one juror said.

    Finally, in the disputed Kashmir region of India, bakers are producing breads that could rival France. The rich bread culture is a legacy of the Silk Road trade route that once passed through the region.

    2024年11月29日
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    The Italian village offering $1 homes to Americans upset by the US election result was one of our top stories on CNN Travel this week.

    Like many other places in rural Italy (such as Sambuca in Sicily), the Sardinian village of Ollolai has an ongoing campaign to persuade outsiders to move there to revive the town’s fortunes. Focusing on the US election result is its latest strategy.

    Despite all the houses going on offer, working visas to Italy are still very limited. Professional musicians Zeneba Bowers and Matt Walker gave up their Tennessee home in 2019 and moved to a village north of Rome after securing super-rare self-employed visas. Here’s how they did it.

    California woman Chelsea Waite says it was “nothing less than a miracle” when she snagged the new digital nomad visa that launched in April 2024, although there have been few accounts of people getting hold of one. Here’s how it fell into place for the self-employed public relations professional.

    For well-heeled Americans who set their sights beyond Italy, the options are greater. Interest in citizenship-by-investment “golden visas” has soared since the election, according to consultants who help the wealthy migrate.
    Ham, cheese and bread
    Parma ham is one of Italy’s tastiest exports, but fans of the cured delicacy should prepare themselves for potential disappointment as a crisis threatens supplies and drives up prices.

    Over in the world of dairy, this year’s World Cheese Awards saw 4,786 cheeses from 47 countries assembled in the Portuguese city of Viseu to face judges’ scrutiny. The winning coagulated curd was a “voluptuous … match of protein and fat,” one juror said.

    Finally, in the disputed Kashmir region of India, bakers are producing breads that could rival France. The rich bread culture is a legacy of the Silk Road trade route that once passed through the region.

    2024年11月29日
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    The Italian village offering $1 homes to Americans upset by the US election result was one of our top stories on CNN Travel this week.

    Like many other places in rural Italy (such as Sambuca in Sicily), the Sardinian village of Ollolai has an ongoing campaign to persuade outsiders to move there to revive the town’s fortunes. Focusing on the US election result is its latest strategy.

    Despite all the houses going on offer, working visas to Italy are still very limited. Professional musicians Zeneba Bowers and Matt Walker gave up their Tennessee home in 2019 and moved to a village north of Rome after securing super-rare self-employed visas. Here’s how they did it.

    California woman Chelsea Waite says it was “nothing less than a miracle” when she snagged the new digital nomad visa that launched in April 2024, although there have been few accounts of people getting hold of one. Here’s how it fell into place for the self-employed public relations professional.

    For well-heeled Americans who set their sights beyond Italy, the options are greater. Interest in citizenship-by-investment “golden visas” has soared since the election, according to consultants who help the wealthy migrate.
    Ham, cheese and bread
    Parma ham is one of Italy’s tastiest exports, but fans of the cured delicacy should prepare themselves for potential disappointment as a crisis threatens supplies and drives up prices.

    Over in the world of dairy, this year’s World Cheese Awards saw 4,786 cheeses from 47 countries assembled in the Portuguese city of Viseu to face judges’ scrutiny. The winning coagulated curd was a “voluptuous … match of protein and fat,” one juror said.

    Finally, in the disputed Kashmir region of India, bakers are producing breads that could rival France. The rich bread culture is a legacy of the Silk Road trade route that once passed through the region.

    2024年11月29日
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    The Italian village offering $1 homes to Americans upset by the US election result was one of our top stories on CNN Travel this week.

    Like many other places in rural Italy (such as Sambuca in Sicily), the Sardinian village of Ollolai has an ongoing campaign to persuade outsiders to move there to revive the town’s fortunes. Focusing on the US election result is its latest strategy.

    Despite all the houses going on offer, working visas to Italy are still very limited. Professional musicians Zeneba Bowers and Matt Walker gave up their Tennessee home in 2019 and moved to a village north of Rome after securing super-rare self-employed visas. Here’s how they did it.

    California woman Chelsea Waite says it was “nothing less than a miracle” when she snagged the new digital nomad visa that launched in April 2024, although there have been few accounts of people getting hold of one. Here’s how it fell into place for the self-employed public relations professional.

    For well-heeled Americans who set their sights beyond Italy, the options are greater. Interest in citizenship-by-investment “golden visas” has soared since the election, according to consultants who help the wealthy migrate.
    Ham, cheese and bread
    Parma ham is one of Italy’s tastiest exports, but fans of the cured delicacy should prepare themselves for potential disappointment as a crisis threatens supplies and drives up prices.

    Over in the world of dairy, this year’s World Cheese Awards saw 4,786 cheeses from 47 countries assembled in the Portuguese city of Viseu to face judges’ scrutiny. The winning coagulated curd was a “voluptuous … match of protein and fat,” one juror said.

    Finally, in the disputed Kashmir region of India, bakers are producing breads that could rival France. The rich bread culture is a legacy of the Silk Road trade route that once passed through the region.

    2024年11月29日
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    2024年11月30日
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    2024年11月30日
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    Работа вебкам моделью требует определённых навыков и подходит не всем. В данной статье мы рассмотрим основные аспекты этой профессии, преимущества и недостатки, а также дадим советы тем, кто интересуется этой областью труда. Погрузитесь в мир онлайн-развлечений и узнайте о том, как можно успешно работать в качестве вебкам модели!

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    Вступление: Работа вебкам моделью предоставляет женщинам уникальные возможности для заработка и самовыражения. Стремительное развитие индустрии онлайн развлечений создает новые перспективы для желающих работать в этой сфере. Вебкам модели могут работать из уюта своего дома, устанавливать гибкий график и самостоятельно регулировать свою деятельность. Это позволяет максимально контролировать процесс работы и возможность достойного заработка.

    Требования и подготовка к работе вебкам моделью
    Для работы вебкам моделью девушке необходимо соответствовать определенным требованиям. Основные из них - возраст от 18 лет, привлекательная внешность, коммуникабельность, умение работать с камерой. Подготовка включает обучение основам видеотрансляций, создание привлекательного имиджа, освоение специфики работы на платформах для взрослых. Работа вебкам моделью требует самодисциплины, трудолюбия и готовности к ограниченной конфиденциальности.

    Техники и советы для успешной работы вебкам моделью
    Для успешной работы вебкам моделью важно использовать разнообразные техники и следовать полезным советам. Один из ключевых моментов – уверенность в себе и своем теле, что позволит привлекать больше зрителей. Также важно разнообразить свои выступления, предлагая различный контент, от общения с зрителями до показа стриптиза. Необходимо выделяться среди конкурентов, поддерживать хорошие отношения с зрителями и постоянно развивать свои навыки.

    Опасности и мифы о работе вебкам моделью
    Работа вебкам моделью для девушек часто окружена множеством опасностей и мифов. Одним из распространенных заблуждений является представление о том, что это обязательно связано с незаконной деятельностью или сексом. Однако, в реальности большинство вебкам моделей работают в рамках закона и предоставляют просто развлекательный контент. Важно помнить, что любая работа, включая эту, может иметь свои риски, и необходимо быть осмотрительным при выборе работодателя и общении с аудиторией.

    Психологические аспекты работы вебкам моделью: саморазвитие и поддержка
    Психологические аспекты работы вебкам моделью играют важную роль в успехе и благополучии девушек. Этот тип работы требует не только хорошей внешности, но и сильной психологической устойчивости. Развитие личности и самоподдержка становятся ключевыми факторами для успешной карьеры. Важно уделять внимание своей психической устойчивости, обучаться навыкам самоуправления и уметь находить поддержку в сложных ситуациях. Психологическое благополучие поможет вебкам модели добиться успеха и долгосрочной стабильности.

    2024年11月30日
  • Elliotovala

    “Our leader forever” was a slogan one often saw in Syria during the era of President Hafez al-Assad, father of today’s Syrian president.
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    The prospect that the dour, stern Syrian leader would live forever was a source of dark humor for many of my Syrian friends when I lived and worked in Aleppo in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

    Hafez al-Assad died in June 2000. He wasn’t immortal after all.
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    His regime, however, lives on under the leadership of his son Bashar al-Assad.

    There were moments when the Bashar regime’s survival looked in doubt. When the so-called Arab Spring rolled across the region in 2011, toppling autocrats in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya, and mass protests broke out in Yemen, Bahrain and Syria, some began to write epitaphs for the Assad dynasty.

    But Syria’s allies – Iran, Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Russia – came to the rescue. For the past few years the struggle in Syria between a corrupt, brutal regime in Damascus and a divided, often extreme opposition seemed frozen in place.

    Once shunned by his fellow Arab autocrats, Bashar al-Assad was gradually regaining the dubious respectability Arab regimes afford one another.

    2024年12月2日
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    Four friends posed for a photo on vacation in 1972. Over 50 years later, they recreated it
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    In the photo, four young women walk arm in arm, smiling and laughing, on a beach promenade. They’re dressed in mini skirts and flip flops, and there’s what looks like a 1960s Ford Corsair in the background. This is clearly a snapshot from a bygone era, but there’s something about the picture — the womens’ expressions, their laughs — that captures a timeless and universal feeling of joy, youth and adventure.

    For the four women in the photo, Marion Bamforth, Sue Morris, Carol Ansbro and Mary Helliwell, the picture is a firm favorite. Taken over 50 years ago on a group vacation to the English seaside town of Torquay, Devon, the photo’s since become symbolic of their now decades-long friendship. Whenever they see the picture, they’re transported back to the excitement of that first trip together.

    “It’s always been our memory of Torquay,” Sue Morris tells CNN Travel. “The iconic photograph — which is why I got the idea of trying to recreate it.”

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    Bamforth, Morris, Ansbro and Helliwell were 17 when the photo was taken, “by one of these roving photographers that used to roam the promenade and prey on tourists like us,” as Morris recalls it.

    It was the summer of 1972 and the four high school classmates — who grew up in the city of Halifax, in the north of England — were staying in a rented caravan in coastal Devon, in southwest England. It was a week of laughs, staying out late, flirting with boys in fish and chip shops, sunburn, swapping clothes, sharing secrets and making memories by the seaside.

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  • JosephFop

    The Australian city that became a global food and drink powerhouse
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    Sydney or Melbourne? It’s the great Australian city debate, one which pits the commerce, business and money of Sydney against cultural, arts-loving, coffee-drinking Melbourne.

    While picking one can be tricky, there’s no denying that Australia’s second city, home to 5.2 million people, has a charm all of its own.

    Melburnians (never Melbournites) get to enjoy a place where nature is close by, urban delights are readily available and the food and drink scene isn’t just the best in Australia, but also one of the finest in the world.
    There’s no better way to start a trip to Melbourne than with a proper cup of coffee. Coffee is serious stuff here, with no room for a weak, burnt or flavorless brew. The history of coffee in Melbourne goes back to the years after World War II, when Italian immigrants arrived and brought their machines with them.

    Within 30 years, a thriving cafe scene had developed and, as the 21st century dawned, the city had become the epicenter of a new global coffee culture. The iconic Pellegrini’s on Bourke Street and Mario’s in the Fitzroy neighborhood are the best old-school hangouts, while Market Lane helped lead the way in bringing Melbourne’s modern-day coffee scene to the masses.
    Kate Reid is the best person to speak with about Melbourne’s coffee obsession. The founder of Lune Croissanterie, she was once a Formula 1 design engineer and has brought her expertise and precision to crafting the world’s best croissant, as well as knowing how to brew a coffee, and specifically a flat white, just the way it should be.

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    2024年12月10日
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    “We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
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    The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
    At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
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    How to survive a bear attack – or better yet, avoid one altogether
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    You’re out for a hike, reveling in glorious nature. Suddenly, you spot a bear. And the bear has spotted you, too. Would you know what to do next?

    Beth Pratt sure would.

    She was once on the Old Gardiner Road Trail in Yellowstone National Park, enjoying her run in wild nature. Her reverie came to an end when she came upon a grizzly bear eating flowers.

    “I stopped. It stood on its hind legs and looked at me. I knew that wasn’t a threatening gesture,” she told CNN Travel. “I’m not kidding, it waved its paw at me as if to say, ‘just go on your way,’ and went back to eating.”

    “And I walked slowly away and put some distance between us, and the encounter ended fine.”

    When it comes to dealing with bears, Pratt does have a thing or two on almost all the rest of us, though.

    She is the California regional executive director for the National Wildlife Federation, a job she’s had for more than 10 years. She worked in Yellowstone for several years – and once saw nine grizzlies in one day there.
    Finally, she lives on the border of Yosemite National Park, and bears will pass through her yard, including this one seen in the footage above in late September 2021.

    You can hear the enthusiasm in Pratt’s voice as she shares her bear bona fides and advice to make sure bear/human encounters are delightful, not dangerous.

    “A wild bear is a beautiful sight to see. It’s incredible to see them in the wild. I never had a bad experience with bears. What I try to get people to feel is respect, not fear, for bears. The animal usually wants to avoid the encounters.”

    2024年12月11日
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    You’ve come across a bison in the wild. It’s looking at you. Do you know what to do next?
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    A dangerous encounter with a territorial bison and the subsequent viral video were not what Rebecca Clark had in mind when she set out for Caprock Canyons State Park in early October 2022.

    She had been so enamored with Texas’ third-largest state park on her first solo hiking and camping trip there a year earlier that she decided to go back for more. Roughly two hours by car from either Lubbock or the Panhandle city of Amarillo, Caprock attracts visitors with big blue skies, brown and green prairielands and rugged red-rock formations.

    Caprock has another draw – its wild bison herd, about 350 strong in late 2022. But bison, the great symbolic animal of the Great Plains, weren’t on her radar. Until suddenly, they were.

    The Texas resident recounted her experience with CNN’s Ed Lavandera, telling him that she came upon a herd while she was walking a trail back from Lake Theo.

    “I decided to just kind of wait for them to … get across the trail, and then I would pass them.” But they weren’t moving away fast enough for Clark. She said she decided to just walk by them – closer than the recommended safety distance. She was recording the moment on her smartphone.

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    2024年12月11日
  • JamesTroni

    They fell in love three decades ago. Now they pilot planes together
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    On their first flight together, Joel Atkinson and Shelley Atkinson couldn’t contain their excitement. They enthused to the flight attendants. They posed for photos. They told passengers via a pre-flight announcement.

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    Today, they’ve been married for 27 years and counting. They’ve brought up two kids together. And now they’re both pilots for Southwest Airlines. They regularly fly together, with Joel as captain and Shelley as first officer.

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    “People ask us, how does it work, flying together?” says Joel. “We know a few pilot couples and some of them fly together, some of them don’t. I’ve heard people say, ‘Oh I could never fly with my wife or my husband.’”

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    2024年12月11日
  • Roberttiems

    Bug-bitten oolong? The secret behind Taiwan’s rare honey-flavored tea — and where to enjoy it
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    As the leaves rustle atop the hills in Nantou, Taiwan’s largest tea-producing area, the farm suddenly comes alive, millions of tiny green bugs hopping into the air.

    While many farmers might frown at the sight of these pests munching on their crops, Lee Ming-cheng, a third-generation tea farmer and maker, can’t hide the broad smile on his sun-kissed face.

    This “green insect fog,” as locals call it, is a sign they’ll have a good harvest of Gui Fei Oolong (also known as Honey Flavor Dong Ding Oolong or Concubine Oolong), a special tea that’s prized for offering a hint of honey flavor.

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    2024年12月12日
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    ‘A short and significant relationship’: How a piano in a pickup builds connections
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    Dozens of internationally renowned recording artists give concerts in Vegas every year, but the musician who connects best with people might be a local troubadour who improvises on a piano in the back of his pickup.

    The maestro, Danny Kean, calls his setup The Traveling Piano, and he has traversed North America sharing music for nearly 20 years.

    Kean’s home base is Las Vegas now, and every time he plays, he invites passersby to climb aboard the truck and tickle the ivory for themselves. Even if people are shy or say they can’t do it, Kean usually convinces them to give it a try, inspiring total strangers to express themselves through the common language of music.

    He estimates more than 100,000 people have played his piano since 2006.

    For most of these impromptu virtuosos, the experience is cathartic — many of them step down from the truck in tears. For Kean, 69, the encounters nourish his soul.

    “I enjoy sharing my music with others, but I enjoy having others share theirs with me just as much,” he said. “My goal is to connect with others by creating a short and significant relationship. Music is a great facilitator for that in every way and on every level.”

    Kean does not accept fees or tips for these musical awakenings, giving away time and energy for nothing in return. He practices philanthropy in other ways, too, providing food and other necessities for the burgeoning population of unhoused individuals in downtown Las Vegas and around the Las Vegas Valley.

    “I love the idea of strangers becoming less afraid of each other,” he said. “This love for humanity drives me to keep doing good.”

    2024年12月12日
  • MichaelTrosy

    He thought the guy he met on vacation was just a fling. He turned out to be the love of his life
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    Guillermo Barrantes relationship with Larry Mock was supposed to begin and end in Palm Springs.

    It was a “casual, brief encounter.” A vacation dalliance that only lasted half a day.

    “It was just so casual, so easily nothing could have happened from it,” Guillermo tells CNN Travel. “We could have walked away and just had our lives separate. But of course that didn’t happen, because it wasn’t meant to be that way. It was meant to be the way that it was. That it is.”

    It all started in summer 2013. Guillermo - then in his early 40s - was on vacation in the California resort city of Palm Springs. He was in a phase of life where, he says, he was prioritizing himself, and wasn’t interested in long term romance.

    “I thrived in being by myself, in traveling by myself, in having dinner by myself – I loved all of that so much,” says Guillermo, who lived in Boston, Massachusetts at the time.

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    During the vacation in Palm Springs, Guillermo was staying at a friend’s apartment, and while the friend worked during the day, Guillermo passed his time at a “run-down, no-frills” resort a couple of blocks away.

    “You could just pay for a day pass, they’d give you a towel, and you could be in the pool and use their bar,” he recalls.

    One day, as he was walking the palm tree-lined streets to the resort, Guillermo swiped right on a guy on a dating app – Larry Mock, mid-40s, friendly smile. The two men exchanged a few messages back and forth. Larry said he was also on vacation in Palm Springs, staying in the resort Guillermo kept frequenting.

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    In China, people are hiring ‘climbing buddies’ for big money. The more attractive they are, the higher the price
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    Wendy Chen decided to challenge herself by climbing Mount Tai, a well-known mountain in eastern China.

    But there was one obstacle in her way: she couldn’t find a friend to join her for the five-hour trek.

    Rather than forgo her plans, the 25-year-old hired a “climbing buddy,” a young man with extensive outdoor experience, to accompany and support her to the 5,000-foot peak.

    Known in Chinese as “pei pa” (meaning “accompany to climb”), these are young Chinese men who join strangers on their journeys up popular mountains for a price. The trend has gained momentum this year, as hashtags related to “climbing buddy” have had over 100 million views on Chinese social media.

    Young, athletic individuals, often university students or even military veterans, advertise themselves on social media platforms like Xiaohongshu and Douyin, with profiles featuring their height, fitness level and hiking experience. They usually charge between 200 to 600 yuan ($30 to $85) per trip.

    During the climb, these “buddies” will do anything to distract their clients from feeling exhausted and push them to keep going: from singing, telling jokes, playing music, verbal encouragement, going so far as carrying their bags, holding their hands, and pulling them.
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    Chen and her climbing buddy’s adventure began at around 8:00 pm so she could arrive at the peak in time for the famous sunrise. After assessing her fitness level, her climbing buddy planned a moderate route and carried her backpack the whole way.

    When they faced chilling winds at the peak, Chen’s climbing buddy rented a thick coat for her while directing her to a walled shelter.

    At the moment the sun rose, Chen’s climbing buddy was already prepared with a national flag and other props so that she could take a memorable photo. Though she felt his photography skills still had room to improve, she rated her climbing buddy as “satisfactory.” The service cost her 350 yuan ($49).

    Though Chen paid a typical price for a climbing buddy, she acknowledges that more good-looking buddies can command higher rates.

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    Climbing buddies’ main customers tend to be single young women, but that’s slowly changing.

    A video of a strong male university student carrying a three-year-old effortlessly up a steep mountain — while the toddler’s mother trailed far behind — went viral this summer.

    2024年12月13日