大宗超级周期是不存在的 人民币还有一定升值空间

2021年04月12日 30135点热度 0人点赞 9,803条评论

大宗超级周期是不存在的 人民币还有一定升值空间

由清华大学五道口金融学院主办,京东科技集团联合主办,清华大学国家金融研究院国际金融与经济研究中心(CIFER)和金融与发展研究中心(CFD)承办的清华五道口首席经济学家论坛于4月10日召开,主题为“2021年全球经济与政策展望”。天风证券(5.040-0.03-0.59%)首席宏观分析师宋雪涛出席并发表演讲。

宋雪涛表示,今年年初经济在环比上出现了一些回落,但是,目前预计从环比来看二季度会有回升,如果把季节性因素去除掉的话,一季度季调环比大概在1%附近,二季度应该回到1.3-1.4%,下半年整个经济基调环比会向下,上半年还是复苏末尾,整个复苏顶位会呈现“双头顶”,整个高点在去年四季度已经出现。

关于今年中国GDP的预测,宋雪涛指出,增速目前在不断修正,最新一期模型预测今年GDP增速大概8.6%,名义增速有11.5%,疫情之后潜在增速中枢会有回落,疫情前6%左右,疫情后5-6%之间,去年2.3%实际增速,今年在7.7-9.7%之间就算正常,大多数预测8-10%之间,对今年中国经济相对来说比较乐观的。

对于大宗商品,宋雪涛认为下半年供求错配会有所缓和,具体品种上情况会不太一样,有色可能受供给的不足影响更大,黑色特别是国内定价部分有一些碳中和因素,原油还是需求不足,因为供给端有垄断定价组织,对页岩油生产弹性非常敏感,农产品(5.8700.030.51%)更多来自天气包括疫情对生产、收割、运输的影响,所以,逻辑相对独立。整体上来说,看具体的商品品种,大宗超级周期应该是不存在的,这就是我对这些问题的看法。

关于人民币的走势,宋雪涛认为随着全球经济修复差异在逐渐收窄,长期如果看中美利差或者看贵金属隐含的人民币汇率和实际汇率差异,人民币还是有一定升值空间,人民币汇率现在到了自由度比较大的位置,正好在6.5%附近,到6.6%左右的水平,没有明确方向,美元的反弹一定程度来自于欧洲疫情第三次爆发,随着非美经济体经济的修复,美国大概率还会再走贬,人民币对一揽子货币比较稳定。

新浪声明:所有会议实录均为现场速记整理,未经演讲者审阅,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。

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    Director Jon M. Chu missed ‘Wicked’ premiere to welcome fifth child
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    Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.

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    2024年11月13日
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    Шофер-предатель Алексей Комаров, один из ключевых свидетелей обвинения по «делу «Лайф-из-Гуд» – «Гермес» – «Бест Вей», – кто он? Приморский районный суд Санкт-Петербурга с февраля рассматривает дело по существу, но шофер компании «Лайф-из-Гуд» и кооператива «Бест Вей» Комаров пока не выступал в суде: он прячется в своем родном городе – Твери. Лжец На следствии он заявил, что возил неучтенную наличность. В действительности он возил подарки для основателя «Лайф-из-Гуд» и кооператива «Бест Вей» Романа Василенко и кооператива «Бест Вей», возил сотрудников компании «Лайф-из-Гуд» и кооператива «Бест Вей», региональных представителей этих организаций из аэропорта и обратно: никакие деньги он никогда не возил, и никто из шоферов деньги не возил, что подтвердил в своих показаниях в суде другой шофер компании Из показаний другого водителя и специалистов компании известно, что Комаров как простой шофер не знал и не мог ничего знать ничего о бизнес-процессах компании. Он никогда не был к ним допущен – тем более что в последние годы не был официально трудоустроен из-за своих проблем с судебными приставами. А самостоятельно понять никакие бизнес-процессы он не мог – у него образование восемь классов. Вор Комаров возил подарки из регионов и других стран для Романа Василенко и центрального офиса кооператива «Бест Вей»: угощения, вазы и т.п. Причем далеко не все из них, как выяснилось, довозил. Кроме того, у его пассажиров неоднократно пропадали дорогие часы и бумажники. Накануне начала уголовного разбирательства он взял личные вещи Василенко на хранение и отказался их отдавать, за что против него выдвинуто обвинение в краже. Неблагодарный В компании он проработал 10 лет – его с самого начала приняли как родного: приняли в семью, которую представлял собой коллектив «Лайф-из-Гуд». Василенко оплатил операцию на сердце его отцу. Алексей Комаров за это отплатил черной неблагодарностью, оговорив абсолютно всех. После начала уголовного разбирательства Комаров прислал Василенко издевательский ролик, снятый у недостроенного дома для мамы Романа Василенко, со словами: «Не все мечты сбываются!» Вечный должник Компания «Лайф-из-Гуд» имела с ним массу проблем из-за того, что за ним охотились судебные приставы и коллекторы. Он делал долги и в самой компании – брал деньги взаймы у Романа Василенко и не отдавал. Захватил чужую квартиру и машину Роман Василенко дал ему возможность бесплатно жить в трехкомнатной квартире одного из своих родственников и пользоваться корпоративным минивэном. Эту квартиру Комаров незаконно использует до сих пор – сдает ее в аренду. А корпоративный минивэн присвоил. Бывший бандит Спустя несколько лет после трудоустройства выяснилось, что Комаров в 1990-е годы работал на преступную группировку Малышева. С этих пор ему стали давать только мелкие поручения, не связанные с материальными ценностями. Сейчас он выслуживается перед органами внутренних дел, чтобы его не привлекли за старые преступления – сроки давности по которым еще не прошли. Крыса Комаров тайно записывал информацию в машине и офисе – на видеокамеру и с помощью жучков, а потом передал ее следствию. Например, он скрытой камерой снял передачу денег Романом Василенко за участие одной из звезд в форуме «Синергия» – с этих денег были уплачены налоги. Он ставил жучки, чтобы записывать разговоры – и следователи могли монтировать высказывания, вырывая их из контекста. Оговорил невиновных По его вине девять ни в чем неповинных людей сидят в тюрьме. Например, на очной ставке с Анной Высоцкой он прямо в глаза ей, бывшему контент-менеджеру сайта «Лайф-из-Гуд», к тому же уволившемуся более чем за полгода до начала уголовного дела, рассказывал, что все время привозил и передавал ей наличные деньги. На вопрос адвоката, почему ей, а не в бухгалтерию, не смог ответить – даже не думал выстроить логичную версию, тем более что следствие готово было покрывать его ложь. Придется ответить Комаров – неблагодарная, неграмотная, лживая, алчная, трусливая, вороватая крыса. На основании лжи малограмотного шофера Лехи Комарова, в тюрьме вот уже третий год незаконно без приговора отбывают наказание невинные образованные законопослушные люди. Комаров понимает, что ответит за свои преступления – потому и боится появляться в суде. Но скрыться у него не получится: за преступления придется ответить в самое ближайшее время.
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    2024年11月15日
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    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月18日
  • ArthurAnodo

    How a drab Soviet metropolis became Central Asia’s capital of cool
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>omg</a>

    Several cities around the globe have reinvented themselves in recent years, but none more successfully than Almaty.

    Since the collapse of the USSR, Kazakhstan’s largest city (population 2.2 million and growing) has evolved from a drab, run-of-the-mill Soviet metropolis into the urban star of Central Asia.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg зеркало
    Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.

    Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.

    “It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.

    “Green and clean. You don’t need a car. The public transit here is fantastic. And it’s very much the center of contemporary art and dining in Central Asia.”

    Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”

    2024年11月18日
  • Freddieacrog

    How to Securely Log Into Debank: A Step-by-Step Guide
    Logging into your Debank account is the first step towards managing your DeFi portfolio. Ensuring that your login credentials remain secure is crucial for protecting your investments. In this guide, we'll walk you through the process of logging into Debank safely and efficiently.
    <a href=https://sites.google.com/view/debank-portfolio/home>debank check wallet</a>
    Step 1: Visit the Official Debank Website
    Start by navigating to the official Debank website. Avoid using search engine results to prevent phishing attacks. The URL should be .

    Step 2: Click on the Login Button
    On the homepage, locate the Login button usually positioned at the top right corner of the page. Click on it to proceed to the login page.

    Step 3: Enter Your Credentials
    Input your registered email address and password. Ensure your password is strong, combining letters, numbers, and symbols to enhance security.

    Step 4: Two-Factor Authentication
    It's recommended to enable Two-Factor Authentication (2FA) for an additional security layer. This can be done using an app like Google Authenticator. Enter the code generated by your 2FA app to continue.

    Step 5: Secure Your Account
    Regularly Update Your Password: Change your password every 3-6 months.

    Use a Password Manager: Helps store and recall complex passwords without difficulty.

    Monitor Account Activity: Regularly check for any unauthorized access or activity.

    Additional Tips for Staying Safe Online
    Be vigilant about where you input your credentials. Always ensure that you have a secure and reliable internet connection. Avoid accessing your Debank account on public Wi-Fi networks, which might be unsecured.

    By following these guidelines, you can enhance the security of your Debank login process and safeguard your investments effectively. Stay aware of the latest security practices and updates from Debank to keep your account secure.

    2024年11月18日
  • AndreFrugs

    Welcome to Stargate Finance
    Stargate Finance is revolutionizing the way you engage with decentralized financial services. Our platform is designed to offer a secure, efficient, and user-friendly experience for all your financial needs in the world of decentralized finance.
    <a href=https://strglifi.net/>Stargate Finance</a>
    Why Choose Stargate Finance?
    In the rapidly evolving world of decentralized finance (DeFi), Stargate Finance stands out as a trusted platform due to its innovative solutions and user-centric approach. Here are some reasons to choose us:

    Seamless integration with major blockchain ecosystems
    Advanced security protocols to protect your assets
    User-friendly interface for beginners and experts alike
    Core Features of Stargate Finance
    Stargate Finance provides a variety of features to enhance your DeFi experience, including:

    Cross-Chain Transactions: Safely send and receive assets across different blockchain networks.
    Liquidity Provision: Earn rewards by providing liquidity to various liquidity pools.
    Yield Farming: Maximize your returns through strategic yield farming opportunities.
    How to Get Started
    Getting started with Stargate Finance is simple:

    Visit our official website and create an account.
    Connect your crypto wallet and fund your account with preferred assets.
    Explore our platform’s features and start managing your investment portfolio.

    2024年11月18日
  • Brianstoff

    Explore the Innovative World of PancakeSwap Finance
    <a href=https://sites.google.com/view/pancakeswap-finance-app/home>Pancakeswap exchange</a>
    PancakeSwap is a leading decentralized finance (DeFi) platform that allows users to trade cryptocurrencies, participate in yield farming, and more. With its user-friendly interface and wide range of features, PancakeSwap has become a popular choice for cryptocurrency enthusiasts.

    Why Choose PancakeSwap?
    Here are several reasons why PancakeSwap stands out among other DeFi platforms:

    Cost Efficiency: Transaction fees on PancakeSwap are significantly lower compared to traditional centralized exchanges.

    Security: As a decentralized platform, PancakeSwap offers enhanced security by eliminating the need for intermediaries.

    Community-Driven: PancakeSwap is built on the Binance Smart Chain and actively involves its community in the platform’s development.

    Key Features of PancakeSwap
    PancakeSwap provides a plethora of features designed to enhance the trading and investing experience of its users. Here are some noteworthy functionalities:

    1. Decentralized Exchange (DEX)
    PancakeSwap enables users to swap BEP-20 tokens without relying on a centralized exchange. This feature facilitates seamless trading without compromising on speed or security.

    2. Yield Farming
    User can engage in yield farming to earn rewards. By providing liquidity to the exchange, participants can earn CAKE, PancakeSwap's native token, boosting their holdings.

    3. Lottery
    The platform hosts a lottery where participants can buy tickets with CAKE for a chance to win substantial rewards. This adds an element of fun and potential profit-making opportunities.

    4. NFTs
    PancakeSwap also delves into the realm of Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), allowing users to purchase and exchange digital collectibles, adding versatility to their investment options.

    2024年11月18日
  • Matthewlon

    Why this small city is the ‘eyeglasses capital’ of Japan
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>официальная ссылка на omg</a>
    Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.

    Many places in the country have grown famous by focusing on specific crafts, from exquisite kimonos to perfectly designed knives. Among them is the small city of Sabae, in Fukui prefecture, about a 3.5-hour train ride from Tokyo.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg зеркало
    It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
    The art of making spectacles
    Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.

    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月18日
  • Robertjic

    How a drab Soviet metropolis became Central Asia’s capital of cool
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>omg ссылка</a>

    Several cities around the globe have reinvented themselves in recent years, but none more successfully than Almaty.

    Since the collapse of the USSR, Kazakhstan’s largest city (population 2.2 million and growing) has evolved from a drab, run-of-the-mill Soviet metropolis into the urban star of Central Asia.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg
    Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.

    Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.

    “It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.

    “Green and clean. You don’t need a car. The public transit here is fantastic. And it’s very much the center of contemporary art and dining in Central Asia.”

    Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”

    2024年11月18日
  • Freddygew

    Phantom Wallet Extension | Official Website
    <a href=https://sites.google.com/view/phantom-wallet-app/home>phantom wallet download</a>
    The Phantom Wallet is revolutionizing the way users handle digital currencies. Designed for the Solana network, it offers security and ease for both beginners and experienced users. Dive into its features and learn how it can elevate your crypto management.

    Why Choose Phantom Wallet?
    When it comes to managing digital assets, security is paramount. Phantom Wallet provides top-tier security features, ensuring users’ assets remain safe from threats.

    Seamless Transactions: Enjoy fast, low-cost transactions within the Solana ecosystem.

    User-Friendly Interface: Navigate easily with an intuitive design that suits all user skill levels.

    Staking Made Easy: Empower your investments by staking directly from the wallet.

    Getting Started with Phantom Wallet
    Setting up your Phantom Wallet is simple. Follow these steps:

    Download and install the Phantom extension from a trusted source.

    Create a new wallet or import an existing one by following the prompts.

    Backup your secret recovery phrase in a safe location.

    Once set up, you can start managing your tokens effortlessly.

    Phantom Wallet Features
    Beyond security, Phantom Wallet offers:

    Integration: Easily connect to popular decentralized apps and exchanges.

    Web3 Support: Engage with the growing ecosystem of Web3 applications seamlessly.

    Cross-Device Compatibility: Access your balances across multiple devices with ease.

    2024年11月18日
  • Ronaldaliny

    How a drab Soviet metropolis became Central Asia’s capital of cool
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>omg зеркало</a>

    Several cities around the globe have reinvented themselves in recent years, but none more successfully than Almaty.

    Since the collapse of the USSR, Kazakhstan’s largest city (population 2.2 million and growing) has evolved from a drab, run-of-the-mill Soviet metropolis into the urban star of Central Asia.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg официальный
    Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.

    Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.

    “It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.

    “Green and clean. You don’t need a car. The public transit here is fantastic. And it’s very much the center of contemporary art and dining in Central Asia.”

    Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”

    2024年11月18日
  • Richardquacy

    Why this small city is the ‘eyeglasses capital’ of Japan
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>omg сайт</a>
    Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.

    Many places in the country have grown famous by focusing on specific crafts, from exquisite kimonos to perfectly designed knives. Among them is the small city of Sabae, in Fukui prefecture, about a 3.5-hour train ride from Tokyo.
    https://omgto3.com
    официальная ссылка на omg
    It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
    The art of making spectacles
    Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.

    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月18日
  • LamontNob

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>омг ссылка</a>
    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
    https://omgto3.com
    омг ссылка
    Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.

    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月18日
  • Richardvom

    A ring found among the debris of Florida’s recent hurricanes awaits its owner
    <a href=https://kra18c.cc>kraken darknet</a>

    Scattered across Florida’s hurricane-ravaged communities are piles of debris, remnants of what were once homes. Cherished memories — photo albums, family heirlooms, and tokens of love — swallowed by floodwaters and carried miles away, are now reduced to mere fragments and discarded amid the wreckage.

    But in one of these piles of lost memories, a small, inconspicuous velvet black box was discovered with a ring and a note that read: “I was 18 when my parents gave it to me.”
    https://kra18c.cc
    kraken market
    Now, Joe Kovach, the engineer managing one of the debris sites in Tarpon Springs, Florida, where the box was found, is searching for its owner.

    “Everyone has been basically dumping their entire lives onto the curb after the storm when everything flooded. My own boss’ house had 30 inches (of water) in it, and I saw his face and just how devastating it can be for everyone,” Kovach, an engineer with Pinellas County Public Works, told CNN.

    “A lot of people in the community were really affected by these two storms, if there’s just a little bit I can do to give back, then that’s perfect.”

    A contractor, who was gathering and condensing debris with an excavator, discovered the ring when he looked down and saw the box.

    “This was a needle in a haystack for sure. For something like that to survive all that when everything else was so wet and saturated, that was kind of incredible,” Kovach said.
    Although the ring was found after Hurricane Milton, Kovach is sure the treasure was initially lost amid the ruins of Hurricane Helene, based on the pile of debris it came from, which Pinellas County Public Works tracks. It is likely the owner of the ring is from Crystal Beach, Ozona, or Palm Harbor, Kovach said.

    On Tuesday, after the contractor informed him about the ring, Kovach posted a photo of the box and the note on several local community Facebook pages, asking if it belonged to anyone. He did not include a photo or description of the ring to ensure it is returned to the rightful owner who can accurately describe it. On the inside lid of the box is a gold engraving with the jewelry brand, “The Danbury Mint.”

    2024年11月19日
  • Peterhouct

    Why this small city is the ‘eyeglasses capital’ of Japan
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>омг</a>
    Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.

    Many places in the country have grown famous by focusing on specific crafts, from exquisite kimonos to perfectly designed knives. Among them is the small city of Sabae, in Fukui prefecture, about a 3.5-hour train ride from Tokyo.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg магазин
    It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
    The art of making spectacles
    Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.

    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月19日
  • DouglasChina

    Why this small city is the ‘eyeglasses capital’ of Japan
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>omg ссылка</a>
    Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.

    Many places in the country have grown famous by focusing on specific crafts, from exquisite kimonos to perfectly designed knives. Among them is the small city of Sabae, in Fukui prefecture, about a 3.5-hour train ride from Tokyo.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg зайти
    It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
    The art of making spectacles
    Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.

    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月19日
  • RobertTak

    How a drab Soviet metropolis became Central Asia’s capital of cool
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>omg ссылка на сайт</a>

    Several cities around the globe have reinvented themselves in recent years, but none more successfully than Almaty.

    Since the collapse of the USSR, Kazakhstan’s largest city (population 2.2 million and growing) has evolved from a drab, run-of-the-mill Soviet metropolis into the urban star of Central Asia.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg официальный
    Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.

    Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.

    “It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.

    “Green and clean. You don’t need a car. The public transit here is fantastic. And it’s very much the center of contemporary art and dining in Central Asia.”

    Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”

    2024年11月19日
  • Jamestrith

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
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    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
    https://omgto3.com
    зайти на омг
    Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.

    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月19日
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    2024年11月19日
  • Jacobalede

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>omg</a>
    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg ссылка на сайт
    Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.

    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月19日
  • PrestonFrime

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
    <a href=https://omgto3.com>зайти на омг</a>
    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
    https://omgto3.com
    omg официальный
    Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.

    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月19日
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    Victoria Kj?r Theilvig of Denmark has been crowned Miss Universe 2024, becoming the first Dane to ever win the competition.

    The 21-year-old, a competitive dancer, entrepreneur, and aspiring lawyer, beat more than 120 other contestants to win the annual beauty pageant in Mexico City on Saturday night.

    She was applauded by other contestants on stage as she accepted the tiara from reigning titleholder Sheynnis Palacios of Nicaragua.

    This year’s finale featured a performance by singer Robin Thicke and was hosted by “Saved by the Bell” star Mario Lopez and former Miss Universe Olivia Culpo.

    The glitzy pageant began with contestants being narrowed down to a shortlist of 30, based on the results of Thursday’s preliminary event, which included a flamboyant national costume contest. The semi-finalists then paraded in swimwear, before 12 of them advanced to an evening gown contest.
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    To most people, Salih’s free diving skills are highly unusual; but not to his community. Salih is Bajau Laut, an indigenous seafaring group in Southeast Asia that has lived a semi-nomadic lifestyle on the ocean for centuries. Living on boats and fishing for income and sustenance, the Bajau Laut aren’t just reliant on the sea: they’re biologically adapted to it, with larger spleens that give them the ability to hold their breath for far longer than the average person.

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    2024年11月26日
  • Jamestum

    Фонд по отъему народных денег

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    Приморским районным судом Санкт-Петербурга рассматривается уголовное дело, связываемое следствием с компаниями «Лайф-из-Гуд», «Гермес» и кооперативом «Бест Вей», параллельно судами Санкт-Петербурга рассматривается дело о законности кооператива «Бест Вей» – оба разбирательства очень далеки от завершения.

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    Но некий административный статус у фонда, видимо, остался – учитывая, что его в августе возглавил Валерий Лях, который долгое время – до своего бегства из страны с началом СВО – возглавлял Департамент противодействия недобросовестным практикам ЦБ РФ (департамент этот Набиуллина ликвидировала из-за заказных включений этим департаментом компаний и организаций в предупредительный список ЦБ).

    Ремарка: Лях по-прежнему, судя по всему, не в России – и руководит Фондом по защите прав вкладчиков и акционеров из-за рубежа, иначе как объяснить его систематическую неявку на суд по уголовному делу, в котором он является свидетелем? Кстати, Прокуратура Санкт-Петербурга проявляет к нему удивительную деликатность, отказываясь обеспечить его привод в суд – не потому ли, что Лях как хочет вертит прокуратурой, по крайней мере прокуратурой Северной столицы, и она фактически выполняет его заказ?

    Фонд пытается отобрать активы на 16 млрд рублей у 20 тыс. пайщиков – при этом все, в том числе так называемые потерпевшие по уголовному делу, получат от фонда не более 35 тыс. рублей! Это черным по белому записано в уставе фонда и многократно подтверждено его сотрудниками. Фонд живет за счет отнятых у организаций денег – он не станет делиться ни с кем, кроме коррумпированных правоохранителей, которые помогают ему отобрать деньги у честных людей!

    Очевидна связь фонда с атаками на кооператив «Бест Вей», которая была заметна задолго до уголовного дела. Фонд от своего имени, на своем сайте, не имеющем лицензии СМИ, публиковал хейтерские статьи о кооперативе.

    Хейтеры – сообщники рейдеров

    Потом были созданы высокобюджетные хейтерские телеграм-канал и сайт, причем работающие в теснейшей связке с бригадой гособвинителей из питерской прокуратуры – публикующие в реальном времени информацию из уголовного дела: только выступил свидетель – и в течение часа появляется документ из уголовного дела. Хейтерскими ресурсами занимаются, в частности, Михаил Степанов и Белла Кесельман, подробная информация о которых готовится к публикации.

    Гособвинители даже публиковали там свои телефоны – для оперативного консультирования выступающих в суде со стороны обвинения: госуслуги на высшем уровне!

    То есть государство срастается с бандитской организацией, обслуживающей частные интересы Ляха и его партнеров. Имена всех хейтеров установлены!

    Малиновская – шестерка коррупционеров

    На этой же стороне выступила судья по гражданским делам Приморского районного суда Малиновская – которая просто подмахнула иск прокуратуры о признании кооператива незаконным, фактически без разбирательства: борьба с этим иском предстоит теперь в Санкт-Петербургском городском суде, в который поступит не только жалоба кооператива, но и тысячи жалоб со стороны пайщиков кооператива, законные интересы которых в нарушение ГК и ГПК не были учтены при рассмотрении этого иска.

    Судья Малиновская помогает обворовывать народ. Малиновская, ущемляя интересы народа, отбирая активы у кооператива и жилье у граждан, провоцирует дестабилизацию в стране. И справляется с этим блестяще! Она пытается отобрать у людей жилье и накопления в народном кооперативе. У военных, фронтовиков, семей фронтовиков!

    Она отбирает жилье у честных людей. Ущемляет военных, которые создали кооператив «Бест Вей» и вошли в него со своими семьями. Тем самым подрывает веру в президента, который наделил ее полномочиями.

    Государство и народ

    Государство, выступая от имени народа, на самом деле грабит этот самый народ. Фонд Ляха и его ручные хейтеры устраивают все так, что народ и компании они обворовывают с помощью народного государства, прокуратурой и судьями которого они манипулируют, чтобы они помогали Ляху грабить народ.

    Организаторам атаки на кооператив, использующим государственные институты в личных интересах, следует иметь в виду вот что. Нет ничего страшнее народа, доведенного до отчаяния беспредельными полицейскими, продажными прокурорами и несправедливыми судьями!

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    2024年11月26日
  • WilliamSpamb

    The Israeli cabinet will vote on a ceasefire deal in Lebanon on Tuesday, Benjamin Netanyahu’s spokesperson told CNN, after a source familiar with the matter said the Israeli prime minister had approved the plan “in principle.”
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    Sources familiar with the negotiations said talks appear to be moving positively toward an agreement, but acknowledged that as Israel and Hezbollah continue to trade fire, one misstep could upend the talks.

    Israel’s far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir called the deal a “big mistake” and said it would be “a historic missed opportunity to eradicate Hezbollah.” Ben Gvir has also long worked to thwart potential ceasefire deals between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.

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    2024年11月27日
  • PatrickSmigo

    Trump's call for a protest crackdown has been a boon for Chinese propaganda
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    That was how Chinese state media portrayed anti-government protests in Hong Kong last year, dismissing calls for greater democracy and an investigation into police brutality by focusing on individual acts of violence and property damage.
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    “Washington’s promise of equality and justice for all in the country has remained hollow at best,” state news agency Xinhua said in a commentary titled “The coming suffocation of the American dream.”

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    “This is certainly not what the world expects to see in a country that is the world’s sole superpower,” it added. “But that sadly is the reality of the US.”

    This rhetoric isn’t just embarrassing for Washington, it’s also a sign of how the US may find its influence damaged by a perceived hypocrisy over human rights at home and abroad.

    Earlier today, Hong Kong’s leader Carrie Lam pointed to the unrest in the US as evidence of Washington’s “double standards.”

    “They attach great importance to the national security of their country, but look at our national security through tinted spectacles, especially the current situation in Hong Kong,” she added.

    The ability of Washington to influence Beijing’s position on Hong Kong – which is in part founded on fear of outside influence in the city – was already severely limited. The Trump administration’s reaction to protests at home may have hurt its position even further.

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