
美联储意外点燃美元涨势、但美联储纪要恐已过时! 美元、欧元(1.2180, 0.0005, 0.04%)、英镑(1.4114, 0.0000, 0.00%)、日元、澳元(0.7744, 0.0023, 0.30%)最新操作建议
FX168财经报社(香港)讯 周三(5月19日),美元上涨,结束了连续四天的跌势,并从数月低点反弹,此前美联储公布了最新的货币政策会议纪要。
在会议纪要中,美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的一些成员表示,如果经济复苏继续获得动力,“在某个时候”讨论收紧宽松政策将是合适的,这将提振美元。
美联储会议纪要公布后,美国国债收益率触及日高。
衡量美元兑一篮子世界货币汇率的美元指数(90.1422, -0.0317, -0.04%)最近上涨逾0.5%,至90.29。
圣路易斯TIAA银行全球市场总裁Chris Gaffney表示:“美联储会议纪要的重要内容是提到了开始缩减量化宽松的谈判。任何有关美联储介入并提高利率的说法,都会对美元产生重大影响。”
不过,会议纪要是在关键经济数据发布之前发布的,这些数据显示劳动力市场进一步疲软,价格因供求失衡而飙升。
自那以来,美联储一再保证,近期价格飙升不会转化为长期通胀。
Gaffney补充称,“美联储通常是在唱同一首歌,即通胀将是暂时的。总的来说,他们在保持统一战线方面做得很好。”
美元也受益于广泛的避险情绪,美国主要股指下滑,加密货币暴跌。
Gaffney表示:“当我们看到比特币市场大幅撤离时,这表明投资者正在撤离风险资产,这对美元有利。这是向安全地带逃跑的信号。”
FXDailyReport撰文就美元、欧元、英镑、日元、澳元走势进行了分析预测并给出了操作策略:
美元指数
美元指数的看跌压力促使其收于90.00支撑位下方。今天没有继续看跌,该指数似乎在向上交投,并测试90.00关口。
如果该指数从当前水平大幅反弹,可能会令其重回看涨轨道。
欧元/美元
欧元/美元自去年1月以来首次收于1.2200上方。该货币对今天试图继续其看涨走势。它设法印出更高的高点,但目前已经逆转,在1.2200附近交易。
支撑:1.2070、1.2000、1.1820、1.1710
阻力:1.2200、1.2300
英镑/美元
英镑/美元的走势预计将继续指向上行。阻力位1.4325是上行目标。如果出现看跌修正,那么交易员将在1.4000附近观察该货币对的反应。只要该水平能够维持下去,该货币对就可能继续其看涨趋势。
支撑:1.4000、1.3835、1.3600
阻力:1.4325

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