这一工具再创新高 市场向美联储说:够了 QE已经过头了!

2021年05月28日 8509点热度 0人点赞 1,838条评论

这一工具再创新高 市场向美联储说:够了 QE已经过头了! 来源:华尔街见闻

  美联储隔夜逆回购工具使用规模周四升至4853亿美元,刷新2015年末创下的历史新高纪录,连续第八个交易日增加。分析称,美国关键短期利率有跌破0的风险,市场上流动性太多,有人说也许离缩减购债taper不远了。

从无人问津到需求量创新高,这是一个影响美国关键短期利率的美联储政策工具在短短两个月里的惊人变化。分析称,这是市场向央妈发出的最明确信号:QE够了,流动性过剩我们受不了了。

5月27日周四,负责美联储公开市场操作的纽约联储发布数据称,具有回笼流动性功能的美联储隔夜逆回购(O/N RRP)用量规模继续飙升,当日增至4853亿美元,创历史新高,连续第八个交易日增加,也持续超过去年3月新冠疫情高峰期的水平。

这一数据比周三的隔夜逆回购工具用量增加350亿美元,交易对手方从昨日的46个增至50个。上一个历史最高纪录是2015年12月31日的4746亿美元。

这一工具再创新高 市场向美联储说:够了 QE已经过头了!

金融博客Zerohedge称,这代表存放在美联储的隔夜准备金在一周内增加了“惊人的”1340亿美元,持续刷新非季末史上最高的逆回购使用量,预计早晚有一天将突破5000亿美元整数大关。

隔夜逆回购激增给短期利率带来下行压力,不少分析称美联储应开始缩减购债

正回购和逆回购是美联储公开市场操作的两种手段,通过与交易对手方的协议直接投放或收回基础货币。与中国央行的公开市场操作相反,美联储通过正回购释放流动性、逆回购回收流动性。

持有大量现金的金融机构通过逆回购工具把钱借给美联储,换取美国国债作为抵押品,利率仅为0%。隔夜逆回购是流动性过剩时期的市场资金庇护所,其利率充当美联储利率走廊下限。隔夜逆回购需求和接收量激增,正是疫情后无限量QE买债和财政刺激导致的市场流动性过剩体现。

路透社分析称,对美联储隔夜逆回购工具的需求量自3月中旬以来攀升,终于在周四突破了历史最高。这将进一步给关键短期利率施压,这些利率可能转为负数。道明证券(TD Securities)高级利率策略师Gennadiy Goldberg指出,担保隔夜融资利率(SOFR)等货币市场利率可能低于0。

事实上,追踪一般抵押品(GC)金融回购协议每日市场利率的DTCC GCF回购指数在隔夜恰恰交投-0.01%,重返3月下旬以来的最低水平,是过多现金正在蜂拥追逐良好抵押品的信号。

这一工具再创新高 市场向美联储说:够了 QE已经过头了!

Curvature Securities固收与回购业务执行副总裁Scott Skyrm近日指出,在非月末和非季度末的美联储逆回购需求如此之大,说明市场已被扭曲,要么是市场上现金过多,要么是(国债等)抵押品不足:

“从总体上看,这向我暗示了量化宽松已经完成,美联储需要逐渐缩减购债(taper),为期一年、每月购买约1200亿美元的QE量宽计划,不再能通过向金融市场增加流动性来实现预期的效果,释放出了QE已经做过头的市场信号。”

夏季FOMC会议可能给出taper信号,但狭义流动性过剩未必立刻引发政策收紧

在今年3月的FOMC会议上,美联储将合格交易对手方可以使用隔夜逆回购工具的金额从300亿美元大幅抬升至800亿美元。最新发布的美联储4月FOMC会议纪要也指出,央行预计这一工具的使用规模会在未来几个月继续增加。

分析称,自2月以来,短期美债(T-bill)供应减少是造成失衡的原因之一。巴克莱固收研究部常务董事Joseph Abate称,货币基金、非美国官方机构等正苦恼于无法找到收益率高于0%的短期安全资产,“在把钱放在美联储资产负债表之外几乎没有其他投资选择”。

同时,美联储QE买债、美国财政部在美联储一般账户(TGA)的余额缩减(等于给市场“放水”)、最近向州和地方政府提供的财政刺激支付都增加了更多现金,监管方面的限制也促使银行拒绝接受存款(有计划地限制资产负债表扩张),并将这些现金推向货币市场基金,上述因素均增加了对美联储隔夜逆回购工具的需求。

中信明明在最新研报中认为,常规而言,隔夜逆回购激增往往发生在季末,非季度末出现逆回购额高速增长,反映当前流动性已处于过剩状态,预计接下来两周和6月末出现逆回购额大幅攀升:

“4月FOMC纪要提及两次议息会议期间,准备金余额进一步增长至创纪录的3.9万亿美元水平,隔夜逆回购协议(ON RRP)有效支持政策实施,吸收资金量的峰值超过1000亿美元。

与日俱增的隔夜逆回购规模都预示着Taper的临近,在具体节奏上,可能于年底前后采取减少购债规模的行动,但会更早发出减少购债规模的信号,6月或7月的议息会议将是重要时点。

英国《金融时报》援引分析人士称,金融体系钱太多,或迫使美联储调整货币政策。下一步可能包括提高美联储向银行支付的超额准备金利率(IOER),另一个是提高美联储逆回购的利率。而IOER在现实中是作为联邦基金利率的走廊上限。

金融博客ZeroHedge则认为,美联储要么不得不提高IOER,要么利率很快降至负值。更糟糕的是,即使假设今年12月开始缩减购债规模(taper),美联储仍计划实施至少1万亿美元的QE买债,据美联储最近预测,这一数字可能会高达2万亿美元,“根本没有地方存放所有这些准备金”。

昨日分析则给出了略微不一样的观点,美联储隔夜逆回购用量非季末大幅飙升,说明狭义的流动性水平过剩了,未必会立刻引发美联储收紧政策,但恐怕会引发资产价格上涨:

狭义流动性水平过剩会影响Taper的节奏么?逻辑上并不合理。

狭义流动性过剩首先会通过使用货币工具来解决。好比我国DR007或拆借利率如果大幅度低于公开市场7天逆回购利率等(政策利率)的时候,更大概率会通过加强公开市场回笼来调节,甚至发行定向央票。而不至于先去调节逆回购利率,甚至上升到全局货币政策的层面。何况RRP回笼期限和QE买入资产期限存在较大的期限差。

所以对于Taper的节奏和讨论时点,我们依然维持前期分析文章中的观点:首先要等到就业缺口闭合和疫苗接种率达到70%-80%,同时通胀表现出一定的刚性。从这个层面来看,上调RRP利率可能都非当前首选。

    Kratos

    保持饥渴的专注,追求最佳的品质

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    The practice followed into the early 20th century and across the world, when the first wave of Middle Eastern immigrants came to Detroit to work in the auto industry or shipping yards, Howell said. Most immigrants were men who migrated alone, so one of the first institutions they created were coffee houses where they would gather to socialize, share news about their home country, and even write letters back home. Many of the initial mosques in the area were originally established in the backs of the coffee houses.
    Yemeni men working in shipping on the Great Lakes “would work for months at a time and then have a few weeks off and then work again,” leaving them unable to visit their families back in Yemen, Howell said. “The coffee houses in the Detroit area were a really important institution.”

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    Contemporary chains are designed by a new demographic — the descendants of these immigrants who are bringing Yemeni coffee culture to the American mainstream.

    The very first Qahwah Houses in Dearborn were airy and upscale, a familiar setting to patrons of established coffee chains. But they also brought with them Yemeni culture, with coffee beans imported from local farmers, artifacts from the region and the founder’s family tree on the wall.

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    The practice followed into the early 20th century and across the world, when the first wave of Middle Eastern immigrants came to Detroit to work in the auto industry or shipping yards, Howell said. Most immigrants were men who migrated alone, so one of the first institutions they created were coffee houses where they would gather to socialize, share news about their home country, and even write letters back home. Many of the initial mosques in the area were originally established in the backs of the coffee houses.
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    A new chapter for Yemeni coffee
    Contemporary chains are designed by a new demographic — the descendants of these immigrants who are bringing Yemeni coffee culture to the American mainstream.

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  • Davidcar

    Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani suffers left shoulder injury during Game 2 of the World Series
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    Los Angeles Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani suffered a shoulder injury before the Dodgers’ 4-2 win over the New York Yankees in Game 2 of the World Series Saturday.

    The Japanese slugger sustained a left shoulder subluxation and will undergo more testing, Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said after the game, adding that the team is however “encouraged” about the injury.
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    “The strength was great,” Roberts told reporters. “The range of motion good. So, we’re encouraged. But obviously I can’t speculate because we don’t get the scans yet. So, once we get the scans, we’ll know more. Again, with the strength, the range of motion good, that’s certainly a positive.

    A shoulder subluxation occurs when “the humerus partially slides in and out of place quickly,” according to Johns Hopkins Medicine.

    With the Dodgers up 4-1 in the bottom of the seventh inning, Ohtani attempted to steal second base but was thrown out to end the inning. Ohtani, however, stayed on the ground grimacing in pain and eventually walked off the field with trainers holding his left arm.
    “Obviously when you get any one of your players that goes down, it’s concerning,” Roberts said. “But after kind of the range of motion, the strength test, I felt much better about it.”

    According to the FOX broadcast, microphones picked up a conversation between Ohtani and trainers saying that his left shoulder appears to have popped out of its socket.

    This weekend’s playoffs mark Ohtani’s first appearance in the postseason after he missed out in each of his six seasons with the Los Angeles Angels.

    The star player is riding on a series of remarkable accomplishments in recent months, including hitting his 50th homer of the season and stealing his 50th base in the Dodgers’ victory over the Miami Marlins last Thursday. Ohtani went on to rack up his 51st of each stat by the end of the contest.

    2024年11月10日
  • WillieBah

    Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani suffers left shoulder injury during Game 2 of the World Series
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    Los Angeles Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani suffered a shoulder injury before the Dodgers’ 4-2 win over the New York Yankees in Game 2 of the World Series Saturday.

    The Japanese slugger sustained a left shoulder subluxation and will undergo more testing, Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said after the game, adding that the team is however “encouraged” about the injury.
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    “The strength was great,” Roberts told reporters. “The range of motion good. So, we’re encouraged. But obviously I can’t speculate because we don’t get the scans yet. So, once we get the scans, we’ll know more. Again, with the strength, the range of motion good, that’s certainly a positive.

    A shoulder subluxation occurs when “the humerus partially slides in and out of place quickly,” according to Johns Hopkins Medicine.

    With the Dodgers up 4-1 in the bottom of the seventh inning, Ohtani attempted to steal second base but was thrown out to end the inning. Ohtani, however, stayed on the ground grimacing in pain and eventually walked off the field with trainers holding his left arm.
    “Obviously when you get any one of your players that goes down, it’s concerning,” Roberts said. “But after kind of the range of motion, the strength test, I felt much better about it.”

    According to the FOX broadcast, microphones picked up a conversation between Ohtani and trainers saying that his left shoulder appears to have popped out of its socket.

    This weekend’s playoffs mark Ohtani’s first appearance in the postseason after he missed out in each of his six seasons with the Los Angeles Angels.

    The star player is riding on a series of remarkable accomplishments in recent months, including hitting his 50th homer of the season and stealing his 50th base in the Dodgers’ victory over the Miami Marlins last Thursday. Ohtani went on to rack up his 51st of each stat by the end of the contest.

    2024年11月10日
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    Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani suffers left shoulder injury during Game 2 of the World Series
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    Los Angeles Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani suffered a shoulder injury before the Dodgers’ 4-2 win over the New York Yankees in Game 2 of the World Series Saturday.

    The Japanese slugger sustained a left shoulder subluxation and will undergo more testing, Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said after the game, adding that the team is however “encouraged” about the injury.
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    “The strength was great,” Roberts told reporters. “The range of motion good. So, we’re encouraged. But obviously I can’t speculate because we don’t get the scans yet. So, once we get the scans, we’ll know more. Again, with the strength, the range of motion good, that’s certainly a positive.

    A shoulder subluxation occurs when “the humerus partially slides in and out of place quickly,” according to Johns Hopkins Medicine.

    With the Dodgers up 4-1 in the bottom of the seventh inning, Ohtani attempted to steal second base but was thrown out to end the inning. Ohtani, however, stayed on the ground grimacing in pain and eventually walked off the field with trainers holding his left arm.
    “Obviously when you get any one of your players that goes down, it’s concerning,” Roberts said. “But after kind of the range of motion, the strength test, I felt much better about it.”

    According to the FOX broadcast, microphones picked up a conversation between Ohtani and trainers saying that his left shoulder appears to have popped out of its socket.

    This weekend’s playoffs mark Ohtani’s first appearance in the postseason after he missed out in each of his six seasons with the Los Angeles Angels.

    The star player is riding on a series of remarkable accomplishments in recent months, including hitting his 50th homer of the season and stealing his 50th base in the Dodgers’ victory over the Miami Marlins last Thursday. Ohtani went on to rack up his 51st of each stat by the end of the contest.

    2024年11月10日
  • Jamesniz

    What the rising popularity of Yemeni coffee shops says about third places
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    The most popular spot on a late Friday night in a pocket of Manhattan’s West Village isn’t a trendy bar or a Michelin-starred restaurant but a Yemeni coffee house chain strictly serving coffee, tea and pastries.

    A step into Qahwah House on Carmine Street offers a rich whiff of cardamom, Arabic music and crowds of people both at tables and in line to order. The energy spills over into the sidewalk, where some begin performing a Levantine folk dance known as dabke. It’s a snapshot of various Eastern cultures; Arabic, Farsi and Urdu fill the air, and some customers don traditional attire.
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    Qahwah House is just one of a string of Yemeni coffee chains that originated in the Arab-populated Detroit area and are rapidly springing up across the country, often where there are significant Middle Eastern and Muslim populations. Nineteen Qahwah House locations are open across seven states, with more under construction and expected to open this year. Another chain, Haraz, opened this month in the pricey SoHo neighborhood in Manhattan, with at least six more in the region planned in the next two years. Times Square will be home to two other chains, MOKAFE and Qamaria Yemeni Coffee Co.

    The rapid expansion of these shops underscores the demand for late-night social spots for not only young Muslims and Middle Easterners, but also younger people who are looking for a non-digital third space where they can hang out without alcohol or having to yell over loud music.
    They don’t have many other options. Malls, a traditional third place for young people, are growing more and more unpopular. Chains like Starbucks have become more like take-out counters. Alcohol-free lifestyles are growing even for those outside of the Muslim faith, which many practicing the religion already take part in.

    So for many young people in urban areas, especially those from immigrant communities looking for a way to connect to their cultures, it’s a great option.

    2024年11月11日
  • JamesBoora

    What the rising popularity of Yemeni coffee shops says about third places
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    The most popular spot on a late Friday night in a pocket of Manhattan’s West Village isn’t a trendy bar or a Michelin-starred restaurant but a Yemeni coffee house chain strictly serving coffee, tea and pastries.

    A step into Qahwah House on Carmine Street offers a rich whiff of cardamom, Arabic music and crowds of people both at tables and in line to order. The energy spills over into the sidewalk, where some begin performing a Levantine folk dance known as dabke. It’s a snapshot of various Eastern cultures; Arabic, Farsi and Urdu fill the air, and some customers don traditional attire.
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    Кракен тор
    Qahwah House is just one of a string of Yemeni coffee chains that originated in the Arab-populated Detroit area and are rapidly springing up across the country, often where there are significant Middle Eastern and Muslim populations. Nineteen Qahwah House locations are open across seven states, with more under construction and expected to open this year. Another chain, Haraz, opened this month in the pricey SoHo neighborhood in Manhattan, with at least six more in the region planned in the next two years. Times Square will be home to two other chains, MOKAFE and Qamaria Yemeni Coffee Co.

    The rapid expansion of these shops underscores the demand for late-night social spots for not only young Muslims and Middle Easterners, but also younger people who are looking for a non-digital third space where they can hang out without alcohol or having to yell over loud music.
    They don’t have many other options. Malls, a traditional third place for young people, are growing more and more unpopular. Chains like Starbucks have become more like take-out counters. Alcohol-free lifestyles are growing even for those outside of the Muslim faith, which many practicing the religion already take part in.

    So for many young people in urban areas, especially those from immigrant communities looking for a way to connect to their cultures, it’s a great option.

    2024年11月11日
  • WilliamNop

    What the rising popularity of Yemeni coffee shops says about third places
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    The most popular spot on a late Friday night in a pocket of Manhattan’s West Village isn’t a trendy bar or a Michelin-starred restaurant but a Yemeni coffee house chain strictly serving coffee, tea and pastries.

    A step into Qahwah House on Carmine Street offers a rich whiff of cardamom, Arabic music and crowds of people both at tables and in line to order. The energy spills over into the sidewalk, where some begin performing a Levantine folk dance known as dabke. It’s a snapshot of various Eastern cultures; Arabic, Farsi and Urdu fill the air, and some customers don traditional attire.
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    Qahwah House is just one of a string of Yemeni coffee chains that originated in the Arab-populated Detroit area and are rapidly springing up across the country, often where there are significant Middle Eastern and Muslim populations. Nineteen Qahwah House locations are open across seven states, with more under construction and expected to open this year. Another chain, Haraz, opened this month in the pricey SoHo neighborhood in Manhattan, with at least six more in the region planned in the next two years. Times Square will be home to two other chains, MOKAFE and Qamaria Yemeni Coffee Co.

    The rapid expansion of these shops underscores the demand for late-night social spots for not only young Muslims and Middle Easterners, but also younger people who are looking for a non-digital third space where they can hang out without alcohol or having to yell over loud music.
    They don’t have many other options. Malls, a traditional third place for young people, are growing more and more unpopular. Chains like Starbucks have become more like take-out counters. Alcohol-free lifestyles are growing even for those outside of the Muslim faith, which many practicing the religion already take part in.

    So for many young people in urban areas, especially those from immigrant communities looking for a way to connect to their cultures, it’s a great option.

    2024年11月11日
  • ThomasprOna

    Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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    At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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    Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
    Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
    “We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
    He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
    “You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
    The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
    The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
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  • RobertBok

    This small suburban school was named the world’s best new building
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    A humble suburban school in Australia has fended off competition from skyscrapers, museums and airport terminals to be named World Building of the Year 2024.

    Darlington Public School, in the Sydney suburb of Chippendale, beat more than 220 other shortlisted designs to win the coveted annual prize at the World Architecture Festival in Singapore on Friday.
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    Opened last fall, the project combines an angular brick campus building, featuring a distinctive “sawtooth” roof, with landscaped outdoor spaces, including a large basketball court and a community garden. Softly curved metal screens surround a series of open-air terraces, allowing daylight to filter in while protecting students’ privacy.
    A school had long been on the south Sydney site, though the old 1970s building was no longer fit for purpose, according to fjcstudio, the design firm behind the project. The Sydney-based architects said their new design had “radically transformed” the school to offer “new and contemporary learning environments,” though the project was intended to “capture the spirit” of the original campus.

    Housing a preschool, kindergarten and primary school, the new campus will be able accommodate more than 500 students, according to the school’s website. A two-stage building process meant classes were able to continue throughout construction.
    In its project description, fjcstudio said Darlington Public School had “strong connections to Aboriginal people.” The design firm said it helped preserve this cultural heritage by putting indigenous art in the school hall, entrance reception and classrooms. Aboriginal murals that had been painted on the old school’s walls were meanwhile reproduced in the new building’s cladding.

    Speaking after Friday’s announcement, Alessandro Rossi, associate at fjcstudio, said: “It’s very humbling given the modest scale of the building — it’s a little school project, so to have won against all the other big projects at WAF is a testament to the client and the community engagement that helped drive the design process. The real winners are the children who will spend time in the building — a place of enrichment for many years to come.”

    2024年11月13日
  • LeonardSix

    Kate Winslet had a surprising ‘Titanic’ reunion while producing her latest film ‘Lee’
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    Kate Winslet is sharing an anecdote about a “wonderful” encounter she recently had with someone from her star-making blockbuster film “Titanic.”

    The Oscar winner was a guest on “The Graham Norton Show” this week, where she discussed her new film “Lee,” in which she plays the fashion model-turned-war photographer Lee Miller from the World War II era.
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    Winslet recounted that while she had previously executive produced a number of her projects, “Lee” was the first movie where she served as a full-on producer. That required her involvement from “beginning to end,” including when the film was scored in post-production.

    She explained to Norton that when she attended the recording of the film’s score in London, while looking at the 120-piece orchestra, she saw someone who looked mighty familiar to her.

    “I’m looking at this violinist and I thought, ‘I know that face!’” she said.

    At one point, other musicians in the orchestra pointed to him while mouthing, “It’s him!” to her, and it continued to nag at Winslet, prompting her to wonder, “Am I related to this person? Who is this person?”

    Finally, at the end of the day, the “Reader” star went in to where the orchestra was to meet the mystery violinist, and she was delighted to realize he was one of the violinists who played on the ill-fated Titanic ocean liner as it sank in James Cameron’s classic 1997 film.
    “It was that guy!” Winslet exclaimed this week, later adding, “it was just wonderful” to see him again.

    “We had so many moments like that in the film, where people I’ve either worked with before, or really known for a long time, kind of grown up in the industry with, they just showed up for me, and it was incredible.”

    “Lee” released in theaters in late September, and is available to rent or buy on AppleTV+ or Amazon Prime.

    2024年11月13日
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  • DavidFluom

    Держите Ляха

    Коррупционер из ЦБ использует «левый» фонд для захвата чужих активов
    Приморский районный суд Санкт-Петербурга рассматривает помимо уголовного дела, связываемого с компаниями «Лайф-из-Гуд», «Гермес» и кооперативом «Бест Вей», гражданское дело по иску Прокуратуры Санкт-Петербурга о признании кооператива «Бест Вей» незаконным на основании экзотической ст. 1065 ГК. Обычно по этой статье запрещают деятельность компаний-«отравителей»: например, в продукции которых обнаружена кишечная палочка, или деятельность казино.

    Впервые прокуратура пытается применить статью к организации на том основании, что та была включена в Список компаний с выявленными признаками нелегальной деятельности на финансовом рынке (предупредительный список) ЦБ, причем включена даже без камеральной проверки деятельности кооператива, на основе неких сигналов– на самом деле в заказном порядке: решение принимал тогдашний глава департамента противодействия недобросовестным практикам ЦБ Валерий Лях (департамент этот, давно замеченный в незаконных наездах на бизнес, сейчас, к чести руководства ЦБ, ликвидирован).

    При этом первоначально суд складывался не в пользу прокуратуры. На первом же заседании суд отказался рассматривать иск как удивительный, так как он был в пользу неопределенного круга лиц, но есть реальные пайщики, и никто из них не обратился в гражданский суд с претензиями к кооперативу. Только суд апелляционной инстанции – Санкт-Петербургский городской суд – заставил Приморский районный суд его все-таки рассматривать. При этом горсуд предписал учесть интересы пайщиков. Несколько месяцев прокуратура никак не могла сформулировать исковые требования, потом суд намеревался провести судебную экспертизу кооператива – запросил об этом ряд экспертных организаций, они согласились.

    Но на новом после долгого перерыва заседании 30 октября как отрезало: суд отказался проводить судебную экспертизу, отказался привлекать в дело пайщиков кооператива, отказался допрашивать тех несколько человек, которые заявили претензии к кооперативу в уголовном суде – притом, что оценку их претензиям уголовный суд еще не дал: до завершения уголовного разбирательства еще полгода минимум. Отказался также приостановить процесс до завершения уголовного, хотя только уголовный суд может ответить на вопрос, является ли кооператив финансовой пирамидой или нет. Возможно, 7 ноября состоится финальное заседание суда первой инстанции и будет принято решение по иску.

    Дело в том, что невнятная позиция прокуратуры, которая на определенном этапе сбросила дело фактически на районное звено, сменилась беспрецедентным давлением на районный суд со стороны руководителей прокурорского органа субъекта Федерации. Только при общественном внимании к ситуации суд сможет его выдержать.

    А внятной позиция прокуратуры стала после того, как появился лоббист, нарисовавший руководителям Прокуратуры Санкт-Петербурга «дорожную карту», – этот лоббист Валерий Лях, у которого с августа появился инструмент для захвата кооператива.

    Фонд захвата чужих активов
    Нужно раскрыть структуру, которая кровно заинтересована в «осуждении» кооператива – чтобы забрать его активы в управление. Это Федеральный (общественно-государственный) фонд по защите прав вкладчиков и акционеров.

    Мутнейшая структура, созданная по указу Ельцина в «алкогольный» его период и по непонятным причинам не ликвидированная во время наведения порядка в финансовой сфере в начале 2000-х годов, но при этом давным-давно лишенная государственного финансирования. Она живет на активы, которые ей удается правдами и неправдами захватить.

    Возглавлял фонд на протяжении всей его истории до августа с.г. некто Сафиуллин, бывший минфиновский чиновник. Фонд, незаконно работая как СМИ, публиковал лживые материалы о кооперативе на своем сайте. Достоверно известно, что он был инициатором проверок кооператива правоохранительными органами в 2020–2021 годах – ничего незаконного не было выявлено.

    Однако в этом году, отвечая на запрос одного из медиа, фонд заявлял, что не собирается брать под управление активы кооператива в случае признания его незаконным – так как для этого нет юридических оснований (юридические основания, заметим от себя, можно создать – было бы желание). При этом фонд признавал, что, забирая активы в управление, он выплачивает всем вкладчикам не более 35 тыс. рублей, кроме ветеранов войны, которым платит чуть больше.

    И вот в августе этого года с фондом происходит метаморфоза – его главой становится Валерий Лях, уже несколько месяцев как уволенный из ЦБ и, насколько известно, уезжавший из России с началом СВО в теплые страны: по крайней мере именно на этом основании он отказался прийти на заседание суда по уголовному делу, куда приглашался как свидетель для пояснений факта внесения кооператива в предупредительный список ЦБ. Его департамент был со скандалом закрыт Набиуллиной, так как шлейф заказухи в отношении финансовых организаций тянулся за ним давно. Ляха уволили из ЦБ.

    В августе Лях вернулся в Россию и возглавил Фонд по защите прав вкладчиков, сместив Сафиуллина. В суд для дачи пояснений по репрессиям ЦБ против «Бест Вей» при этом так и не явился.

    Ляха–к ответу
    Лях задумывал маневр с захватом крупнейшего российского кооператива с 4 млрд рублей на счетах и квартирами на 12 млрд рублей, еще работая в ЦБ. Он включил кооператив в предупредительный список именно для того, чтобы взять потом активы под свое управление в Фонде защиты прав вкладчиков – кстати, протокольного решения о включении в этот список в ЦБ не оказалось, потому что решение о включении в список принимал лично Лях.

    Лично Лях направил также письмо в Генеральную прокуратуру и Роскомнадзор для блокировки официального сайта кооператива, что никак не вытекало из включения в предупредительный список и было сделано для того, чтобы обрушить деятельность этого кооператива, работающего во всероссийском масштабе прежде всего с помощью сайта (кооператив позднее сделал новый сайт – вне зоны контроля Роскомнадзора – и работу полностью восстановил).

    И теперь Лях пытается отобрать кооператив у пайщиков через липовый Фонд защиты вкладчиков, оказывая давление на ведомство Краснова, суды. Он является виновником того, что десять подсудимых лишены свободы. По его вине многие люди, готовые идти на СВО, боятся это делать, чтобы не лишиться квартиры, пока будут воевать.
    Несомненно, лично Лях получит иски от 20 тыс. пайщиков кооператива и от десяти подсудимых.

    Но возникает вопрос, как Администрация президента России и ее руководители Вайно и Кириенко относятся к тому, что чиновник-предатель, коррупционер Лях, бежавший из страны в начале войны, вдруг возглавляет одну из общественно-государственных структур? Кстати, в России ли он при этом? Или, как и раньше, в теплых недружественных странах?

    Как Минфин и его глава Силуанов относится к тому, что работает некая организация с непонятным статусом, незаконно захватывающая активы? Легальных государственных структур для решения государственных задач недостаточно?

    Как руководство ЦБ и лично Набиуллина относятся к тому, что от его имени действовал коррупционер – и его коррупционная схема теперь вскрыта?

    Как генеральный прокурор Краснов относится к использованию Прокуратурой Санкт-Петербурга своих полномочий для грязных дел в интересах лоббистов? И способна ли прокуратура заставить Ляха все-таки прийти в уголовный суд для дачи свидетельских показаний и участия в перекрестном допросе?

    Наконец, как Следком России и его глава Бастрыкин относятся к происходящему на наших глазах преступлению уровня его центрального аппарата?

    Пайщики кооператива и общество требуют ответа со стороны всех этих структур.

    2024年11月14日
  • TimothyPex

    Why Thailand is making it easier for travelers to stay longer
    <a href=https://t.me/chat_phuket>Группа по Пхукету</a>
    Maybe you want to escape the winter months at home, opting instead to take care of your business on a laptop from the comfort of your rented Phuket villa as you gaze over the Andaman Sea. Or perhaps you’re ready to step into the ring and embark on a new career as a Muay Thai fighter.

    Either way, Thailand has you covered.

    The popular Southeast Asia destination recently introduced a new five-year visa targeted at remote workers and other travelers looking to stay in the kingdom for extended periods.

    According to a statement issued by the Thai prime minister’s office, the Destination Thailand Visa (DTV) will allow eligible travelers a period of stay up to 180 days per visit, on a multiple-entry basis, within five years. (This means they will need to leave the country when their 180 days are up, and the time resets when they re-enter.)
    The government statement says the visa is open to several categories of remote workers, including digital nomads and freelancers. It’s also aimed at those looking to visit to engage in activities such as Muay Thai training or Thai cooking classes, or come for extended medical treatments.

    To apply, travelers need to show evidence that they have a minimum of 500,000 baht (about $13,800) in funds, as well as documents to support the purpose of their visit, such as a letter from a medical center or proof of employment

    2024年11月15日
  • Michaelden

    King Charles has led the nation in two minutes of silence in remembrance of men and women who lost their lives serving in the two world wars or other conflicts.
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    Tens of thousands of veterans and civilians joined the King in paying their respects to the fallen at the annual National Service of Remembrance ceremony at the Cenotaph in central London.

    The King was joined by other members of the Royal Family, including the Prince and Princess of Wales, and political leaders.

    Events to mark Remembrance Sunday - observed on the closest Sunday to Armistice Day - are taking place around the country.

    The King laid the first wreath on behalf of the nation. Dressed in the Royal Navy uniform of the Admiral of the Fleet, he saluted after stepping back from the Cenotaph.

    The King was followed by Queen Camilla’s equerry, Major Ollie Plunket, laying a wreath on her behalf as she is currently recovering from a chest infection.

    Prince William, Prince Edward and Princess Anne followed, then Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and the country's other political leaders.

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    2024年11月15日
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    Tens of thousands of veterans and civilians joined the King in paying their respects to the fallen at the annual National Service of Remembrance ceremony at the Cenotaph in central London.

    The King was joined by other members of the Royal Family, including the Prince and Princess of Wales, and political leaders.

    Events to mark Remembrance Sunday - observed on the closest Sunday to Armistice Day - are taking place around the country.

    The King laid the first wreath on behalf of the nation. Dressed in the Royal Navy uniform of the Admiral of the Fleet, he saluted after stepping back from the Cenotaph.

    The King was followed by Queen Camilla’s equerry, Major Ollie Plunket, laying a wreath on her behalf as she is currently recovering from a chest infection.

    Prince William, Prince Edward and Princess Anne followed, then Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and the country's other political leaders.

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  • BrianSyday

    "Дело "Лайф-из-Гуд" — "Гермес" — "Бест Вей": свидетель обвинения объявила себя потерпевшей от следствия
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    6 и 13 июня Приморский районный суд города Санкт-Петербурга, рассматривающий по существу уголовное дело № 1-504/24, связываемое с компаниями "Лайф-из-Гуд", "Гермес" и кооперативом "Бест Вей", провел очередные, шестое и седьмое по счету, заседания, посвященные допросу свидетелей обвинения и лиц, признанных следствием потерпевшими в рамках судебного следствия по делу
    На заседаниях были заслушаны показания граждан, как признанных потерпевшими, так и свидетелей обвинения. Показания приводятся по аудиозаписи, имеющейся в распоряжении редакции, и стенограмме, которую вела сторона защиты.

    Справка

    Предварительное расследование уголовного дела осуществлялось ГСУ ГУ МВД России по Санкт-Петербургу и Ленинградской области. На скамье подсудимых — десять граждан: Анна Высоцкая (за полгода до ареста уволилась из "Лайф-из-Гуд", до августа 2021 года работала ивент-менеджером "Лайф-из-Гуд", в СИЗО более двух лет), Александра Григорьева (директор одного из "технических" юрлиц "Лайф-из-Гуд", в СИЗО более двух лет), Михаил Измайлов (предприниматель, в СИЗО более двух лет), Елена Соловьева (главный бухгалтер ООО "Эксперт", в СИЗО более двух лет), Альмира Гильберт (неработающая, в СИЗО с 2023 года), Дмитрий Мазанов (предприниматель, в СИЗО с 2023 года), Анатолий Наливан (предприниматель и региональный уполномоченный кооператива, в СИЗО с 2023 года), Денис Шишко (предприниматель, в СИЗО с 2023 года), Дмитрий Выдрин (неработающий, под домашним арестом) и 83-летний отец Романа Василенко, основателя компании "Лайф-из-Гуд" и кооператива "Бест Вей", Виктор Василенко (пенсионер, под запретом определенных действий). Начиная рассмотрение по существу, Приморский районный суд продлил всем подсудимым меры пресечения на полгода, что оспаривается адвокатами в вышестоящих судах.

    Всем подсудимым предъявлены обвинения как в мошенничестве (ч. 4 ст. 159 УК РФ) и создании финансовой пирамиды (ч. 2 ст. 172.2 УК РФ), так и в организации преступного сообщества (ч. 3 ст. 210 УК РФ). Их, а также гражданских ответчиков — прежде всего кооператив "Бест Вей" — защищают почти два десятка адвокатов.

    В уголовном деле 221 лицо, признанное следствием потерпевшим, предъявляющее претензии как к компании "Гермес", так и к кооперативу "Бест Вей" (для сравнения: у компании "Гермес" не одна сотня тысяч клиентов в России, у кооператива "Бест Вей" — около 20 тыс. пайщиков). Общая сумма ущерба в уголовном деле — 282 млн рублей, при этом на счетах кооператива арестовано около 4 млрд рублей, примерно столько же арестовано на счетах частных лиц.

    "К кооперативу претензий не было, следователь предложил подать заявление"
    Признанный следствием потерпевший Болян подсудимых не знает. Был клиентом "Гермеса", а также пайщиком кооператива — но до 2019 года. В 2019-м он вышел из кооператива и из "Гермеса", ему были возвращены паевые взносы, и никаких претензий к кооперативу у него не было — что он письменно подтвердил, расторгая договоры с этими организациями.

    Однако, как Болян отметил на суде, следователь убедил его в том, что он — потерпевший и должен подать заявление на возврат членских взносов. Заявление в МВД писать не хотел, на него вышли сотрудники, сначала претензий к кооперативу не было. Полиция ему объяснила, что можно получить деньги.

    Стал клиентом "Гермеса" и пайщиком кооператива через своего консультанта Алексея Виноградова. Виноградов — грамотный маркетолог, он ему верил, тот не работал в кооперативе. Что было предметом договора в "Гермесе", не помнит. В "Гермес" внес 100 и 700 евро, а в кооператив каждый месяц вносил по 12 тыс. в течение семи месяцев.

    Вышел и из кооператива, и из "Гермеса" в 2019 году. Зачем вступал? "Наверное, квартиру купить хотел". Кооператив вернул ему 70 тыс. паевых взносов, "Гермес" вернул со счета "Виста" 140 тыс. рублей.

    В кооперативе деньги вернули почти сразу, удержав вступительный и членские взносы; в "Гермесе" вернули позже через "внутрянку", но удержали комиссию.

    Утверждает, что ему говорили, что можно со счета "Виста" вносить деньги в кооператив. Объясняли, что деньги передаются в доверительное управление трейдерам и брокерам, которые играют на бирже. В кооперативе, как он утверждает, можно было купить место в очереди. По его словам, "Гермес" и кооператив — по сути, одна организация. Требует взыскать с кооператива более 148 тыс. рублей — вступительный и членские взносы, и более 60 тыс. рублей с "Гермеса" — комиссию при выводе средств.

    Договор с кооперативом не читал, но ему объяснили, что есть невозвратная часть денег — ее и не вернули, "но хочу попытаться вернуть". Претензий к кооперативу "как бы и нет, но если вернут взносы, то будет хорошо".

    К Виноградову претензий не предъявлял. "Может, меня и не обманули в кооперативе", -резюмировал свое выступление в суде Болян.

    "Болян — яркий пример "возгонки потерпевших", которой занималось следствие для того, чтобы нарисовать максимально большую цифру потерпевших от деятельности "Гермеса", — подчеркивают адвокаты. — Реального ущерба просто нет, да люди, по сути, и не считают себя потерпевшими. 221 лицо, признанное потерпевшим на фоне количества клиентов "Гермеса" и числа пайщиков кооператива "Бест Вей", не впечатляет. И, как мы видим, значительная часть из этого числа — ненастоящие потерпевшие, а некие лица, пытающиеся получить небольшие суммы, на которые у них нет никаких прав".

    "Требую выплатить с учетом роста цен на недвижимость"
    Признанная следствием потерпевшей Комова была как клиентом "Гермеса", так и пайщиком кооператива. Подсудимых не знает. Требует более 8800 тыс. с кооператива и более 2700 тыс. с "Гермеса". При этом из кооператива она не вышла и заявление о выходе не подавала. Сумма требований к кооперативу включает как паевые и членские взносы, так и оценку роста цен на недвижимость, которая не была приобретена.

    Утверждает, что можно переводить деньги со счета "Виста" напрямую в кооператив — в подтверждение приводит скрины переписки с консультантами в смартфоне. Суд разъясняет, что доказательство может быть приобщено позднее при надлежащем оформлении.

    2024年11月15日
  • Williamfitte

    Director Jon M. Chu missed ‘Wicked’ premiere to welcome fifth child
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    “Wicked” director Jon M. Chu couldn’t attend the film’s premiere in Los Angeles, and the reason is quite “wonderful.”

    Chu shared on his Instagram Stories that he and his wife Kristin Hodge welcomed their fifth child on Saturday, writing that he “can’t believe this happened while the movie is premiering.”

    “Magic is in the air,” he wrote, sharing a photo of Hodge holding their newborn daughter.
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    He added a note to his new addition: “Welcome to our world, you’re gonna do great. You have a lot of witches on your side.”

    “Wicked” stars singer Ariana Grande and Oscar-nominated actress Cynthia Erivo star as witches Glinda and Elphaba, respectively. The two-part movie is a cinematic adaptation of the famed Broadway musical, which is a prequel to “The Wizard of Oz” and tells an alternate version of events in Oz before Dorothy’s arrival.
    Chu may not have been able to physically attend the premiere but his presence was felt.

    According to footage from inside the theater posted online, a video of Chu speaking from the hospital was played before the movie began.

    “I’ve waited for three years to have this moment to share a movie with you but I’ve waited my whole life to have this moment, to have a fifth child right now,” he said in the video, as the audience was heard collectively “aww-ing” at the sentiment.

    With a laugh, Chu added that “of course, this little girl knows when to show up.”

    Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.

    Part one of “Wicked” will soar in theaters on November 22. The second film is expected in November 2025.

    2024年11月15日
  • WilliamGer

    Director Jon M. Chu missed ‘Wicked’ premiere to welcome fifth child
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    “Wicked” director Jon M. Chu couldn’t attend the film’s premiere in Los Angeles, and the reason is quite “wonderful.”

    Chu shared on his Instagram Stories that he and his wife Kristin Hodge welcomed their fifth child on Saturday, writing that he “can’t believe this happened while the movie is premiering.”

    “Magic is in the air,” he wrote, sharing a photo of Hodge holding their newborn daughter.
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    He added a note to his new addition: “Welcome to our world, you’re gonna do great. You have a lot of witches on your side.”

    “Wicked” stars singer Ariana Grande and Oscar-nominated actress Cynthia Erivo star as witches Glinda and Elphaba, respectively. The two-part movie is a cinematic adaptation of the famed Broadway musical, which is a prequel to “The Wizard of Oz” and tells an alternate version of events in Oz before Dorothy’s arrival.
    Chu may not have been able to physically attend the premiere but his presence was felt.

    According to footage from inside the theater posted online, a video of Chu speaking from the hospital was played before the movie began.

    “I’ve waited for three years to have this moment to share a movie with you but I’ve waited my whole life to have this moment, to have a fifth child right now,” he said in the video, as the audience was heard collectively “aww-ing” at the sentiment.

    With a laugh, Chu added that “of course, this little girl knows when to show up.”

    Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.

    Part one of “Wicked” will soar in theaters on November 22. The second film is expected in November 2025.

    2024年11月15日
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  • Georgecycle

    Discover Ethena: The Future of DeFi Innovation
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    2024年11月16日
  • Claytontug

    Дело Лайф-из-Гуд – Гермес – Бест Вей: кто такие Набойченко и Комаров? урналистское расследование о двух главных свидетелях обвинения по так называемому делу «Лайф-из-Гуд»– «Гермес» – кооператива «Бест Вей». В уголовном деле, связываемом следствием с компаниями «Лайф-из-Гуд», «Гермес», кооперативом «Бест Вей» и основателем «Лайф-из-Гуд» и «Бест Вей» Романом Василенко, есть два свидетеля, на которых особенно уповает обвинение. Это бывший сисадмин российского сегмента иностранной компании «Гермес» Евгений Набойченко, с 2014 года возглавлявший также IT-службу компании «Лайф-из-Гуд», занимавшуюся в том числе сайтом и платежной системой кооператива «Бест Вей». И бывший шофер Романа Василенко Алексей Комаров. Набойченко в феврале 2022 года намеренно сломал российский сегмент платежной системы «Гермеса» и повесил сообщение: «Обращайтесь в полицию». Позднее многократно публично выступал с обвинениями Романа Василенко. Комаров утверждает, что возил по поручению Василенко неучтенные наличные деньги. Кто эти люди, насколько вызывают доверие их обвинения, содержащиеся в уголовном деле? (В Приморском районном суде Санкт-Петербурга, рассматривающем дело по существу, они пока не выступали.) Мы попытались в этом разобраться. Вымогатель Евгений Набойченко – способный айтишник, на каком-то этапе, по словам его бывшей жены, он возомнил себя имеющим право чуть ли не на партнерство в бизнесе Романа Василенко (см. видеозаявление Виктории Набойченко, данное ютуб-каналу, поддерживающему пайщиков кооператива «Бест Вей»). При этом его коллега – ведущий IT-разработчик компании «Лайф-из-Гуд» и кооператива «Бест Вей» Роман Роганович – сообщил на судебном заседании Приморского районного суда, что Набойченко вряд ли в состоянии во что бы то ни было придумать какой-то позитивный проект – из-за, как намекнул Роганович, скромности творческих способностей Набойченко. И Евгений придумал схему вымогательства – как ему казалось, беспроигрышную. Насколько нам стало известно от наших источников, Набойченко перед тем, как обрушить платежную систему российского сегмента «Гермеса» в феврале 2022 года, шантажировал Романа Василенко – требовал с него деньги: 170 тыс. евро. При этом, по утверждению Виктории Набойченко, угрожал убийством и увечьями и самому Роману Василенко, и его супруге, и детям. Похвалялся перед (тогда еще) женой своими матерными сообщениями с угрозами, которые он посылал Василенко и его близким. Кроме того, он завладел российской клиентской базой «Гермеса» и вымогал у клиентов деньги: свидетельства такого рода нам предоставлены. Клеветник Помимо этого, он допустил целый ряд публичных высказываний – прежде всего в YouTube, которые Роман Василенко расценил как клеветнические и инициировал по этому поводу уголовное разбирательство. Подавляющее большинство выступлений Набойченко, преимущественно нетрезвых, сейчас удалены. Высказывания нотариально заверены, заведено уголовное дело – но расследуется оно ни шатко ни валко, так как расследование, по данным наших источников, тормозит начальник УЭБиПК ГУ МВД России по Санкт-Петербургу и Ленинградской области генерал-майор полиции Вадим Строков, который взял Набойченко под крыло. Завербованный По словам Виктории Набойченко, Евгений, как и другие функционеры «Лайф-из-Гуд», в начале расследования в отношении компании подвергался обыскам – но потом состоялся удивительный допрос Евгения Набойченко в питерском главке МВД, на который он запретил приходить своему адвокату. После этого допроса Набойченко была предоставлена госохрана и сам он хвастался супруге, что находится под личным патронажем тогдашнего начальника УЭБиПК, который его очень ценит. За этим последовал слом платежной системы «Гермеса» и других ресурсов, которыми занимался Набойченко. Хулиган, алиментщик и грабитель По заявлениям источников, Евгений Набойченко бил супругу и детей. После развода в 2022 году отказывается платить алименты – их выплаты его супруга добивается через суды. Неуравновешенный, жадный, завистливый В целом источники характеризуют его как неуравновешенного, жадного, завистливого человека. По мнению наших визави, эти его особенности использовали работники полиции для инсценировки уголовного дела в отношении компаний «Лайф-из-Гуд», «Гермес», кооператива «Бест Вей» и Романа Василенко. Вороватый водитель Другой ключевой свидетель обвинения – Алексей Комаров – сообщает в деле, что возил и передавал пакеты с деньгами – однако никакими инкассаторскими операциями в «Лайф-из-Гуд», по данным наших источников, он никогда не занимался. Он выполнял мелкие поручения Василенко, в числе которых – забрать подарки для него от пайщиков кооператива или консультантов сети «Лайф-из-Гуд» для Романа Василенко. Через Комарова передавалось множество подарков от пайщиков из регионов. Часть из них до Василенко не доходила. Его спрашивали: «Как сало? Как самогоночка?» А всего этого он, по данным наших источников, не получал. Роман Василенко рассказывал коллегам: «Много презентов, о которых мне рассказывали, но которые я так и не нашел. Мне их не жалко, просто плохо то, что я не поблагодарил тех людей, которые мне их подарили от всей души». Комарова, как и Набойченко, по нашим данным, завербовал питерский УЭБиПК. По поводу перевозки денег он, по сведениям наших источников, просто лжет – подписывает то, что дают ему подписать в питерском УЭБиПК. И при этом скрывает, что сам воровал подарки, предназначенные для Василенко. Кто обвинители? Следствие привлекло для выстраивания обвинения малограмотного вороватого водителя и алкозависимого айтишника. На показаниях таких свидетелей точно можно строить обвинение, по которому четверо функционеров «Лайф-из-Гуд» сидят без приговора суда уже более четырех лет и по которому судят отца Романа Василенко – 83-летнего ветерана Вооруженных сил РФ Виктора Ивановича Василенко?

    Гермес

    2024年11月16日
  • Jessecek

    Director Jon M. Chu missed ‘Wicked’ premiere to welcome fifth child
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    “Wicked” director Jon M. Chu couldn’t attend the film’s premiere in Los Angeles, and the reason is quite “wonderful.”

    Chu shared on his Instagram Stories that he and his wife Kristin Hodge welcomed their fifth child on Saturday, writing that he “can’t believe this happened while the movie is premiering.”

    “Magic is in the air,” he wrote, sharing a photo of Hodge holding their newborn daughter.
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    He added a note to his new addition: “Welcome to our world, you’re gonna do great. You have a lot of witches on your side.”

    “Wicked” stars singer Ariana Grande and Oscar-nominated actress Cynthia Erivo star as witches Glinda and Elphaba, respectively. The two-part movie is a cinematic adaptation of the famed Broadway musical, which is a prequel to “The Wizard of Oz” and tells an alternate version of events in Oz before Dorothy’s arrival.
    Chu may not have been able to physically attend the premiere but his presence was felt.

    According to footage from inside the theater posted online, a video of Chu speaking from the hospital was played before the movie began.

    “I’ve waited for three years to have this moment to share a movie with you but I’ve waited my whole life to have this moment, to have a fifth child right now,” he said in the video, as the audience was heard collectively “aww-ing” at the sentiment.

    With a laugh, Chu added that “of course, this little girl knows when to show up.”

    Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.

    Part one of “Wicked” will soar in theaters on November 22. The second film is expected in November 2025.

    2024年11月16日
  • Geraldjadly

    Growing outside of Dearborn
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    During the day, Yemeni coffeehouses function similar to many neighborhood spots. Patrons host meetings, college students study and others pop in for a quick cup to-go.
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    But at night, they serve as de-facto living rooms, especially for young Muslims who don’t go to clubs and bar. From New York to Dallas, especially during the late nights of Ramadan, the crowd overflows into the street and you often have to yell to be heard inside. Some young Muslims even venture to the coffee shops in hopes of finding a life partner.

    Nowhere is this coffeehouse culture more pronounced, and celebrated, than in Dearborn, Michigan, a suburb of Detroit and home to one of the largest Arab American communities in the United States.

    Downtown Dearborn is peppered with different Yemeni coffee houses, which Howell said helped revitalize the Detroit area after the city became the largest municipality go to bankrupt in 2013. And it’s only growing.

    “It’s become sort of contagious,” Howell said. “Several Yemeni entrepreneurs are opening coffee houses of their own, each with its own sort of style and atmosphere.”

    The coffee chains have big ambitions beyond Dearborn. Qahwah House hopes to open another 20 to 30 locations in the next year, spanning across 12 states and Canada, Alhasbani said. They are also licensed out, but Alhasbani says he sets a high standard before agreeing to let anyone open a shop.

    “We have too many people that come (asking me) they want to open. I have more than 10 different requests a day just to open this kind of business,” he said. “We don’t give anyone license until we make sure the person has the love for the brand and his mind and his heart in the Qahwah House.”
    Another authentic Yemeni coffee chain, Haraz, also sees crowds of people throughout the day and night. They opened their first location in New York City last week — less than half a mile away from Qahwah House’s downtown Manhattan shop — and the franchisees plan to grow.

    2024年11月16日
  • Ronaldedula

    A giant meteorite boiled the oceans 3.2 billion years ago. Scientists say it was a ‘fertilizer bomb’ for life
    <a href=https://stoppiramida.ru/news/2172/>после анального секса</a>

    A massive space rock, estimated to be the size of four Mount Everests, slammed into Earth more than 3 billion years ago — and the impact could have been unexpectedly beneficial for the earliest forms of life on our planet, according to new research.

    Typically, when a large space rock crashes into Earth, the impacts are associated with catastrophic devastation, as in the case of the demise of the dinosaurs 66 million years ago, when a roughly 6.2-mile-wide (10-kilometer) asteroid crashed off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula in what’s now Mexico.

    But Earth was young and a very different place when the S2 meteorite, estimated to have 50 to 200 times more mass than the dinosaur extinction-triggering Chicxulub asteroid, collided with the planet 3.26 billion years ago, according to Nadja Drabon, assistant professor of Earth and planetary sciences at Harvard University. She is also lead author of a new study describing the S2 impact and what followed in its aftermath that published Monday in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

    “No complex life had formed yet, and only single-celled life was present in the form of bacteria and archaea,” Drabon wrote in an email. “The oceans likely contained some life, but not as much as today in part due to a lack of nutrients. Some people even describe the Archean oceans as ‘biological deserts.’ The Archean Earth was a water world with few islands sticking out. It would have been a curious sight, as the oceans were probably green in color from iron-rich deep waters.”

    When the S2 meteorite hit, global chaos ensued — but the impact also stirred up ingredients that might have enriched bacterial life, Drabon said. The new findings could change the way scientists understand how Earth and its fledgling life responded to bombardment from space rocks not long after the planet formed.

    2024年11月16日
  • Travisjap

    This teen became the youngest person to summit the world’s highest peaks. Now he wants others to follow in his footsteps
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    Nima Rinji Sherpa’s ears are still tinged black from wind chill, an occupational hazard of climbing to heights where humans struggle to breathe, and where the weather can turn deadly in an instant.

    This month, Nima became the youngest person to summit all 14 of the world’s highest peaks, but the 18-year-old Nepalese mountaineer is already getting ready for his next big feat.
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    Speaking to CNN via video call from the Nepali capital Kathmandu last week, Nima said he’s taking a couple weeks’ rest before preparing to climb the world’s eighth-highest mountain, Manaslu, with Italian mountaineer Simone Moro – in winter, alpine-style.

    “That means we’re climbing an 8,000-meter mountain in winter… There’s no fixed ropes for us, there’s no (supplemental) oxygen for us, there is no support for us. So, it’s like pure human endurance,” Nima said. “It has never been done in the history of mountaineering.”

    After that, “I’ll take some rest,” Nima laughed.

    On October 9, Nima reached the top of the 8,027-meter (26,335-foot) Shishapangma along with his partner Pasang Nurbu Sherpa. For Nima, it was the final of the “eight-thousanders,” the 14 peaks recognized by the International Climbing and Mountaineering Federation as standing more than 8,000 meters above sea level.

    Describing the moment of summiting the final peak as “pure joy,” Nima said his motivation comes from his family, many of whom are renowned mountaineers.

    His father, Tashi Lakpa Sherpa, has climbed Everest nine times, and at age 19 became the youngest person to summit without bottled oxygen. His uncle Mingma Sherpa became the first South Asian climber to summit the 14 peaks in 2011.

    “My uncles and my father, they are way more successful than I would ever be because they came from a very small village. To even dream about being this successful, for them it was really hard,” Nima said. “I have the privilege that they didn’t have.”

    2024年11月17日
  • Qwmclh

    プレドニン は通販での購 - <a href="https://jpaonlinep.com/">プレドニン どこで買える</a> アジスロマイシン - 500mg

    2024年11月17日
  • Brianskype

    Scientists say skeletal remains found in castle well belong to figure from 800-year-old saga
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    Researchers have connected the identity of skeletal remains found in a well at Norway’s Sverresborg castle to a passage in a centuries-old Norse text.

    The 800-year-old Sverris saga, which follows the story of the real-life King Sverre Sigurdsson, includes the tossing of the body of a dead man — later known as “Well-man” — down a well during a military raid in central Norway in 1197.
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    It’s likely, according to the text, that raiders lobbed the body into the well to poison the main water source for locals, but little else is said about the man or who he was in the saga.

    Researchers initially uncovered the bones in the castle’s well in 1938, but they were only able to carry out a visual analysis at the time. Now, scientists have an array of analytical techniques at their disposal, including genetic sequencing and radiocarbon dating.

    A new study on the remains, published Friday in the Cell Press journal iScience, reveals unprecedented insights into Well-man’s appearance based on in-depth research on samples of his teeth.

    “This is the first time that a person described in these historical texts has actually been found,” said study coauthor Michael D. Martin, a professor in the department of natural history at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology’s University Museum in Trondheim, in a statement.

    “There are a lot of these medieval and ancient remains all around Europe, and they’re increasingly being studied using genomic methods.”

    The findings not only shed fresh light on what Well-man looked like but also who he was, with a surprising twist about how he ended up in a Norse saga.

    2024年11月17日
  • DavidRut

    Tiny house with elaborate – and erotic – frescoes unearthed at Pompeii
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    Archaeologists have uncovered a tiny house in Pompeii that is filled with elaborate – and sometimes erotic – frescoes, further revealing the ornate way in which Romans decorated their homes.

    Situated in the central district of the ancient city, the house is smaller than normal and unusually lacks the open central courtyard – known as an atrium – that is typical of Roman architecture, the Archaeological Park of Pompeii, which oversees the site, said in a statement Thursday.
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    This change could have occurred due to shifting trends in Roman - and particularly Pompeian - society, during the first century AD, archaeologists said.

    Pompeii was destroyed by the eruption of Mount Vesuvius in AD 79 when its buildings and thousands of inhabitants were buried beneath layers of ash and pumice. This coating perfectly preserved the city for millennia, making it one of the most important archaeological sites in the world as it offers an unprecedented insight into Roman daily life.
    This latest discovery spotlights the ornate decorations that rich Romans enjoyed in their homes – several frescoes depict mythical scenes and others are decorated with plant and animal motifs on a white background.

    One small square painting set against a blue-painted wall depicts intercourse between a satyr and a nymph, while another shows Hippolytus, son of the mythical Greek king Theseus, and his stepmother Phaedra who fell in love with him before killing herself when he rejected her in disgust.

    2024年11月17日
  • DonaldDix

    He served with the US Army in Iraq. Now he’s one of Asia’s top chefs and a Netflix ‘Culinary Class Wars’ judge
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    From a warzone in Iraq to a Michelin-starred kitchen and a hit Netflix show, chef Sung Anh’s path to the top of Asia’s fine dining scene has been anything but ordinary.

    “Just like I did in the US Army, where I volunteered to go to the war, wanting to do something different — I decided to come here to Korea to try something different,” says the Korean-American chef and judge on hit reality cooking show “Culinary Class Wars,” which has just been green-lit for a second season.
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    Sung, 42, is the head chef and owner of South Korea’s only three-Michelin-starred restaurant, Mosu Seoul. In recent weeks, he has gained a new legion of fans as the meticulous and straight-talking judge on the new Netflix series. It’s this passion and unwavering drive to forge his own path that’s helped reshape fine dining in his birth home.
    Born in Seoul, South Korea’s capital, Sung and his family emigrated to San Diego, California when he was 13.

    “We were just a family from Korea, seeking the American Dream,” he says. “As an immigrant family, we didn’t really know English.”

    As a teen growing up on the US West Coast, his mind couldn’t have been further from cooking.

    “I went to school, got into college, but decided to join the US Army because that’s the only way I thought I could travel,” says the chef.

    Over four years of service, he trained in bases across the country, before being deployed to his country of birth, South Korea and — following 9/11 — to the Middle East.

    2024年11月17日
  • Adolfoaffok

    Tiny house with elaborate – and erotic – frescoes unearthed at Pompeii
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    Archaeologists have uncovered a tiny house in Pompeii that is filled with elaborate – and sometimes erotic – frescoes, further revealing the ornate way in which Romans decorated their homes.

    Situated in the central district of the ancient city, the house is smaller than normal and unusually lacks the open central courtyard – known as an atrium – that is typical of Roman architecture, the Archaeological Park of Pompeii, which oversees the site, said in a statement Thursday.
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    This change could have occurred due to shifting trends in Roman - and particularly Pompeian - society, during the first century AD, archaeologists said.

    Pompeii was destroyed by the eruption of Mount Vesuvius in AD 79 when its buildings and thousands of inhabitants were buried beneath layers of ash and pumice. This coating perfectly preserved the city for millennia, making it one of the most important archaeological sites in the world as it offers an unprecedented insight into Roman daily life.
    This latest discovery spotlights the ornate decorations that rich Romans enjoyed in their homes – several frescoes depict mythical scenes and others are decorated with plant and animal motifs on a white background.

    One small square painting set against a blue-painted wall depicts intercourse between a satyr and a nymph, while another shows Hippolytus, son of the mythical Greek king Theseus, and his stepmother Phaedra who fell in love with him before killing herself when he rejected her in disgust.

    2024年11月17日