IEXS盈十证券汇市分析|货币市场重新押注欧洲央行12月加息10个基点

2022年01月25日 274366点热度 0人点赞 63,799条评论
基本面
美指
货币市场重新押注欧洲央行12月加息10个基点
货币市场将欧洲央行加息10个基点的押注从10月推迟至12月。欧洲央行管委维勒鲁瓦重申欧洲央行准备尽一切努力将通胀率降至2%左右,需要逐步使货币政策正常化。
黄金
全球最大黄金ETF上周五净流入逾16亿美元
全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Shares上周五录得其自2004年上市以来最大的美元净流入,为16.3亿美元。该ETF的持有变化量被市场视为投资者对黄金长期押注兴趣的一个衡量指标。周一全球最大白银ETF——iShares Silver Trust持仓较上日增加281.79吨,增幅创去年2月以来新高,当前持仓量为16568.58吨。

原油
巴克莱将2022年原油价格预测上调5美元/桶
巴克莱将2022年布伦特原油价格预估上调至85美元/桶,WTI原油价格预估上调至82美元/桶,两者均上调5美元/桶。预计今年供应过剩情况会略有增加,但库存低于预期,而供应增加主要来自于闲置产能,这意味着价格将继续受到支撑。 

技术面
美元指数
市场行情整理: 

美元指数向上触及96,创1月11日以来新高,随后有所回落,最终收涨0.257%,报95.91。美国10年期国债收益率先跌后涨,最终收报1.776%。
观点整理:
今日虽是震荡格局,但操作层面仍可寻找一些合适机会布局,结合盘面给予下列建议,酌情参考操作,轻仓。
黄金
市场行情整理: 

周一现货黄金宽幅震荡,美盘中跌破1830美元关口后反弹,由跌转涨,最终收涨0.46%,报1843.09美元/盎司;现货白银下破24美元/盎司,最终收跌1.26%,报23.98美元/盎司。
观点整理:

油价高位持续震荡,短线失去方向,基本面利多消息基本被消化,油价上涨乏力,但技术面仍然看涨,后市有进一步走高的基础,建议激进者继续逢低买入,保守者观望。

原油
市场行情整理: 国际油价方面,两油亚盘前上涨,随后抹去日内所有涨幅。WTI原油一度跌超3%,创下去年12月20日以来最大的单日跌幅,最终收跌2.01%,报84.65美元/桶;布伦特原油最终收跌1.77%,报87.13美元/桶。
观点整理:
近期避险情绪不断升温,金价吸引力增强,金价短线有望继续上涨,上方重要阻力在1847一线,突破可进一步上涨,但在突破1847之前可能陷入震荡行情。

    Kratos

    保持饥渴的专注,追求最佳的品质

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    This year’s Super Bowl halftime show was hardly a fashion extravaganza, with headliner Kendrick Lamar keeping things simple in a backwards cap and motorbike-style varsity jacket, which he kept on throughout.

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    Opinions were, as ever, divided on social media. Some users described Lamar’s flares as “women’s jeans” and “Hannah Montana pants,” earning him comparisons to everyone from Jennifer Aniston to country singer Lainey Wilson. Others joked that their moms were looking for a similar pair or that they nodded to millennials, for whom flares were a teenage staple.

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    Cute baby animals bring visitors to zoos and aquariums. What happens when they grow up?
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    One of the best things that can happen to a zoo or aquarium is for one of their resident animals to go viral.

    Just look at the multi-hour-long lines to see Moo Deng, a pygmy hippo in Thailand who has become an internet sensation following her July 2024 birth. The sassy animal is now a full-on brand, with Khao Kheow Open Zoo selling Moo Deng merchandise and even releasing a single “by” the hippo in multiple languages.

    Meanwhile, Pesto — a baby king penguin who was eating more fish than his parents by the time he was a few weeks old — is also an online celebrity, with human stars like Olivia Rodrigo and Katy Perry stopping by to meet him.

    But what happens when these cute animals become, well, less cute? The Sea Life Melbourne aquarium has already been planning for the next phase of Pesto’s life — and answering questions from the public about his changing appearance.

    It’s normal for king penguins to lose their feathers by the time they’re about a year old and become confident swimmers. As a result, a spokesperson for the aquarium says, guests have started asking why Pesto looks different — or why they can’t find him at all.

    “We are getting a few guests thinking we have moved him off display completely,” says the spokesperson. “Most of the team’s time is spent pointing him out to guests because he looks so different now.”
    The bottom line is that cute baby animals make money.

    Admission tickets are only the beginning. Many zoos and aquariums offer special “behind the scenes” or “zookeeper for a day” packages at much higher prices. At Sea Life Melbourne, standard entry tickets for adults start at $51, while the Penguin Passport — which include a 45-minute tour of the birds’ area and a look at how their food is prepared — is $199.

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    Two bombs were initially removed by the British Army, the UK Ministry of Defense said in a statement. The parish council was then advised that a full survey of the area was required, according to a council spokesperson.
    Bomb disposal company Brimstone Site Investigation then uncovered 65 10-pound practice bombs and smoke cartridges on the first day of works, with a further 90 practice bombs recovered on the second day.

    The company told CNN that the bombs date from World War II.

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    This year’s Super Bowl halftime show was hardly a fashion extravaganza, with headliner Kendrick Lamar keeping things simple in a backwards cap and motorbike-style varsity jacket, which he kept on throughout.

    And without the costume-change roulette we’ve come to expect of halftime shows, the internet fixated on one item in particular: his jeans.

    While not quite the bell-bottoms of decades past (the 1970s and the 2000s, specifically), the Compton-born rapper’s washed denim pants flared out at the knee and dragged beneath his heels along the stage at Caesars Superdrome in New Orleans. His silhouette stood in stark contrast to that of record producer Mustard, who made a brief cameo in a pair of outsized jeans straight from the West Coast hip-hop playbook.
    Opinions were, as ever, divided on social media. Some users described Lamar’s flares as “women’s jeans” and “Hannah Montana pants,” earning him comparisons to everyone from Jennifer Aniston to country singer Lainey Wilson. Others joked that their moms were looking for a similar pair or that they nodded to millennials, for whom flares were a teenage staple.

    But those suggesting his style was outdated, or gender-inappropriate, may not have been paying attention to the recent resurgence of flares — in both womenswear and menswear. After all, Lamar’s jeans were designed by one of the most influential figures in modern fashion, Celine’s former creative director Hedi Slimane, before he departed the French label in October.

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    Scores of unexploded World War II bombs discovered under children’s playground
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    Scores of unexploded bombs dating from World War II have been recovered from a children’s playground in northern England after a chance discovery.

    Local officials in the town of Wooler, Northumberland called in bomb disposal experts after workers involved in a planned overhaul of Scotts Play Park found unexploded ordnance, the parish council said in a statement sent to CNN on Monday.

    Two bombs were initially removed by the British Army, the UK Ministry of Defense said in a statement. The parish council was then advised that a full survey of the area was required, according to a council spokesperson.
    Bomb disposal company Brimstone Site Investigation then uncovered 65 10-pound practice bombs and smoke cartridges on the first day of works, with a further 90 practice bombs recovered on the second day.

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    One of the best things that can happen to a zoo or aquarium is for one of their resident animals to go viral.

    Just look at the multi-hour-long lines to see Moo Deng, a pygmy hippo in Thailand who has become an internet sensation following her July 2024 birth. The sassy animal is now a full-on brand, with Khao Kheow Open Zoo selling Moo Deng merchandise and even releasing a single “by” the hippo in multiple languages.

    Meanwhile, Pesto — a baby king penguin who was eating more fish than his parents by the time he was a few weeks old — is also an online celebrity, with human stars like Olivia Rodrigo and Katy Perry stopping by to meet him.

    But what happens when these cute animals become, well, less cute? The Sea Life Melbourne aquarium has already been planning for the next phase of Pesto’s life — and answering questions from the public about his changing appearance.

    It’s normal for king penguins to lose their feathers by the time they’re about a year old and become confident swimmers. As a result, a spokesperson for the aquarium says, guests have started asking why Pesto looks different — or why they can’t find him at all.

    “We are getting a few guests thinking we have moved him off display completely,” says the spokesperson. “Most of the team’s time is spent pointing him out to guests because he looks so different now.”
    The bottom line is that cute baby animals make money.

    Admission tickets are only the beginning. Many zoos and aquariums offer special “behind the scenes” or “zookeeper for a day” packages at much higher prices. At Sea Life Melbourne, standard entry tickets for adults start at $51, while the Penguin Passport — which include a 45-minute tour of the birds’ area and a look at how their food is prepared — is $199.

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    Look of the Week: Kendrick Lamar’s Super Bowl pants signal the return of flares
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    This year’s Super Bowl halftime show was hardly a fashion extravaganza, with headliner Kendrick Lamar keeping things simple in a backwards cap and motorbike-style varsity jacket, which he kept on throughout.

    And without the costume-change roulette we’ve come to expect of halftime shows, the internet fixated on one item in particular: his jeans.

    While not quite the bell-bottoms of decades past (the 1970s and the 2000s, specifically), the Compton-born rapper’s washed denim pants flared out at the knee and dragged beneath his heels along the stage at Caesars Superdrome in New Orleans. His silhouette stood in stark contrast to that of record producer Mustard, who made a brief cameo in a pair of outsized jeans straight from the West Coast hip-hop playbook.
    Opinions were, as ever, divided on social media. Some users described Lamar’s flares as “women’s jeans” and “Hannah Montana pants,” earning him comparisons to everyone from Jennifer Aniston to country singer Lainey Wilson. Others joked that their moms were looking for a similar pair or that they nodded to millennials, for whom flares were a teenage staple.

    But those suggesting his style was outdated, or gender-inappropriate, may not have been paying attention to the recent resurgence of flares — in both womenswear and menswear. After all, Lamar’s jeans were designed by one of the most influential figures in modern fashion, Celine’s former creative director Hedi Slimane, before he departed the French label in October.

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