IEXS盈十证券汇市分析|货币市场重新押注欧洲央行12月加息10个基点

2022年01月25日 274364点热度 0人点赞 63,799条评论
基本面
美指
货币市场重新押注欧洲央行12月加息10个基点
货币市场将欧洲央行加息10个基点的押注从10月推迟至12月。欧洲央行管委维勒鲁瓦重申欧洲央行准备尽一切努力将通胀率降至2%左右,需要逐步使货币政策正常化。
黄金
全球最大黄金ETF上周五净流入逾16亿美元
全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Shares上周五录得其自2004年上市以来最大的美元净流入,为16.3亿美元。该ETF的持有变化量被市场视为投资者对黄金长期押注兴趣的一个衡量指标。周一全球最大白银ETF——iShares Silver Trust持仓较上日增加281.79吨,增幅创去年2月以来新高,当前持仓量为16568.58吨。

原油
巴克莱将2022年原油价格预测上调5美元/桶
巴克莱将2022年布伦特原油价格预估上调至85美元/桶,WTI原油价格预估上调至82美元/桶,两者均上调5美元/桶。预计今年供应过剩情况会略有增加,但库存低于预期,而供应增加主要来自于闲置产能,这意味着价格将继续受到支撑。 

技术面
美元指数
市场行情整理: 

美元指数向上触及96,创1月11日以来新高,随后有所回落,最终收涨0.257%,报95.91。美国10年期国债收益率先跌后涨,最终收报1.776%。
观点整理:
今日虽是震荡格局,但操作层面仍可寻找一些合适机会布局,结合盘面给予下列建议,酌情参考操作,轻仓。
黄金
市场行情整理: 

周一现货黄金宽幅震荡,美盘中跌破1830美元关口后反弹,由跌转涨,最终收涨0.46%,报1843.09美元/盎司;现货白银下破24美元/盎司,最终收跌1.26%,报23.98美元/盎司。
观点整理:

油价高位持续震荡,短线失去方向,基本面利多消息基本被消化,油价上涨乏力,但技术面仍然看涨,后市有进一步走高的基础,建议激进者继续逢低买入,保守者观望。

原油
市场行情整理: 国际油价方面,两油亚盘前上涨,随后抹去日内所有涨幅。WTI原油一度跌超3%,创下去年12月20日以来最大的单日跌幅,最终收跌2.01%,报84.65美元/桶;布伦特原油最终收跌1.77%,报87.13美元/桶。
观点整理:
近期避险情绪不断升温,金价吸引力增强,金价短线有望继续上涨,上方重要阻力在1847一线,突破可进一步上涨,但在突破1847之前可能陷入震荡行情。

    Kratos

    保持饥渴的专注,追求最佳的品质

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