
- 亚太股指今天普遍反弹走高;汇市上美元/日元大幅反弹了300点,美元整体也有所反弹修正;自隔夜以来美国、日本等国暗示将公布经济刺激方案;日内仍主要看股指、利差等指标的表现。
亚太股指今天普遍反弹走高
隔夜美股盘前熔断、开盘后又熔断,最终收盘全线大跌超过7%,将黑色星期一的恐慌气氛推向了高潮。不过否极泰来、峰回路转,今天亚太地区股指却在震震荡荡中普遍大幅反弹,目前恒指大涨1.96%,日经指数涨涨1.09%,台湾加权指数小幅反弹0.27%,韩国KOSPI指数小涨0.60%,澳洲ASX200指数大幅收涨3.11%。VIX指数隔夜自44.97高位回落后现报33.36。“黑色星期一”是否给市场恐慌出一个短期底部来,这可能还是要看美股今晚的进一步走势才能更好地决断。
美元/日元大幅反弹了300点,美元整体也有所反弹修正
不管怎样,汇市近期的避险急先锋日元今天亚市全盘大幅走低,美元/日元到目前为止时段内上行了300余点、现报104.79;其它非美货币兑美元也有所回落,澳元/美元回落至0.6550档、纽元 /美元回落中0.6295,分别自隔夜高点回落了130、160余点,欧元 /美元目前回落至1.1340档,美元/瑞郎则完全回补了周一的跳空缺口;ICE 美元指数终于迎来了反弹修正,现报95.71。
美债收益率自隔夜低点大幅回升
与此同时,油价自昨日以来在30.30上方持稳,金价小幅回落至1656.70档;更重要的是,10年期美债收益率自隔夜低位回升了近30个基点,现报0.689%。美债收益率是否也出现了短期底部?若如是,美元/日元、美元今天亚市的反弹修正可能就容易理解了,但这可能只是短期。
美国、日本等国暗示将公布经济刺激方案
昨日几乎整体市场都明显恶化,各地区的政策制定者们也动作频频:美国政府官员表示将有重大经济政策出台,最早今晚特朗普讲话就会披露;日本表示日内稍晚些时候将公布第二批经济扶助措施;澳储行行长今天亚市虽然表示目前还不需要非常规政策,但还是大谈特谈了负利率政策。政策当局的这些应对是可以理解的,而且是应当的、至少在短期来看是如此,但问题在于这些承诺会兑现吗、政策能短期出台吗?即使出台,对经济的真正效用会如何?能在乐观的情况下,帮助全球产业供应链、企业资金链挺过未来的一两个季度吗?
日内仍主要看股指、利差等指标的表现
日内欧美时段仍缺乏重要数据,看点还是集中在欧美股指、主要国债收益率、能源垃圾债利差、企业债等市场指标上

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