利好出尽后，美元指数(92.2665, 0.0809, 0.09%)将重回下行趋势。2021年1至3月美元指数反弹4.3%，其背后的利好因素有五个：美国疫情疫苗和经济复苏具有相对优势、美债收益率逐级上行、财政刺激及其预期、美股上涨、避险情绪上升等。不过，如果考虑到如此多因素同时发挥作用，美元指数最终呈现的强势程度实际上是非常有限的。我们再次强调，同2020年8至9月类似，当前美元指数的表现更为接近一个下行大趋势中的反弹。近期随着疫情优势、美债利率上行、财政刺激等利好因素的短期消退，美元指数将重回下行趋势。
不同于市场主流以经济周期（Business Cycle）的传统视角看美元的观点，我们认为，美元长周期进入弱势的深层次原因在于美元走弱与美元信用扩张的自我加强过程，即全球金融周期视角。在经济全球化的背景下，美元强弱既是全球宏观经济环境的结果，又具有其作为全球中心货币的显著溢出效应，美元弱与全球美元流动性扩张互为因果。美联储超宽松货币政策作为“第一推动力”，开启了本轮美元长期弱势和美元信用扩张的自我加强过程。全球美元信用扩张早于美元指数回落且持续性强，而本轮信用扩张实际已于2019年开启，预示着美元指数的长期弱势。美元是全球的美元，美债是全球的美债，美元信用扩张后回流美债市场，有助于压低美债收益率中枢，这是我们对2021美债收益率中枢预测值低于市场一致预期值的根本原因。
美国有可能形成货币财政双宽松格局。1.9万亿美元的《美国拯救计划》和2万亿美元的基建法案《美国就业计划》仍可能加大美国财政赤字。而顺周期的财政刺激加大了对货币政策的挑战。近期美联储对货币政策的表态重回宽松，未来仍有可能实质性加大购债规模，从而使美国形成货币财政双宽松格局。
以下为正文内容：
一、 美元指数的“利好出尽”
1、美元真的强吗？
五方面因素推升美元指数。自今年初1月5日美元指数收盘触及89.4以来，美元指数出现了一轮反弹，收盘价的最高点曾达到3月30日的93.3，升幅为4.3%。2月24日以来美元指数上升斜率加大，截至3月30日上升了3.6%，主要受到五方面因素的推升：疫情疫苗和经济复苏的相对优势、美债收益率上行、财政刺激及其预期、美股上涨、避险因素。
第一，美国疫情改善超预期，并且在疫情改善、疫苗推进层面相较其他国家均具有相对优势，带来对美国经济前景相对更为乐观的预期。
1月8日以来，美国疫情出现显著改善，3月新增确诊已经回落到去年10月水平，每日新增确诊人数仅为1月高点的1/4，这一方面是拜登政府包括在全美范围内推行强制佩戴口罩、实施更严格的封锁措施等抗疫政策的结果，一方面也可能意味着美国疫苗接种较快且有较好的防护效果：拜登立下了“100日疫苗接种目标”，计划在上任最初的100天内完成1亿剂次的疫苗接种工作。美国在疫情管控和疫苗推进的强有力措施也使其相对欧洲乃至全球的其他国家形成了显著相对优势，1月以来美国新增确诊人数下降快于欧洲。领先于美元指数的走强，且2020年4月以来的美元反弹均有这一背景因素。近期这一指标出现逆转，既是由于欧洲确诊回落，也是由于美国确诊有所抬升。从更长期而言，随着疫苗推进下疫情系统性好转，这一因素的影响将趋于减弱。
截至4月8日，43%的美国成年人接种了至少一剂新冠疫苗，全美共接种了1.58亿剂疫苗，预计至4月29日接种量将达到2亿剂。
美国疫苗接种进展显著领先其他主要经济体。当前美国疫苗进展除了大幅落后于以色列以外，显著好于其他国家，美国完成疫苗接种的人口比例约为19%，而欧洲国家完成接种的比例均在9%以下，接种比例较低的原因可能在于前期欧洲面临疫苗供应不足的问题，近期又曝出阿斯利康疫苗或致血栓的消息，此后欧洲药管局以及世卫组织又重新表态称接种阿斯利康疫苗“好处大于坏处”，且欧洲法院裁定，强制接种新冠疫苗并没有损害《欧洲人权公约》规定的隐私和选择自由，接种新冠疫苗是欧盟公民的责任和义务。这有助于欧洲进一步推进疫苗接种。
第二，美债收益率快速上行，美德利差走阔、中美利差收窄，加大美债和资金回流的吸引力。2020年4月至8月上旬，美债收益率维持在0.5-0.7%的水平低位运行，从8月中旬开始，10Y美债收益率开启上行趋势，并延续至今。2020年12月至2021年3月，美债收益率连续4个月上行。2月10年期美债收益率连续突破了1.1%、1.3%、1.5%关键点位，3月突破了1.7%，且3月下半月的均值为1.68%。美债收益率快速上行，致使美国与其他国家的利差均有所走阔，加大美债和资金回流的吸引力。
第三，拜登政府上台以来，接连推动积极财政举措，对经济预期构成提振。1月14日，美国当选总统拜登公布了涉及1.9万亿美元的“美国拯救计划”，经过近两个月的努力，3月11日，美国总统拜登在白宫签署了1.9万亿美元的美国拯救计划，预计新法案在2021年对美国经济的边际刺激规模为1.3万亿美元。更进一步的，3月31日，拜登公布了市场期待已久的2万亿美元基建法案《美国就业计划》。以上财政法案均以刺激短期和长期经济增长为主要目标，对经济预期构成提振。
第四，美股表现全球领先。3月至今美股表现好于新兴国家，道琼斯工业指数涨幅居前，风险资产的表现较好，有助于吸引资金流入，对美元指数构成支撑。
第五，避险因素影响。3月以来全球疫情出现了新一轮上升和发酵，并且在内因和美元指数走强、美债收益率上行等外因推动下，土耳其采取加息举措，促使土耳其总统罢免了央行行长并任命支持低利率政策的新人选，打击了海外投资者对土耳其资本市场的信心，外资加速流出，土耳其股汇债三杀，这也一定程度引发了国际资本对新兴市场的担忧，新兴市场资金有所流出，或也推动资金回流美国。
表面上，在以上因素影响下，美元指数确实有所走强，但另一方面，如果考虑到如此多因素同时发挥作用，美元指数最终呈现的强势程度实际上是非常有限的。同2020年8-9月类似，1-3月美元指数的表现更为接近一个下行大趋势中的反弹，近期随着疫情优势、美债利率上行、财政刺激等因素的短期消退美元指数可能重回下行趋势。
2、美元大周期的深层次原因在于信用扩张与收缩
更为关键的问题是，美元回落趋势的实质是什么？ 我们认为，美元大周期的深层次原因在于美元信用扩张与收缩对美元总量流动性的影响。
美元弱与全球美元流动性扩张互为因果。2020年下半年开始的9年美元弱势将与全球信用扩张形成相互强化的关系，在经济全球化的背景下，美元强弱既是全球宏观经济环境的结果，又具有其作为全球中心货币的显著溢出效应。美元的强弱与全球美元信用（商业银行对所有部门的国际信贷（Claim）占GDP的比重，来自国际清算银行（BIS））之间存在一个互相加强的关系，美元走弱带动美元信用扩张，美元信用的扩张通过增加美元供应带动进一步的美元走弱，这样的进程上一次出现在2002年至2007年。
全球美元信用扩张早于美元指数回落且持续性强，而本轮信用扩张实际已于2019年开启，预示着美元指数的长期弱势。从历史情况看，美元信用扩张实际上早于美元指数的走弱，以2000年为例，国际信贷占/GDP的比重出现在2000年三季度，而美元指数的底部出现在2002年一季度，间隔一年半；本轮周期中国际信贷占/GDP的比重从2019年开始出现上升，对应美元指数的底部出现在2020年二季度，间隔7个季度，与上一轮的规律也十分接近。且从历史来看，每一轮信用扩张开启后，会持续一个较长的时期，上一轮的信用扩张始于2000年三季度，终于2008年一季度，持续时间7年半。因此，预计本轮业已开启的信用扩张也将有较长的持续期，预示着美元指数进入长周期弱势。
美联储超宽松货币政策开启了本轮美元长期弱势和美元信用扩张的自我加强过程。2020年3月和4月新冠疫情冲击带来的经济下行压力和全球美元流动性窘迫促使美联储快速采取无限量量化宽松货币政策，是推动美元指数告别本次从2011年以来超过9年强势、转向弱势的关键推手和起点。而当前美元初步出现的弱势与全球美元信用初期的扩张势头均已出现，未来将进入一个自我加强的过程。基本面层面，全球从疫情中复苏的大趋势，也应对应着全球加美元杠杆，美元信用扩张、美元供给上升和全球金融周期向上。这是美元指数进入长期弱势的根本原因。
近期美元强势程度有限恰恰反映出美元信用扩张的影响。简单来说，在上文对美元的支撑因素中，其实主要体现的是影响资金在国别中进行选择的结构性影响因素，即结构上资本流向基本面预期更好的国家。但是，更为宏大的背景是，全球处于一个共同复苏的时段，那么仍然倾向于支持一个全球加美元杠杆的大环境，美元供应从总量上仍是趋于增加的，这是美元处于弱势周期的根源，也抑制了美元的走强幅度。基于此，我们也认为美元指数的走势是短期反弹，而非长期反转，这意味着新兴市场面临的国际资本流动环境仍然友好。
美国资本流动形势印证了美元信用扩张与弱美元的逻辑。一个支撑上述分析的证据是美国的国际资本流动净额。这一指标主要衡量了美国证券市场的资本流入情况，传统观点会倾向于认为，强美元时期就意味着流向美国的资金增加，弱美元时期就意味着流向美国的资金减少，但是实际情况是，2002-2007年的弱美元周期中，美国的国际资本流入净额很高，而在美元指数显著走强的2013-2016年，美国的国际资本流入净额也出现了明显的萎缩。这从侧面说明了，不是资金的结构性流向在决定美元强弱，而是总量逻辑在发挥作用：当美元信用扩张，全球美元流动性充裕，美元走弱，美国资本市场的资金流入同样上升；而当美元信用收缩时，全球美元流动性收紧，美元走强，但美国资本市场的资金流入同样出现萎缩。
美元信用扩张后回流美债市场，有助于压低美债收益率中枢。美元是全球中心货币，也使得美债成为了全球资金配置的资产，美债利率水平受到全球因素的影响，而不仅仅是美国国内因素。因此，美元信用扩张带来全球美元流动性充裕和美元指数回落，也会增加全球用来购买美债的资金规模，从而对美债收益率有着压低作用。2005年格林斯潘曾提出“利率之谜”，即美联储不断加息但美国长端率始终维持较低水平，实际上也可以用全球美元信用扩张然后回流进入美债来解释。因此我们仍然预计当前美债收益率的中枢水平相对较低，近期美债收益率也从1.74%的高点有所回落。
3、美国可能货币财政双宽松
1.9万亿美元的《美国拯救计划》和2万亿美元的基建法案《美国就业计划》仍可能加大美国财政赤字。美国是消费国（货物贸易呈现逆差），其需求经由贸易渠道对全球产生影响，财政赤字的扩大意味着美国需求通过进口和贸易逆差的形式更大程度拉动全球。
拜登政府的顺周期财政政策有其政治层面考虑。积极的财政政策本身有着逆周期的属性，但是美国执政政府换届和连任的诉求成为了美国财政积极背后的根本性推动因素。特朗普上任初期的减税政策实际上也是顺周期的财政政策。对于拜登政府而言，当前民主党占据了参议两院的多数席位，为其政策推行提供了很大方便，而明年的中期选举增添了席位层面的不确定性，因此在当下积极推行财政计划也是拜登政府的理性选择。对于基建法案，民主党最早可以于7月启动新的预算和解程序，从而提高计划通过国会投票的概率，并有可能在9月底前通过该方案，据此来看，其实际应用和对经济产生效果的最早时点在10月。
只是，顺周期的财政刺激加大货币政策挑战。财政刺激计划可能至少部分需要美国政府进行更大规模国债的发行。而这会不会带来美债收益率的显著上行，又很大程度上取决于美联储的货币政策取向，因为如果美联储在购债规模上没有加码或配合，那么美债供给压力的上行将主要反映在利率上行之上。而从2020年来看，美联储月度购债规模的变化还是与美国国债的净发行情况存在关联。从2020年6月开始，美联储便宣布将维持月度至少800亿美元国债和至少400亿美元MBS的QE速度，而以2021年3月为例，美国国债净发行额从上月的454亿美元上升至1363亿美元，美联储增持的美债规模也相应上升至977亿美元。
近期美联储对货币政策的表态重回宽松，未来仍有可能实质性加大购债规模，从而形成货币财政双宽松格局。4月9日美联储主席鲍威尔在IMF和世界银行春季会议上表示，世界各国开展新冠疫苗接种的形势并不一致，这是经济复苏面临的风险；美国复苏发展不均衡，要看到通胀和就业的实际进展才会缩减QE；美联储需要保持对经济的支持，直到再也不需要为止；重申通胀只是暂时上升，有工具解决通胀太高的威胁。鲍威尔相对前期更为鸽派的政策表态可能与当前疫情形势的变化以及财政政策的走向均存在关联，未来美联储仍然可能通过实质性增加购债的方式来维持国内流动性环境的平稳。
二、 3月陆港通资本流动速览
从陆股通的统计数据来看，3月份单月外资持有A股规模上升187亿元，较2月有所下降（2月陆股通净流入为412亿元）。
3月外资通过陆股通变化为187亿元，前值为增加412亿元。其中，沪股通3月全月累计净流入181亿元，深股通全月累计净流入6亿元。此外，港股通3月份累计流出资金127亿港币，为 23个月以来的首度净流出。
近期美联储对货币政策的表态重回宽松，未来仍有可能实质性加大购债规模，从而形成货币财政双宽松格局。4月9日美联储主席鲍威尔在IMF和世界银行春季会议上表示，世界各国开展新冠疫苗接种的形势并不一致，这是经济复苏面临的风险；美国复苏发展不均衡，要看到通胀和就业的实际进展才会缩减QE；美联储需要保持对经济的支持，直到再也不需要为止；重申通胀只是暂时上升，有工具解决通胀太高的威胁。鲍威尔相对前期更为鸽派的政策表态可能与当前疫情形势的变化以及财政政策的走向均存在关联，未来美联储仍然可能通过实质性增加购债的方式来维持国内流动性环境的平稳。
3月AH股溢价小幅下降。
从外资的行业配置情况来看，3月份外资主要增持了银行、资本货物、材料、运输、保险等行业，减持了食品饮料、耐用消费品与服装、多元金融、汽车与汽车零部件等行业。
3月份A股市场下跌，上证50跌幅大于整体市场，食品饮料下跌4.3%、医药生物板块下跌3.0%，跑赢上证50但跑输大盘。
三、 3月境外机构人民币(6.5571, 0.0045, 0.07%)债券托管情况
根据中债登与上清所最新发布的托管数据，境外机构3月份在中债登的债券托管总量达到31571亿元，2月份单月增持债券46亿元，增持规模相较上月下降911亿元（2月增持债券957亿元）；境外机构3月份在上清所的债券托管总量为4010亿元，3月单月减持136亿元（2月减持62亿元），减持规模加大，相较上月扩大74亿元，其中减持同业存单146亿元（2月减持同业存单121亿元）。
3月境外机构在中债登与上清所合计减持90亿元人民币债券，进一步下滑，为2018年11月来首降，境外机构截至2021年3月末持有的人民币债券规模为35581亿元。
美债收益率上行，中美利差显著收窄、美元指数有所走强，促使资金流出中国债券市场。3月份单月境外机构减持利率债89亿元显著下降，其中减持国债165亿元（境外机构2月增持国债849亿元），增持政金债76亿元（2月增持300亿元）。中美利差在3月均值为162bp，较2月下降35BP。
分机构情况来看，3月商业银行、基金、证券公司、保险均增持利率债，增持规模分别为2876.8亿元、1721.3亿元、458.8亿元、30.9亿元，唯有境外机构减持了利率债，减持规模为89亿元。
3月份境外机构减持同业存单148亿元，连续第二月减持，与人民币汇率有所贬值相一致。
3月境外机构在我国国债市场中的占比下降至10.1%（2月为10.6%），利率债市场占比下降至7.9%（2月为8.14%）债券市场整体的境外占比为3.40%（2月为3.47%），均较上月有所下降。
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An executive order designed to speed up the rebuilding of lost homes in LA has been put in place by California Governor Gavin Newsom.
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The order suspends Ceqa review and the California Coastal Act, which work to minimise the environmental impact of proposed building projects, as well as suspending some permits in order to make rebuilding quicker and more affordable.
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At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn’t last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.
As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse — even a fatal crash.
Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.
The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year’s worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing’s fault.
And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.
Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.
It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.
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First, the good news. “The vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,” says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft — and the seats inside them — must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, “it’s possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.”
For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable — an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. “Had it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it’s quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,” he says.
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Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not — as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash — shot out of the sky.
And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a “survivable” accident at at least 90%.
Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.
Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation — practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers’ premises — is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most “survivable” seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.
His analysis of which exits passengers actually used “shattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,” he says. “Prior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.”
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First, the good news. “The vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,” says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft — and the seats inside them — must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, “it’s possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.”
For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable — an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. “Had it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it’s quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,” he says.
The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a “miracle” that anyone made it out alive.
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Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not — as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash — shot out of the sky.
And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a “survivable” accident at at least 90%.
Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.
Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation — practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers’ premises — is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most “survivable” seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.
His analysis of which exits passengers actually used “shattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,” he says. “Prior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.”
A year ago today, things went from bad to worse for Boeing
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At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn’t last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.
As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse — even a fatal crash.
Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.
The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year’s worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing’s fault.
And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.
Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.
It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.
Most plane crashes are ‘survivable’
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First, the good news. “The vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,” says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft — and the seats inside them — must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, “it’s possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.”
For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable — an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. “Had it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it’s quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,” he says.
The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a “miracle” that anyone made it out alive.
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Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not — as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash — shot out of the sky.
And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a “survivable” accident at at least 90%.
Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.
Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation — practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers’ premises — is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most “survivable” seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.
His analysis of which exits passengers actually used “shattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,” he says. “Prior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.”
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At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn’t last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.
As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse — even a fatal crash.
Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.
The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year’s worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing’s fault.
And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.
Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.
It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.
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Hamas is expected to release 33 hostages during the first phase of an emerging ceasefire agreement being finalized by negotiators in Doha, two Israeli officials said, the first positive sign in months that a truce in the Israel-Hamas war may be in sight.
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Officials have expressed cautious optimism that a deal could soon be announced to halt 15 months of fighting that has destabilized the Middle East and devastated Gaza, allow for more aid into the besieged Palestinian enclave, and ensure the return of dozens of hostages held by Hamas since its attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.
Hamas and its allies still hold 94 of the 251 hostages taken from Israel, including at least 34 of whom are dead, according to the Israeli government.
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Israel believes that most of the 33 hostages to be released in the first phase of the deal are alive, a senior Israeli official told reporters on Monday, but the bodies of dead captives will also likely be among those released. The first phase would take place over an initial 42-day ceasefire.
The senior Israeli official said the parties appear to be on the verge of an agreement and that Israel is prepared to immediately implement the deal once it has been inked.
US President Joe Biden expressed similar optimism in a speech Monday focused on foreign policy, saying the United States was “pressing hard to close this.”
“The deal we have structured would free the hostages, halt the fighting, provide security to Israel, and allow us to significantly surge humanitarian assistance to the Palestinians who suffered terribly in this war that Hamas started. They have been through hell,” Biden said
Jan 12 (Reuters) - South Korea's impeached president, Yoon Suk Yeol, will not attend the first hearing of the trial to determine whether he is removed him from office or reinstated, due to concerns about his safety, Yonhap News reported on Sunday, citing his lawyer.
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WASHINGTON, Jan 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.
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Georgieva said the U.S. economy was doing "quite a bit better" than expected, although there was high uncertainty around the trade policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump that was adding to headwinds facing the global economy and driving long-term interest rates higher.
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Алистаров – уголовник и террорист
От уголовника-индивидуала до слуги криминалитета
Ранее судимый по «наркотической» статье блогер Андрей Алистаров позиционирует себя Робин Гудом, борющимся с теми, кто «обманул людей», – но в действительности он работает в интересах пирамидчиков, в том числе украинских, спонсирующих ВСУ, продвигает через свой канал «Железная ставка» онлайн-казино и черный криптообмен/фишинговый криптообман, отмывает наркодоходы за счет сделок с недвижимостью в Дубае.
То есть работает в интересах российского преступного сообщества, пытающегося нажиться на предпринимателях, столкнувшихся с незаконными, часто заказными претензиями со стороны российских правоохранительных органов.
Наркотики и отмывание доходов
Уроженец Калуги Алистаров отсидел четыре года в лагере – за продажу наркотиков детям.
Там он связался с уголовными авторитетами и, выйдя из тюрьмы, продолжил участвовать в криминальном бизнесе по распространению наркотиков и отмыванию наркодоходов от них с помощью риелторского бизнеса, который Алистаров создал совместно с партнерами из российского преступного сообщества в России и Эмиратах.
Ставка на скам
Канал Алистарова «Железная ставка» – «разоблачение» неправильных (по мнению криминалитета) финансовых проектов и продвижение «правильных»: пирамид и онлайн-казино, спонсирующих Алистарова.
Он начинался как канал о «правильных» ставках в казино и не сменил название – потому что маркетинговая задача осталась прежней: расчищать поле для «хороших», по «экспертному» мнению Алистарова (то есть заплативших ему), мошенников.
Обычно Алистаров начинает с попытки вымогательства – представляет жертве компромат и предлагает заплатить. Если жертва отказывается, в ход идут травля и насилие.
Подстрекательство и нападение в Дубае
1 января 2025 года состоялось жестокое нападение двух казахстанцев на предпринимателя, проживающего в Дубае, – его избили, отрезали ухо, обворовали.
До этого Алистаров снял 12 роликов, где подсвечивал адрес этого предпринимателя, публиковал незаконно полученную информацию о его близких и его бизнесах в ОАЭ. Безо всякого стеснения использовал подглядывание, подслушивание, незаконное проникновение, вмешательство в частную жизнь – все то, что в Эмиратах, где строго соблюдается неприкосновенность имущества и жизни инвесторов, является тяжким уголовным преступлением.
До этого Алистаров публично распространял информацию о месте жительства бизнес-партнера этого предпринимателя – то есть незаконное нарушение конфиденциальности, защищенности финансов и имущества, тайны частной жизни с помощью скрытых источников информации и информаторов в ОАЭ вошло у него в систему. Он терроризирует предпринимателей, в отношении которых нет никаких обвинительных решений судов – ни за рубежом, ни в России.
Алистаров рассказывал, что заявил на предпринимателя в Интерпол и правоохранительные органы ОАЭ – якобы он помогает правоохранительным органам. Но это почему-то не привело к аресту предпринимателя – может быть, потому, что полиция ОАЭ не видит криминала в его деятельности?
Подписывайтесь на наш канал
Ряд партнеров предпринимателя осуждены в России, сам он в розыске российских правоохранительных органов – но не осужден. Иностранные правоохранительные органы не имеют к нему претензий.
Алистаров на протяжении длительного времени возбуждал ненависть к предпринимателю – рассказывая, что именно этот предприниматель (а не его партнеры) украл деньги вкладчиков. И представил дело так, что на него напали и его обворовали возмущенные вкладчики.
Сам он в ходе нападения устроил внеплановый стрим, чтобы обеспечить себе алиби – вроде как он не знал, что во время стрима происходит нападение.
Слежка на Кипре
Осенью прошедшего года Алистаров вместе со своей боевой подругой Марией Фоломовой устроил слежку в отношении другого предпринимателя – с помощью квадрокоптеров, незаконного сбора информации о нем и его близких, в том числе несовершеннолетних детей. Алистаров утверждал, что предприниматель скрывается на Кипре – хотя он живет там со времен пандемии коронавируса.
Переселение было связано с тяжелым течением коронавируса у жены предпринимателя, а также с международными проектами – инвестициями в разные отрасли экономики: строительство, торговлю и другие. Предприниматель переселился на Кипр за год до возбуждения уголовного дела следственными органами МВД, за полтора года до арестов. Он имеет паспорт Евросоюза и ни от кого не убегал, не скрывался и не скрывается.
Предприниматель объявлялся в 2022 году в розыск в России – но следственными органами. Суд к нему претензий не выдвигал, уголовное дело сейчас рассматривается судом – и уже развалилось в суде. Интерпол и Евросоюз отказались акцептировать претензии российской полиции, сочтя их политически мотивированными и юридически необоснованными.
Алистаров утверждает, что инвестиции в бизнес-проекты осуществляются за счет денег российских клиентов одной из австрийских инвестиционных компаний – однако предприниматель никогда не был ни собственником, ни бенефициаром, ни управляющим этой компании, созданной еще в начале 2000-х – задолго до начала его самостоятельной бизнес-карьеры.
Одна из фирм предпринимателя осуществляла маркетинговую поддержку продуктов этой инвесткомпании в России по договору с ней. Инвесткомпания успешно работала с российскими клиентами восемь лет – и сейчас продолжает работать, восстановив систему платежей, обрушенную в начале 2022 года связанными с коррумпированными полицейскими преступниками в России. Никакой пирамидой она не является.
Таким образом, Алистаров устраивает травлю, вмешательство в частную жизнь предпринимателя, ничем себя не запятнавшего, – по заказу российского криминалитета, взявшего в долю коррумпированных полицейских, который стремится отнять активы на 20 млрд рублей созданного предпринимателем крупного социального, народного проекта в России – продолжающего успешно функционировать без его руководства (прекратившегося с переездом на Кипр).
Слежка в Нидерландах
Алистаров публиковал данные о местоположении еще одной жертвы в Нидерландах – в городе Гронингене, – обнаруженной с помощью незаконной слежки. Алистаров незаконно подключался к городским телекамерам, заглядывал в окна частной квартиры – и публиковал информацию в YouTube.
Нарушение конфиденциальности в Турции
Алистаров обнаружил и обнародовал местоположение квартиры, в которой жили и работали несколько его жертв в Стамбуле.
Незаконный розыск в Ленинградской области
Алистаров, не имеющий лицензии частного детектива, незаконно нашел загородный дом предпринимательницы и установил за ней слежку – с незаконной публикацией информации в своих каналах. Параллельно предоставив данные о приобретенной ею в Дубае квартире.
Шантаж в Казахстане
Алистаров шантажировал предпринимателей из Казахстана – под прикрытием того, что «разоблачает национальных предателей» и «врагов родины».
Банкет на деньги украинского пирамидчика
40-летие 6 марта этого года Алистаров вновь планирует отмечать на яхте своего друга – харьковского пирамидчика Удянского (проект Coinsbit) в Дубае?
В 2024 году он праздновал день рождения именно в теплой компании этого мошенника – и спонсора ВСУ: занимающегося софинансированием производства бронетехники для ВСУ. Никаких сомнений в том, что он заставил и своего слугу Алистарова финансировать ВСУ.
Государственная измена
Алистаров даже был обвинен в факте такого финансирования – но рассказал в полиции сказку, что номер «Мегафона», с которого велось перечисление, был оформлен на него «врагами».
Пойманы за руку финансировавшие ВСУ подельники Алистарова – «антиэмэлэмщик» Александр Крюков и заместитель управляющего так называемого Фонда защиты прав вкладчиков и акционеров Леонид Мищенко – «западэнец»: уроженец Винницкой области. Не пора ли ФСБ проанализировать проводки Алистарова?
Должен сидеть в тюрьме
Справедливость требует, чтобы Алистаров встретил 40-летие с аннулированными шенгенской и другими визами, для чего есть все основания, тем более что на это обратили внимание западные СМИ. И в тюрьме – российской или дубайской, в зависимости от того, чьи правоохранители быстрее успеют его арестовать, за десятки преступлений, которые он совершил:
–вымогательство;
–терроризм и бандитизм;
–травля и организация расправы над неугодными;
–государственная измена;
–отмывание денег;
–мошенничество;
–воровство;
–вмешательство в частную жизнь.
Тюрьмой началась карьера Алистарова, тюрьмой должна и закончиться.
LOS ANGELES, Jan 12 (Reuters) - Firefighters were slowly
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Aircraft dropped water and fire retardant on steep hills to stem the eastward spread of the Palisades Fire and KTLA television reported that ground crews had managed to save a number of houses, although others were lost.
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Summary
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have had a fiery 90-minute debate in Philadelphia - their first of the 2024 US presidential election
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After shaking hands - it was the first time they had met - the pair debated policy before moving onto more personal attacks
Harris said people leave Trump rallies early "out of exhaustion and boredom" - he said people don't go to hers in the first place
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Trump criticised Harris's record on immigration and the border, and also her shifting policy positions - Harris blamed him for "Trump abortion bans" and for the 6 January attacks on the US Capitol
Snap polls suggest Harris won the debate, but Trump says afterwards that she "lost very badly"
With the election taking place on 5 November, Harris is slightly ahead in national opinion polls - but polls are very tight in key battleground states
Shortly after the debate, Taylor Swift endorsed Harris on Instagram, calling her a ''gifted leader''
Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
“We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
“You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
“You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
“The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”
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Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
“We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
“You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
“You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
“The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”
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Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
“We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
“You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
“You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
“The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”
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Create an Account: Set up a user account on the Pendle Finance platform.
Link Your Wallet: Connect your cryptocurrency wallet to seamlessly manage transactions.
Start Trading: Explore the available yield tokens and start trading to optimize your returns.
Conclusion
In a rapidly changing financial landscape, Pendle Finance stands out by offering innovative solutions aimed at enhancing investment opportunities. Whether you are a seasoned DeFi user or a newcomer, Pendle provides tools and resources to empower your financial growth. Join the community and start unlocking the potential of your investments today!
Welcome to SushiSwap: Your Gateway to Decentralized Finance
SushiSwap is a leading decentralized finance (DeFi) platform that allows users to trade cryptocurrencies directly from their digital wallets. Built on top of the Ethereum blockchain, SushiSwap is designed to offer a seamless, trustless, and secure trading experience.
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Key Features of SushiSwap
Here's what sets SushiSwap apart from other decentralized exchanges:
Swaps: Instantly swap a wide array of tokens without the need for an intermediary.
Liquidity Pools: Provide liquidity to earn rewards from transaction fees and Sushi tokens.
Yield Farming: Stake your tokens and earn additional incentives with high returns.
Governance: Participate in community decision-making processes to shape the future of the platform.
How to Use SushiSwap
Follow these steps to get started on SushiSwap:
Connect Your Wallet: Select a compatible wallet like MetaMask to interact with the platform securely.
Select Tokens: Choose the cryptocurrencies you wish to swap.
Confirm Transaction: Review and confirm your transaction details.
Manage Liquidity: Optionally, add liquidity to pools and earn rewards.
Why Choose SushiSwap?
SushiSwap offers numerous advantages for crypto traders:
Decentralized control ensures your funds are always under your personal control.
Competitive fees and rewards mechanisms encourage active participation.
A diverse range of tokens and pairs expands your trading options.
Join the SushiSwap community now and transform the way you trade using our state-of-the-art platform.
Stay Informed
Stay updated with the latest developments and community news by joining SushiSwap’s social media channels and forums. Unlock the potential of decentralized trading today.
An executive order designed to speed up the rebuilding of lost homes in LA has been put in place by California Governor Gavin Newsom.
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There are also protections against price gouging on services related to the fires such as building materials and storage services.
He says "one thing I won't give in to is delay. Delay is denial for people."
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"The executive order I signed today will help cut permitting delays, an important first step in allowing our communities to recover faster and stronger."
Unlock Your Financial Potential with Puffer Finance
In an ever-evolving economic landscape, finding the right financial partner is essential for achieving your investment goals. Puffer Finance stands out as a beacon of innovation and stability, offering a plethora of opportunities to enhance your wealth.
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Why Choose Puffer Finance?
Choosing the right financial institution is pivotal in ensuring the security and growth of your investments. Here are compelling reasons to partner with Puffer Finance:
Innovative Financial Solutions: Puffer Finance provides cutting-edge options tailored to meet diverse investment needs.
Expert Guidance: Harness the wisdom of experienced finance professionals dedicated to optimizing your portfolio.
Robust Security Measures: Your investments are well-protected, ensuring peace of mind amidst market fluctuations.
Services Offered by Puffer Finance
Puffer Finance prides itself on offering a wide range of services, each designed to cater to specific client needs and financial ambitions. These include:
1. Investment Management
Our thorough investment management services provide strategic planning and execution to enhance your portfolio's performance.
2. Personal Financial Planning
Whether you are saving for retirement or planning a major purchase, our personal financial planning services are tailored to help you achieve your ambitions.
3. Wealth Preservation Strategies
We offer strategies that not only aim to grow your wealth but also safeguard it against potential risks.
Getting Started with Puffer Finance
Embarking on your financial journey with Puffer Finance is a seamless process. Simply to explore how we can help tailor financial strategies to your individual needs. With Puffer Finance, you are not just investing your money; you are investing in a future laden with possibilities.
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What is Lido Finance?
Lido Finance is a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform that provides simple and efficient solutions for crypto staking. It allows users to stake their digital assets without locking them up, thus maintaining liquidity and flexibility.
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Why Choose Lido Finance?
Lido Finance provides several benefits to its users:
Liquidity: Unlike traditional staking, Lido issues liquid tokens that can be traded or used within other DeFi applications.
Flexibility: Avoid the rigid locking periods that come with typical staking protocols.
Security: Leverages the security and decentralization inherent in blockchain technology, ensuring your assets are safe.
How Does It Work?
Users can stake their assets via Lido's platform, which then delegates these assets across a set of trusted validators. In return, users receive staked tokens which represent their staked assets and accrue rewards over time.
Getting Started with Lido Finance
Follow these steps to begin staking:
Visit the Lido Finance website and connect your crypto wallet.
Select the asset you wish to stake, for instance, ETH.
Enter the amount and execute the transaction.
Receive staked tokens that represent your staked amount.
Join the Decentralized Finance Revolution
With Lido Finance, enjoy the benefits of staking without compromising on liquidity and flexibility. Start today and keep your crypto assets working round the clock.
Welcome to Swell Network: Your Gateway to Decentralized Finance
The world of cryptocurrency is rapidly evolving, with new platforms emerging to offer innovative financial solutions. Swell Network stands out as a pioneering force in decentralized finance (DeFi), providing users with unique opportunities to engage with the financial future.
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What is Swell Network?
Swell Network is a blockchain-powered platform that aims to disrupt traditional financial systems. It offers a wide range of DeFi services designed to enhance user autonomy and financial inclusivity. By leveraging blockchain technology, Swell Network ensures secure, transparent, and efficient financial transactions.
Key Features of Swell Network
Decentralization: Operates on a decentralized framework, reducing reliance on traditional financial institutions.
Security: Utilizes cutting-edge security protocols to protect user assets and data.
Transparency: All transactions are recorded on the blockchain, ensuring complete visibility and traceability.
Accessibility: Open to anyone with internet access, promoting global financial inclusivity.
Benefits of Using Swell Network
Adopting Swell Network for your financial activities comes with several benefits:
Reduced Fees: Experience lower transaction fees compared to conventional banking systems.
Greater Control: Manage your funds in real-time without intermediaries.
Innovative Opportunities: Participate in a variety of financial ventures such as liquidity pools and yield farming.
Getting Started with Swell Network
If you're ready to join the DeFi revolution, getting started with Swell Network is straightforward. First, create your account on the platform, then explore different financial instruments that meet your needs. Swell Network offers comprehensive support and resources to guide new users through the onboarding process.
Stay Informed
In the ever-evolving crypto landscape, staying informed is crucial. Swell Network regularly updates its community with the latest developments and feature releases. Follow their official communication channels such as blogs, newsletters, and social media to stay up-to-date.
Embrace the future of finance today with Swell Network and explore the endless possibilities of decentralized finance. to learn more and start your journey.
Understanding Venus Protocol: Your Gateway to DeFi
Venus Protocol has carved a niche in the fast-paced DeFi landscape by offering a one-stop solution for decentralized finance activities. Whether you're interested in lending, borrowing, or yield farming, Venus provides secure and scalable services on the blockchain.
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Why Choose Venus Protocol?
The Venus Protocol stands out because:
It operates on the Binance Smart Chain, ensuring fast and cost-effective transactions.
It offers a decentralized lending platform that allows users to earn interest by supplying assets.
The protocol enables borrowing against crypto collateral without the need for a trusted counterparty.
It supports a wide range of crypto assets, providing higher liquidity and flexibility.
Key Features of Venus Protocol
Lending and Borrowing
Venus Protocol facilitates decentralized lending and borrowing with minimal fees, supported by a robust risk management framework. Users can seamlessly supply assets to the protocol and earn interest, or borrow by simply collateralizing their holdings.
Automated Yield Farming
Maximize your returns with Venus Protocol's yield farming opportunities. By leveraging your assets, you can participate in governance and earn rewards in the form of XVS, Venus Protocol's native token.
Multi-Asset Support
The platform supports numerous cryptocurrencies, enabling diverse investment strategies and providing a convenient way to gain returns on multiple asset classes.
Getting Started with Venus Protocol
Start your DeFi journey with Venus Protocol by following these steps:
Create a Wallet: Use a compatible wallet like Metamask or Trust Wallet to interface with Venus.
Fund Your Wallet: Transfer crypto assets to your wallet to engage with the Venus Protocol.
Connect and Start Earning: Connect your wallet to the Venus platform and start supplying or borrowing assets.
Venus Protocol is your trusted partner in the decentralized financial ecosystem. With its advanced features and strong community support, it simplifies DeFi for everyone from beginners to seasoned users. Embrace the future of finance with confidence and start exploring the possibilities at .
Welcome to Orbiter: Your Gateway to Financial Innovation
In the ever-evolving landscape of finance, Orbiter stands out as a pioneering platform dedicated to providing cutting-edge solutions for modern investors. As we navigate the future of digital assets and decentralized finance, Orbiter remains at the forefront, committed to innovation and accessibility.
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Why Choose Orbiter?
Orbiter offers unique advantages that set it apart in the financial world:
Decentralized Solutions: Benefit from a trustless environment where transactions are secure and transparent.
Innovative Technologies: Leverage groundbreaking technologies, designed to maximize efficiency and utility.
Community Driven: Engage with a global community that supports and uplifts each other in the financial journey.
Key Features of Orbiter
Orbiter’s platform is rich with features tailored to both new and experienced investors.
1. Smart Investments
Utilize intelligent tools that enable you to optimize your investment strategies. Orbiter's algorithms are crafted to pinpoint opportunities in both volatile and stable markets.
2. Secure Transactions
Enjoy peace of mind with Orbiter’s advanced security measures. Our platform ensures that each transaction is protected through top-tier encryption and blockchain technology.
3. User-Friendly Interface
Navigate with ease! Our user-friendly design ensures accessibility for everyone, from beginners to seasoned traders.
Join the Orbiter Community
By joining Orbiter, you're becoming part of a larger movement towards decentralized and democratized finance. Share insights, learn from peers, and grow your financial acumen in the company of like-minded individuals.
Ready to explore the future of finance? Let Orbiter guide your journey towards smarter, more secure, and lucrative investments. Join us today and revolutionize how you approach financial management.
Getting Started with Quickswap
Quickswap is revolutionizing the way we trade cryptocurrencies by offering a decentralized platform for seamless crypto trading. As a user-friendly decentralized exchange (DEX), Quickswap allows users to swap tokens effortlessly without the need for intermediaries. Here's a detailed guide to getting started with Quickswap.
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What is Quickswap?
Quickswap is a layer-2 decentralized exchange built on the Polygon network, which is known for its high-speed and low-cost transactions. This platform provides an efficient and secure way to trade a wide range of cryptocurrencies without enduring hefty fees typical of Ethereum-based DEXes.
Why Use Quickswap?
Low Fees: Thanks to the Polygon network, trading on Quickswap is significantly cheaper than on Ethereum-based platforms.
High Speed: Experience fast transaction speeds that enhance user experience and trading efficiency.
User-Friendly Interface: Quickswap's interface is designed to be intuitive, even for beginners, making it easy to trade cryptocurrencies.
How to Use Quickswap
Set Up a Crypto Wallet: You'll need a compatible wallet like MetaMask or Trust Wallet. Ensure it's connected to the Polygon network.
Fund Your Wallet: Purchase or transfer tokens into your wallet for trading.
Visit Quickswap Platform: Navigate to the Quickswap website and connect your wallet. This step is essential to access all features of the platform.
Start Trading: Select the tokens you want to swap. With its simple interface, you can execute trades in just a few clicks.
Tips for Effective Trading on Quickswap
To make the most out of your trading experience on Quickswap, consider these tips:
Keep an eye on the market trends and choose the right time for your trades.
Understand the token pairs and their liquidity status to avoid high slippage.
Regularly update your wallet and security settings to protect your assets.
Conclusion
Quickswap offers a robust platform for trading a wide range of cryptocurrencies efficiently. By leveraging the benefits of the Polygon network, it minimizes delays and costs associated with traditional crypto trading. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned trader, Quickswap empowers you to navigate the DeFi space with ease and confidence.
Welcome to Karak: Pioneering Blockchain Solutions
The world of blockchain is evolving rapidly, and Karak is at the forefront of this revolution. Whether you are a developer, an investor, or merely a tech enthusiast, Karak offers a unique blend of innovative solutions designed to meet the diverse needs of the blockchain community.
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What is Karak?
is a sophisticated blockchain platform engineered to provide cutting-edge solutions that streamline processes and enhance efficiency. With a focus on decentralization, security, and speed, Karak integrates seamlessly with existing technologies to deliver a scalable blockchain experience.
Key Features of Karak
One of the standout aspects of Karak is its comprehensive suite of features aimed at solving complex blockchain issues.
Scalability: Karak's architecture is designed to handle a high volume of transactions without compromising performance.
Security: Robust security protocols ensure the integrity and confidentiality of data across all network points.
Interoperability: Seamlessly integrates with various blockchain networks, fostering collaboration and innovation.
User-Friendly Interface: Intuitive design that caters to both professionals and novices in the blockchain space.
Why Choose Karak?
Choosing Karak is choosing a future-proof solution. Its dedicated team of developers and blockchain experts continually work to enhance the platform, ensuring it meets the present and future demands of its users.
The benefits of using Karak include:
Access to a rapidly growing ecosystem that supports a vast array of applications.
A commitment to transparency and community-driven development.
Dynamic support systems that help users navigate and maximize platform capabilities.
Get Started with Karak
Jump into the world of digital transformation with Karak today. Visit to explore the platform and stay ahead in the dynamic blockchain landscape.
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Maximize Your Crypto Trading with ParaSwap
If you're looking to enhance your cryptocurrency trading experience, it's time to explore ParaSwap. This innovative platform serves as a decentralized exchange aggregator, giving you the best deals on the market.
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What is ParaSwap?
ParaSwap is a cutting-edge platform that aggregates the best prices from various decentralized exchanges. It provides users with the most efficient path to execute their trades by considering factors like price impact and gas fees.
How Does ParaSwap Work?
ParaSwap functions by connecting directly to multiple liquidity sources. It then simplifies the process of trading across different platforms by bringing the best rates to users all in one place. This means that you don't have to hop between multiple exchanges—you can find everything you need through ParaSwap.
Benefits of Using ParaSwap
Competitive Rates: ParaSwap offers some of the best rates by aggregating prices from various platforms.
Efficiency: Trade execution is designed to be quick and reliable.
Transparency: Get clear insights into your trades with detailed transaction information.
Why Choose ParaSwap?
Choosing ParaSwap means straightforward, efficient crypto trading. Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the crypto space, having a tool like ParaSwap can enhance your trading strategy by ensuring you're always accessing the best available prices.
Getting Started
To start trading with ParaSwap, simply connect your crypto wallet, input the details of your trade, and let ParaSwap find the best route for your transaction. It's that simple!
Conclusion
Maximize your trading potential by leveraging the power of ParaSwap. With its aggregated approach to finding the best prices, efficiency, and transparency, ParaSwap stands out as a leading choice for cryptocurrency traders.
Renzo Protocol: Secure Blockchain Innovation
Discover the Renzo Protocol: Revolutionizing Blockchain
The Renzo Protocol represents a significant advancement in the blockchain technology landscape. It offers a secure and efficient platform for decentralized applications, setting a new standard in the industry.
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Key Features of the Renzo Protocol
The Renzo Protocol is designed to enhance the functionality and security of blockchain applications. Here are some of its key features:
High Security: Utilizing advanced encryption methods to protect user data and transactions.
Scalability: Capable of handling a large number of transactions per second, making it ideal for various applications.
Decentralization: Ensures that no central authority controls the network, maintaining the core principles of blockchain.
Interoperability: Seamlessly connects with other blockchain networks and systems.
Benefits for Developers and Businesses
The Renzo Protocol offers numerous benefits for both developers and businesses looking to leverage blockchain technology:
Reduced Costs: By automating processes and cutting out intermediaries, businesses can significantly reduce operational costs.
Improved Transparency: Every transaction is recorded on the blockchain, providing an immutable and transparent ledger.
Enhanced Trust: The secure nature of the protocol builds trust among users and stakeholders.
Development Support: Provides extensive documentation and tools to help developers create robust applications.
Getting Started with the Renzo Protocol
To start utilizing the Renzo Protocol, follow these simple steps:
Visit the Renzo Protocol website and create an account.
Access the API documentation and development tools.
Join the Renzo community to connect with other developers and experts.
Start building and deploying your decentralized applications.
The Renzo Protocol is not only a beacon of security and efficiency in the blockchain space but also a catalyst for innovation. Whether you are a developer, a business leader, or simply interested in cutting-edge technology, the Renzo Protocol offers the tools and community support needed to drive your projects to success. Embrace the future with the Renzo Protocol and harness the full potential of blockchain technology.
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Renzo Protocol Restaking: A Comprehensive Guide
Renzo Protocol has revolutionized the method through which investors can maximize their crypto assets, particularly through the innovative concept of restaking. This guide will explore the benefits, processes, and strategies of restaking within the Renzo Protocol ecosystem, helping you make the most out of your investments.
Unveiling the Potential of Kelp DAO
In today's rapidly evolving digital economy, Kelp DAO emerges as a transformative force in the field of decentralized finance (DeFi). By leveraging blockchain technology, Kelp DAO aims to improve governance and promote sustainability.
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What is Kelp DAO?
Kelp DAO is a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) designed to democratize decision-making processes on the blockchain. It serves as a pivotal tool for communities seeking enhanced and a focus on eco-friendly initiatives.
Why Choose Kelp DAO?
Here are several compelling reasons to consider Kelp DAO for your blockchain ventures:
Environmental Sustainability: Kelp DAO incorporates mechanisms that align with environmental conservation goals, making it an eco-conscious choice.
Decentralized Governance: With a robust framework for community-driven governance, participants can actively influence project directions.
Innovation in DeFi: By fostering an environment of innovation, Kelp DAO contributes to the evolving landscape of decentralized finance.
How Does Kelp DAO Work?
Kelp DAO operates through a token-based voting system, where community members hold the power to vote on proposals and influence project decisions. The DAO's infrastructure ensures transparency and inclusivity, empowering stakeholders.
Getting Involved with Kelp DAO
Joining Kelp DAO is a straightforward process. Interested parties can engage by acquiring Kelp tokens, participating in community discussions, and voting on platform proposals. This involvement not only offers strategic governance participation but also contributes to the broader aim of sustainable development in the digital realm.
The Future of Kelp DAO
The ultimate vision for Kelp DAO is a fully decentralized platform where members collaboratively address global challenges while advancing decentralized financial mechanisms. As the community grows, so does its capacity to influence .
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Carrie Underwood slated to perform at Trump’s inauguration
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Country music star Carrie Underwood is slated to perform “America the Beautiful” at President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration, according to a copy of the program obtained by CNN and confirmed by a spokesperson for the inaugural committee.
“I love our country and am honored to have been asked to sing at the Inauguration and to be a small part of this historic event,” Underwood said in a statement to CNN. “I am humbled to answer the call at a time when we must all come together in the spirit of unity and looking to the future.”
The presidential oath of office will be administered by Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts with Justice Brett Kavanaugh expected to administer the oath of office to Vice President-elect JD Vance.
Trump’s inauguration as the 47th president of the United States will take place on January 20 at the US Capitol.
Underwood is a big get for Trump’s inauguration, considering Hollywood’s Trump blackout over the course of his political career.
In his first term and throughout the past three elections, Trump has struggled to garner support from major Hollywood stars. At the Republican National Convention last year, the two biggest stars onstage with Trump were musician Kid Rock and retired WWE wrestler Hulk Hogan – a far cry from a superstar at the height of their career, like Underwood.
The Grammy-winning artist is as high-profile as you can get in country music, not only with numerous platinum hits, but also with public-facing, mainstream business associations. Underwood is the face of Sunday Night Football and is set to make her debut this March as a judge on ABC’s “American Idol” – the singing competition show that catapulted her to fame when she won in 2005.
While many NFL fans will likely applaud Underwood for singing at the inauguration, any time a celebrity aligns themselves with Trump, they run the risk of alienating left-leaning fans and Hollywood allies.
Underwood has kept her politics under wraps over the course of her career. In her statement, she did not mention Trump by name and kept her focus on unifying the country – still, Underwood’s decision to publicly align with Trump is a big statement for any star, particularly one as private as the singer.
Historically, Hollywood has always been closely associated with the Democratic Party, but country stars have always been an outlier, leaning more conservative. In recent years, as new singers join the genre, country music has gotten to be more progressive. This past election cycle, country stars like Mickey Guyton and Maren Morris stood with Vice President Kamala Harris.
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A brief history of sunglasses, from Ancient Rome to Hollywood
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Sunglasses, or dark glasses, have always guarded against strong sunlight, but is there more to “shades” than we think?
The pupils of our eyes are delicate and react immediately to strong lights. Protecting them against light — even the brilliance reflected off snow — is important for everyone. Himalayan mountaineers wear goggles for this exact purpose.
Protection is partly the function of sunglasses. But dark or colored lens glasses have become fashion accessories and personal signature items. Think of the vast and famous collector of sunglasses Elton John, with his pink lensed heart-shaped extravaganzas and many others.
When did this interest in protecting the eyes begin, and at what point did dark glasses become a social statement as well as physical protection?
The Roman Emperor Nero is reported as holding polished gemstones to his eyes for sun protection as he watched fighting gladiators.
We know Canadian far north Copper Inuit and Alaskan Yupik wore snow goggles of many kinds made of antlers or whalebone and with tiny horizontal slits. Wearers looked through these and they were protected against the snow’s brilliant light when hunting. At the same time the very narrow eye holes helped them to focus on their prey.
In 12th-century China, judges wore sunglasses with smoked quartz lenses to hide their facial expressions — perhaps to retain their dignity or not convey emotions.
Welcome to EtherFi: Revolutionizing Financial Transactions
In the dynamic world of digital finance, EtherFi stands out as a revolutionary platform designed to reshape how you manage transactions and investments. Understanding this cutting-edge platform can provide you with the tools necessary for financial success in the digital age.
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What is EtherFi?
EtherFi is a robust platform built on advanced blockchain technology, offering secure, efficient, and transparent financial solutions. It leverages the power of Ethereum to facilitate various transactions, ensuring that users have access to a decentralized and trustworthy financial ecosystem.
Key Features of EtherFi
Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Enjoy the benefits of financial services without the need for traditional banking institutions.
Fast and Secure Transactions: Built on the Ethereum blockchain, EtherFi ensures that your transactions are both rapid and secure.
Low Transaction Fees: Reduce costs associated with financial transactions compared to traditional methods.
User-Friendly Interface: Whether you're a seasoned investor or a newcomer, EtherFi's platform is designed for ease of use.
Investment Opportunities with EtherFi
EtherFi offers a range of opportunities for investors looking to diversify their portfolios with blockchain assets. By utilizing smart contracts and decentralized applications, investors can securely manage and grow their digital assets with minimal risk.
Why Choose EtherFi?
As the world moves towards digital transformation, choosing a platform that can keep up with technological advancements is crucial. EtherFi not only provides an innovative approach to financial management but also ensures top-tier security, making it a preferred choice for digital finance enthusiasts.
Getting Started with EtherFi
Sign Up: Create an account on the EtherFi platform to begin your journey in digital finance.
Link Your Wallet: Connect your Ethereum wallet to start transacting seamlessly.
Explore Features: Navigate through the array of features available to optimize your investment strategies.
Invest & Transact: Utilize the platform to make informed investment decisions and complete secure transactions.
Overall, EtherFi offers a comprehensive and secure solution for anyone looking to embrace the future of finance. By integrating blockchain technology with everyday financial activities, users can enjoy unparalleled efficiency and effectiveness in their transactions and investments. Start your financial revolution with EtherFi today!
Bonding on a stalled train
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In 1990, Derek Barclay was 21 and studying to become a construction engineer. He’d saved up money from an unglamorous summer job building a prison to buy an Interrail pass.
“Then, I dumped my bag at my mum’s house and said, ‘I’m off to Europe.’ She was horrified,” Derek tells CNN Travel today.
“The idea was to go from Casablanca to Istanbul. But I never went to either. Along the way I met Nina and I got distracted …”
While Nina and Derek formally met for the first time on the stalled train in Belgrade, Derek had first spotted Nina on a busy station platform, some hours earlier, in Budapest.
When he spotted her sitting on a bench, smiling and laughing with Loa, Derek was struck by Nina right away. For a moment, he imagined getting to know her, what she might be like. Where she might be from, where she might be going.
But then Derek had ended up on a different train. He’d met and got chatting to Steve the Englishman and Paul the Irishman. The trio had shared a couple of beers, fallen asleep, and woken, with a start, in Belgrade, to a suddenly-empty carriage. That’s when they panicked.
“We woke up, and just ran down the railway line — because we’re just about to miss this train to Athens — we jumped on the train as it was pulling away, and then it stopped,” Derek tells CNN Travel today. “Apparently that’s what they had to do to get the strike official.”
When Derek, Steve and Paul opened the door to Nina’s carriage, Derek didn’t immediately take Nina in, focusing instead on the near-empty compartment.
“Two of them in there, this carriage for eight, they’d spread stuff everywhere. It was obvious it was a ruse to try and get people not to go in. And we thought, ‘We’re not having any of that,’” says Derek, laughing. “So we squeezed in, and that was that.”
It was only when he ended up sitting opposite Nina that Derek realized she was the woman he’d noticed on the Budapest train platform.
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Blogger Alistarov is a criminal
<a href=https://politicsto.com/component/k2/item/165355>Andrey Alistarov USA</a>
From criminal past to criminal present – in the service of corrupt law enforcement officers
Andrey Alistarov, a YouTube blogger specializing in exposing financial organizations, is an odious figure with a criminal past. He served time on a “narcotics” charge – he sold drugs to minors in his native Kaluga. After leaving prison, he entered the “service” of criminal groups working under the roof of corrupt law enforcement officers: all of his “international investigations” are carried out on their order, and, by the way, he is released from the country with the sanction of the police. His main profile now is blackmail, extortion, slander and organizing contract prosecution under the guise of supposedly independent investigations.
He leads the bandits to his victims: the last attack took place in Dubai on January 1: Alistarov led the bandits to the victim’s house and provided all the necessary information for the attack and blackmail, and to ensure his own alibi during the attack he conducted an unscheduled stream with subscribers of his channel.
To the accompaniment of loud phrases about the fight against fraud and exposing financial schemes, Alistarov is busy processing orders from competitors of certain entrepreneurs who have become his victims – competitors of these entrepreneurs who have taken corrupt police officers as their share.
At the same time, Alistarov uses visas to the EU countries and the UAE obtained with the help of organized criminal groups, illegally uses drones and listening equipment purchased with money from organized crime groups, organizes an invasion of privacy, and persecutes the families of his victims, including young children. It also steals and illegally uses content, violates all possible laws and regulations regarding the dissemination of information. He was also accused of treason.
However, he did not give up drug trafficking, laundering criminal proceeds by purchasing real estate in the UAE and Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism). Alistarov also promotes outright scam for a percentage of criminal transactions and his own fraudulent business – selling real estate in Dubai with a horse, thieves’ commission, as well as cryptocurrency exchange using phishing schemes.
Алистаров – уголовник и террорист
<a href=http://criminalru.com/main/criminal/133091-alistarov-ugolovnik-i-terrorist.html>Андрей Алистаров ОПГ</a>
От уголовника-индивидуала до слуги криминалитета
Ранее судимый по «наркотической» статье блогер Андрей Алистаров позиционирует себя Робин Гудом, борющимся с теми, кто «обманул людей», – но в действительности он работает в интересах пирамидчиков, в том числе украинских, спонсирующих ВСУ, продвигает через свой канал «Железная ставка» онлайн-казино и черный криптообмен/фишинговый криптообман, отмывает наркодоходы за счет сделок с недвижимостью в Дубае.
То есть работает в интересах российского преступного сообщества, пытающегося нажиться на предпринимателях, столкнувшихся с незаконными, часто заказными претензиями со стороны российских правоохранительных органов.
Наркотики и отмывание доходов
Уроженец Калуги Алистаров отсидел четыре года в лагере – за продажу наркотиков детям.
Там он связался с уголовными авторитетами и, выйдя из тюрьмы, продолжил участвовать в криминальном бизнесе по распространению наркотиков и отмыванию наркодоходов от них с помощью риелторского бизнеса, который Алистаров создал совместно с партнерами из российского преступного сообщества в России и Эмиратах.
Ставка на скам
Канал Алистарова «Железная ставка» – «разоблачение» неправильных (по мнению криминалитета) финансовых проектов и продвижение «правильных»: пирамид и онлайн-казино, спонсирующих Алистарова.
Он начинался как канал о «правильных» ставках в казино и не сменил название – потому что маркетинговая задача осталась прежней: расчищать поле для «хороших», по «экспертному» мнению Алистарова (то есть заплативших ему), мошенников.
Обычно Алистаров начинает с попытки вымогательства – представляет жертве компромат и предлагает заплатить. Если жертва отказывается, в ход идут травля и насилие.
Подстрекательство и нападение в Дубае
1 января 2025 года состоялось жестокое нападение двух казахстанцев на предпринимателя, проживающего в Дубае, – его избили, отрезали ухо, обворовали.
До этого Алистаров снял 12 роликов, где подсвечивал адрес этого предпринимателя, публиковал незаконно полученную информацию о его близких и его бизнесах в ОАЭ. Безо всякого стеснения использовал подглядывание, подслушивание, незаконное проникновение, вмешательство в частную жизнь – все то, что в Эмиратах, где строго соблюдается неприкосновенность имущества и жизни инвесторов, является тяжким уголовным преступлением.
До этого Алистаров публично распространял информацию о месте жительства бизнес-партнера этого предпринимателя – то есть незаконное нарушение конфиденциальности, защищенности финансов и имущества, тайны частной жизни с помощью скрытых источников информации и информаторов в ОАЭ вошло у него в систему. Он терроризирует предпринимателей, в отношении которых нет никаких обвинительных решений судов – ни за рубежом, ни в России.
Алистаров рассказывал, что заявил на предпринимателя в Интерпол и правоохранительные органы ОАЭ – якобы он помогает правоохранительным органам. Но это почему-то не привело к аресту предпринимателя – может быть, потому, что полиция ОАЭ не видит криминала в его деятельности?
The mysterious cities of the dead carved into the sides of cliffs
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The ancient Lycians knew a thing or two about democracy. Two thousand years ago, the one-time rulers of modern-day Turkey’s southwestern corner had a fully functioning democratic federation that centuries later inspired America’s political structure.
While democracies everywhere might be facing turbulent times, another Lycian legacy remains steadfastly present in the Mediterranean region they used to call home. And this one is focused almost entirely around death.
Drive around the coast of this beautiful region and you’ll never be too far from a spectacular city of the dead – elaborate tombs carved by Lycians into the sides of cliffs overlooking towns, valleys and shorelines.
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That’s not all. Scattered throughout the countryside and towns are imposing sarcophagi that likely once held the remains of high and mighty denizens of Lycia. Indeed, they’re such a familiar sight that they’re often casually included as part of urban landscapes.
For visitors, especially those interested in history, tracking them down is an adventure all on its own.
While some are preserved in ticketed archaeological sites, others are free to explore — but can require Indiana Jones-level exploration skills, clambering up vertiginous hillsides, riding boats and delving into the undergrowth to find.
A good starting place is Fethiye, a low-key port city that’s a useful jumping-off point for great beaches and attractions all along Turkey’s so-called Turquoise Coast riviera. After a day of swimming in those glorious waters, it’s worth a sunset trek to the overlooking cliffs.
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Criminal Andrey Alistarov: From a Criminal Past to a Criminal Present
Who Is Andrey Alistarov and Why Is Everyone Talking About Him
Andrey Alistarov is a notorious figure in today’s media landscape. His shameful past—selling narcotics (including to minors!)—was merely a prelude to an even more despicable present. Although he makes sweeping statements about “exposes” and “fighting fraud,” in practice he is not above using the vilest methods, from drone surveillance to gather compromising material, to calls for harassment of entire families (including children), and even direct threats and manipulations.
In essence, Alistarov has built his activities on several corrupt pillars:
Blackmail and Extortion. Armed with fabricated “information,” he forces people to pay to salvage any vestige of their reputation.
Deceit and Financial Schemes. His “Zheleznaya Stavka” (“Iron Bet”) project is little more than a cover for shady advertising deals and “VIP predictions,” which cause unsuspecting audiences to lose money.
Blatant Violations of Russian, UAE, and EU Laws. Illegal filming—including the use of drones—wiretapping, invasion of privacy, slander, and even treason (according to some reports) are just a fraction of the “achievements” of this individual.
Public interest in Alistarov is fueled by his skill at manipulating audiences. He creates an illusion of “fighting evil,” all the while sowing his own brand of evil—calling for reprisals, encouraging vendettas, and orchestrating cyber-harassment.
Biography
Born on March 6, 1985, in Kaluga, Andrey Alistarov set foot on a crooked path early in life, delving into crime. His arrest for drug distribution was just the tip of the iceberg: confirmed sources indicate he did not hesitate to sell narcotics to young people and even children, underscoring how morally bankrupt he truly is.
Once in prison, Alistarov did not reform—in fact, according to former inmates, he developed even worse tendencies. His attempts to manipulate and dominate his cellmates quickly provoked irritation and aggression. Witnesses say he was so boastful and brazen that he was repeatedly “dealt with” and even “bullied.” Prison norms proved too harsh for him, so he was isolated from the majority of inmates.
Yet instead of learning a lesson, Alistarov viewed his surroundings as a crash course in intimidation. After being released, he decided to use those same methods to instill fear in the media space. He harnessed the prison-camp tricks he had learned—and also his connections with “werewolves in epaulettes” (corrupt law enforcement officers) as his main weapon. Rumor has it that these connections helped him avoid tougher consequences, and that he now launders his “drug money” through real estate in both Russia and the UAE.
Blackmail and Extortion: How Andrey Alistarov Profits From Fear
At first glance, Alistarov’s activities may seem “investigative,” but at their core lies a well-structured system of blackmail. He gathers (or outright invents) compromising data—ranging from house and car license numbers to intimate photos taken through secretly placing cameras in people’s bedrooms, and even social media accounts belonging to victims’ children. Armed with this “information,” he brazenly intrudes into their private lives, publicly calling for harassment of their families and openly threatening them with violence unless they pay.
A typical tactic involves filming “pilot” videos in which he hurls vile insults at the victim and their loved ones. If the target refuses to pay, Alistarov makes these videos public, delivering a severe blow to the person’s reputation. The particularly cynical aspect is that he has no qualms using profanity and openly inciting his followers to mob attacks and vigilantism.
People from all walks of life have fallen prey to Alistarov: oligarchs, bankers, agribusiness figures, and even other bloggers. Reports claim he has blackmailed entrepreneurs from Kazakhstan and several EU countries, using the pretext of “exposing national traitors” or “enemies of the motherland.” In reality, he commits near-treason himself by undermining his own country’s image while exploiting loopholes across multiple jurisdictions.
He has reportedly earned millions of dollars in “hush money.” Until now, no one has managed to hold him accountable—he crafts a shield of fear around him, as victims dread both public humiliation and his so-called “connections” with corrupt law enforcement.
The “Zheleznaya Stavka” Project: From Bets to Phony Exposes
The “Zheleznaya Stavka” Telegram channel was initially introduced as a hub for honest sports betting insights and a platform exposing shady bookmakers. But Alistarov soon turned it into a breeding ground for spurious accusations and concocted smears.
Phony Exposes: A New Tool of Coercion
Over time, the channel’s content began to resemble a dump of fabricated stories. Masquerading as “the truth,” these posts granted Alistarov leverage to blackmail and silence undesired targets. Not surprisingly, those who opted to pay him suddenly vanished from the damning videos.
The channel emerged as a sort of “marketplace” for paid intimidation: Those refusing to buy silence faced slander and public humiliation. Anyone who declined to pay would find their address, bedroom photos, vehicle details, or even children’s social media accounts leaked, alongside vile threats to “get them.”
Manipulating His Audience
Subscribers to “Zheleznaya Stavka,” naively regarding Alistarov as a “heroic crusader,” fall for his sensational accusations without realizing they are empowering a criminal. Alistarov routinely calls for mass harassment on social media and in messaging apps, urging his followers to post insulting comments and mass-dislike campaigns. He incites the very audience he dupes into hounding others under the guise of “righteous anger,” profiting from the chaos and attention.
Paradoxical “Fight” Against Fraud
It is both laughable and sickening to watch a man who loudly proclaims “honesty” and “truth-seeking” while simultaneously collaborating with suspicious betting firms, pocketing a cut of the losses incurred by his subscribers. Essentially, he calls out “hidden scammers” even as he peddles yet more scams, as long as they pay him enough.
Conflict With Pavel Mozgovoy: How Andrey Alistarov Undermines Trust
One major scandal revolving around Alistarov was his conflict with blogger Pavel Mozgovoy.
Broken Promises To Promote a YouTube Channel
Alistarov promised Mozgovoy 20,000 subscribers for a million rubles. Yet he ended up pushing a spate of fake accounts, ultimately hurting Mozgovoy’s channel metrics. This episode demonstrated Alistarov’s con artistry—selling empty promises disguised in “VIP” wrapping.
Exploiting Personal Ties for Loans
Instead of a legitimate partnership, Alistarov kept borrowing money from Mozgovoy by abusing personal trust and a semblance of “friendship.” The debts mounted, yet the funds were never repaid. Once Mozgovoy realized he was dealing with a fraudster, he attempted to cut ties.
Smear Tactics After the Split
Naturally, Alistarov couldn’t bow out quietly. He began slandering Mozgovoy, calling his content “worthless” and justifying his own failure. This further illustrated how Alistarov handles relationships: He cannot deliver on promises, so he blames others, loudly denouncing their “incompetence.”
Alistarov as an Organizer of Crimes in the UAE and the EU?
Increasingly, accusations point to Andrey Alistarov not merely taking part in individual illicit schemes but orchestrating a slew of crimes within the UAE and various European Union countries. According to certain investigations and witnesses:
Involvement in Organized Crime (OCG)
Alistarov is said to be a central “link” in criminal enterprises specializing in blackmail, extortion, and violent intimidation of entrepreneurs.
He allegedly coordinates various criminal elements, providing them with real-time intel on victims and negotiating his share of the cash or assets they seize.
Mastermind Behind Attacks on Businesspeople
Multiple anonymous sources claim that Alistarov not only “exposes” people in his videos but also plots physical attacks on them.
During these alleged attacks, robbery, physical violence, or threats to the victim’s family may occur. Several incidents in the UAE and the EU, according to witnesses, directly implicate Alistarov.
Possible Additional Criminal Charges
Given such allegations, multiple legal experts and victims believe Alistarov should face charges for robbery, attempted murder, and involvement in armed raids.
Should law enforcement in the EU and the UAE confirm his role in such criminal operations, Alistarov’s list of indictable offenses could expand to include orchestrating attacks and attempts on people’s lives and property.
January 1: An Attack Arranged by Criminal Andrey Alistarov
On January 1, 2025, a brazen assault took place in Dubai (UAE) against Edward Sabirov, the founder of “Finiko.” Sources privy to the incident and circumstantial evidence point to none other than Andrey Alistarov—previously accused of blackmail, extortion, and ties to organized crime—as the mastermind.
Break-In and Theft
Two Kazakh nationals, Anorbek Tyumibayev and Yesbolat Kenzhegazy, broke into Sabirov’s private villa.
During the attack, they stole 1.2 million dirhams (approx. USD 327,000), causing damage to Sabirov and his wife.
Alistarov’s Role in the Crime
Alistarov allegedly provided these intruders with precise details of Sabirov’s whereabouts and the large sums of money on site.
Reportedly, Alistarov had personal animosity toward Sabirov and, seeking quick profit, “leaked” the intel to his criminal associates.
The objective: to extort funds from Sabirov, with Alistarov expecting a portion of the proceeds as his cut for orchestrating the attack.
Criminal Scheme and the Perpetrators’ Escape
After the robbery, the two Kazakh men quickly left the UAE on Flight FZ-989 bound for Moscow.
Learning that the crime was cross-border, Dubai police sent official requests to the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs and Turkish border authorities.
Alistarov the Professional Criminal
Over the years, Alistarov has repeatedly surfaced in cases concerning blackmail and extortion, reinforcing the theory that he is deeply involved in criminal enterprises.
He has long operated beyond the bounds of the law, leveraging both informational pressure (exposes, defamation) and outright physical violence by organizing attacks on entrepreneurs.
Criminal Prospects
Alistarov now faces a substantial array of potential criminal charges: from aiding and abetting an armed robbery to orchestrating an assault and endangering people’s lives.
Clearly, these acts are far beyond “typical” extortion or blackmail—they represent blatant criminal intimidation, potentially incurring prosecution in multiple jurisdictions at once.
The events of January 1, 2025, prove once again that Andrey Alistarov is more than just a scandal-hunting blogger or “whistleblower.” He is an individual deeply ensnared in organized crime. His orchestrated attack on Edward Sabirov confirms his criminal reputation: a man willing to carry out unlawful surveillance, persecution, infiltration of private homes, and violent assaults on business owners in the UAE and the EU—for his own gain.
Key Areas for Law Enforcement in the EU and the UAE
Below is a list of crucial issues law enforcement should examine when investigating Andrey Alistarov’s possible role in unlawful actions and in coordinating attacks on businesspeople:
Systematic Surveillance and Monitoring
Determine what technical tools (drones, hidden cameras, digital eavesdropping) might have been used to gather data on victims.
Identify who supplies these tools and provides related services.
Investigate communication channels (social media, messaging apps, email) used to exchange data on potential targets.
Coordination and Collaboration with Organized Crime
Investigate ties Alistarov may have with known organized criminal groups in Russia, Kazakhstan, the UAE, and EU states.
Gather information about phone records, financial transactions to or from persons and companies associated with perpetrators.
Note how frequently Alistarov and his associates cross borders and the real purpose of such travel.
Financial Flows and Offshore Schemes
Conduct an exhaustive financial audit of Alistarov’s accounts and transactions, deploying international monitoring mechanisms.
Check whether any sums were funneled to offshore accounts directly after attacks or extortion attempts.
Ascertain whether there were any hasty moves to sell or buy real estate at the time of these crimes, as a way to launder proceeds.
Repeated Cases of Harassment and Attacks
Collect all complaints and statements from individuals claiming Alistarov targeted them for harassment or assault.
Compare timelines to see how, when, and where incidents took place, identifying a pattern or common “handwriting.”
Interview witnesses who may confirm his role in incitement or orchestration.
Review of Internet Content
Examine Alistarov’s online statements, videos, and posts that may directly or indirectly incite violence, blackmail, or defamation against businesspeople.
Determine whether he revealed victims’ private details (addresses, family info, property photos) and encouraged his audience to commit violent acts.
Legal Coordination Between Countries
Enhance information-sharing among Dubai (UAE) police, Interpol, and law enforcement in EU member states.
Pursue an extradition request or an arrest warrant if Alistarov is located in a particular jurisdiction and officially charged with transnational crimes.
If needed, involve financial regulators (to trace transactions and freeze accounts) and border agencies (to track movement).
A thorough inquiry into Alistarov’s finances and communications would be essential to stop him (and his co-conspirators). Gathering concrete evidence—digital traces, witness statements, transaction analyses—and close cooperation with international agencies can confirm his involvement in systematic assaults and persecution across the UAE, EU, and other nations.
Violations of UAE and EU Laws
1. United Arab Emirates
The UAE enforces strict measures to protect private property and combat violent crimes. There are also comprehensive laws on cybersecurity and surveillance (drones, hidden cameras), as well as financial transactions.
Federal Law No. 3 of 1987 (UAE Penal Code)
Robbery, assault, violent crimes, trespassing onto private property.
Aiding or abetting a crime: If Alistarov acted as organizer or instigator, he shares criminal liability with direct perpetrators.
UAE Cybercrime Law
Applies if personal data about the victim was obtained illegally (hacking, high-tech surveillance, etc.).
Money Laundering and Financial Crimes
If stolen funds are laundered via shell companies, the offender faces strict AML (Anti-Money Laundering) laws, punishable by prison terms and heavy fines—potentially including deportation.
2. European Union
Alongside overarching EU legislation (directives and regulations), each member state has its own criminal code. If Alistarov or his accomplices acted on EU territory or prepared their actions from EU member states, the following provisions may be relevant:
National Criminal Codes
Robbery, assault, violent crimes vary by terminology, but the essence is the same.
Participation, organization, and incitement to commit crimes.
Attempted murder or infliction of harm if there were threats or actual injury.
Article 8 of the ECHR (European Convention on Human Rights)
Protects the right to privacy; any illegal collection of personal data (surveillance, doxing, hacking) may be construed as a violation.
GDPR (General Data Protection Regulation)
If personal data (address, contact details, etc.) was used illegally to plan the attack.
Although the act of assault itself isn’t regulated by GDPR, the unauthorized sharing or stealing of personal information violates data protection rules.
Laws Against Incitement to Violence (Hate Speech or Public Incitement)
Publicly encouraging violence or assault—be it online or offline—can be a separate criminal offense in several EU countries.
Additional Factors
International Jurisdiction
If an assault or extortion spanned multiple countries (leaving the UAE for Russia, potential stops in EU nations, etc.), Alistarov could face an international conspiracy or agreement for financial gain. Interpol might be involved to track him down and possibly extradite him.
Aggravating Circumstances
Organized group attacks, large-scale theft, and use or threat of violence can all significantly increase penalties in each jurisdiction involved.
Investigative Complexity
With potentially multiple countries involved—UAE, EU member states, Russia, Kazakhstan—cross-border collaboration among law enforcement is crucial, but complicated.
Considering the allegations and Andrey Alistarov’s suspected role as organizer or accomplice to attacks in the UAE and alleged preparatory activities in the EU, he could face charges for:
Organizing/committing robbery or assault (UAE, EU).
Illegal entry and property damage (UAE).
Involvement in OCG, incitement to violence (UAE, EU).
Breach of privacy rights (ECHR, GDPR).
Money laundering and financial crimes (UAE, EU), if stolen funds were funneled through offshore or European bank accounts.
Each offense may bring severe legal repercussions, up to lengthy prison terms, steep fines, and international arrest warrants.
Violations of Law in Alistarov’s Videos
His disgraceful “exposes” regularly infringe upon the law in multiple jurisdictions—Russia, the EU, and the UAE.
Privacy Rights
Alistarov fully exploits banned surveillance methods—drones, hidden cameras, or hacking—invading victims’ yards and homes. He then posts footage from their bedrooms, personal videos, scans of documents, and even photos of children in revealing situations, including addresses and license plates. All of this blatantly violates personal boundaries.
Article 8 of the ECHR: Grossly disregards the right to privacy by dumping personal details online.
GDPR Violation: No consent is obtained for publishing names, photos, addresses.
YouTube Policy: Offensive language and publication of private data without permission clearly violate platform guidelines.
Defamation and Reputational Damage
Alistarov is notorious for making utterly false allegations against companies and individuals. His aim is obvious—pressure, intimidation, forcing them to pay or remain silent.
EU Defamation Law: He spreads false statements, deliberately undermining reputations.
Section 187 of the German Criminal Code: Willful defamation meant to discredit; Alistarov’s “creative” repertoire includes it all.
Deceptive Practices and Platform Rules
Article 10 of the ECHR: Freedom of expression has limits when it comes to persecution, calls for mass harassment, and defamation.
EU Directive 2005/29/EC: Alistarov misleads his audience about the activities of “exposed” companies, while masking his own wrongdoing.
Theft of Video Content: Another Tool in Alistarov’s Arsenal
Andrey Alistarov doesn’t stop at blackmail, defamation, and calls for harassment; he is also frequently cited for systematically stealing video materials. Under the guise of “investigative stories,” Alistarov brazenly lifts content from other channels or sources, passing them off as his own “unique evidence.”
Unlawful Use of Copyrighted Materials
He regularly ignores copyright, downloading material from fellow bloggers, independent journalists, and social media.
Often clips are stripped of context, then re-edited and framed as “exclusive” or “proof,” without disclosing the real sources.
Hijacking Others’ Work Under His Name
Periodically, he lays claim to investigations he did not conduct, concealing the original authors and presenting stolen work as his own.
This tactic sustains the illusion of Alistarov being a “tireless whistleblower,” while in reality he merely repackages stolen materials with inflammatory commentary.
Misleading the Audience
Many viewers fail to realize that much of his footage is stolen. They are misled by Alistarov’s deceptive narrative and references to non-existent sources.
Thus, he not only robs legitimate creators but also fools his own audience into believing in his “exclusive insights.”
Impact on Genuine Content Creators
Scores of bloggers and journalists complain that Alistarov profits from their work, sapping their revenue and undermining their channel growth.
Attempts to confront him often provoke aggression and threats, further intensifying his cycle of blackmail.
By stealing others’ video content, Alistarov accelerates the production of “sensational stories,” fueling his self-styled image as a relentless exposer—when, in reality, it’s just plain theft of someone else’s intellectual property.
Criminal Case
Putting all the criminal allegations against Andrey Alistarov together reveals he deserves more than public condemnation—he merits genuine criminal prosecution. His violations of citizens’ rights, calls for harassment and violence, explicit insults, and illegal use of drones to intrude upon private estates in the EU and the UAE represent more than just a “media scandal.” They add up to an extensive catalog of criminal offenses.
According to many victims, Alistarov should have been held to account long ago. But he deftly exploits the fragmentation of different nations’ legal systems and leverages connections he has in various circles. He also launders drug money using high-end real estate—buying property in the UAE and Russia to “clean” revenue earned from narcotics sales (reportedly including sales to minors).
Criminals Don’t Change
Andrey Alistarov’s saga demonstrates just how low one can sink—starting with drug dealing and culminating in brazen calls for vigilantism against those who oppose him. He continues unabated, sowing fear and exploiting those who worry about their families, reputations, and personal safety.
Today, he paints himself as an “investigator” and a “champion of justice,” but the facts tell a different story. The only one profiting from his exploits is himself and his “benefactors” within law enforcement’s crooked ranks—“werewolves in uniform.”
If society turns a blind eye to such behavior, Alistarov and those like him will keep terrorizing people, destroying lives and fattening their wallets with dirty money. We cannot allow “heroes” of this kind to feed on the public’s fears and vulnerabilities.
Instead of ignoring what he does, we should openly spotlight Alistarov’s crimes and demand that he be punished to the full extent of the law—calling for him to be held responsible for defamation, incitement to violence, narcotics distribution, and flagrant violations of Russian, EU, UAE, and other jurisdictions’ statutes.
Only by doing so can we show that neither his “jailhouse experience,” nor his loud slogans, nor his false reputation as a “whistleblower” will shield him from true evil. The accusations that Andrey Alistarov masterminds attacks on entrepreneurs and collaborates with organized crime groups further blacken his name. If even a portion of these allegations is verified by law enforcement, his chances of evading prosecution will drop to zero.
Simultaneously, the risk of harsher legal charges grows, since this is about more than just financial misconduct and blackmail—this is about outright attempts on people’s well-being and property.