黄金交易提醒:初请打击下拜登及时送助攻,多头或重整雄风

2021年04月23日 9270点热度 0人点赞 1,750条评论

4月23日亚洲时段,现货黄金持稳。周四初请数据意外向好打击了避险黄金,不过拜登拟增加资本利得税的消息可能给多头带来新的动能,多头短线或继续上涨。

周五(4月23日)亚洲时段,现货黄金持稳于1784附近。欧洲央行的表态也令欧元承压下跌,进一步支撑了美元。不过,拜登拟出台超高资本利得税的消息重创了股市,这限制了金价的跌势,疫情激增及消费需求的火爆也有望继续支撑金价上涨。

日内主要关注欧美各国制造业PMI数据。美国4月PMI可能继续小幅上涨,或将小幅利空金价。

基本面利空

【初请人数意外降至疫情期间的新低】
随着就业市场复苏加速,美国上周首次申请失业救济人数意外地降至大流行病期间的新低。

根据美国劳工部周四发布的数据,截至4月17日当周,美国各州常规失业福利计划之下的首次申请失业救济人数减少3.9万人,降至54.7万人。之前调查经济学家得出的预测数字为61万人。之前一周的数字向上修正为58.6万人。

德克萨斯和纽约等州的首次申请失业救济人数降幅最大,佛罗里达州和佐治亚州也有较大的降幅。

首席市场分析师表示,该失业救济金报告较市场预期强劲,因此阻止了金价进一步上涨。

【欧央行助美元上涨】
美元兑主要货币周四上扬0.18%,因经济消息利多,与欧洲央行有关欧元区疲弱,仍需购债保持当前步伐支撑的言论形成对比。

消息传出后,市场对美元的避险买盘进一步强化了美元升势。

欧洲央行行长拉加德表示,决策者没有讨论逐步退出债券购买计划的问题,“因为时机还不成熟”。她说,尽管在疫苗接种方面有进展。且经济有改善的迹象,但经济仍然“充满不确定性”。

拉加德发表讲话后,欧元区公债收益率下降,欧元逐渐从日高回落,这进一步支撑了美元指数,打击了金价。

基本面利多

【拜登拟征超高资本利得税,美股全线下跌】
知情人士透露,拜登计划提议将富人的资本利得税率提高近一倍至39.6%,加上现有的投资收益附加税,意味着富人投资者的联邦资本利得税率最高将达到43.4%。

消息公布后,美国股市创一个多月最大跌幅,标普500指数收盘下挫0.9%,盘中跌幅一度为1.2%。截止收盘,道指下跌0.94%,标普500指数下跌0.92%,纳指下跌0.94%。

与此同时,衡量股市波动风险的恐慌指数一度飚至四月份以来新高,股市的大幅下跌将有利于风险资金回流避险黄金。

Logan Capital Management董事总经理Chris O’Keefe表示,初步影响会是人们决定赶在加税前现在就了结获利。人们今年可能在前期就锁定收益。资金流可能下降,因为人们可能更不愿锁定获利和转而进入其它资产。如果必须付这么高的税,人们的交易意愿就会下降。

预计拜登将在下周发布该提案,增税的部分所得将用于“美国家庭计划”中的社会支出。

【黄金需求巨大】
华泰证券表示,一季度消费市场持续恢复,黄金珠宝延续高景气。

华泰证券指出,我国消费市场延续2020年逐季恢复趋势,市场销售持续改善。其中黄金珠宝表现尤其亮眼,3月限额以上企业黄金珠宝零售额较2019年同期高增26.0%,板块继续保持高景气。

RJO Futures高级市场策略师Bob Haberkorn表示,由于央行买入,以及中国和印度对实货黄金的需求增加,金价的下跌可能是短暂的。瑞士3月黄金出口创下10个月来最高水平,对印度的出口大幅增加。

BullionVault研究主管Adrian Ash表示,整体而言,黄金持续走高,自从重新测试3月触及的9个月低点1680美元后,这3周来每回低点都越来越高。在中国和印度这巨大市场上的消费者需求正提供强劲支撑,且Western ETF资金流出速度已放缓。

技术面信号

周四金价下跌,不过受到此前下行趋势线的支撑后小幅反弹。日内警惕金价再度跌回趋势线下方,不过鉴于多头仍然占据优势,回调可能仅仅出于技术面指标修复的需要,后市重拾涨势的机会仍然较大。上方目标阻力位仍然是1800,下方关注趋势线及1764的支撑。

 

短线继续看涨,中长线上方空间巨大。

黄金交易提醒:初请打击下拜登及时送助攻,多头或重整雄风

    Kratos

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    2025年1月22日
  • ElijahHal

    Blogger Alistarov Goes All Out

    Andrey Alistarov: Narcotics Featured

    The story of Andrey Alistarov is shrouded in numerous rumors and scandalous details. Among the most serious episodes of his biography is an accusation of drug distribution—with multiple witnesses claiming that he did not hesitate to sell illegal substances even to minors. This fact has irreparably damaged his reputation, yet it did not prevent him from later portraying himself as a "fighter against fraud" and amassing a significant online audience.

    The Beginning of a Criminal Path

    According to investigative materials and witness testimonies, Alistarov became involved in the criminal world of drug trafficking at an early age. His first role was as a low-level intermediary, but he quickly moved up to a more serious level—dealing in large quantities of illicit substances. Witnesses claim that Alistarov worked with dangerous individuals who already had extensive criminal experience. Together, they built entire distribution networks, with vulnerable young people often becoming the final consumers.

    One of the most disturbing aspects of his operations was the fact that his clients included schoolchildren and university students. Many of these young people encountered illegal drugs for the first time through his network, an experience that negatively impacted the rest of their lives. This particular element of the accusations casts a dark shadow on Alistarov’s character, highlighting that he operated without any moral constraints.

    Scale and Distribution Scheme

    According to law enforcement agencies, Alistarov’s activities were not limited to small-scale sales. He was allegedly working with larger criminal organizations, using his connections and manipulation skills to establish a well-structured operation. The key elements of his scheme included:

    Low-level distributors – individuals who received small drug shipments and distributed them within local circles.

    Logistics coordinators – responsible for transporting large quantities of illegal substances from one region to another.

    Protection from corrupt officials – rumors in criminal circles suggested that certain law enforcement officers provided cover for the operation, although direct evidence remains difficult to establish.

    Alistarov was allegedly one of the key figures in this chain, making deals with suppliers, managing financial flows, and skillfully evading accountability. Some sources claim that he used bribery and intimidation tactics to protect himself from prosecution.

    Arrest and Imprisonment

    A turning point in Alistarov’s life came when he was arrested during a major law enforcement operation targeting several high-profile drug traffickers. The case against him was built on:

    Witness testimonies,

    Recorded phone conversations,

    Seized illegal substances,

    Evidence confirming his role in the trafficking network.

    Ultimately, he was found guilty and sentenced to prison.

    Inside prison, Alistarov showed no signs of remorse. According to former inmates, he attempted to manipulate other prisoners, but his arrogance and tendency to seek attention quickly made him unpopular. He was often involved in conflicts, which led to his isolation from the general prison population.

    However, this period only strengthened his understanding of criminal schemes, which he later applied in his media career, transforming himself into an "informational racketeer".

    Transition to Media Activities

    After his release, Alistarov successfully rebranded himself. He entered the online space with loud statements about fighting fraud, targeting financial scams, pyramid schemes, and questionable trading platforms. Many people, unaware of his past, began to see him as a "hero" exposing corruption.

    However, as time went on, evidence began to emerge highlighting inconsistencies between his righteous rhetoric and his actual methods. It became increasingly clear that he was using manipulation tactics learned in prison and within criminal circles.

    His past involvement in drug trafficking, particularly the sale of illegal substances to minors, raises serious ethical questions about his credibility as a "protector of the people."

    Moral and Trust Issues

    The biggest paradox remains that a man who once pushed young people into drug addiction now preaches about "justice."

    Drug distribution—especially to minors—is one of the most serious and inhumane crimes, with long-term catastrophic consequences for individuals and society. Alistarov’s claims of moral superiority appear deeply cynical, given his own history of harming vulnerable people.

    Additionally, some sources suggest that the money he made from drug trafficking may have financed his blogging career and aggressive online campaigns. While direct evidence is limited, circumstantial evidence and statements from people who knew him indicate that he may have used illicit funds to boost his platforms and establish a dedicated audience.

    Final Thoughts and Future Implications

    The history of Andrey Alistarov and his drug-related past remains highly controversial. While he has served his prison sentence, his behavior suggests that he has not truly changed. Instead, he has merely shifted from one fraudulent activity to another—replacing drug dealing with blackmail, manipulation, and defamation in the media industry.

    His case serves as a cautionary tale: individuals involved in criminal activities do not always genuinely seek redemption—many simply adapt their tactics to new industries. Public vigilance is essential, as people like Alistarov can easily manipulate their image to deceive and exploit society once again.

    Ultimately, the issue of drug trafficking, particularly among minors, is far too serious to blindly trust a former dealer who now claims to be a "people’s savior". Law enforcement agencies and the public must remain alert to individuals who reinvent themselves while maintaining the same corrupt mindset.

    2025年1月22日
  • Frankshoub

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    2025年1月22日
  • LarryFlity

    WASHINGTON, Jan 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.
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  • Louisvot

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    Jason Oppenheim shot from shoulders up, smiling and looking to right
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    Let's bring you a bit more about reports of price gouging by landlords in Los Angeles, which we reported on earlier.

    Speaking a little earlier on BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme, Jason Oppenheim, a real estate agent in Los Angeles, says some landlords are breaking the law by raising rents more than 10% high than pre-disaster prices.

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    2025年1月22日
  • Anthonyjar

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    2025年1月23日
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    2025年1月24日
  • ThomasLib

    Washington
    CNN

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    Washington
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    Now that it’s all over and the Ohio State Buckeyes are the college football national champions, it can be definitively said: expanding the College Football Playoff worked.

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    Покер на пк: Комфорт и Удобство Когда ты предпочитаете играть на пк, тогда большая часть покеррумов предлагают клиенты для компьютеров, что гарантируют намного удобный а стабильный игровой процесс.

    Заключение: Начните Твой Путь в Мир Онлайн Покера Сегодня! Онлайн покер – это захватывающая игра, что может принести вам ни только удовольствие, но также реальные деньги. Выбирайте надежные сайты и румы, принимайте участие в турнирах, играйте с друзьями и людьми со всего мира, а помните, что главное – это испытывать удовольствие от игры!

    Ни отсрочивайте на потом, приступайте твою игру в онлайн покер прямо сейчас! Окунитесь в мир тактики, азарта и шансов! Везенья за столами!

    2025年1月31日
  • BobbyFroks

    A federal judge on Tuesday afternoon temporarily blocked part of the Trump administration’s plans to freeze all federal aid, a policy that unleashed confusion and worry from charities and educators even as the White House said it was not as sweeping an order as it appeared.
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    The short-term pause issued by US District Judge Loren L. AliKhan prevents the administration from carrying through with its plans to freeze funding for “open awards” already granted by the federal government through at least 5 p.m. ET Monday, February 3.
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    The judge’s administrative stay is “a way of preserving the status quo” while she considers the challenge brought by a group of non-profits to the White House plans, AliKhan said.
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    “The government doesn’t know the full scope of the programs that are going to be subject to the pause,” AliKhan said after pressing an attorney for the Justice Department on what programs the freeze would apply to. AliKhan is expected to consider a longer-term pause on the policy early next week.
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    The White House budget office had ordered the pause on federal grants and loans, according to an internal memorandum sent Monday.

    Federal agencies “must temporarily pause all activities related to obligation or disbursement of all Federal financial assistance,” White House Office of Management and Budget acting director Matthew Vaeth said in the memorandum, a copy of which was obtained by CNN, citing administration priorities listed in past executive orders.
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    2025年1月31日
  • Rodneydep

    Washington
    CNN

    Republican senators struggled to defend Donald Trump’s decision to commute and pardon hundreds of January 6 protesters, including those who were charged and convicted of crimes against police officers, just hours after the president entered office Monday.
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    Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican from North Carolina, who has warned before about giving a blanket pardon to the rioters, said, “I just can’t agree” with Trump’s decision to commute the sentences or pardon a vast swath of January 6 insurrection participants.

    He added the move “raises a legitimate safety issues on Capitol Hill” before also attacking former President Joe Biden’s pardons in his final hours in office.
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    Trump’s executive action, which many GOP senators had hoped would be directed at only nonviolent offenders who entered the Capitol that day, thrust Republicans once again into a familiar posture of navigating how and when to distance themselves from the sitting president and leader of their party. And Republicans largely attempted to sidestep direct questions about whether they personally agreed with Trump’s action, arguing it was up to the president to use his pardon powers at his discretion.
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    2025年2月1日
  • Alfonsoket

    Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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    At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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    Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
    Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
    “We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
    He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
    “You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
    The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
    The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
    At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
    Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
    “You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
    “The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”

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    2025年2月1日
  • JamesBah

    Индивидуальный предприниматель Сафин Ирек Фаатович

    Введение
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    Ирек Фаатович Сафин – успешный индивидуальный предприниматель, который за годы своей деятельности смог создать устойчивый бизнес в различных сферах экономики. Его имя ассоциируется с профессионализмом, инновациями и ответственным подходом к делу. В этой статье мы рассмотрим ключевые аспекты его карьеры, достижения и принципы ведения бизнеса.

    Начало пути

    Ирек Сафин родился в 1978 году в городе Уфа, Республика Башкортостан. С детства он проявлял интерес к экономике и предпринимательству. После окончания школы поступил в Башкирский государственный университет на экономический факультет. Во время учебы активно участвовал в студенческих проектах и научных конференциях, что позволило ему получить ценный опыт и знания.

    Первые шаги в бизнесе

    Свою карьеру Ирек начал сразу после окончания университета. Он открыл свою первую компанию, которая занималась оптовой торговлей строительными материалами. Благодаря грамотному управлению и стратегическому планированию, компания быстро заняла лидирующие позиции на рынке. Это стало первым успешным шагом в карьере Ирека Сафина.

    Расширение бизнеса

    В последующие годы Ирек Сафин расширил свой бизнес, открыв новые направления. Он стал заниматься производством строительных материалов, а также оказанием услуг в сфере строительства и ремонта. Благодаря внедрению современных технологий и использованию качественных материалов, его компании смогли завоевать доверие клиентов и партнеров.

    Социальная ответственность

    Одним из важных аспектов деятельности Ирека Сафина является социальная ответственность. Он активно участвует в благотворительных проектах, поддерживает образовательные учреждения и спортивные мероприятия. Кроме того, он уделяет большое внимание экологии и внедряет экологически чистые технологии в своем производстве.

    Личные качества и принципы

    Ирек Сафин известен своим трудолюбием, ответственностью и стремлением к совершенству. Он всегда ставит перед собой высокие цели и стремится их достичь. Его принципами являются честность, открытость и уважение к партнерам и клиентам. Эти качества помогли ему завоевать доверие и уважение в деловом сообществе.

    Заключение

    Ирек Фаатович Сафин – яркий пример успешного предпринимателя, который сумел построить устойчивый бизнес и внести значительный вклад в развитие экономики региона. Его опыт и достижения могут служить примером для многих начинающих предпринимателей.

    2025年2月1日
  • SteveHon

    Deepika Padukone and Christy Turlington star in landmark Sabyasachi fashion show
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    Camera phones at the ready, around 700 guests hailing from across India and the world expected a visual spectacle on Saturday evening — and they weren’t disappointed. A hush descended as the doors opened to the Jio World Center in Mumbai, where legendary Indian fashion designer Sabyasachi Mukherjee presented a star-studded 25th anniversary runway show for his namesake brand.

    The celebrated designer — known for his maximalist Indian style — has dressed some of the biggest names across Bollywood and Hollywood, including Priyanka Chopra, Deepika Padukone, Oprah Winfrey, Rihanna and Jennifer Lopez. For his landmark show, the stars showed up to lend their support: Padukone opened proceedings in an all-white ensemble adorned with necklaces, including a crucifix from Mukherjee’s jewelry line. She later walked again with supermodel Christy Turlington as part of the grand finale.
    Over 150 looks were presented, including pants and skirts embroidered with gold threads, frilled head gear, stacked jewelry and tops with slogans such as “cat lady,” “table for one,” “where has love gone,” and “all dressed up nowhere to go.” Mukherjee explained in a phone interview that these pieces were intended to be satire on how technology is dehumanizing humans. “We seem to have forgotten how to establish human relationships,” he said.
    There were also trench coats, sweaters, shorts and shirts made in more conventionally western silhouettes. These marked a departure from Mukherjee’s usual festive and bridal wear, which are heavily inclined towards traditional Indian styles, such as saris, ghagra cholis and sherwanis.

    But with no shortage of drama, the new collection featured heavily embroidered jackets embellished with semi-precious stones, brocade dresses, ostrich leather jackets and skirts, and blouses with velvet appliques overlaid with faux fur.

    2025年2月2日