1930年，身处大萧条深渊之中，凯恩斯写下此文，展望100年后人类社会人类社会。显然，凯恩斯爵士低估了人类的经济成就，但却高估了道德水平。时下，“长期停滞”论再度成为热门话题，重温身处在长期停滞初期的凯恩斯的思考，或许有启发。因为，从长历史来看，理性乐观者胜利了。
现在，关于经济前景的悲观论调正不绝于耳。我们常常可以听到人们说，作为19世纪特征的经济突飞猛进的时代已经结束；而一度迅速提高的生活水平也开始放慢了脚步——无论如何至少在英国是如此；在未来十年中，经济的繁荣程度将会衰退而不是高涨。
本文的意图并不在于详细探讨当前或即将出现的情况，而在于使我们能够摆脱短浅的目光去眺望遥远的未来。对于100年后我们的经济生活水平，可以做出一些什么样的合理预期呢？我们的子孙后代在经济上会有一些什么样的可能发展前景呢？
从有史以来，比如说，从公元前2000年开始，到18世纪初期，生活在世界各个文明中心的人们的生活水平，并没有发生多大的变化。当然中间是时有起伏的。瘟疫、饥荒、战争等天灾人祸时有发生，其间还有若干短暂的繁荣时期，但总的来看，不存在渐进或激进的变化。一直到公元1700年为止的4000年间，某些时期的生活水平也许比别的时期要高上50%，但不会超过100%。
这种缓慢的发展速度，或者说发展的停滞，是由于两个原因——一是极其缺乏重大的技术革新，再就是未能进行资本积累。
从史前时期到比较晚近的时代这一漫长期间，始终缺乏重大的技术革新，这一现象确实是异乎寻常的。凡是在近代初期人们所拥有的那些真正至关重要的事物，几乎每一样都在历史的原始时期就已广为人知：语言，火，与我们今天一样的家畜，小麦、大麦、葡萄和橄榄，耕犁、车轮、桨、帆、皮革、麻布和织物，砖瓦和罐壶，黄金和白银，铜、锡和铅——铁是在公元前1000年前被发现的——银行学、治国术、数学、天文学和宗教。至于我们究竟是在什么时候首次开始拥有这些事物的，并没有确切的历史记载。
在史前的某些时期——也许是在最近一次冰河期以前某个比较安乐的间歇期——一定曾经有过一个充满进步和创新的时代，这个时代可以与我们现在所生活的时代相媲美。但是在整个有记载的历史的大部分时期，却未曾出现过类似的情形。
我认为近代时期是从资本积累开始的，而资本积累又始于16世纪。我相信——我不能在此详述其原因，以免喧宾夺主——这最初是由于西班牙把黄金财宝从新大陆带到旧大陆，从而引起了物价上涨，并带来了利润的增长。从那时起到今天，按复利计算的资本积累的力量，在仿佛沉睡了许多年以后，又苏醒过来并重新恢复了活力。而200年来复利的力量所起的巨大作用简直是超乎想象的。
为了能说明这一点，在此我给出一个我所作的计算。英国现在的对外投资总额估计大约有40亿镑，这每年能为我们带来大约6.5%的利息收入，这笔收入的半数，我们把它带回国享用；另一半，即3.25%的利息收入，则在国外按复利计算积累起来。这样的事我们已经进行了大约250年。
我认为英国对外投资的始端可追溯到1580年德雷克从西班牙盗窃的大批财宝。在那一年他带着从富庶的印度劫掠来的数量惊人的战利品回到了英国。
伊丽莎白女王是资助这次远征的辛迪加的一个大股东。她把自己所获得的一份用来清偿了英国的全部外债、平衡了自己的预算，最后手里还剩下4万镑。她又再把这4万镑投入到东方公司，这个公司也是生意兴隆，大发利市。东印度公司就是靠这个公司的利润起家的，而东印度公司这个巨型企业的利润又为日后英国的对外投资打下了基础。把4万镑按3.25%的复利累积起来，其数额恰巧与英国在各个时期对外投资的实际总额相差无几，算到今天这个数额总计应为40亿镑，而这就是我在前面已经引用过的英国目前对外投资的总额。因此，德雷克在1580年带回来的财宝中，每一镑现在已变成了10万镑。复利的力量就有如此之大！
从16世纪起，科学和技术发明的伟大时代开始了，在18世纪后这个势头日益强劲，而从19世纪初开始，更进入了鼎盛时期——煤炭、蒸汽、电力、石油、钢铁、橡胶、棉花，化学工业、自动机械、大规模生产的方法，无线电、印刷术，牛顿、达尔文和爱因斯坦，还有其他家喻户晓的人和物，成千上万，不可胜数。
那么这一切导致了什么样的后果呢？尽管世界人口有了巨大增长，同时这些人口还必须有相应的住房和机器设备与之相配合，但是我认为，欧洲和美国的平均生活水平还是提高了将近4倍。而资本的增长所达到的规模，比之于以前所知的任何时代，要远远超过上百倍，而且今后人口未必会再次出现如此巨大的增长。
如果资本每年增长，比方说2%，那么世界的基本固定资产将会在20年里增加50%，而在100年里将增加7.5倍。可以从物质方面，比如说住房、运输之类，来想象一下这种发展前景。
同时，近十年来，在工业和运输方面的技术改进，其速度也是前所未有的。美国1925年的人均工业产值比1919年提高了40%。在欧洲我们被暂时的障碍所阻滞，但即使如此，仍然可以肯定地说，技术效率的增长率总体上每年至少在1%以上。现在显而易见的是，尽管革命性的技术革新迄今主要是发生在工业领域，但很快将冲击到农业方面。粮食生产效率的进步，将与矿业、工业和运输业所取得的进步同样巨大，而我们也许正处在这种巨变的前夜。在好些年以后——即在我们自己这一代——也许可以只付出原来一向使用的人力的1/4，就能够完成在农业、矿业和工业上的操作了。
目前，这些变革的高速度正使我们苦恼不已，它们带来了不少有待解决的难题。那些不是处于进步队伍前列的国家，也遭受着同样的痛苦。一种新的疾病正在折磨着我们，某些读者也许还没有听说过它的名称，不过在今后几年内将听得不想再听——这种病叫做“由技术进步而引致的失业”。这意味着失业是由于我们发现节约劳动力使用的方法的速度远远超过了我们为劳动力开辟新用途的速度而造成的。
但这只是经济失调的暂时阶段。所有这一切都意味着，从长远看，人类终将解决其经济问题。我敢预言，100年后进步国家的生活水平将比现在高4-8倍。即使是根据我们现有的知识看，这也是在意料之中的。而且即使是作更乐观的估计，也并非异想天开。
为了便于讨论，且让我们设想，100年后所有我们这些人的经济境况平均要比现在好上8倍。毫无疑问，这对我们来说应该是不足为奇的。
现在可以肯定的是，人类的需要是永无止境的。不过，人类的需要可以分为两类——一类是绝对的需要，即是说，不管周围的其他人境况如何，我们都会感到这种需要的存在；另一类是相对的需要，即是说，只有当这种需要的满足能够使我们凌驾于他人之上，产生一种优越感时，我们才会觉察到这种需要的存在。这第二类需要，即满足优越感的需要，也许才真正是不知餍足的，因为当一般的水平有了提高之后，这种需要也会水涨船高。不过，绝对的需要也许将很快达到，其实现的时间也许要比我们大家所意识到的还要早得多，而当这些需要得到了满足，那时我们就愿意把精力投放到非经济的目的上去。
现在谈谈我的结论。我想，您对这个结论思考得越深入，就会发现它是越发的超乎想象、令人惊诧。
我得出的结论是，假定不发生大规模的战争，没有大规模的人口增长，那么，“经济问题”将可能在100年内获得解决，或者至少是可望获得解决。这意味着，如果我们展望未来，经济问题并不是“人类的永恒问题”。
您也许会问，为什么这样就让人惊诧？这的确值得令人惊奇。如果我们不是眺望未来，而是回首过去，就会发现，迄今为止，经济问题、生存竞争，一直是人类首要的、最紧迫的问题——不仅是人类，而且在整个生物界，从生命的最原始形式开始莫不如此。
因此，显而易见，我们是凭借我们的天性——包括我们所有的冲动和最深层的本能——为了解决经济问题而进化发展起来的。如果经济问题得以解决，那么人们就将失去他们传统的生存目的。
那么这对人类到底是福还是祸呢？如果你完全相信生命的真正价值，则这一远景至少为我们展示了从中获益的可能性。不过，那些经过无数代的培养，对于普通人来说已是根深蒂固的习惯和本能，要在几十年内加以悉数抛弃，以使我们脱胎换骨、面目一新，是难乎其难的。虑及这一点，我仍然不能不感到非常忧虑。
用我们今天的话说，这会不会引起普遍的“精神崩溃”呢？对此，我们已有了些许体会。我所说的这种精神崩溃现象在英国和美国富裕阶层的家庭妇女中，已是极为寻常。这些不幸的妇女，她们中的许多人被自己的财富剥夺了传统的任务和工作，由于经济上的必需这一刺激已经消失，所以她们从烹调、洒扫和缝补这类活动中已不能得到足够的快乐，而又难以找到更愉快的消遣。
对那些为了每日的面包而辛勤劳动的人来说，闲暇是一件令人向往的乐事；而当这种向往成为现实时，他们才发现原来是另一番滋味。
据说有这样一段墓志铭，是一位打杂女工为她自己写的：
别为我悲伤，
朋友们，
别为我哭泣。
现在我什么也不用干了，
而将永远永远地休息。
这就是她的天堂。如同其他渴望闲暇的人一样，她想象要是让别人来歌唱而她在一旁倾听，这样打发时光的方式将是多么美妙，因为在她的诗中还有这样两行：
天空中回荡着圣歌和甜美的音乐，
而我在一旁倾听，什么也不做。
然而，只有对那些不得不歌唱的人来说，生活才是差强人意的——可是我们当中又有几人真正能够放声歌唱呢！
因此，人类自从出现以来，第一次遇到了他真正的、永恒的问题——当从紧迫的经济束缚中解放出来以后，应该怎样来利用他的自由？科学和复利的力量将为他赢得闲暇，而他又该如何来消磨这段光阴，生活得更明智而惬意呢？
那些孜孜不倦、一心一意的图利者，也许会把我们大家带上通向经济丰裕的跑道。但当这种丰裕实现以后，只有这些人才能在这种丰裕中获得享受：他们不会为了生活的手段而出卖自己，能够使生活的艺术永葆青春，并将之发扬光大，提升到更高境界。
我认为，没有任何国家、任何民族，能够在期待这种多暇而丰裕时代的同时，不怀有丝毫的忧惧。在国内，长久以来，我们都是被训练着去奋斗而不是去享受。对那些没有特殊才能来寄托身心的普通人来说，这是件可怕的事，特别是当他再也不能在传统社会的温床和他所珍视的那些风俗习惯中找到自己的根基时，这个问题就显得尤为严重。从今天世界任何一个角落的富裕阶层的所作所为和取得的成就来看，解决这个问题的前景是非常黯淡的！因为这些人可以说是我们的先锋，他们在为我们探寻希望之地并在那里安营扎寨。他们中的绝大多数已经遭到了惨重的失败。所以在我看来，似乎只有那些有独立收入而又没有社会关系或职责来约束的人，才有可能解决这些困扰他们的问题。
在以后的许多年间，我们的劣根性仍然会如此的根深蒂固，所以，任何人如果想要生活得舒心畅意，那么他就必须得干一点工作。比起现在的富人们来，到那个时候我们将为自己多做些事。如果有些什么细小的任务要担当，或者有些日常琐事要料理，我们将感到非常高兴。不过当工作量超过这一限度时，我们将努力减轻每个人的负担，对于到那时仍然必须完成的一些工作，我们将尽可能广泛地进行分配。3小时一轮班或每周15小时的工作，也许会使上述问题在相当长一段时间内得以缓解。因为对我们大多数人来说，每天工作3小时，已足以使我们的劣根性获得满足。
此外，在其他领域也会发生变化，我们必须预料到这一点。当财富的积累不再具有高度的社会重要性时，我们原先的道德准则会发生重大变化。我们将可以摆脱200年来如噩梦般困扰我们的那些虚伪的道德原则，在这些伪道德原则下，我们一直把人类品性中某些最令人厌恶的东西抬举为最高尚的美德。到那时，对于金钱动机，我们将有胆量按照其真实的价值来加以评价。
对金钱的爱好作为一种占有欲——它区别于作为享受生活、应付现实的手段的那种对金钱的爱好——将被看作是某种可憎的病态，是一种半属犯罪、半属变态的性格倾向，人们不得不战战兢兢地把它交付给精神病专家去处理。那些影响财富分配和经济上的酬报和惩罚的各种社会习俗及经济惯例，不管它们本身可能是多么地令人憎恶、有失公平，由于它们对促进资本积累有极大的作用，因此现在我们得不惜一切代价加以维持；但是到那时我们将从中解放出来，并终将摒弃它们。
当然，到那时将仍然有不少人怀着强烈的、贪得无厌的意图，盲目地追求财富，除非他们能够找到某种可能的替代目的。不过，我们其余的人将不再有任何义务对这类意图表示赞许和鼓励。几乎所有的人都不同程度地被大自然赋予了这种“意图”，不过，到那时我们可以在比今天更为稳妥自如的情况下，更加细致深入地探索这种“意图”的真正性质。所谓意图，其含义是，我们更关心自己的行动在遥远的将来所导致的结果，而非行动本身的性质和对我们自己周围环境的直接影响。那些“有意图”的人，总是企图通过把他们对行动的兴趣向后推延来确保他们的行动具有一种假想的和虚妄的永恒性。他所喜欢的并不是他的猫，而是他的猫所生的小猫；实际上，他喜欢的也不是小猫，而是小猫的小猫。这样无穷无尽地递推下去，到最后，他所追求的不过是抽象的“猫”的概念。对他来说，果酱并不是果酱，即决不是今天这听实实在在的果酱，而是想象中的明天的那听果酱。因此，通过把他的果酱不断地推向未来，他竭力想要从他的行动中升华出一种永恒性来。
让我们回忆一下《西尔维亚和布鲁诺》中的那位教授：
门外的人低声下气地说：“只是一个裁缝，先生，是来收账的。”
“啊，我可以很快解决他的事情，”教授对他的孩子们说，“你们只需等一小会儿。今年的账是多少，我的朋友？”他正说着，裁缝已经走了进来。
“你晓得，这笔账是每年翻一番的，现在已经这么多年了，”裁缝有点生硬地回答道，“我现在就想拿到现钱。已经有2000镑了！”
“喔，这不算什么！”教授满不在乎地说，一边在口袋里摸索着，仿佛他总是随身带着那样数目的一笔款子似的。“不过，如果你愿意的话，为什么不再等上一年，让它滚成4000镑呢？想想看，那时你会多么富裕！要是你愿意，你简直可以成为一个‘国王’！”
“我可不清楚我是不是想成为国王，”裁缝若有所思地说，“不过这笔款子听起来的确数目不小！好吧，我看我还是等一等吧……”
“你当然会这么办的！”教授说，“我知道，你是个精明的人。再见，我的朋友！”
“你真的打算付给他4000镑吗？”等那个债主离去，关上门以后，西尔维亚问。
“那怎么会，我的孩子！”教授毫不犹豫地回答，“他会让这笔钱一直滚下去，直到他死为止。你看，只要再等上一年，这笔钱就会变成现在的两倍，这件事总是值得去做的啊！”
我们这个民族，曾经不遗余力地让“不朽”的允诺成为自己宗教的核心和本质，但同时又最热衷于对复利原则的运用，并且对这一“最有意图性”的人类制度抱有特殊的眷恋之情，这一现象也许不是偶然的。
因此，我认为当达到这一丰裕而多暇的境地之后，我们将重新抬起宗教和传统美德中最为确凿可靠的那些原则——以为贪婪是一种恶癖，高利盘剥是一种罪行，爱好金钱是令人憎恶的。而那些真正走上德行美好、心智健全的正道的人，他们对未来的顾虑是最少的。我们将再次重视目的甚于手段，更看重事物的有益性而不是有用性。我们将尊崇这样一些人，他们能够教导我们如何分分秒秒都过得充实而美好，这些心情愉快的人能够从事物中获得直接的乐趣，既不劳碌如牛马，也不虚度岁月，逍遥如神仙中人。
可是要注意！谈论上面所说的这一切现在还为时尚早，至少还得等上100年。而现在我们必须自欺欺人地把美的说成丑的，丑的说成美的，只是因为丑的有用而美的不能带来实惠。在相当长一段时期内，我们仍然还得把贪婪、高利盘剥和谨慎奉为神明。因为只有这些才能把我们从经济必要性的沼泽中带出，走上康庄大道。
因此，我盼望在不太遥远的将来，整个人类的物质生活条件能够发生前所未有的巨变。不过，当然这个巨变将是渐进的，而不会一蹴而就。实际上，这个巨变现在已经拉开了序幕。这一变化的进程将只是意味着，那些经济必需问题已经得到实际解决的阶层和集团的人数会越来越多。当这种状况有了普遍的发展从而使得“对邻人之爱”的性质发生变化之后，我们就会认识到其间的关键性差别。因为当经济上的意图对你来说已不再是合情合理的时候，对别人却可能仍旧是理所当然的。
我们迈向经济上的这一极乐境地的速度，取决于以下四个因素——我们对人心的控制力量，避免战争和内证的决心，把理应属于科学领域的事务交付给科学来处理的自觉意愿，以及由生产和消费之间的差额所决定的积累的速度。只要前三者不出问题，最后一点也就会迎刃而解。
我们在进行经济性目的活动的同时，也应当提高生活的艺术水平，并进行一些试验来为我们的终极目标作些适当的准备，我看这是没有什么坏处的。
但首要的一点是，我们不能过高估计经济问题的重要性，不能为了它假想的必要性而在其他具有更重大、更持久意义的事情上作牺牲。经济问题应该成为由专家来处理的事务——就像牙病应由牙医来处理一样。如果经济学家们能够做出努力，使得社会把他们看成是平凡而又胜任其职的人，就像牙医的地位一样，那就再好不过了！
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A severe geomagnetic storm could cause colorful auroras over Northern California and Alabama
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Colorful auroras could be visible in areas of the United States such as Alabama and Northern California — much farther south than they typically appear — on Thursday evening due to a powerful solar flare and coronal mass ejection released from the sun, according to the National Weather Service’s Space Weather Prediction Center.
The severe solar storm, classified as a level 4 on a scale from 1 to 5, also could disrupt communications, the power grid and satellite operations, according to officials at the center.
The storm is expected to reach Earth between early morning and 12 p.m. ET Thursday, with the potential to last through Friday.
The intensity and full characteristics of the storm, moving toward Earth at more than 2.5 million miles per hour (about 4 million kilometers per hour), won’t be known until it reaches the Deep Space Climate Observatory and the Advanced Composition Explorer satellites orbiting 1 million miles from Earth.
The satellites will measure the speed and magnetic intensity of the storm, which is expected to arrive at Earth 15 to 30 minutes after reaching the space observatories, said Shawn Dahl, service coordinator for the Space Weather Prediction Center, at a news briefing Wednesday.
A series of the most intense type of solar flares, known as X-class flares, have released from the sun this week. The flares also coincided with coronal mass ejections on Tuesday.
Coronal mass ejections are large clouds of ionized gas called plasma and magnetic fields that erupt from the sun’s outer atmosphere. When these outbursts are directed at Earth, they can cause geomagnetic storms, or major disturbances of Earth’s magnetic field.
“Geomagnetic storms can impact infrastructure in near-Earth orbit and on Earth’s surface,” according to the Space Weather Prediction Center.
As a result, the center has notified the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the North American power grid and satellite operators to prepare for disruptions, especially given the amount of preparations and expected relief efforts for Hurricane Milton, Dahl said.
Historically, G4 storms are common during a solar cycle, but G5, or extreme geomagnetic storms such the one that occurred on May 10, are incredibly rare, Dahl said. This new storm has a 25% chance of becoming a G5, he said.
<img alt="Станислав Кондрашов" id="Станислав Кондрашов" longdesc="Станислав Кондрашов" src="https://mamadona.ru/uploads/photos/large/stanislav-kondrashov-portrayed-in-street-style-g.jpg" style="border-style:solid; border-width:0px; float:left; height:100px; margin:0px; width:129px" title="Станислав Кондрашов" />
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A ring found among the debris of Florida’s recent hurricanes awaits its owner
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Scattered across Florida’s hurricane-ravaged communities are piles of debris, remnants of what were once homes. Cherished memories — photo albums, family heirlooms, and tokens of love — swallowed by floodwaters and carried miles away, are now reduced to mere fragments and discarded amid the wreckage.
But in one of these piles of lost memories, a small, inconspicuous velvet black box was discovered with a ring and a note that read: “I was 18 when my parents gave it to me.”
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Now, Joe Kovach, the engineer managing one of the debris sites in Tarpon Springs, Florida, where the box was found, is searching for its owner.
“Everyone has been basically dumping their entire lives onto the curb after the storm when everything flooded. My own boss’ house had 30 inches (of water) in it, and I saw his face and just how devastating it can be for everyone,” Kovach, an engineer with Pinellas County Public Works, told CNN.
“A lot of people in the community were really affected by these two storms, if there’s just a little bit I can do to give back, then that’s perfect.”
A contractor, who was gathering and condensing debris with an excavator, discovered the ring when he looked down and saw the box.
“This was a needle in a haystack for sure. For something like that to survive all that when everything else was so wet and saturated, that was kind of incredible,” Kovach said.
Although the ring was found after Hurricane Milton, Kovach is sure the treasure was initially lost amid the ruins of Hurricane Helene, based on the pile of debris it came from, which Pinellas County Public Works tracks. It is likely the owner of the ring is from Crystal Beach, Ozona, or Palm Harbor, Kovach said.
On Tuesday, after the contractor informed him about the ring, Kovach posted a photo of the box and the note on several local community Facebook pages, asking if it belonged to anyone. He did not include a photo or description of the ring to ensure it is returned to the rightful owner who can accurately describe it. On the inside lid of the box is a gold engraving with the jewelry brand, “The Danbury Mint.”
These are 2024’s top trending Halloween costumes, according to Google
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An Olympic breakdancer, a Chipotle burrito and a pop star walk into a bar.
This may sound like the start to a bad joke, but it could be a scene unfolding across the US on October 31, according to online search data.
Google’s annual “Frightgeist” list has unveiled 25 costume ideas the tech giant says are “trending” in the build-up to Halloween. The list, based on comparisons of year-on-year search data from September, is also something of a who’s who of pop culture in 2024.
Top of this year’s list is Bob, a shrunken-headed ghost from the recent “Beetlejuice” sequel. Viral breakdancer Raygun took second place, with Google noting a spike in searches for “green and yellow track suit” and “green track pants,” as worn during the Australian’s controversial Olympics performance. Third place went to CatNap, the cat-like monster from the popular video game series “Poppy Playtime.”
Also in the top 10 were Deadpool’s female counterpart Lady Deadpool and singer Sabrina Carpenter, whose cut-out heart corset has spiked in searches this year, according to Google Trends.
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Китай остается одним из крупнейших мировых производителей и экспортеров, предлагая огромный ассортимент товаров для компаний по всему миру. Карго-поставки из Китая стали популярным способом доставки продукции благодаря оптимальным срокам, доступной стоимости и возможности транспортировать практически любые виды товаров. В данной статье рассмотрим, что представляет собой карго-поставка из Китая, какие этапы она включает, и на что важно обратить внимание при ее организации.
Что такое карго-поставка из Китая?
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Карго-поставка из Китая — это удобный и экономически выгодный способ транспортировки товаров для бизнеса любого масштаба. Компании-консолидаторы берут на себя все организационные вопросы, что позволяет клиентам сосредоточиться на развитии своего бизнеса. При выборе карго-компании важно учитывать репутацию, условия договора и предоставляемый спектр услуг, чтобы обеспечить надежную и безопасную доставку товаров.
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2. Поведенческие факторы
Яндекс обращает внимание на то, как пользователи взаимодействуют с твоим сайтом: сколько времени проводят, сколько страниц просматривают и т.д.
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Google любит, когда на тебя ссылаются все и вся, но тоже ценит качество.
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Яндекс уделяет больше внимания морфологии русского языка и лучше понимает сложные конструкции.
Google может иногда «спотыкаться» на наших падежах и склонениях.
Что такое поведенческие факторы?
А теперь к загадочным поведенческим факторам. Это как твой сайт ведет себя на первом свидании с пользователем. Если все круто — будет второе свидание (и хорошие позиции в выдаче).
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During the day, Yemeni coffeehouses function similar to many neighborhood spots. Patrons host meetings, college students study and others pop in for a quick cup to-go.
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But at night, they serve as de-facto living rooms, especially for young Muslims who don’t go to clubs and bar. From New York to Dallas, especially during the late nights of Ramadan, the crowd overflows into the street and you often have to yell to be heard inside. Some young Muslims even venture to the coffee shops in hopes of finding a life partner.
Nowhere is this coffeehouse culture more pronounced, and celebrated, than in Dearborn, Michigan, a suburb of Detroit and home to one of the largest Arab American communities in the United States.
Downtown Dearborn is peppered with different Yemeni coffee houses, which Howell said helped revitalize the Detroit area after the city became the largest municipality go to bankrupt in 2013. And it’s only growing.
“It’s become sort of contagious,” Howell said. “Several Yemeni entrepreneurs are opening coffee houses of their own, each with its own sort of style and atmosphere.”
The coffee chains have big ambitions beyond Dearborn. Qahwah House hopes to open another 20 to 30 locations in the next year, spanning across 12 states and Canada, Alhasbani said. They are also licensed out, but Alhasbani says he sets a high standard before agreeing to let anyone open a shop.
“We have too many people that come (asking me) they want to open. I have more than 10 different requests a day just to open this kind of business,” he said. “We don’t give anyone license until we make sure the person has the love for the brand and his mind and his heart in the Qahwah House.”
Another authentic Yemeni coffee chain, Haraz, also sees crowds of people throughout the day and night. They opened their first location in New York City last week — less than half a mile away from Qahwah House’s downtown Manhattan shop — and the franchisees plan to grow.
Growing outside of Dearborn
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During the day, Yemeni coffeehouses function similar to many neighborhood spots. Patrons host meetings, college students study and others pop in for a quick cup to-go.
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But at night, they serve as de-facto living rooms, especially for young Muslims who don’t go to clubs and bar. From New York to Dallas, especially during the late nights of Ramadan, the crowd overflows into the street and you often have to yell to be heard inside. Some young Muslims even venture to the coffee shops in hopes of finding a life partner.
Nowhere is this coffeehouse culture more pronounced, and celebrated, than in Dearborn, Michigan, a suburb of Detroit and home to one of the largest Arab American communities in the United States.
Downtown Dearborn is peppered with different Yemeni coffee houses, which Howell said helped revitalize the Detroit area after the city became the largest municipality go to bankrupt in 2013. And it’s only growing.
“It’s become sort of contagious,” Howell said. “Several Yemeni entrepreneurs are opening coffee houses of their own, each with its own sort of style and atmosphere.”
The coffee chains have big ambitions beyond Dearborn. Qahwah House hopes to open another 20 to 30 locations in the next year, spanning across 12 states and Canada, Alhasbani said. They are also licensed out, but Alhasbani says he sets a high standard before agreeing to let anyone open a shop.
“We have too many people that come (asking me) they want to open. I have more than 10 different requests a day just to open this kind of business,” he said. “We don’t give anyone license until we make sure the person has the love for the brand and his mind and his heart in the Qahwah House.”
Another authentic Yemeni coffee chain, Haraz, also sees crowds of people throughout the day and night. They opened their first location in New York City last week — less than half a mile away from Qahwah House’s downtown Manhattan shop — and the franchisees plan to grow.
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Раскрутка сайта в Яндексе
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Если вы хотите покорить просторы интернета и сделать свой сайт заметным в Яндексе, то вы попали по адресу. Давайте разберемся, как раскрутить сайт в Яндексе, чем SEO для Яндекса отличается от Google, и что такое поведенческие факторы. Пристегните ремни, будет интересно!
Чем SEO для Яндекса отличается от Google?
Итак, вы, наверное, думаете: «SEO есть SEO, какая разница?» Но нет! Яндекс и Google — это как разные вселенные со своими правилами игры.
1. Алгоритмы ранжирования
Яндекс больше ориентируется на региональность. Если ваш бизнес в Москве, то Яндекс покажет ваш сайт москвичам в первую очередь.
Google больше глобален и обращает внимание на международные факторы.
2. Поведенческие факторы
Яндекс очень серьезно относится к поведенческим факторам. Это значит, что ему важно, как пользователи взаимодействуют с вашим сайтом.
Google тоже учитывает это, но в меньшей степени.
3. Учет ссылок
Яндекс более скептически относится к количеству внешних ссылок и больше ценит их качество.
Google любит, когда на ваш сайт ссылаются другие ресурсы, и учитывает это при ранжировании.
Как пайщик «Гермес», я вижу, что правоохранительные органы используют свою власть, чтобы обманом забрать у нас наше будущее. Мошенники прячутся под масками «следователей», создавая фальшивые дела и манипулируя общественным мнением. Это не просто несправедливо — это преступление! Мы не будем сидеть сложа руки, когда нас пытаются выставить преступниками! Мы — это те, кто доверился «<a href="https://lyudidela.press/articles/upravlenie/kvartiry-bez-protsentov/">Бест Вей</a>», и мы знаем, что кооператив работал честно. Пытаясь скрыть свои недостатки, следственные органы с легкостью обвиняют нас, но мы не потеряем веру в то, что правда восторжествует. Мы будем бороться за свои права, за свои средства и за наше будущее, несмотря на все препятствия, которые ставит нам система!
Мне противно наблюдать за тем, как в нашей стране пытаются уничтожить все, что приносит пользу людям. Роман Василенко построил кооператив, который реально решает жилищный вопрос, и что мы видим? Давление со стороны государства и банков. Эти люди пытаются заставить нас вернуться в ипотечное рабство! Я был на грани того, чтобы брать ипотеку, но, к счастью, стал пайщиком «<a href="https://www.facebook.com/roman.v.vasilenko">Бест Вей</a>». Теперь у меня есть шанс на жилье без кабалы, но, похоже, кому-то это очень не нравится. Банки, чиновники — все они хотят контролировать наши деньги, обдирать нас процентами. Кооператив, предложенный Романом, наоборот, дает людям защиту. У нас есть возможность выйти из кооператива с деньгами или получить квартиру без лишних переплат. И вот это их бесит. Эти коррумпированные структуры хотят разрушить все, что работает на благо людей, потому что это мешает их планам по отъему денег у простых граждан. Я уверен, что Роман и его команда не сдадутся, а мы, пайщики, должны стоять за ними до конца!
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Where did Yemeni coffee shops come from?
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In the Middle East, coffee isn’t a grab-and-go drink used to wake up with, but a social exchange. While coffee beans originated in Ethiopia, the earliest evidence of cultivation appeared in Yemen through trading across the Red Sea.
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The practice followed into the early 20th century and across the world, when the first wave of Middle Eastern immigrants came to Detroit to work in the auto industry or shipping yards, Howell said. Most immigrants were men who migrated alone, so one of the first institutions they created were coffee houses where they would gather to socialize, share news about their home country, and even write letters back home. Many of the initial mosques in the area were originally established in the backs of the coffee houses.
Yemeni men working in shipping on the Great Lakes “would work for months at a time and then have a few weeks off and then work again,” leaving them unable to visit their families back in Yemen, Howell said. “The coffee houses in the Detroit area were a really important institution.”
“Our mission is to bring everyone in one place and share history,” Ibrahim Alhasbani, founder of the first contemporary Yemeni coffee chain Qahwah House, told CNN. “That’s why we serve the coffee in a pot. People come inside the store and they share one pot and they can talk and they share different stories.”
A new chapter for Yemeni coffee
Contemporary chains are designed by a new demographic — the descendants of these immigrants who are bringing Yemeni coffee culture to the American mainstream.
The very first Qahwah Houses in Dearborn were airy and upscale, a familiar setting to patrons of established coffee chains. But they also brought with them Yemeni culture, with coffee beans imported from local farmers, artifacts from the region and the founder’s family tree on the wall.
Where did Yemeni coffee shops come from?
<a href=https://kraken2trfqodidvlh4aa337cpzfrhdlfldhve5nf7njhumwr7insta.cc>kra at</a>
In the Middle East, coffee isn’t a grab-and-go drink used to wake up with, but a social exchange. While coffee beans originated in Ethiopia, the earliest evidence of cultivation appeared in Yemen through trading across the Red Sea.
https://kraken2trfqodidvlh4aa337cpzfrhdlfldhve5nf7njhumwr7insta.cc
kraken market
The practice followed into the early 20th century and across the world, when the first wave of Middle Eastern immigrants came to Detroit to work in the auto industry or shipping yards, Howell said. Most immigrants were men who migrated alone, so one of the first institutions they created were coffee houses where they would gather to socialize, share news about their home country, and even write letters back home. Many of the initial mosques in the area were originally established in the backs of the coffee houses.
Yemeni men working in shipping on the Great Lakes “would work for months at a time and then have a few weeks off and then work again,” leaving them unable to visit their families back in Yemen, Howell said. “The coffee houses in the Detroit area were a really important institution.”
“Our mission is to bring everyone in one place and share history,” Ibrahim Alhasbani, founder of the first contemporary Yemeni coffee chain Qahwah House, told CNN. “That’s why we serve the coffee in a pot. People come inside the store and they share one pot and they can talk and they share different stories.”
A new chapter for Yemeni coffee
Contemporary chains are designed by a new demographic — the descendants of these immigrants who are bringing Yemeni coffee culture to the American mainstream.
The very first Qahwah Houses in Dearborn were airy and upscale, a familiar setting to patrons of established coffee chains. But they also brought with them Yemeni culture, with coffee beans imported from local farmers, artifacts from the region and the founder’s family tree on the wall.
What the rising popularity of Yemeni coffee shops says about third places
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The most popular spot on a late Friday night in a pocket of Manhattan’s West Village isn’t a trendy bar or a Michelin-starred restaurant but a Yemeni coffee house chain strictly serving coffee, tea and pastries.
A step into Qahwah House on Carmine Street offers a rich whiff of cardamom, Arabic music and crowds of people both at tables and in line to order. The energy spills over into the sidewalk, where some begin performing a Levantine folk dance known as dabke. It’s a snapshot of various Eastern cultures; Arabic, Farsi and Urdu fill the air, and some customers don traditional attire.
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Qahwah House is just one of a string of Yemeni coffee chains that originated in the Arab-populated Detroit area and are rapidly springing up across the country, often where there are significant Middle Eastern and Muslim populations. Nineteen Qahwah House locations are open across seven states, with more under construction and expected to open this year. Another chain, Haraz, opened this month in the pricey SoHo neighborhood in Manhattan, with at least six more in the region planned in the next two years. Times Square will be home to two other chains, MOKAFE and Qamaria Yemeni Coffee Co.
The rapid expansion of these shops underscores the demand for late-night social spots for not only young Muslims and Middle Easterners, but also younger people who are looking for a non-digital third space where they can hang out without alcohol or having to yell over loud music.
They don’t have many other options. Malls, a traditional third place for young people, are growing more and more unpopular. Chains like Starbucks have become more like take-out counters. Alcohol-free lifestyles are growing even for those outside of the Muslim faith, which many practicing the religion already take part in.
So for many young people in urban areas, especially those from immigrant communities looking for a way to connect to their cultures, it’s a great option.
What the rising popularity of Yemeni coffee shops says about third places
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The most popular spot on a late Friday night in a pocket of Manhattan’s West Village isn’t a trendy bar or a Michelin-starred restaurant but a Yemeni coffee house chain strictly serving coffee, tea and pastries.
A step into Qahwah House on Carmine Street offers a rich whiff of cardamom, Arabic music and crowds of people both at tables and in line to order. The energy spills over into the sidewalk, where some begin performing a Levantine folk dance known as dabke. It’s a snapshot of various Eastern cultures; Arabic, Farsi and Urdu fill the air, and some customers don traditional attire.
https://kr13at.cc
kraken даркнет
Qahwah House is just one of a string of Yemeni coffee chains that originated in the Arab-populated Detroit area and are rapidly springing up across the country, often where there are significant Middle Eastern and Muslim populations. Nineteen Qahwah House locations are open across seven states, with more under construction and expected to open this year. Another chain, Haraz, opened this month in the pricey SoHo neighborhood in Manhattan, with at least six more in the region planned in the next two years. Times Square will be home to two other chains, MOKAFE and Qamaria Yemeni Coffee Co.
The rapid expansion of these shops underscores the demand for late-night social spots for not only young Muslims and Middle Easterners, but also younger people who are looking for a non-digital third space where they can hang out without alcohol or having to yell over loud music.
They don’t have many other options. Malls, a traditional third place for young people, are growing more and more unpopular. Chains like Starbucks have become more like take-out counters. Alcohol-free lifestyles are growing even for those outside of the Muslim faith, which many practicing the religion already take part in.
So for many young people in urban areas, especially those from immigrant communities looking for a way to connect to their cultures, it’s a great option.
Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani suffers left shoulder injury during Game 2 of the World Series
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Los Angeles Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani suffered a shoulder injury before the Dodgers’ 4-2 win over the New York Yankees in Game 2 of the World Series Saturday.
The Japanese slugger sustained a left shoulder subluxation and will undergo more testing, Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said after the game, adding that the team is however “encouraged” about the injury.
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“The strength was great,” Roberts told reporters. “The range of motion good. So, we’re encouraged. But obviously I can’t speculate because we don’t get the scans yet. So, once we get the scans, we’ll know more. Again, with the strength, the range of motion good, that’s certainly a positive.
A shoulder subluxation occurs when “the humerus partially slides in and out of place quickly,” according to Johns Hopkins Medicine.
With the Dodgers up 4-1 in the bottom of the seventh inning, Ohtani attempted to steal second base but was thrown out to end the inning. Ohtani, however, stayed on the ground grimacing in pain and eventually walked off the field with trainers holding his left arm.
“Obviously when you get any one of your players that goes down, it’s concerning,” Roberts said. “But after kind of the range of motion, the strength test, I felt much better about it.”
According to the FOX broadcast, microphones picked up a conversation between Ohtani and trainers saying that his left shoulder appears to have popped out of its socket.
This weekend’s playoffs mark Ohtani’s first appearance in the postseason after he missed out in each of his six seasons with the Los Angeles Angels.
The star player is riding on a series of remarkable accomplishments in recent months, including hitting his 50th homer of the season and stealing his 50th base in the Dodgers’ victory over the Miami Marlins last Thursday. Ohtani went on to rack up his 51st of each stat by the end of the contest.
What the rising popularity of Yemeni coffee shops says about third places
<a href=https://kr13at.cc>kraken даркнет</a>
The most popular spot on a late Friday night in a pocket of Manhattan’s West Village isn’t a trendy bar or a Michelin-starred restaurant but a Yemeni coffee house chain strictly serving coffee, tea and pastries.
A step into Qahwah House on Carmine Street offers a rich whiff of cardamom, Arabic music and crowds of people both at tables and in line to order. The energy spills over into the sidewalk, where some begin performing a Levantine folk dance known as dabke. It’s a snapshot of various Eastern cultures; Arabic, Farsi and Urdu fill the air, and some customers don traditional attire.
https://kr13at.cc
Кракен даркнет
Qahwah House is just one of a string of Yemeni coffee chains that originated in the Arab-populated Detroit area and are rapidly springing up across the country, often where there are significant Middle Eastern and Muslim populations. Nineteen Qahwah House locations are open across seven states, with more under construction and expected to open this year. Another chain, Haraz, opened this month in the pricey SoHo neighborhood in Manhattan, with at least six more in the region planned in the next two years. Times Square will be home to two other chains, MOKAFE and Qamaria Yemeni Coffee Co.
The rapid expansion of these shops underscores the demand for late-night social spots for not only young Muslims and Middle Easterners, but also younger people who are looking for a non-digital third space where they can hang out without alcohol or having to yell over loud music.
They don’t have many other options. Malls, a traditional third place for young people, are growing more and more unpopular. Chains like Starbucks have become more like take-out counters. Alcohol-free lifestyles are growing even for those outside of the Muslim faith, which many practicing the religion already take part in.
So for many young people in urban areas, especially those from immigrant communities looking for a way to connect to their cultures, it’s a great option.