
5月14日财经早餐:美元下滑,金价从一周低点回升,油价重挫4%
周四(5月13日)美元指数(90.7312, 0.0133, 0.01%)创出两周来最大涨幅后在停止上涨,市场权衡经济重新开放迹象和通胀持续更久的风险;美国10年期国债收益率下滑,瑞郎(0.9056, 0.0006, 0.07%)、日元等传统避险货币走高。
现货黄金尾盘收涨约11美元,尾盘报1826.72美元/盎司,因美元和美国国债收益率下跌,此前数据显示美国生产者价格指数(PPI)上涨超出预期,增添了通胀压力上升迹象。油价急挫逾3%,受累于印度疫情加重和美国燃料管道恢复。
商品收盘方面,COMEX 6月黄金期货收涨0.07%,报1824.00美元/盎司。WTI 6月原油期货收跌2.26美元,跌幅3.42%,报63.82美元/桶;布伦特7月原油期货收跌2.27美元,跌幅3.27%,报67.05美元/桶。
美股三大指数全线上涨,道琼斯指数收盘上涨433.32点,涨幅1.29%,报34020.98点;
标普500
指数收盘上涨49.92点,涨幅1.23%,报4112.80点;纳斯达克综合指数收盘上涨93.31点,涨幅0.72%,报13124.99点。
周五前瞻
凌晨01:00 达拉斯联储主席卡普兰参加由德克萨斯大学奥斯汀麦库姆斯商学院主办的线上问答环节
美国股市结束三连跌,劳动力市场走强的迹象盖过了通胀担忧,投资者从成长股转向价值股。工业,金融和公用事业类股领涨
标普500
指数,能源股追随油价跌势。纳斯达克100指数跑输主要股指,特斯拉下挫,该公司首席执行官马斯克此前宣布将不再接受比特币作为购车支付方式,比特币重挫。
Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management的首席投资策略师Brent Schutte表示,去年大部分时候我们一直投资在周期性价值股和小型股上,我们的预测是周期性股票上涨将带动大盘走高,这正是现在看到的情况。我们坚定相信该趋势将持续下去。
E*Trade Financial的投资策略部门董事总经理Mike Loewengart表示,暂时抛开通胀问题,上周首次申请失业救济金人数触及疫情期新低,说明我们距离经济完全重启更近了,这无疑是件好事。
贵金属与原油
现货黄金
尾盘收涨约11美元,尾盘报1826.72美元/盎司,因美元和美国国债收益率下跌,此前数据显示美国生产者价格指数(PPI)上涨超出预期,增添了通胀压力上升迹象。
周三数据显示美国4月消费者价格指数(CPI)涨幅创2009年以来高位后,金价当天已经跌逾1%。不过美联储副主席Richard Clarida仍表示,事实可能会证明通胀率上升是暂时的。
BMO Capital Markets金属衍生品交易主管Tai Wong称,尽管PPI涨幅高于预期,但经过昨天CPI数据后这种状况完全在意料之中,传导压力没有更高让人们有些松口气,因此我们看到收益率和美元下跌,这提振了黄金。
Franklin Equity Group投资组合经理Steve Land表示,经过一年来的防疫封锁后,全球经济仍处于极端压力下,全球经济完全复苏的道路不可能在所有地方都是一帆风顺的,许多通胀率较高的国家可能会推动该地区对黄金的通胀对冲需求。
油价随大宗商品下跌,并创一个多月最大跌幅,油价一度跌逾4%,美油、布油分别刷新5月3日以来低点至63.09美元/桶、66.48美元/桶;因为日益紧张的通胀担忧提高了美联储降低政策宽松力度的可能性。WTI周四下跌3.4%,至4月底以来最低;美国4月份PPI涨幅超出预期,增加了通货膨胀压力上升的迹象。
OANDA高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示,随着投资者为大宗商品超级周期交易按下暂停键,原油价格一直在稳步下跌。对通胀的担忧让一些投资者感到不安,推动他们在能源交易上获利了结。
上周的网络攻击而停运的美东汽油供应主力Colonial Pipeline开始重启输油管道,周四表示其服务的每个市场到午间应开始收到供油;不过,知情人士称,该管道运行效率依然不到运能的一半。
外汇
美元指数
创出两周来最大涨幅后在周四停止上涨,市场权衡经济重新开放迹象和通胀持续更久的风险。美国10年期国债收益率下滑,
标普500
指数上涨。瑞郎、日元等传统避险货币走高,与大宗商品相关的加元、澳元(0.7728, 0.0001, 0.01%)等下跌。
美元指数
跌0.07%至90.72,此前一度下滑0.2%,周三该指数上涨0.7%;10年期美国国债收益率跌至1.657%。
法国兴业银行的Kit Juckes在报告中称,关于美元,主要还是看其它地方发生的状况,无论美联储在CPI涨幅超预期情况下是否保持坚定,我们都肯定若看到通胀率大幅上升,欧洲央行会保持警惕。在德国国债收益率上升情况下,如果
欧元(1.2084, 0.0004, 0.03%)兑美元
下跌太多我会惊讶的,即便美国国债收益率上升更多一点。
不过,彭博美元即期指数3个月隐含波动率触及4月以来高点后回落。彭博大宗商品指数下跌。
德意志银行宏观策略师Alan Ruskin写道,尽管通胀大涨幅度之大,似乎不太可能在未来几个月出现全面逆转,但单个月的数据不太可能促使美联储立即改变其立场。
欧元兑美元
涨0.07%至1.2081,稍早上涨0.3%至1.2106;
美元兑日元(109.59, 0.1400, 0.13%)
下跌0.18%至109.47;DTCC数据显示,大量在109.58现汇等值水平上对冲的短期远期合约可能支撑了
美元兑日元
。
美元兑加元(1.2166, 0.0005, 0.04%)
上涨0.23%至1.2162,稍早涨0.6%,为5月4日以来最大涨幅;加拿大央行行长Tiff Macklem称将关注汇率走势;并称大宗商品价格上涨带动下的汇率升值可能不利于出口。
纽元在G-10货币中涨幅居前,
纽元兑美元
上涨0.22%至0.7174美元,稍早上涨0.5%,创5月7日以来最大涨幅;不过近13亿纽元执行价在0.7260/70的5月18日到期合约可能使涨势放缓。
一度上涨0.27%至0.7746美元,扭转稍早跌势。
国际要闻
【美联储理事沃勒:美联储不会对美国临时性的通胀反应过度,若干临时性因素推高通胀。还需要几个月的数据才能知道经济是否取得了“实质性的进一步进展”,这是美联储缩减资产购买计划的基准。预计美联储还将在一段时期内维持宽松政策。在判断美国经济所取得的进展上,需要观察好几个月的数据。预计第二季度GDP增长率可能高达8%】
【美联储布拉德:预计整个夏季的就业报告将会非常强劲,目前的货币政策良好,不希望在危机中改变政策,谈论缩减购债还为时过早】
【加拿大央行行长麦克勒姆:通货膨胀的上升将是暂时的,通货膨胀将会下降,因为一些行业仍然疲软。不会因一个月的通胀数据而对政策产生重大改变。大宗商品价格上涨对加拿大来说是个好消息,如果加元继续上涨,可能会对出口预期造成更大的不利影响,我们正在观察这一点】
【芝商所(CME)将COMEX铜期货的维持保证金从6100美元/手上调至6600美元/手,上调幅度为8.2%;将RBOB汽油期货的维持保证金从5700美元/手上调至6100美元/手,上调幅度为7%】
【输油管道公司Colonial Pipeline:所有输油管道系统已重启,系统重启后,交付供应链需要几天时间才能恢复正常】
【美国劳工部:4月美国生产者价格指数同比涨超6%,刷新历史最高年度涨幅】美国劳工部公布最新数据显示,4月美国生产者价格指数上涨0.6%,预期涨0.3%,与2020年同期相比飙升6.2%,刷新了该机构自2010年开始追踪该数据以来的最大涨幅。劳工部的报告显示,钢铁产品的大幅上涨推动了4月生产者价格的巨大涨幅。除了物价上涨外,劳工部表示另一主要原因是与去年同期受疫情影响放缓的经济相比,今年美国通货膨胀率较高。美联储此前已发出警告称,接下来数月中如有与去年同期比较的数据发布,其间变化将会格外明显。(央视)
【拜登与共和党议员讨论基础设施计划 称愿意做出让步】美国总统拜登与六位共和党参议员举行会议时表示,愿意在其2万亿美元的基础设施计划上做出妥协。这些参议员已经强调了了与拜登存在的重大分歧,但表示或许有可能达成协议。不过,共和党内部普遍反对拜登计划的规模以及为其支出计划提供资金的增税方案。“今天共和党人将了解美国总统对达成基础设施协议是否是认真的,”与会的密西西比州联邦参议员Roger Wicker周四早些时候在推特上表示。“我们的会议有一个真诚的方案在桌面上,我们准备好与总统和我们的民主党同事合作。”
【美联储隔夜逆回购操作的需求量达到2020年3月以来最高】美联储隔夜逆回购操作的使用率周四达(5月13日)到2020年3月以来最高水平。36位参与者的总量为2,352亿美元,为2020年第一季度末以来最高,高于周三的2,093亿美元。该工具的隔夜利率为0%,帮助暂时减少银行体系的准备金余额。
国内要闻
【开源证券中期策略:市场需寻找“新共识” 周期股将跑赢对应商品】5月13日,在开源证券2021年中期策略会上,开源证券策略首席分析师牟一凌发表2021下半年投资策略展望,他认为当下价值型周期行业PB水平整体处于历史最低位置,未来库存周期的波动仍然决定了周期的方向。但周期股的弹性正在回归:收益率不再像过去10年那样跑输自身ROE水平,而周期股未来将跑赢对应商品。(中国证券网)
【郑商所调整多个品种交易保证金标准和涨跌停板幅度】郑商所公告,自2021年5月18日结算时起,甲醇期货合约的交易保证金标准调整为8%,涨跌停板幅度调整为7%;尿素期货合约的交易保证金标准调整为7%,涨跌停板幅度调整为6%;玻璃期货2107、2108和2109合约的交易保证金标准调整为10%,玻璃期货2106、2107、2108和2109合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为8%。

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Introducing Velodrome Finance: Maximize Your Crypto Yields
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Medical staff on the front line of the battle against mpox in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have told the BBC they are desperate for vaccines to arrive so they can stem the rate of new infections.
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At a treatment centre in South Kivu province that the BBC visited in the epicentre of the outbreak, they say more patients are arriving every day - especially babies - and there is a shortage of essential equipment.
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Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
“We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
“You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
“You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
“The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”
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They’ve sailed across Southeast Asia for centuries. Now, these sea nomads are being forced to live on land
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Bilkuin Jimi Salih doesn’t remember how old he was when he learned to dive, only, that all the men in his family can do it.
It might have been his grandfather who taught him, or his father, or even an uncle or cousin. He recalls swimming dozens of feet underwater among the reefs, collecting spider conches, abalone and sea cucumbers to sell at the local fish market.
“One of our specialties is that, because we live on the sea and we’re always in the sea, we can dive in the water for a long time,” says Salih, via a translator. “We learn by observing, and from there, we develop our own technique.”
To most people, Salih’s free diving skills are highly unusual; but not to his community. Salih is Bajau Laut, an indigenous seafaring group in Southeast Asia that has lived a semi-nomadic lifestyle on the ocean for centuries. Living on boats and fishing for income and sustenance, the Bajau Laut aren’t just reliant on the sea: they’re biologically adapted to it, with larger spleens that give them the ability to hold their breath for far longer than the average person.
“We’re very comfortable in the water,” says Salih. The 20-year-old was born on board a lepa, a type of houseboat, on the shore of Omadal Island, off the coast of Semporna in Malaysian Borneo.
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Camera phones at the ready, around 700 guests hailing from across India and the world expected a visual spectacle on Saturday evening — and they weren’t disappointed. A hush descended as the doors opened to the Jio World Center in Mumbai, where legendary Indian fashion designer Sabyasachi Mukherjee presented a star-studded 25th anniversary runway show for his namesake brand.
The celebrated designer — known for his maximalist Indian style — has dressed some of the biggest names across Bollywood and Hollywood, including Priyanka Chopra, Deepika Padukone, Oprah Winfrey, Rihanna and Jennifer Lopez. For his landmark show, the stars showed up to lend their support: Padukone opened proceedings in an all-white ensemble adorned with necklaces, including a crucifix from Mukherjee’s jewelry line. She later walked again with supermodel Christy Turlington as part of the grand finale.
Over 150 looks were presented, including pants and skirts embroidered with gold threads, frilled head gear, stacked jewelry and tops with slogans such as “cat lady,” “table for one,” “where has love gone,” and “all dressed up nowhere to go.” Mukherjee explained in a phone interview that these pieces were intended to be satire on how technology is dehumanizing humans. “We seem to have forgotten how to establish human relationships,” he said.
There were also trench coats, sweaters, shorts and shirts made in more conventionally western silhouettes. These marked a departure from Mukherjee’s usual festive and bridal wear, which are heavily inclined towards traditional Indian styles, such as saris, ghagra cholis and sherwanis.
But with no shortage of drama, the new collection featured heavily embroidered jackets embellished with semi-precious stones, brocade dresses, ostrich leather jackets and skirts, and blouses with velvet appliques overlaid with faux fur.
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Индивидуальный предприниматель Сафин Ирек Фаатович
Введение
<a href=https://t.me/safinirek>ИП Сафин Ирек Фаатович</a>
Ирек Фаатович Сафин – успешный индивидуальный предприниматель, который за годы своей деятельности смог создать устойчивый бизнес в различных сферах экономики. Его имя ассоциируется с профессионализмом, инновациями и ответственным подходом к делу. В этой статье мы рассмотрим ключевые аспекты его карьеры, достижения и принципы ведения бизнеса.
Начало пути
Ирек Сафин родился в 1978 году в городе Уфа, Республика Башкортостан. С детства он проявлял интерес к экономике и предпринимательству. После окончания школы поступил в Башкирский государственный университет на экономический факультет. Во время учебы активно участвовал в студенческих проектах и научных конференциях, что позволило ему получить ценный опыт и знания.
Первые шаги в бизнесе
Свою карьеру Ирек начал сразу после окончания университета. Он открыл свою первую компанию, которая занималась оптовой торговлей строительными материалами. Благодаря грамотному управлению и стратегическому планированию, компания быстро заняла лидирующие позиции на рынке. Это стало первым успешным шагом в карьере Ирека Сафина.
Расширение бизнеса
В последующие годы Ирек Сафин расширил свой бизнес, открыв новые направления. Он стал заниматься производством строительных материалов, а также оказанием услуг в сфере строительства и ремонта. Благодаря внедрению современных технологий и использованию качественных материалов, его компании смогли завоевать доверие клиентов и партнеров.
Социальная ответственность
Одним из важных аспектов деятельности Ирека Сафина является социальная ответственность. Он активно участвует в благотворительных проектах, поддерживает образовательные учреждения и спортивные мероприятия. Кроме того, он уделяет большое внимание экологии и внедряет экологически чистые технологии в своем производстве.
Личные качества и принципы
Ирек Сафин известен своим трудолюбием, ответственностью и стремлением к совершенству. Он всегда ставит перед собой высокие цели и стремится их достичь. Его принципами являются честность, открытость и уважение к партнерам и клиентам. Эти качества помогли ему завоевать доверие и уважение в деловом сообществе.
Заключение
Ирек Фаатович Сафин – яркий пример успешного предпринимателя, который сумел построить устойчивый бизнес и внести значительный вклад в развитие экономики региона. Его опыт и достижения могут служить примером для многих начинающих предпринимателей.
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