不要赌人民币升贬值!这一重磅会议罕见示警 不能用汇率升值抵消大宗商品涨价

2021年05月28日 20961点热度 0人点赞 3,658条评论

不要赌人民币升贬值!这一重磅会议罕见示警 不能用汇率升值抵消大宗商品涨价

人民币(6.3686-0.0146-0.23%)汇率更加市场化后,汇率涨跌是常态,企业要树立“风险中性”理念,避免偏离风险中性的“炒汇”行为。

5月27日,全国外汇市场自律机制第七次工作会议在北京召开。此次会议对汇率的表态较为少见,引发市场高度关注。会议认为,未来,影响汇率的市场因素和政策因素很多,人民币既可能升值,也可能贬值。没有任何人可以准确预测汇率走势。汇率不能作为工具,既不能用来贬值刺激出口,也不能用来升值抵消大宗商品价格上涨影响。关键是管理好预期,坚决打击各种恶意操纵市场、恶意制造单边预期的行为。

不要赌人民币升贬值!这一重磅会议罕见示警 不能用汇率升值抵消大宗商品涨价

尽管近期人民币兑美元汇率走势强劲,创下近三年来的高点,但市场的注意力过度聚焦在人民币兑美元汇率,而忽略了人民币兑一篮子货币的表现,后者才是反映人民币实际有效汇率的更重要指标。即便是在人民币兑美元汇率明显升值的近两个月,CFETS人民币汇率指数4月以来的升幅仅有0.32%左右,远小于人民币兑美元的升幅。

不少分析人士提醒,今年美元指数(90.08680.07400.08%)下行空间有限,下半年不排除波动向上的可能。这意味着今年人民币兑美元汇率整体上将处于“有升有贬”的双向波动格局。随着人民币汇率市场化定价机制的深化,汇率双向波动的趋势将更明显。

定调:汇率不能用来升值抵消大宗商品价格上涨

据人民银行官网消息,5月27日,全国外汇市场自律机制第七次工作会议在北京召开,全国外汇市场自律机制30家成员机构代表参加会议,会议选举中国银行行长刘金为新一届全国外汇市场自律机制主任委员,审议通过了全国外汇市场自律机制成员分层调整方案以及自律规范修订事宜。外汇自律机制成员机构专题就风险中性相关工作进行交流。中国外汇市场指导委员会(CFXC)主任委员、人民银行副行长刘国强出席并讲话,副主任委员、国家外汇管理局副局长王春英,外汇自律机制相关指导司局和外汇市场指导委员会委员参加会议。

会议认为,当前外汇市场总体平衡。未来,影响汇率的市场因素和政策因素很多,人民币既可能升值,也可能贬值。没有任何人可以准确预测汇率走势。不论是短期还是中长期,汇率测不准是必然,双向波动是常态,不论是政府、机构还是个人,都要避免被预测结论误导。以市场供求为基础、参考一篮子货币进行调节、有管理的浮动汇率制度适合中国国情,应当长期坚持。在这一汇率制度下,汇率不能作为工具,既不能用来贬值刺激出口,也不能用来升值抵消大宗商品价格上涨影响。关键是管理好预期,坚决打击各种恶意操纵市场、恶意制造单边预期的行为。

可以看出,上述表态对近期市场上关于人民币汇率会在中长期升值、央行将放弃汇率目标等观点集中作用回应,并再次强调人民币汇率以市场供求为基础。

华创证券首席宏观分析师张瑜对证券时报·券商中国记者表示,结合近期官方对汇率的表态看,可以看出央行对人民币汇率水平并不预设点位,而是更多交由市场决定,汇率弹性会进一步加大,只有市场存在过度交易惯性的时候才会做适度的预期指引。

此外,值得注意的是,国际大宗商品价格暴涨背景下,通过人民币升值以帮助对抗输入性通胀的呼声渐高。此次会议明确“汇率不能作为工具,不能用来升值抵消大宗商品价格上涨影响”,也算是直接否定了此种提议。

平安证券首席经济学家钟正生也表示,本轮中国大宗商品涨价不能单纯定义为输入性,国内政策因素和部分核心原材料供应不足也起到了关键影响。应对本轮通胀压力还需多措并举,以缓和国内大宗商品供应紧张问题为着眼点。至于人民币汇率的走势,还是交给市场供求和国际金融市场变化决定为好,不必也不宜对其赋予更多的“念想”。

别只盯着人民币兑美元汇率

4月以来,人民币兑美元汇率重回升势,近日更是一路“高歌猛进”。截至5月27日16:30,在岸人民币兑美元汇率日间收盘报6.3758,较上一交易日涨172个基点,继续刷新三年来高位。

不要赌人民币升贬值!这一重磅会议罕见示警 不能用汇率升值抵消大宗商品涨价

不过,尽管近期人民币兑美元汇率走势强劲,人民币兑一篮子货币的表现更为“淡定”。今年以来,CFETS人民币汇率指数升幅近2.5%,4月以来升幅更是仅有0.32%左右,远小于同期在岸人民币兑美元超2%的升幅。

不要赌人民币升贬值!这一重磅会议罕见示警 不能用汇率升值抵消大宗商品涨价

人民币兑美元汇率近期的显著升值,主要源于美元指数走弱和国内经济持续复苏的影响。目前美元指数围绕90上下波动,较4月初以来已下跌近3%,但同期人民币兑美元汇率的升幅弱于美元指数的下跌幅度。

嘉盛集团资深分析师Joe Perry表示,近期美元的弱势是合理的回调,美联储对货币政策是否调整的态度还较为模糊,这导致美元愈发弱势,美元动能甚至不及卢布。在人⺠币对美元升值的同时,其实人⺠币对欧元(1.2182-0.0011-0.09%)英镑(1.4192-0.0008-0.06%)、加元等今年3月以来都是在走弱而非走强,对一篮子货币的表现都并不非常强势,这似乎可以解释中国央行近期“淡定”的态度。“我们发现,本周以来,人民币中间价与我们的模型预测基本吻合,这说明中国央行放手于市场的态度”。

国家发展与战略研究院研究员、中国宏观经济论坛(CMF)主要成员王晋斌也撰文称,4月初以来人民币对美元升值幅度小于美元指数的贬值幅度,可以发现人民币升值的驱动因素出现了边际递减趋势,这也说明人民币未来升值的空间在减少。其次,人民币兑美元双边汇率的变动幅度要明显大于人民币兑一篮子货币汇率的变动幅度,说明人民币汇率形成机制中贸易汇率的稳定性优先。

不要赌汇率升贬值,久赌必输

正如会议所说,没有任何人可以准确预测汇率走势,汇率测不准是必然,双向波动是常态。张瑜也表示,短期来看,人民币汇率的准确研判几乎不可能的,就是自由波动,由内外盘定价机制决定。从一年纬度的中期趋势看,由于美元指数在未来一年内有一波反弹的概率依然较高,押注人民币升值的要慎重。

随着人民币汇率双向波动成常态,对市场主体而言,重点不是赌人民币汇率的单边升值,而是要对人民币汇率波动的日益加大提前做好准备,做好财务规划,规避汇率风险。

会议就强调,企业和金融机构都应积极适应汇率双向波动的状态。企业要聚焦主业,树立“风险中性”理念,避免偏离风险中性的“炒汇”行为,不要赌人民币汇率升值或贬值,久赌必输。金融机构不仅不能帮助企业“炒汇”,自身也不宜“炒汇”,否则不利于银行稳健经营,还会造成汇率大起大落。

近期,监管高层密集对人民币汇率释放信号。5月23日,人民银行副行长刘国强表示,人民银行完善以市场供求为基础、参考一篮子货币进行调节、有管理的浮动汇率制度,这一制度在当前和未来一段时期都是适合中国的汇率制度安排。未来人民币汇率的走势将继续取决于市场供求和国际金融市场变化,双向波动成为常态。人民银行将注重预期引导,发挥汇率调节宏观经济和国际收支自动稳定器作用,保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。

金融委5月21日召开会议时也强调,进一步推动汇率市场化改革,保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。

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    Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
    Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
    “We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
    He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
    “You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
    The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
    The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
    At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
    Although he wore a face shield, I could see the sweat running down his face. He said he was saddened to see patients sharing beds.
    “You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
    “The only support we have already had is a little medicine for the patients and water. As far as other challenges are concerned, there's still no staff motivation.”

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    2025年1月18日
  • JesusAsype

    What is Lido Finance?
    Lido Finance is a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform that provides simple and efficient solutions for crypto staking. It allows users to stake their digital assets without locking them up, thus maintaining liquidity and flexibility.
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    Why Choose Lido Finance?
    Lido Finance provides several benefits to its users:

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    Users can stake their assets via Lido's platform, which then delegates these assets across a set of trusted validators. In return, users receive staked tokens which represent their staked assets and accrue rewards over time.

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    Follow these steps to begin staking:

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    2025年1月18日
  • Brianfab

    Unlock Your Financial Potential with Puffer Finance
    In an ever-evolving economic landscape, finding the right financial partner is essential for achieving your investment goals. Puffer Finance stands out as a beacon of innovation and stability, offering a plethora of opportunities to enhance your wealth.
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    2025年1月18日
  • BrianMax

    Welcome to Swell Network: Your Gateway to Decentralized Finance
    The world of cryptocurrency is rapidly evolving, with new platforms emerging to offer innovative financial solutions. Swell Network stands out as a pioneering force in decentralized finance (DeFi), providing users with unique opportunities to engage with the financial future.
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    What is Swell Network?
    Swell Network is a blockchain-powered platform that aims to disrupt traditional financial systems. It offers a wide range of DeFi services designed to enhance user autonomy and financial inclusivity. By leveraging blockchain technology, Swell Network ensures secure, transparent, and efficient financial transactions.

    Key Features of Swell Network
    Decentralization: Operates on a decentralized framework, reducing reliance on traditional financial institutions.
    Security: Utilizes cutting-edge security protocols to protect user assets and data.
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    Accessibility: Open to anyone with internet access, promoting global financial inclusivity.
    Benefits of Using Swell Network
    Adopting Swell Network for your financial activities comes with several benefits:

    Reduced Fees: Experience lower transaction fees compared to conventional banking systems.
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    If you're ready to join the DeFi revolution, getting started with Swell Network is straightforward. First, create your account on the platform, then explore different financial instruments that meet your needs. Swell Network offers comprehensive support and resources to guide new users through the onboarding process.

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    2025年1月18日
  • Rickycip

    Getting Started with Quickswap
    Quickswap is revolutionizing the way we trade cryptocurrencies by offering a decentralized platform for seamless crypto trading. As a user-friendly decentralized exchange (DEX), Quickswap allows users to swap tokens effortlessly without the need for intermediaries. Here's a detailed guide to getting started with Quickswap.
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    What is Quickswap?
    Quickswap is a layer-2 decentralized exchange built on the Polygon network, which is known for its high-speed and low-cost transactions. This platform provides an efficient and secure way to trade a wide range of cryptocurrencies without enduring hefty fees typical of Ethereum-based DEXes.

    Why Use Quickswap?
    Low Fees: Thanks to the Polygon network, trading on Quickswap is significantly cheaper than on Ethereum-based platforms.
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    Set Up a Crypto Wallet: You'll need a compatible wallet like MetaMask or Trust Wallet. Ensure it's connected to the Polygon network.
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    Visit Quickswap Platform: Navigate to the Quickswap website and connect your wallet. This step is essential to access all features of the platform.
    Start Trading: Select the tokens you want to swap. With its simple interface, you can execute trades in just a few clicks.
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    To make the most out of your trading experience on Quickswap, consider these tips:

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    Quickswap offers a robust platform for trading a wide range of cryptocurrencies efficiently. By leveraging the benefits of the Polygon network, it minimizes delays and costs associated with traditional crypto trading. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned trader, Quickswap empowers you to navigate the DeFi space with ease and confidence.

    2025年1月18日
  • Miltonviads

    Understanding Venus Protocol: Your Gateway to DeFi
    Venus Protocol has carved a niche in the fast-paced DeFi landscape by offering a one-stop solution for decentralized finance activities. Whether you're interested in lending, borrowing, or yield farming, Venus provides secure and scalable services on the blockchain.
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    Why Choose Venus Protocol?
    The Venus Protocol stands out because:

    It operates on the Binance Smart Chain, ensuring fast and cost-effective transactions.
    It offers a decentralized lending platform that allows users to earn interest by supplying assets.
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    Lending and Borrowing
    Venus Protocol facilitates decentralized lending and borrowing with minimal fees, supported by a robust risk management framework. Users can seamlessly supply assets to the protocol and earn interest, or borrow by simply collateralizing their holdings.

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    Maximize your returns with Venus Protocol's yield farming opportunities. By leveraging your assets, you can participate in governance and earn rewards in the form of XVS, Venus Protocol's native token.

    Multi-Asset Support
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    Start your DeFi journey with Venus Protocol by following these steps:

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    2025年1月18日
  • Stevenspilk

    Welcome to Orbiter: Your Gateway to Financial Innovation
    In the ever-evolving landscape of finance, Orbiter stands out as a pioneering platform dedicated to providing cutting-edge solutions for modern investors. As we navigate the future of digital assets and decentralized finance, Orbiter remains at the forefront, committed to innovation and accessibility.
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  • JasonDus

    Welcome to dYdX: The Future of Decentralized Trading
    dYdX is a leading decentralized exchange (DEX) platform designed specifically for perpetual trading. Powered by a unique layer 2 solution, it offers zero gas fees and high-speed transactions, ideal for traders looking to maximize efficiency and minimize costs.
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    Welcome to Karak: Pioneering Blockchain Solutions
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    Maximize Your Crypto Trading with ParaSwap
    If you're looking to enhance your cryptocurrency trading experience, it's time to explore ParaSwap. This innovative platform serves as a decentralized exchange aggregator, giving you the best deals on the market.
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    2025年1月18日
  • Deweyfaita

    Renzo Protocol: Secure Blockchain Innovation
    Discover the Renzo Protocol: Revolutionizing Blockchain
    The Renzo Protocol represents a significant advancement in the blockchain technology landscape. It offers a secure and efficient platform for decentralized applications, setting a new standard in the industry.
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    2025年1月18日
  • Ronaldexhag

    Understanding Etherscan: Your Gateway to Ethereum
    Etherscan is a powerful Ethereum block explorer and analytics platform. It enables users to view transactions, check cryptocurrency balances, and track the status of smart contracts on the public Ethereum blockchain. Whether you're an investor or a developer, Etherscan offers the tools you need to navigate the Ethereum ecosystem efficiently.
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    What Can You Do on Etherscan?
    Track Transactions: Enter a wallet address to see all associated transactions, including timestamp, amount, and status.
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    2025年1月18日
  • Robertwaift

    Unveiling the Potential of Kelp DAO
    In today's rapidly evolving digital economy, Kelp DAO emerges as a transformative force in the field of decentralized finance (DeFi). By leveraging blockchain technology, Kelp DAO aims to improve governance and promote sustainability.
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    Kelp DAO is a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) designed to democratize decision-making processes on the blockchain. It serves as a pivotal tool for communities seeking enhanced and a focus on eco-friendly initiatives.

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    Here are several compelling reasons to consider Kelp DAO for your blockchain ventures:

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    2025年1月18日
  • Juniordob

    Welcome to EtherFi: Revolutionizing Financial Transactions
    In the dynamic world of digital finance, EtherFi stands out as a revolutionary platform designed to reshape how you manage transactions and investments. Understanding this cutting-edge platform can provide you with the tools necessary for financial success in the digital age.
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    What is EtherFi?
    EtherFi is a robust platform built on advanced blockchain technology, offering secure, efficient, and transparent financial solutions. It leverages the power of Ethereum to facilitate various transactions, ensuring that users have access to a decentralized and trustworthy financial ecosystem.

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    Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Enjoy the benefits of financial services without the need for traditional banking institutions.
    Fast and Secure Transactions: Built on the Ethereum blockchain, EtherFi ensures that your transactions are both rapid and secure.
    Low Transaction Fees: Reduce costs associated with financial transactions compared to traditional methods.
    User-Friendly Interface: Whether you're a seasoned investor or a newcomer, EtherFi's platform is designed for ease of use.
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    EtherFi offers a range of opportunities for investors looking to diversify their portfolios with blockchain assets. By utilizing smart contracts and decentralized applications, investors can securely manage and grow their digital assets with minimal risk.

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    Sign Up: Create an account on the EtherFi platform to begin your journey in digital finance.
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    2025年1月18日
  • KennethRoG

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    After shaking hands - it was the first time they had met - the pair debated policy before moving onto more personal attacks

    Harris said people leave Trump rallies early "out of exhaustion and boredom" - he said people don't go to hers in the first place
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    Trump criticised Harris's record on immigration and the border, and also her shifting policy positions - Harris blamed him for "Trump abortion bans" and for the 6 January attacks on the US Capitol

    Snap polls suggest Harris won the debate, but Trump says afterwards that she "lost very badly"

    With the election taking place on 5 November, Harris is slightly ahead in national opinion polls - but polls are very tight in key battleground states

    Shortly after the debate, Taylor Swift endorsed Harris on Instagram, calling her a ''gifted leader''

    2025年1月18日
  • VictorWal

    Welcome to Extra Finance
    At Extra Finance, we believe in empowering individuals and businesses with the tools they need to manage their finances more effectively. Whether you are looking to save smarter, invest wisely, or simply manage your expenses better, Extra Finance offers a range of solutions to help you achieve your goals.
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    Extra Finance stands out for its commitment to customer satisfaction and cutting-edge financial tools. Here are a few reasons why you should consider us:

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    2025年1月18日
  • コスプレ えろ

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    2025年1月19日
  • ダッチワイフ かわいい

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    2025年1月20日
  • JoshuaOpive

    Phantom Wallet
    Phantom Wallet offers secure storage for your crypto assets with a user-friendly interface. Get started and protect your investments today.
    <a href=https://www-phant0m.com>phantom wallet extension download</a>
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    2025年1月20日
  • Oscarhaugs

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    As the digital landscape expands, transferring assets across different blockchain networks has become increasingly important. Base Bridge offers a robust solution for managing digital assets efficiently and securely.
    <a href=https://bsblifi.net>base bridge</a>
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    2025年1月20日
  • Williamjoype

    Aerodrome Finance: Unlocking Potential for Growth
    The world of aerodrome finance is pivotal for ensuring the efficient operation, enhancement, and expansion of aerodrome facilities globally. With the increasing demand for air travel, understanding aerodrome financial processes is more important than ever.
    <a href=https://aerlifi.org/>aerodrome finance</a>
    Why Aerodrome Finance Matters
    Aerodrome finance plays a critical role in the lifespan of airport projects, providing necessary funding from initial development to ongoing management. Here are key reasons why it matters:

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    Economic Growth: Airports serve as economic hubs; their development stimulates job creation and boosts local economies.
    Aerodrome Finance Strategies
    Various strategies can be employed to optimize aerodrome finance, ensuring both immediate and long-term benefits. Here are a few notable approaches:

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    These partnerships combine public sector oversight and private sector efficiency, leading to shared risks and rewards. They facilitate diverse financial resources and innovative solutions for airport projects.

    Revenue Diversification
    Exploring non-aeronautical revenue streams, such as retail concessions and property leases, can significantly bolster an airport's financial resilience. Such diversification allows for a steady income flow independent of ticket sales.

    Sustainable Financing
    Adopting sustainable financial practices, including green bonds and ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria, aligns with modern ecological standards and attracts environmentally conscious investors.

    Challenges and Opportunities
    While aerodrome finance offers numerous benefits, it also poses certain challenges. High capital costs, regulatory hurdles, and fluctuating passenger demands can impact financial stability. However, these challenges also present opportunities for innovation and improvement.

    Tech-Driven Solutions: Embracing technology like AI and predictive analytics can enhance decision-making and financial planning.
    Collaboration: Strengthening ties with stakeholders, including airlines and government agencies, can streamline financial operations and capital investments.
    Ultimately, the goal of aerodrome finance is to support the sustainable growth and modernization of airports, ensuring their pivotal role in global connectivity remains strong.

    2025年1月20日
  • Michaelclors

    Maximizing Profits with 1inch Exchange
    In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, every second counts. 1inch Exchange offers a powerful solution for traders looking to optimize their crypto transactions. By aggregating the best deals across various decentralized exchanges (DEXs), 1inch ensures users get the most value for their trades.
    <a href=https://www-1nch.com>1inch swap</a>
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    2025年1月20日
  • PeterMed

    Understanding the Aave Protocol
    The Aave Protocol is revolutionizing the decentralized finance (DeFi) space with its unique approach to crypto lending and borrowing. Whether you're a seasoned investor or new to the world of cryptocurrencies, Aave offers a robust platform for managing your digital assets.
    <a href=https://www-aave.com>aave lending</a>
    What is Aave?
    Aave, which means 'ghost' in Finnish, is a non-custodial liquidity protocol. It allows users to earn interest on deposits and borrow assets. Aave is known for its wide range of supported cryptocurrencies and features that enhance the security and flexibility of crypto transactions.

    Key Features of Aave Protocol
    Flash Loans: Aave introduced the concept of flash loans, which are borrowed and repaid within a single transaction. This feature is useful for arbitrage opportunities and collateral swaps.
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    How to Get Started with Aave
    Getting started with Aave is straightforward:

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    Advantages of Using Aave
    There are several reasons why Aave stands out in the world of DeFi:

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    Innovative Products: Pioneering features like flash loans provide unparalleled opportunities.
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    2025年1月20日
  • WillieTer

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  • Robertdus

    Blogger Alistarov is a criminal
    <a href=https://politicsto.com/component/k2/item/165351>Андрей Алистаров сидел</a>
    From criminal past to criminal present – in the service of corrupt law enforcement officers
    Andrey Alistarov, a YouTube blogger specializing in exposing financial organizations, is an odious figure with a criminal past. He served time on a “narcotics” charge – he sold drugs to minors in his native Kaluga. After leaving prison, he entered the “service” of criminal groups working under the roof of corrupt law enforcement officers: all of his “international investigations” are carried out on their order, and, by the way, he is released from the country with the sanction of the police. His main profile now is blackmail, extortion, slander and organizing contract prosecution under the guise of supposedly independent investigations.
    He leads the bandits to his victims: the last attack took place in Dubai on January 1: Alistarov led the bandits to the victim’s house and provided all the necessary information for the attack and blackmail, and to ensure his own alibi during the attack he conducted an unscheduled stream with subscribers of his channel.

    To the accompaniment of loud phrases about the fight against fraud and exposing financial schemes, Alistarov is busy processing orders from competitors of certain entrepreneurs who have become his victims – competitors of these entrepreneurs who have taken corrupt police officers as their share.

    At the same time, Alistarov uses visas to the EU countries and the UAE obtained with the help of organized criminal groups, illegally uses drones and listening equipment purchased with money from organized crime groups, organizes an invasion of privacy, and persecutes the families of his victims, including young children. It also steals and illegally uses content, violates all possible laws and regulations regarding the dissemination of information. He was also accused of treason.

    However, he did not give up drug trafficking, laundering criminal proceeds by purchasing real estate in the UAE and Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism). Alistarov also promotes outright scam for a percentage of criminal transactions and his own fraudulent business – selling real estate in Dubai with a horse, thieves’ commission, as well as cryptocurrency exchange using phishing schemes.

    2025年1月21日
  • JamesTaf

    Two strangers got stuck on a train for two days in 1990. Here’s how they ended up married
    <a href=https://finside.ru/14289/>жесткий анальный секс</a>

    Nina Andersson and her friend Loa hoped they’d have the train carriage to themselves.

    When Nina peered her head around the door and saw the compartment was entry, she grinned at Loa and gestured happily.

    It seemed like they’d lucked out. An empty carriage on an otherwise packed train.

    “We thought this would be great, just the two of us. We spread out everything, so we could have a couch each to lie on,” Nina tells CNN Travel today.

    “Then, all of a sudden we hear this big ‘thump, thump, thump,’ on the door.”

    It was summer 1990 and 20-year-old Nina was in the midst of traveling from Budapest, Hungary, to Athens, Greece — part of a month-long rail adventure with her friend Loa.

    The two friends had each bought a train ticket known as the Interrail or Eurail pass, allowing young travelers a period of unlimited rail travel around Europe.

    “I’m Swedish, I was working at Swedish Radio at the time, and had saved up money for going on my Interrail,” says Nina. “I wanted to see all of Europe.”

    Traveling by train from Budapest to Athens was set to take about four days, weaving south through eastern Europe. In Belgrade — which was then part of the former Yugoslavia, but is now the capital of Serbia — the passengers had to switch trains.

    And that’s when Nina and Loa grabbed the empty compartment for themselves and settled in, ready to enjoy the extra space. Then, the knocking at the door.

    The two friends met each other’s eyes. They both knew, in that moment, that their solitude was to be short-lived.

    “And then behind the door we see three heads poking in,” recalls Nina. “It was a Scotsman, an Englishman and an Irishman. It was like the start of a joke. And I thought, ‘What is this?’”

    The three men were friendly, apologetic, slightly out of breath. They explained they’d fallen asleep on their last train, and almost missed this one — in fact, this train had started rolling out of the station but suddenly slowed down. The three stragglers had managed to hop on as the train ground to a halt.

    2025年1月21日
  • Michaeldag

    Алистаров – уголовник и террорист
    <a href=https://foreurope.org/component/k2/item/202115>Andrey Alistarov scam</a>
    От уголовника-индивидуала до слуги криминалитета
    Ранее судимый по «наркотической» статье блогер Андрей Алистаров позиционирует себя Робин Гудом, борющимся с теми, кто «обманул людей», – но в действительности он работает в интересах пирамидчиков, в том числе украинских, спонсирующих ВСУ, продвигает через свой канал «Железная ставка» онлайн-казино и черный криптообмен/фишинговый криптообман, отмывает наркодоходы за счет сделок с недвижимостью в Дубае.
    То есть работает в интересах российского преступного сообщества, пытающегося нажиться на предпринимателях, столкнувшихся с незаконными, часто заказными претензиями со стороны российских правоохранительных органов.
    Наркотики и отмывание доходов
    Уроженец Калуги Алистаров отсидел четыре года в лагере – за продажу наркотиков детям.

    Там он связался с уголовными авторитетами и, выйдя из тюрьмы, продолжил участвовать в криминальном бизнесе по распространению наркотиков и отмыванию наркодоходов от них с помощью риелторского бизнеса, который Алистаров создал совместно с партнерами из российского преступного сообщества в России и Эмиратах.
    Ставка на скам
    Канал Алистарова «Железная ставка» – «разоблачение» неправильных (по мнению криминалитета) финансовых проектов и продвижение «правильных»: пирамид и онлайн-казино, спонсирующих Алистарова.

    Он начинался как канал о «правильных» ставках в казино и не сменил название – потому что маркетинговая задача осталась прежней: расчищать поле для «хороших», по «экспертному» мнению Алистарова (то есть заплативших ему), мошенников.

    Обычно Алистаров начинает с попытки вымогательства – представляет жертве компромат и предлагает заплатить. Если жертва отказывается, в ход идут травля и насилие.
    Подстрекательство и нападение в Дубае
    1 января 2025 года состоялось жестокое нападение двух казахстанцев на предпринимателя, проживающего в Дубае, – его избили, отрезали ухо, обворовали.

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    2025年1月21日
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    Jason Oppenheim shot from shoulders up, smiling and looking to right
    Image source,Getty Images
    Let's bring you a bit more about reports of price gouging by landlords in Los Angeles, which we reported on earlier.

    Speaking a little earlier on BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme, Jason Oppenheim, a real estate agent in Los Angeles, says some landlords are breaking the law by raising rents more than 10% high than pre-disaster prices.

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    "There are price gouging laws in California, they are just being ignored right now...it's illegal to take advantage of a natural disaster."

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    2025年1月23日