当地时间7月4日，美国总统拜登打开白宫大门并邀请了约1000名宾客前来参加烧烤庆祝活动。拜登表示，与新冠疫情的斗争尚未结束，疫苗则是抵御新病毒变种的最佳方法。
最新数据显示，欧元区6月综合PMI终值、服务业PMI终值超预期。其中综合PMI创2006年6月以来的最高水平；服务业PMI创2007年年中以来的最高水平。这意味着随着疫情经济活动限制的放松，制造业和服务业均出现显著改善。
OPEC+周一第三次尝试，却仍未能达成协议，取消了召开会议的计划。沙特与阿联酋仍然未能解决激烈的争端。由于没有达成协议，OPEC+将继续实施当前的限产措施。拜登政府敦促OPEC+找出折中增产方案。
上周五强劲的非农就业报告提振了风险市场情绪，美元维持在偏强的水平，美元指数在92附近波动，收盘微跌0.01%，报92.138。
今日美元指数呈现先抑后扬行情的可能性较大；也就是说，美元指数可先走出下跌行情，随后再走出上涨行情，最终收于偏高位就很好。
周一，现货黄金亚盘小幅波动后爬上1790美元关口，随后在1789-1794区间窄幅交投，最终收涨0.24%，报1791.66美元/盎司；
金价周一小幅上涨，不过仍然未能站上50%回撤位1796，显示这一水平阻力相当强大。整体来看，金价仍在低位震荡盘整，空头依然把控盘面。多头要想扭转颓势需设法站上1800一线。下方若跌破6月29日低位1750或将意味着进一步的下跌
国际原油期货集体上涨。传出OPEC+取消周一会谈的消息后，欧股午盘时段，布伦特原油期货自2018年10月以来首次涨破77美元，日内涨幅扩大到1%以上；美国WTI原油期货重上76美元，也刷新将近三年来高位，日内涨超1%。最终WTI原油收涨1.41%，报76.16美元/桶；布伦特原油收涨1.27%，报77.88美元/桶。
油价继续刷新2018年10月以来新高，值得注意的是，油价上方逼近2018年10月高位76.90，这一水平或将给多头带来压力，因此短线上方空间可能有限。建议保守者暂时观望，激进者谨慎做多。
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