基本面
美指
未来两周极为关键,受抛售重创的美国债市将面临考验
美国债券市场已经遭受了6个月来最严重的抛售,现在正进入关键的两周,一系列影响市场的事件将迅速接踵而至,这可能会决定其今年剩余时间的走势。
黄金
中东局势担忧情绪降温,分析师:交易员对下一阶段的走向犹豫不决
FXStreet分析师Haresh Menghani指出,由于持续的美元买盘兴趣,黄金价格在新的一周开始走弱,对美联储降息幅度较小的押注和对赤字支出的担忧推高美国债券收益率,这削弱黄金价格。除此之外,普遍积极的风险基调被视为对黄金施加压力的另一个因素。
原油
以色列报复伊朗绕过德黑兰石油基础设施,油价大跌
美原油4小时级别已经跌破前期调整低点,且指标并未出现背离,目前通道支撑66美元附近,等待支撑确认,上方缺口压力70美元附近无法站稳,则空头结构存在加速的可能性
技术面
美元指数
市场行情整理:
美元指数先跌后涨,盘中一度失守104关口,但其在美盘时段强势拉涨,收复日内全部失地,最终收涨0.35%,为连续第四周收涨,报104.38。美债收益率有所回升,基准的10年期美债收益率收报4.2460%;对货币政策更敏感的两年期美债收益率收报4.1220%。
观点整理:
目前看周线及日线均大阳状态,并且价格持续于日线支撑上方运行,所以整体还是偏多。短线上暂时关注104.10-20区间支撑,待价格到位后布局,上方则关注104.50-105区域。
黄金
市场行情整理:
现货黄金盘中一度失守2720关口,但在美盘前大幅回升,并一度涨至2747.69美元的日内高点,较日低大涨超30美元,最终收涨0.41%,报2746.92美元/盎司。现货白银在美盘前有所上涨,但随后回吐日内全部涨幅,最终收跌0.01%,报33.66美元/盎司。周一,现货黄金开盘跳空低开15美元。
观点整理:
黄金短期并未加速走强,因强势美元不支持金价向上加速,但避险情绪影响之下,叠加美国大选临近,支撑金价,日内震荡偏多。
原油
市场行情整理:
由于投资者对中东持续不断的冲突以及下个月的美国大选进行了评估,原油上周五收高,WTI原油重回70美元关口上方,最终收涨1.88%,报71.54美元/桶;布伦特原油收涨1.76%,报75.53美元/桶。周一,原油开盘大跌,WTI原油跌超4%,一度跌至68美元下方;布伦特原油同样跌超4%,至72美元附近。
观点整理:
以色列周末“突袭”伊朗后,伊朗称不会寻求战争,但会保卫本国权利,对以色列的侵略行为进行适当的回应。国际原油周一开盘暴跌。
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