
190美元的油价听起来很疯狂?
190美元的油价听起来很疯狂。但摩根大通认为这是可能的,即使是在大流行之后。
3月初,摩根大通在一份不太受关注的报告中警告称,石油市场可能正处于“超级周期”的顶端,这将使布伦特原油价格在2025年飙升至每桶190美元。
几周后,由于需求锐减,疫情引发了油价的大幅下跌。但尽管如此,该行仍在加倍看好自己的观点。
布伦特原油价格今年4月跌至每桶15.98美元的20年低点。美国原油价格有史以来首次跌破零,跌至每桶负40美元。
作为回应,美国、俄罗斯和沙特阿拉伯这三大石油生产国大幅削减了石油产量。大规模的供应削减帮助油价恢复了活力。
尽管需求依然低迷,摩根大通仍认为看涨石油的超级周期即将到来。大量的供应已经下线,该行业可能会在吸引未来资本方面遇到重大困难。
摩根大通欧洲、中东和非洲油气研究主管克里斯提安•马利克(Christyan Malek)表示:
“现实情况是,目前油价逼近100美元的可能性比3个月前更高。”
迫在眉睫的赤字意味着价格将“飞涨”
多年来,世界拥有的石油超过了它的需求。这一供应过剩导致储油罐不断装满原油,导致原油价格在4月份出现负增长。
摩根大通6月12日发布的一份报告称,从2022年开始,供过于求的石油市场将转向“根本性供应赤字”。摩根大通表示,最有可能出现的情况是,布伦特原油价格升至每桶60美元,从而刺激产出增加。
该报告并没有给出牛市预期的目标价,但马利克表示,摩根大通从3月起设定的190美元的看涨预期仍然有效。事实上,他认为现在更有可能。
马利克自2013年起就一直看跌原油,他指出,除非欧佩克和其他产油国增产,否则2022年将出现非常大的供需缺口,到2025年可能达到每天680万桶。
“赤字本身就说明了一切。这意味着油价将会飞涨。我们认为这是可持续的吗?不。但它能达到那些水平吗?是的。”
英国石油公司发出警报
当然,现在很难想象三位数的原油价格。一些分析师认为,即便是美国油价在短短7周内从每桶负40美元反弹至每桶正40美元,也有些过度。
新冠肺炎病例在美国和拉丁美洲的一些地区激增。汽油需求正在改善,但还没有回到疫情流行前的水平。航空业要完全恢复可能需要数年时间。
英国石油公司(BP)本周警告说,疫情危机可能会“对全球经济产生持久影响”,在“一段时间内”导致能源需求减少。这家英国石油巨头将其对未来30年布伦特原油价格的预测大幅下调27%,至每桶55美元。
英国石油公司还表示,计划将其资产价值减记至多175亿美元,其中包括未开发的石油和天然气储备。
与直觉相悖的是,摩根大通的马利克表示,BP减记和悲观的预测是他所见过的“最乐观的事态之一”。
这是因为石油公司仅仅为了维持产量就必须投入巨资,更不用说增加产量了。如果他们什么都不做,产出自然会下降。
而英国石油公司较弱的前景表明,能够完成减产的长期石油项目将更少。这反过来将使供应保持在低水平——即使需求在上升。
“这证实了我们的观点,”马利克说。
石油支出可能会跌至15年来的低点
摩根大通称,2015年至2020年,全球有50多个新石油项目获得批准。但世行估计,未来5年,只有5个所谓的“绿地”项目将上线。
一些大的石油公司,包括英国石油公司,壳牌公司,道达尔公司和康菲石油公司都推迟了最后的投资决定。
根据Rystad Energy最近的一份报告,到2020年,全球上游投资预计将跌至15年来的最低点,为3830亿美元。
Rystad表示,这些支出削减将使“维持现有产量更具挑战性”,并可能影响长期供应的“稳定”。
气候变化因素
然而,页岩钻探公司不能指望华尔街曾经源源不断的资金。在多年烧钱之后,投资者要求这些企业量入为出。马利克说:
“页岩正在成长。它还在那里,但正在成熟。”
由于人们对气候变化的担忧加剧,以及社会责任投资的兴起,资本正进一步受到限制。越来越多的投资者根本不想碰石油股。
油价暴跌、资本外逃和气候变化的共同作用可能会限制石油行业在最需要资金的时候吸引必要资金的能力。
过去几个月的情况表明,预测未来是多么困难。尽管每桶190美元的原油价格听起来有些遥不可及,但每桶负40美元的油价也是如此。

文章评论
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Director Jon M. Chu missed ‘Wicked’ premiere to welcome fifth child
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“Wicked” director Jon M. Chu couldn’t attend the film’s premiere in Los Angeles, and the reason is quite “wonderful.”
Chu shared on his Instagram Stories that he and his wife Kristin Hodge welcomed their fifth child on Saturday, writing that he “can’t believe this happened while the movie is premiering.”
“Magic is in the air,” he wrote, sharing a photo of Hodge holding their newborn daughter.
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He added a note to his new addition: “Welcome to our world, you’re gonna do great. You have a lot of witches on your side.”
“Wicked” stars singer Ariana Grande and Oscar-nominated actress Cynthia Erivo star as witches Glinda and Elphaba, respectively. The two-part movie is a cinematic adaptation of the famed Broadway musical, which is a prequel to “The Wizard of Oz” and tells an alternate version of events in Oz before Dorothy’s arrival.
Chu may not have been able to physically attend the premiere but his presence was felt.
According to footage from inside the theater posted online, a video of Chu speaking from the hospital was played before the movie began.
“I’ve waited for three years to have this moment to share a movie with you but I’ve waited my whole life to have this moment, to have a fifth child right now,” he said in the video, as the audience was heard collectively “aww-ing” at the sentiment.
With a laugh, Chu added that “of course, this little girl knows when to show up.”
Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.
Part one of “Wicked” will soar in theaters on November 22. The second film is expected in November 2025.
LSU criticized after bringing caged live tiger into stadium before defeat to Alabama
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No. 15 LSU has been criticized for unveiling a live caged tiger in its stadium for the first time in almost a decade before they were routed 42-13 by No. 11 Alabama in their SEC showdown.
Ahead of “The First Saturday in November,” a live tiger named Omar Bradley, owned by Florida resident Mitchel Kalmanson, was brought out in an enclosed cage with a black curtain over it, before the stadium lights went dark and a spotlight flashed onto the cage as it was unveiled.
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The tiger laid down and then paced around his cage, which was attached to a truck, while photographers crowded around it, still keeping their distance. After a few minutes, the cage was slowly driven off the field at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.
LSU has a long tradition of bringing caged tigers into the stadium on gamedays but, since 2015, the school has moved away from this and instead keeps its current live tiger mascot named Mike VII in a 15,000-square-foot enclosure on campus.
But Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry pushed for the return of this tradition, much to the frustration of the LSU community, which circulated several petitions against the practice which gathered more than 27,000 signatures between them by Sunday morning.
Footage posted on social media also showed protesters outside the stadium holding placards with slogans including, “Justice for Omar” and “Did Tiger King teach us nothin’.”
For Landry, having a live tiger on the field was all about “tradition,” he told FOX News on Friday.
“This is about from Mike One through Six, we have had a live mascot on the field like many other colleges have before,” he said.
Director Jon M. Chu missed ‘Wicked’ premiere to welcome fifth child
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“Wicked” director Jon M. Chu couldn’t attend the film’s premiere in Los Angeles, and the reason is quite “wonderful.”
Chu shared on his Instagram Stories that he and his wife Kristin Hodge welcomed their fifth child on Saturday, writing that he “can’t believe this happened while the movie is premiering.”
“Magic is in the air,” he wrote, sharing a photo of Hodge holding their newborn daughter.
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He added a note to his new addition: “Welcome to our world, you’re gonna do great. You have a lot of witches on your side.”
“Wicked” stars singer Ariana Grande and Oscar-nominated actress Cynthia Erivo star as witches Glinda and Elphaba, respectively. The two-part movie is a cinematic adaptation of the famed Broadway musical, which is a prequel to “The Wizard of Oz” and tells an alternate version of events in Oz before Dorothy’s arrival.
Chu may not have been able to physically attend the premiere but his presence was felt.
According to footage from inside the theater posted online, a video of Chu speaking from the hospital was played before the movie began.
“I’ve waited for three years to have this moment to share a movie with you but I’ve waited my whole life to have this moment, to have a fifth child right now,” he said in the video, as the audience was heard collectively “aww-ing” at the sentiment.
With a laugh, Chu added that “of course, this little girl knows when to show up.”
Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.
Part one of “Wicked” will soar in theaters on November 22. The second film is expected in November 2025.
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“Wicked” director Jon M. Chu couldn’t attend the film’s premiere in Los Angeles, and the reason is quite “wonderful.”
Chu shared on his Instagram Stories that he and his wife Kristin Hodge welcomed their fifth child on Saturday, writing that he “can’t believe this happened while the movie is premiering.”
“Magic is in the air,” he wrote, sharing a photo of Hodge holding their newborn daughter.
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He added a note to his new addition: “Welcome to our world, you’re gonna do great. You have a lot of witches on your side.”
“Wicked” stars singer Ariana Grande and Oscar-nominated actress Cynthia Erivo star as witches Glinda and Elphaba, respectively. The two-part movie is a cinematic adaptation of the famed Broadway musical, which is a prequel to “The Wizard of Oz” and tells an alternate version of events in Oz before Dorothy’s arrival.
Chu may not have been able to physically attend the premiere but his presence was felt.
According to footage from inside the theater posted online, a video of Chu speaking from the hospital was played before the movie began.
“I’ve waited for three years to have this moment to share a movie with you but I’ve waited my whole life to have this moment, to have a fifth child right now,” he said in the video, as the audience was heard collectively “aww-ing” at the sentiment.
With a laugh, Chu added that “of course, this little girl knows when to show up.”
Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.
Part one of “Wicked” will soar in theaters on November 22. The second film is expected in November 2025.
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Either way, Thailand has you covered.
The popular Southeast Asia destination recently introduced a new five-year visa targeted at remote workers and other travelers looking to stay in the kingdom for extended periods.
According to a statement issued by the Thai prime minister’s office, the Destination Thailand Visa (DTV) will allow eligible travelers a period of stay up to 180 days per visit, on a multiple-entry basis, within five years. (This means they will need to leave the country when their 180 days are up, and the time resets when they re-enter.)
The government statement says the visa is open to several categories of remote workers, including digital nomads and freelancers. It’s also aimed at those looking to visit to engage in activities such as Muay Thai training or Thai cooking classes, or come for extended medical treatments.
To apply, travelers need to show evidence that they have a minimum of 500,000 baht (about $13,800) in funds, as well as documents to support the purpose of their visit, such as a letter from a medical center or proof of employment
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Scattered across Florida’s hurricane-ravaged communities are piles of debris, remnants of what were once homes. Cherished memories — photo albums, family heirlooms, and tokens of love — swallowed by floodwaters and carried miles away, are now reduced to mere fragments and discarded amid the wreckage.
But in one of these piles of lost memories, a small, inconspicuous velvet black box was discovered with a ring and a note that read: “I was 18 when my parents gave it to me.”
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Now, Joe Kovach, the engineer managing one of the debris sites in Tarpon Springs, Florida, where the box was found, is searching for its owner.
“Everyone has been basically dumping their entire lives onto the curb after the storm when everything flooded. My own boss’ house had 30 inches (of water) in it, and I saw his face and just how devastating it can be for everyone,” Kovach, an engineer with Pinellas County Public Works, told CNN.
“A lot of people in the community were really affected by these two storms, if there’s just a little bit I can do to give back, then that’s perfect.”
A contractor, who was gathering and condensing debris with an excavator, discovered the ring when he looked down and saw the box.
“This was a needle in a haystack for sure. For something like that to survive all that when everything else was so wet and saturated, that was kind of incredible,” Kovach said.
Although the ring was found after Hurricane Milton, Kovach is sure the treasure was initially lost amid the ruins of Hurricane Helene, based on the pile of debris it came from, which Pinellas County Public Works tracks. It is likely the owner of the ring is from Crystal Beach, Ozona, or Palm Harbor, Kovach said.
On Tuesday, after the contractor informed him about the ring, Kovach posted a photo of the box and the note on several local community Facebook pages, asking if it belonged to anyone. He did not include a photo or description of the ring to ensure it is returned to the rightful owner who can accurately describe it. On the inside lid of the box is a gold engraving with the jewelry brand, “The Danbury Mint.”
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During the day, Yemeni coffeehouses function similar to many neighborhood spots. Patrons host meetings, college students study and others pop in for a quick cup to-go.
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But at night, they serve as de-facto living rooms, especially for young Muslims who don’t go to clubs and bar. From New York to Dallas, especially during the late nights of Ramadan, the crowd overflows into the street and you often have to yell to be heard inside. Some young Muslims even venture to the coffee shops in hopes of finding a life partner.
Nowhere is this coffeehouse culture more pronounced, and celebrated, than in Dearborn, Michigan, a suburb of Detroit and home to one of the largest Arab American communities in the United States.
Downtown Dearborn is peppered with different Yemeni coffee houses, which Howell said helped revitalize the Detroit area after the city became the largest municipality go to bankrupt in 2013. And it’s only growing.
“It’s become sort of contagious,” Howell said. “Several Yemeni entrepreneurs are opening coffee houses of their own, each with its own sort of style and atmosphere.”
The coffee chains have big ambitions beyond Dearborn. Qahwah House hopes to open another 20 to 30 locations in the next year, spanning across 12 states and Canada, Alhasbani said. They are also licensed out, but Alhasbani says he sets a high standard before agreeing to let anyone open a shop.
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Another authentic Yemeni coffee chain, Haraz, also sees crowds of people throughout the day and night. They opened their first location in New York City last week — less than half a mile away from Qahwah House’s downtown Manhattan shop — and the franchisees plan to grow.
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Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.
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It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
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Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.
It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.
The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.
Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.
That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.
“I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”
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Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.
Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.
“It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.
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Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”
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“It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.
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Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.
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It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
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Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.
It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.
The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.
Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.
That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.
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The Phantom Wallet is revolutionizing the way users handle digital currencies. Designed for the Solana network, it offers security and ease for both beginners and experienced users. Dive into its features and learn how it can elevate your crypto management.
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Several cities around the globe have reinvented themselves in recent years, but none more successfully than Almaty.
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Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.
Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.
“It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.
“Green and clean. You don’t need a car. The public transit here is fantastic. And it’s very much the center of contemporary art and dining in Central Asia.”
Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”
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Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.
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Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.
The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.
The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.
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Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.
The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.
“I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
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Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.
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Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.
The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.
The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.
At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.
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Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.
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“I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
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The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.
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Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.
The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.
“I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
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Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.
“It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.
Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.
The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.
The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.
At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.
Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.
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They’ve sailed across Southeast Asia for centuries. Now, these sea nomads are being forced to live on land
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Bilkuin Jimi Salih doesn’t remember how old he was when he learned to dive, only, that all the men in his family can do it.
It might have been his grandfather who taught him, or his father, or even an uncle or cousin. He recalls swimming dozens of feet underwater among the reefs, collecting spider conches, abalone and sea cucumbers to sell at the local fish market.
“One of our specialties is that, because we live on the sea and we’re always in the sea, we can dive in the water for a long time,” says Salih, via a translator. “We learn by observing, and from there, we develop our own technique.”
To most people, Salih’s free diving skills are highly unusual; but not to his community. Salih is Bajau Laut, an indigenous seafaring group in Southeast Asia that has lived a semi-nomadic lifestyle on the ocean for centuries. Living on boats and fishing for income and sustenance, the Bajau Laut aren’t just reliant on the sea: they’re biologically adapted to it, with larger spleens that give them the ability to hold their breath for far longer than the average person.
“We’re very comfortable in the water,” says Salih. The 20-year-old was born on board a lepa, a type of houseboat, on the shore of Omadal Island, off the coast of Semporna in Malaysian Borneo.
Фонд по отъему народных денег
Почему государство кошмарит народный кооператив «Бест Вей»
Приморским районным судом Санкт-Петербурга рассматривается уголовное дело, связываемое следствием с компаниями «Лайф-из-Гуд», «Гермес» и кооперативом «Бест Вей», параллельно судами Санкт-Петербурга рассматривается дело о законности кооператива «Бест Вей» – оба разбирательства очень далеки от завершения.
За преследованиями кооператива правоохранительными органами стоит Фонд по защите вкладчиков и акционеров. Он представляется как государственный фонд – хотя давным-давно лишен государственного финансирования, и изначально он зарегистрирован по указу алкоголика Ельцина, принесенному мутными персонами, которые вокруг него ошивались, как общественно-государственный. Если нет госфинансирования, значит, фонд должен быть негосударственным. Но он частично сохраняет государственный статус, при этом существует без контроля со стороны федеральных ведомств.
Лях–заказчик
Но некий административный статус у фонда, видимо, остался – учитывая, что его в августе возглавил Валерий Лях, который долгое время – до своего бегства из страны с началом СВО – возглавлял Департамент противодействия недобросовестным практикам ЦБ РФ (департамент этот Набиуллина ликвидировала из-за заказных включений этим департаментом компаний и организаций в предупредительный список ЦБ).
Ремарка: Лях по-прежнему, судя по всему, не в России – и руководит Фондом по защите прав вкладчиков и акционеров из-за рубежа, иначе как объяснить его систематическую неявку на суд по уголовному делу, в котором он является свидетелем? Кстати, Прокуратура Санкт-Петербурга проявляет к нему удивительную деликатность, отказываясь обеспечить его привод в суд – не потому ли, что Лях как хочет вертит прокуратурой, по крайней мере прокуратурой Северной столицы, и она фактически выполняет его заказ?
Фонд пытается отобрать активы на 16 млрд рублей у 20 тыс. пайщиков – при этом все, в том числе так называемые потерпевшие по уголовному делу, получат от фонда не более 35 тыс. рублей! Это черным по белому записано в уставе фонда и многократно подтверждено его сотрудниками. Фонд живет за счет отнятых у организаций денег – он не станет делиться ни с кем, кроме коррумпированных правоохранителей, которые помогают ему отобрать деньги у честных людей!
Очевидна связь фонда с атаками на кооператив «Бест Вей», которая была заметна задолго до уголовного дела. Фонд от своего имени, на своем сайте, не имеющем лицензии СМИ, публиковал хейтерские статьи о кооперативе.
Хейтеры – сообщники рейдеров
Потом были созданы высокобюджетные хейтерские телеграм-канал и сайт, причем работающие в теснейшей связке с бригадой гособвинителей из питерской прокуратуры – публикующие в реальном времени информацию из уголовного дела: только выступил свидетель – и в течение часа появляется документ из уголовного дела. Хейтерскими ресурсами занимаются, в частности, Михаил Степанов и Белла Кесельман, подробная информация о которых готовится к публикации.
Гособвинители даже публиковали там свои телефоны – для оперативного консультирования выступающих в суде со стороны обвинения: госуслуги на высшем уровне!
То есть государство срастается с бандитской организацией, обслуживающей частные интересы Ляха и его партнеров. Имена всех хейтеров установлены!
Малиновская – шестерка коррупционеров
На этой же стороне выступила судья по гражданским делам Приморского районного суда Малиновская – которая просто подмахнула иск прокуратуры о признании кооператива незаконным, фактически без разбирательства: борьба с этим иском предстоит теперь в Санкт-Петербургском городском суде, в который поступит не только жалоба кооператива, но и тысячи жалоб со стороны пайщиков кооператива, законные интересы которых в нарушение ГК и ГПК не были учтены при рассмотрении этого иска.
Судья Малиновская помогает обворовывать народ. Малиновская, ущемляя интересы народа, отбирая активы у кооператива и жилье у граждан, провоцирует дестабилизацию в стране. И справляется с этим блестяще! Она пытается отобрать у людей жилье и накопления в народном кооперативе. У военных, фронтовиков, семей фронтовиков!
Она отбирает жилье у честных людей. Ущемляет военных, которые создали кооператив «Бест Вей» и вошли в него со своими семьями. Тем самым подрывает веру в президента, который наделил ее полномочиями.
Государство и народ
Государство, выступая от имени народа, на самом деле грабит этот самый народ. Фонд Ляха и его ручные хейтеры устраивают все так, что народ и компании они обворовывают с помощью народного государства, прокуратурой и судьями которого они манипулируют, чтобы они помогали Ляху грабить народ.
Организаторам атаки на кооператив, использующим государственные институты в личных интересах, следует иметь в виду вот что. Нет ничего страшнее народа, доведенного до отчаяния беспредельными полицейскими, продажными прокурорами и несправедливыми судьями!
Нет ничего страшнее униженных людей, у которых отобрали накопления и жилье, которым уже нечего терять. Они дойдут до высших инстанций и добьются того, что их мнение будет услышано!
Честно говоря, страшно становится за страну, когда читаешь о таких «судьях». Вроде бы задача суда – защищать права, а тут наоборот, сами судьи встают на сторону коррупционеров. Ну что это за уровень, когда судья берет дело, которое явно сфабриковано под заказ? <a href="http://compr.group/main/special/133041-prozhzhennaya-malinovskaya.html">Малиновская</a> вроде бы и понимает, что дело «шито белыми нитками», но всё равно, как послушная марионетка, продолжает его рассматривать. При этом прокуратура просто на ходу меняет обвинения, откровенно тормозит процесс, не представляет доказательств, и её слова всё равно считаются истиной. А как насчёт доказательств невиновности? Почему их отклоняют? Так вот и живём: один судья как-то ошибся, другой – под заказ, и вся система рушится. Нам остаётся только надеяться, что кто-то, наконец, возьмётся за такую «судью» и заставит её ответить за своё «правосудие».
<a href=http://compr.group/main/investigations/132744-evgeniyu-naboychenko-vydvinuto-obvinenie-v-klevete.html>Василенко</a>
The Israeli cabinet will vote on a ceasefire deal in Lebanon on Tuesday, Benjamin Netanyahu’s spokesperson told CNN, after a source familiar with the matter said the Israeli prime minister had approved the plan “in principle.”
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Netanyahu signaled his potential approval for the emerging ceasefire with Hezbollah during a security consultation with Israeli officials Sunday night, the source said.
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On Monday, his spokesperson told CNN the Israeli cabinet will vote on the proposed deal on Tuesday and said it is expected to pass.
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Israel still has reservations over some details of the agreement, which were expected to be transmitted to the Lebanese government on Monday, the source said.
Those and other details are still being negotiated and multiple sources stressed that the agreement will not be final until all issues are resolved.
Sources familiar with the negotiations said talks appear to be moving positively toward an agreement, but acknowledged that as Israel and Hezbollah continue to trade fire, one misstep could upend the talks.
Israel’s far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir called the deal a “big mistake” and said it would be “a historic missed opportunity to eradicate Hezbollah.” Ben Gvir has also long worked to thwart potential ceasefire deals between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.
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Малиновская – враг народа
Судья по гражданским делам Приморского районного суда лишает денег и квартир ветеранов СВО – пайщиков «Бест Вей»
18 ноября судья Приморского районного суда Анна Малиновская выпустила наконец мотивированное решение по рассмотрению иска Прокуратуры Санкт-Петербурга против кооператива «Бест Вей» о признании кооператива незаконным по статье 1065 ГК – об опасных для потенциальных потребителей предприятиях. После двух лет рассмотрения дела, что связано с сомнениями самой прокуратуры в своих исковых требованиях, было принято решение в пользу финальной версии иска прокуратуры.
Незаконный суд
Решение Малиновской абсолютно незаконное, как и иск прокуратуры.
Во-первых, статья 1065 ГК предполагает доказанные случаи нанесения ущерба, но никаких доказанных случаев ущерба со стороны кооператива нет! Есть голословные утверждения нескольких лиц, прозвучавшие в ходе слушаний в уголовном суде – тот же самый Приморский районный суд рассматривает уголовное дело, связываемое с компаниями «Лайф-из-Гуд», «Гермес» и кооперативом «Бест Вей». Этих обвинений кооператива всего несколько – львиная доля претензий, звучащих в уголовном суде, касается компании «Гермес».
Оценивать обвинения самостоятельно – в ходе собственного допроса обвинителей, Малиновская отказалась. Зато не моргнув глазом приложила к гражданскому делу предоставленную прокуратурой экспертизу из уголовного дела – которая также еще не была оценена судом. И она сама ее отказалась анализировать! Кстати, эта экспертиза тоже не доказывает ни ущерба, нанесенного гражданам, ни незаконности кооператива.
Во-вторых, коррумпированная судья Малиновская рассмотрела дело, ей вообще неподсудное – подсудное арбитражному суду, так как в финальной версии иска исключительно прокуратура без физических лиц-соистцов взыскует только к юридическому лицу – кооперативу «Бест Вей» без физических лиц-соответчиков.
Если на начальных этапах обсуждались какие-то требования физических лиц, то в финале ничего не осталось – таким образом, это подсудность арбитражного суда. Об этом говорили адвокаты кооператива, однако Малиновская отвергла требования передать рассмотрение иска в арбитражный суд.
Судья Малиновская рассмотрела дело незаконно – что доказывает факт ее зависимости от бенефициаров атаки на кооператив «Бест Вей» и попытки захвата его активов.
Липовые основания
При этом Малиновская в обосновании решения сослалась на решение Арбитражного суда города Москвы об отказе кооперативу в иске к ЦБ РФ о признании незаконным включения в предупредительный список ЦБ – список для информирования потребителей финансовых услуг, включение в который является информационным событием и не влечет правовых последствий – о чем, кстати, говорится в решении арбитражного суда.
Включение происходит (в теории) по решению неких экспертов Банка России, а на деле произошло осенью 2021 года по единоличному решению Валерия Ляха, тогдашнего главы ныне уже не существующего Департамента противодействия недобросовестным практикам ЦБ – на основании восьми срежиссированных обращений граждан, которые не являлись пайщиками кооператива.
Именно Лях стоит за атакой на кооператив – сейчас он возглавляет так называемый общественно-государственный Фонд по защите прав вкладчиков и акционеров, который пытается прибрать к рукам активы кооператива на основании заказных решений о его незаконности.
Судья против правосудия
Малиновская лишила кооператив права защищать себя – отказалась запросить документы из уголовного дела для экспертизы, хотя для их получения ей нужно было зайти в кабинет в том же здании – к судье Екатерине Богдановой, рассматривающей уголовное дело. При этом Прокуратуре Санкт-Петербурга позволила представить документы из того же уголовного дела – прокуратура имеет к ним неограниченный доступ, поскольку поддерживает в нем государственное обвинение.
Состязательность сторон? Нет, не слышали. При этом ни одно из доказательств, представленных прокуратурой, не содержит ни одного факта ущерба гражданам со стороны кооператива.
Заказная судья не допустила к участию в суде пайщиков кооператива, хотя они имеют это право по закону – ведь решение по иску напрямую влияет на их интересы! Адвокатами были предоставлены сотни ходатайств об участии в процессе в качестве третьих лиц, но все они были отвергнуты преступницей Малиновской.
Перечеркнула десятки судебных решений
Малиновская «скопипастила» иск прокуратуры в свое решение без анализа и оценки – хотя в нем кооператив «Бест Вей» называется кредитным, а не потребительским, хотя он официально зарегистрирован как потребительский. Ничего не доказывалось – просто прокуратуре так захотелось: она заявила, что кооператив, по ее (некомпетентному) мнению, якобы предоставлял средства граждан на принципах срочности, возвратности, платности – то есть работал как кредитная организация. Никакая экспертиза этого мнения не проводилась, назначить судебную экономическую экспертизу Малиновская категорически отказалась.
Кредитный характер деятельности – наглая прокурорская ложь. Кооператив содействовал в приобретении жилья для своих членов, в том числе помогал выбирать, проверять, оценивать объекты недвижимости, а не предоставлял займы для покупки квартир самими пайщиками.
Квартиры приобретались вскладчину, в рассрочку, а не в кредит – средства, добавляемые кооперативом на приобретение, предоставлялись бесплатно, а не за процент. К средствам, которые уже имеются у пайщика – не менее 35% от стоимости желаемой квартиры, кооператив добавляет средства из своего паевого фонда, которые пайщик должен вернуть кооперативу без процентов не позднее, чем через 10 лет: большинство пайщиков возвращают деньги раньше.
Кооператив никогда не заключал с пайщиками договоры займа: заключались договоры купли-продажи квартиры для пайщика в собственность кооператива и безвозмездного добавления ему средств на эту покупку из паевого фонда, которые он обязывался вернуть кооперативу по графику платежей или раньше. Только по возврату происходит переход квартиры из собственности кооператива в собственность пайщика. То есть кооперативом предоставляется квартира для проживания пайщику, а не деньги, как в случае кредитного кооператива.
Кооператив полностью соответствовал статусу потребительского, а не кредитного – статусу, определенному в Законе о потребительской кооперации: добровольное объединение граждан на основе членства для удовлетворения потребностей в товарах и услугах. Все версии устава кооператива успешно регистрировались уполномоченными государственными органами, никогда не вызывали вопросов. Не было вопросов и у прокуратуры – с 2014 по 2021 год: внезапно они появились в 2022 году, когда уже вовсю начал реализовываться заказ преступников в погонах и без на уничтожение кооператива.
Все договоры кооператива многократно проходили проверку в различных судах, поскольку в нем около 20 тыс. пайщиков, и с некоторыми из пайщиков возникали правовые споры. Ни один договоров кооператива не вызвал вопросов у судов. Более того, суды многократно решали в пользу кооператива вопрос о предоставлении материнского капитала – что свидетельствует об отсутствии сомнений в его статусе.
Малиновская категорически отказалась считаться с решениями десятков других судей по гражданским делам – что еще раз подчеркивает ее ангажированность.
Запрет по подозрению
Самое главное: в решении Малиновской ничего не говорится о том, какой закон нарушен кооперативом. Косвенно указывается на то, что он может быть финансовой пирамидой, поскольку именно по признакам, которые могут свидетельствовать о пирамидальности кооператива, ЦБ внес «Бест Вей» в предупредительный список. Но напрямую кооператив финансовой пирамидой не называется: потому что сказать об этом (или не сказать) может только уголовный суд, а до завершения рассмотрения уголовного дела – минимум полгода, а скорее всего больше. И это только рассмотрение в первой инстанции – наверняка не в последней.
На ходатайство адвокатов кооператива отложить рассмотрение гражданского дела до получения результатов разбирательства в уголовном суде Малиновская ответила отказом – понятно почему: ей и прокуратуре поставлена задача любой ценой «потопить» кооператив уже сейчас, чтобы можно было беспрепятственно воровать его активы. Потому она выпустила решение о том, что кооператив запрещается фактически по подозрению в том, что он может быть пирамидой.
Судья-преступница
Малиновская своим заведомо незаконным, заказным решением пытается лишить тысячи людей квартир и денег. В том числе квартир и денег будут лишены сотни ветеранов СВО – ведь кооператив создавался военными и во многом для военных. Прежде всего по их интересам наносится удар.
Пайщики возмущены, подготовили тысячи заявлений в вышестоящий суд и правоохранительные органы, готовятся реализовать предусмотренное законом право на протест против необоснованных действий государственных органов.
Малиновская – коррумпированная судья, компрометирующая всю судебную систему, извращающая правосудие, подрывающая доверие народа и армии к власти, к президенту. Ей должны срочно заняться вышестоящие суды, ФСБ, Следственный комитет.
Потому что Малиновская – прислужница бандитов из псевдогосударственных фондов и участница преступлений против собственного народа!
Trump's call for a protest crackdown has been a boon for Chinese propaganda
Analysis by CNN's James Griffiths
Protesters running amok. Innocent citizens under siege. Outside actors engaging in terrorist acts. Police struggling to maintain control and in desperate need of reinforcements.
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That was how Chinese state media portrayed anti-government protests in Hong Kong last year, dismissing calls for greater democracy and an investigation into police brutality by focusing on individual acts of violence and property damage.
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Throughout the protests, the US was consistent in its support of people’s right to take to the streets and have their voice heard. Facing widespread unrest and public anger at home in the wake of the death of George Floyd, the reaction from US President Donald Trump appeared markedly different.
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On Monday, Trump called for the military to be deployed to “dominate” protesters, and demanded states do more to stem “acts of domestic terror.”
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The irony has not been lost on Beijing, which on Thursday marks (or rather doesn’t, the date is highly censored) its own military crackdown on anti-government protesters on June 4, 1989.
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“Washington’s promise of equality and justice for all in the country has remained hollow at best,” state news agency Xinhua said in a commentary titled “The coming suffocation of the American dream.”
“Amid the ongoing anti-racism protests in the country, decision-makers in Washington, instead of trying to sooth the pain and anger of the public, have been fanning the flames, calling protesters ‘THUGS,’ and threatening them with ‘the most vicious dogs, and most ominous weapons,” the commentary said.
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China Daily, a state-backed newspaper, noted that “The US, after the killing of Floyd, seems to be on fire, and troops have been mobilized to subdue angry demonstrators.”
“This is certainly not what the world expects to see in a country that is the world’s sole superpower,” it added. “But that sadly is the reality of the US.”
This rhetoric isn’t just embarrassing for Washington, it’s also a sign of how the US may find its influence damaged by a perceived hypocrisy over human rights at home and abroad.
Earlier today, Hong Kong’s leader Carrie Lam pointed to the unrest in the US as evidence of Washington’s “double standards.”
“They attach great importance to the national security of their country, but look at our national security through tinted spectacles, especially the current situation in Hong Kong,” she added.
The ability of Washington to influence Beijing’s position on Hong Kong – which is in part founded on fear of outside influence in the city – was already severely limited. The Trump administration’s reaction to protests at home may have hurt its position even further.
Groundbreaking telescope reveals first piece of new cosmic map
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Greetings, earthlings! I’m Jackie Wattles, and I’m thrilled to be a new name bringing awe to your inbox.
I’ve covered space exploration for nearly a decade at CNN, and there has never been a more exciting time to follow space and science discoveries. As researchers push forward to explore and understand the cosmos, advancements in technology are sparking rapid developments in rocketry, astronomical observatories and a multitude of scientific instruments.
Look no further than the missions racing to unlock dark matter and the mysterious force known as dark energy, both so named precisely because science has yet to explain these phenomena.
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Astronomers have never detected dark matter, but they believe it makes up about 85% of the total matter in the universe. Meanwhile, the existence of dark energy helps researchers explain why the universe is expanding — and why that expansion is speeding up.
Extraordinary new scientific instruments are churning out trailblazing data, ready to reshape how scientists view the cosmos.
A prime example is the European Space Agency’s wide-angle Euclid telescope that launched in 2023 to investigate the riddles of dark energy and dark matter.
Euclid this week delivered the first piece of a cosmic map — containing about 100 million stars and galaxies — that will take six years to create.
These stunning 3D observations may help scientists see how dark matter warps light and curves space across galaxies.
Meanwhile, on a mountaintop in northern Chile, the US National Science Foundation and Stanford University researchers are preparing to power up the world’s largest digital camera inside the Vera C. Rubin Observatory.