经济学家们对美联储的预期大变:今年四季度开始削减QE 而非明年

2021年04月27日 9939点热度 0人点赞 2,224条评论

经济学家们对美联储的预期大变:今年四季度开始削减QE 而非明年

在美联储本周即将召开货币政策会议之际。经济学家们预测认为,美联储有望在今年年底之前开始削减每个月高达1200亿美元的资产购买计划(QE)。

彭博调查显示,约有45%的经济学家预计,联邦公开市场委员会将在第四季度宣布缩表,14%的经济学家认为这将在第三季发生。整体调查结果基调较3月份时偏鹰,当时较多受访者认为缩表是2022年才会发生。

超过三分之二的受调查经济学家预计,美联储将在今年发出缩减购债规模的早期预警信号,其中预计在7—9月发出信号的人数最多(45%)。具体场合可能来自7月或9月的联邦公开市场委员会会议,或者鲍威尔对国会的半年度证词。8月底举行的年度杰克逊霍尔经济研讨会也是传递信号的可能场合。

大多数经济学家预计,整个债券购买计划退出时间将持续7—12个月左右。

在加息问题上,经济学家们普遍预计,美联储要到2023年才会提高利率。这一时间点较此前3月调查有所提前。调查中位数显示,到2023年底,美国联邦基准利率可能上升50个基点至0.75%,到2024年底,利率将上升至1.25%.

美联储新的货币政策会议将于当地时间本周三结束。市场普遍预计,美联储将重申将在美国经济实现就业和通胀目标方面“取得实质性进一步进展”后,才会调整购买量的计划。

在利率方面,市场普遍认为美联储不会上调利率。经济学家们表示将仔细观察美联储主席罗杰斯在新闻发布会上的具体措辞,以了解是否存在QE可能逐渐减码的暗示。

鲍威尔此前经表示,当美联储委员会认为其货币政策目标即将达成时,他将在这种变化发生之前就警告市场,且政策的变化将取决于未来实际的经济报告,而不仅仅是看好的预测。

Mirabaud Asset Management首席经济学家Gero Jung表示,鉴于美联储坚持将重点放在实质的经济数据上,今年启动缩表可能为时尚早。美联储可能希望看到一系列非常正面的数据,就像3月份的就业数据,然后再开始启动缩表程序。

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    Born in Seoul, South Korea’s capital, Sung and his family emigrated to San Diego, California when he was 13.

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    “I went to school, got into college, but decided to join the US Army because that’s the only way I thought I could travel,” says the chef.

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    One small square painting set against a blue-painted wall depicts intercourse between a satyr and a nymph, while another shows Hippolytus, son of the mythical Greek king Theseus, and his stepmother Phaedra who fell in love with him before killing herself when he rejected her in disgust.

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    Всем подсудимым предъявлены обвинения как в мошенничестве (ч. 4 ст. 159 УК РФ) и создании финансовой пирамиды (ч. 2 ст. 172.2 УК РФ), так и в организации преступного сообщества (ч. 3 ст. 210 УК РФ). Их, а также гражданских ответчиков — прежде всего кооператив "Бест Вей" — защищают почти два десятка адвокатов.

    В уголовном деле 221 лицо, признанное следствием потерпевшим, предъявляющее претензии как к компании "Гермес", так и к кооперативу "Бест Вей" (для сравнения: у компании "Гермес" не одна сотня тысяч клиентов в России, у кооператива "Бест Вей" — около 20 тыс. пайщиков). Общая сумма ущерба в уголовном деле — 282 млн рублей, при этом на счетах кооператива арестовано около 4 млрд рублей, примерно столько же арестовано на счетах частных лиц.

    "К кооперативу претензий не было, следователь предложил подать заявление"
    Признанный следствием потерпевший Болян подсудимых не знает. Был клиентом "Гермеса", а также пайщиком кооператива — но до 2019 года. В 2019-м он вышел из кооператива и из "Гермеса", ему были возвращены паевые взносы, и никаких претензий к кооперативу у него не было — что он письменно подтвердил, расторгая договоры с этими организациями.

    Однако, как Болян отметил на суде, следователь убедил его в том, что он — потерпевший и должен подать заявление на возврат членских взносов. Заявление в МВД писать не хотел, на него вышли сотрудники, сначала претензий к кооперативу не было. Полиция ему объяснила, что можно получить деньги.

    Стал клиентом "Гермеса" и пайщиком кооператива через своего консультанта Алексея Виноградова. Виноградов — грамотный маркетолог, он ему верил, тот не работал в кооперативе. Что было предметом договора в "Гермесе", не помнит. В "Гермес" внес 100 и 700 евро, а в кооператив каждый месяц вносил по 12 тыс. в течение семи месяцев.

    Вышел и из кооператива, и из "Гермеса" в 2019 году. Зачем вступал? "Наверное, квартиру купить хотел". Кооператив вернул ему 70 тыс. паевых взносов, "Гермес" вернул со счета "Виста" 140 тыс. рублей.

    В кооперативе деньги вернули почти сразу, удержав вступительный и членские взносы; в "Гермесе" вернули позже через "внутрянку", но удержали комиссию.

    Утверждает, что ему говорили, что можно со счета "Виста" вносить деньги в кооператив. Объясняли, что деньги передаются в доверительное управление трейдерам и брокерам, которые играют на бирже. В кооперативе, как он утверждает, можно было купить место в очереди. По его словам, "Гермес" и кооператив — по сути, одна организация. Требует взыскать с кооператива более 148 тыс. рублей — вступительный и членские взносы, и более 60 тыс. рублей с "Гермеса" — комиссию при выводе средств.

    Договор с кооперативом не читал, но ему объяснили, что есть невозвратная часть денег — ее и не вернули, "но хочу попытаться вернуть". Претензий к кооперативу "как бы и нет, но если вернут взносы, то будет хорошо".

    К Виноградову претензий не предъявлял. "Может, меня и не обманули в кооперативе", -резюмировал свое выступление в суде Болян.

    "Болян — яркий пример "возгонки потерпевших", которой занималось следствие для того, чтобы нарисовать максимально большую цифру потерпевших от деятельности "Гермеса", — подчеркивают адвокаты. — Реального ущерба просто нет, да люди, по сути, и не считают себя потерпевшими. 221 лицо, признанное потерпевшим на фоне количества клиентов "Гермеса" и числа пайщиков кооператива "Бест Вей", не впечатляет. И, как мы видим, значительная часть из этого числа — ненастоящие потерпевшие, а некие лица, пытающиеся получить небольшие суммы, на которые у них нет никаких прав".

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    But in one of these piles of lost memories, a small, inconspicuous velvet black box was discovered with a ring and a note that read: “I was 18 when my parents gave it to me.”
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    “A lot of people in the community were really affected by these two storms, if there’s just a little bit I can do to give back, then that’s perfect.”

    A contractor, who was gathering and condensing debris with an excavator, discovered the ring when he looked down and saw the box.

    “This was a needle in a haystack for sure. For something like that to survive all that when everything else was so wet and saturated, that was kind of incredible,” Kovach said.
    Although the ring was found after Hurricane Milton, Kovach is sure the treasure was initially lost amid the ruins of Hurricane Helene, based on the pile of debris it came from, which Pinellas County Public Works tracks. It is likely the owner of the ring is from Crystal Beach, Ozona, or Palm Harbor, Kovach said.

    On Tuesday, after the contractor informed him about the ring, Kovach posted a photo of the box and the note on several local community Facebook pages, asking if it belonged to anyone. He did not include a photo or description of the ring to ensure it is returned to the rightful owner who can accurately describe it. On the inside lid of the box is a gold engraving with the jewelry brand, “The Danbury Mint.”

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  • DaronZef

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
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    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country’s war aims.
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    The precise details of the “victory plan” Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.

    But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader’s urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia’s invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.

    The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky’s response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win — and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end — if enough assistance is rushed in.

    That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he’s recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.

    Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it’s unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.

    Biden is usually apt to take his time making decisions about providing Ukraine new capabilities. But with November’s election potentially portending a major change in American approach to the war if Trump were to win, Ukrainian officials — and many American ones — believe there is little time to waste.
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    “Those cities are gone, they’re gone, and we continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refused to make a deal, Zelensky. There was no deal that he could have made that wouldn’t have been better than the situation you have right now. You have a country that has been obliterated, not possible to be rebuilt,” Trump said during a campaign speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, on Wednesday.

    Comments like those have lent new weight to Thursday’s Oval Office talks, according to American and European officials, who have described an imperative to surge assistance to Ukraine while Biden is still in office.

    As part of Zelensky’s visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.

    The president previewed Zelensky’s visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was “determined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.”
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    Держите Ляха

    Коррупционер из ЦБ использует «левый» фонд для захвата чужих активов
    Приморский районный суд Санкт-Петербурга рассматривает помимо уголовного дела, связываемого с компаниями «Лайф-из-Гуд», «Гермес» и кооперативом «Бест Вей», гражданское дело по иску Прокуратуры Санкт-Петербурга о признании кооператива «Бест Вей» незаконным на основании экзотической ст. 1065 ГК. Обычно по этой статье запрещают деятельность компаний-«отравителей»: например, в продукции которых обнаружена кишечная палочка, или деятельность казино.

    Впервые прокуратура пытается применить статью к организации на том основании, что та была включена в Список компаний с выявленными признаками нелегальной деятельности на финансовом рынке (предупредительный список) ЦБ, причем включена даже без камеральной проверки деятельности кооператива, на основе неких сигналов– на самом деле в заказном порядке: решение принимал тогдашний глава департамента противодействия недобросовестным практикам ЦБ Валерий Лях (департамент этот, давно замеченный в незаконных наездах на бизнес, сейчас, к чести руководства ЦБ, ликвидирован).

    При этом первоначально суд складывался не в пользу прокуратуры. На первом же заседании суд отказался рассматривать иск как удивительный, так как он был в пользу неопределенного круга лиц, но есть реальные пайщики, и никто из них не обратился в гражданский суд с претензиями к кооперативу. Только суд апелляционной инстанции – Санкт-Петербургский городской суд – заставил Приморский районный суд его все-таки рассматривать. При этом горсуд предписал учесть интересы пайщиков. Несколько месяцев прокуратура никак не могла сформулировать исковые требования, потом суд намеревался провести судебную экспертизу кооператива – запросил об этом ряд экспертных организаций, они согласились.

    Но на новом после долгого перерыва заседании 30 октября как отрезало: суд отказался проводить судебную экспертизу, отказался привлекать в дело пайщиков кооператива, отказался допрашивать тех несколько человек, которые заявили претензии к кооперативу в уголовном суде – притом, что оценку их претензиям уголовный суд еще не дал: до завершения уголовного разбирательства еще полгода минимум. Отказался также приостановить процесс до завершения уголовного, хотя только уголовный суд может ответить на вопрос, является ли кооператив финансовой пирамидой или нет. Возможно, 7 ноября состоится финальное заседание суда первой инстанции и будет принято решение по иску.

    Дело в том, что невнятная позиция прокуратуры, которая на определенном этапе сбросила дело фактически на районное звено, сменилась беспрецедентным давлением на районный суд со стороны руководителей прокурорского органа субъекта Федерации. Только при общественном внимании к ситуации суд сможет его выдержать.

    А внятной позиция прокуратуры стала после того, как появился лоббист, нарисовавший руководителям Прокуратуры Санкт-Петербурга «дорожную карту», – этот лоббист Валерий Лях, у которого с августа появился инструмент для захвата кооператива.

    Фонд захвата чужих активов
    Нужно раскрыть структуру, которая кровно заинтересована в «осуждении» кооператива – чтобы забрать его активы в управление. Это Федеральный (общественно-государственный) фонд по защите прав вкладчиков и акционеров.

    Мутнейшая структура, созданная по указу Ельцина в «алкогольный» его период и по непонятным причинам не ликвидированная во время наведения порядка в финансовой сфере в начале 2000-х годов, но при этом давным-давно лишенная государственного финансирования. Она живет на активы, которые ей удается правдами и неправдами захватить.

    Возглавлял фонд на протяжении всей его истории до августа с.г. некто Сафиуллин, бывший минфиновский чиновник. Фонд, незаконно работая как СМИ, публиковал лживые материалы о кооперативе на своем сайте. Достоверно известно, что он был инициатором проверок кооператива правоохранительными органами в 2020–2021 годах – ничего незаконного не было выявлено.

    Однако в этом году, отвечая на запрос одного из медиа, фонд заявлял, что не собирается брать под управление активы кооператива в случае признания его незаконным – так как для этого нет юридических оснований (юридические основания, заметим от себя, можно создать – было бы желание). При этом фонд признавал, что, забирая активы в управление, он выплачивает всем вкладчикам не более 35 тыс. рублей, кроме ветеранов войны, которым платит чуть больше.

    И вот в августе этого года с фондом происходит метаморфоза – его главой становится Валерий Лях, уже несколько месяцев как уволенный из ЦБ и, насколько известно, уезжавший из России с началом СВО в теплые страны: по крайней мере именно на этом основании он отказался прийти на заседание суда по уголовному делу, куда приглашался как свидетель для пояснений факта внесения кооператива в предупредительный список ЦБ. Его департамент был со скандалом закрыт Набиуллиной, так как шлейф заказухи в отношении финансовых организаций тянулся за ним давно. Ляха уволили из ЦБ.

    В августе Лях вернулся в Россию и возглавил Фонд по защите прав вкладчиков, сместив Сафиуллина. В суд для дачи пояснений по репрессиям ЦБ против «Бест Вей» при этом так и не явился.

    Ляха–к ответу
    Лях задумывал маневр с захватом крупнейшего российского кооператива с 4 млрд рублей на счетах и квартирами на 12 млрд рублей, еще работая в ЦБ. Он включил кооператив в предупредительный список именно для того, чтобы взять потом активы под свое управление в Фонде защиты прав вкладчиков – кстати, протокольного решения о включении в этот список в ЦБ не оказалось, потому что решение о включении в список принимал лично Лях.

    Лично Лях направил также письмо в Генеральную прокуратуру и Роскомнадзор для блокировки официального сайта кооператива, что никак не вытекало из включения в предупредительный список и было сделано для того, чтобы обрушить деятельность этого кооператива, работающего во всероссийском масштабе прежде всего с помощью сайта (кооператив позднее сделал новый сайт – вне зоны контроля Роскомнадзора – и работу полностью восстановил).

    И теперь Лях пытается отобрать кооператив у пайщиков через липовый Фонд защиты вкладчиков, оказывая давление на ведомство Краснова, суды. Он является виновником того, что десять подсудимых лишены свободы. По его вине многие люди, готовые идти на СВО, боятся это делать, чтобы не лишиться квартиры, пока будут воевать.
    Несомненно, лично Лях получит иски от 20 тыс. пайщиков кооператива и от десяти подсудимых.

    Но возникает вопрос, как Администрация президента России и ее руководители Вайно и Кириенко относятся к тому, что чиновник-предатель, коррупционер Лях, бежавший из страны в начале войны, вдруг возглавляет одну из общественно-государственных структур? Кстати, в России ли он при этом? Или, как и раньше, в теплых недружественных странах?

    Как Минфин и его глава Силуанов относится к тому, что работает некая организация с непонятным статусом, незаконно захватывающая активы? Легальных государственных структур для решения государственных задач недостаточно?

    Как руководство ЦБ и лично Набиуллина относятся к тому, что от его имени действовал коррупционер – и его коррупционная схема теперь вскрыта?

    Как генеральный прокурор Краснов относится к использованию Прокуратурой Санкт-Петербурга своих полномочий для грязных дел в интересах лоббистов? И способна ли прокуратура заставить Ляха все-таки прийти в уголовный суд для дачи свидетельских показаний и участия в перекрестном допросе?

    Наконец, как Следком России и его глава Бастрыкин относятся к происходящему на наших глазах преступлению уровня его центрального аппарата?

    Пайщики кооператива и общество требуют ответа со стороны всех этих структур.

    2024年11月8日
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    Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
    Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
    “We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
    He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
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    The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
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  • Michaelden

    King Charles has led the nation in two minutes of silence in remembrance of men and women who lost their lives serving in the two world wars or other conflicts.
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    Tens of thousands of veterans and civilians joined the King in paying their respects to the fallen at the annual National Service of Remembrance ceremony at the Cenotaph in central London.

    The King was joined by other members of the Royal Family, including the Prince and Princess of Wales, and political leaders.

    Events to mark Remembrance Sunday - observed on the closest Sunday to Armistice Day - are taking place around the country.

    The King laid the first wreath on behalf of the nation. Dressed in the Royal Navy uniform of the Admiral of the Fleet, he saluted after stepping back from the Cenotaph.

    The King was followed by Queen Camilla’s equerry, Major Ollie Plunket, laying a wreath on her behalf as she is currently recovering from a chest infection.

    Prince William, Prince Edward and Princess Anne followed, then Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and the country's other political leaders.

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    2024年11月11日
  • BrianNer

    Joseph R. Biden Jr. promised to be the most pro-labor president in history. He embraced unions more overtly than his predecessors in either party, and filled his administration with union supporters.
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    Labor seemed to respond accordingly. Filings for unionization elections spiked to their highest level in a decade, as did union victories. There were breakthroughs at companies like Starbucks and Amazon, and unions prevailed in organizing a major foreign auto plant in the South. A United Automobile Workers walkout yielded substantial contract gains — and images of Mr. Biden joining a picket line.

    As Donald J. Trump prepares to retake the White House, labor experts expect the legal landscape for labor to turn sharply in another direction.

    Based on Mr. Trump’s first term and his comments during the campaign — including his praise for Tesla’s chief executive, Elon Musk, for what he said was Mr. Musk’s willingness to fire striking workers — these experts say the new administration is likely to bring fewer challenges to employers who fight unions.

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    2024年11月11日
  • DennisJep

    LSU criticized after bringing caged live tiger into stadium before defeat to Alabama
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    No. 15 LSU has been criticized for unveiling a live caged tiger in its stadium for the first time in almost a decade before they were routed 42-13 by No. 11 Alabama in their SEC showdown.

    Ahead of “The First Saturday in November,” a live tiger named Omar Bradley, owned by Florida resident Mitchel Kalmanson, was brought out in an enclosed cage with a black curtain over it, before the stadium lights went dark and a spotlight flashed onto the cage as it was unveiled.
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    The tiger laid down and then paced around his cage, which was attached to a truck, while photographers crowded around it, still keeping their distance. After a few minutes, the cage was slowly driven off the field at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

    LSU has a long tradition of bringing caged tigers into the stadium on gamedays but, since 2015, the school has moved away from this and instead keeps its current live tiger mascot named Mike VII in a 15,000-square-foot enclosure on campus.
    But Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry pushed for the return of this tradition, much to the frustration of the LSU community, which circulated several petitions against the practice which gathered more than 27,000 signatures between them by Sunday morning.

    Footage posted on social media also showed protesters outside the stadium holding placards with slogans including, “Justice for Omar” and “Did Tiger King teach us nothin’.”

    For Landry, having a live tiger on the field was all about “tradition,” he told FOX News on Friday.

    “This is about from Mike One through Six, we have had a live mascot on the field like many other colleges have before,” he said.

    2024年11月11日
  • Williamfitte

    Director Jon M. Chu missed ‘Wicked’ premiere to welcome fifth child
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    “Wicked” director Jon M. Chu couldn’t attend the film’s premiere in Los Angeles, and the reason is quite “wonderful.”

    Chu shared on his Instagram Stories that he and his wife Kristin Hodge welcomed their fifth child on Saturday, writing that he “can’t believe this happened while the movie is premiering.”

    “Magic is in the air,” he wrote, sharing a photo of Hodge holding their newborn daughter.
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    He added a note to his new addition: “Welcome to our world, you’re gonna do great. You have a lot of witches on your side.”

    “Wicked” stars singer Ariana Grande and Oscar-nominated actress Cynthia Erivo star as witches Glinda and Elphaba, respectively. The two-part movie is a cinematic adaptation of the famed Broadway musical, which is a prequel to “The Wizard of Oz” and tells an alternate version of events in Oz before Dorothy’s arrival.
    Chu may not have been able to physically attend the premiere but his presence was felt.

    According to footage from inside the theater posted online, a video of Chu speaking from the hospital was played before the movie began.

    “I’ve waited for three years to have this moment to share a movie with you but I’ve waited my whole life to have this moment, to have a fifth child right now,” he said in the video, as the audience was heard collectively “aww-ing” at the sentiment.

    With a laugh, Chu added that “of course, this little girl knows when to show up.”

    Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.

    Part one of “Wicked” will soar in theaters on November 22. The second film is expected in November 2025.

    2024年11月11日
  • Jessecek

    Director Jon M. Chu missed ‘Wicked’ premiere to welcome fifth child
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    “Wicked” director Jon M. Chu couldn’t attend the film’s premiere in Los Angeles, and the reason is quite “wonderful.”

    Chu shared on his Instagram Stories that he and his wife Kristin Hodge welcomed their fifth child on Saturday, writing that he “can’t believe this happened while the movie is premiering.”

    “Magic is in the air,” he wrote, sharing a photo of Hodge holding their newborn daughter.
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    He added a note to his new addition: “Welcome to our world, you’re gonna do great. You have a lot of witches on your side.”

    “Wicked” stars singer Ariana Grande and Oscar-nominated actress Cynthia Erivo star as witches Glinda and Elphaba, respectively. The two-part movie is a cinematic adaptation of the famed Broadway musical, which is a prequel to “The Wizard of Oz” and tells an alternate version of events in Oz before Dorothy’s arrival.
    Chu may not have been able to physically attend the premiere but his presence was felt.

    According to footage from inside the theater posted online, a video of Chu speaking from the hospital was played before the movie began.

    “I’ve waited for three years to have this moment to share a movie with you but I’ve waited my whole life to have this moment, to have a fifth child right now,” he said in the video, as the audience was heard collectively “aww-ing” at the sentiment.

    With a laugh, Chu added that “of course, this little girl knows when to show up.”

    Jonathan Bailey, Bowen Yang, Ethan Slater, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum round out the ensemble cast.

    Part one of “Wicked” will soar in theaters on November 22. The second film is expected in November 2025.

    2024年11月12日
  • Perrystict

    How a drab Soviet metropolis became Central Asia’s capital of cool
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    Several cities around the globe have reinvented themselves in recent years, but none more successfully than Almaty.

    Since the collapse of the USSR, Kazakhstan’s largest city (population 2.2 million and growing) has evolved from a drab, run-of-the-mill Soviet metropolis into the urban star of Central Asia.
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    Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.

    Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.

    “It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.

    “Green and clean. You don’t need a car. The public transit here is fantastic. And it’s very much the center of contemporary art and dining in Central Asia.”

    Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”

    2024年11月12日
  • MichaelPerge

    Why this small city is the ‘eyeglasses capital’ of Japan
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    Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.

    Many places in the country have grown famous by focusing on specific crafts, from exquisite kimonos to perfectly designed knives. Among them is the small city of Sabae, in Fukui prefecture, about a 3.5-hour train ride from Tokyo.
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    It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
    The art of making spectacles
    Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.

    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月12日
  • Richardquacy

    Why this small city is the ‘eyeglasses capital’ of Japan
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    Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.

    Many places in the country have grown famous by focusing on specific crafts, from exquisite kimonos to perfectly designed knives. Among them is the small city of Sabae, in Fukui prefecture, about a 3.5-hour train ride from Tokyo.
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    It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
    The art of making spectacles
    Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.

    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月12日
  • Robertjic

    How a drab Soviet metropolis became Central Asia’s capital of cool
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    Several cities around the globe have reinvented themselves in recent years, but none more successfully than Almaty.

    Since the collapse of the USSR, Kazakhstan’s largest city (population 2.2 million and growing) has evolved from a drab, run-of-the-mill Soviet metropolis into the urban star of Central Asia.
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    Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.

    Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.

    “It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.

    “Green and clean. You don’t need a car. The public transit here is fantastic. And it’s very much the center of contemporary art and dining in Central Asia.”

    Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”

    2024年11月12日
  • Peterhouct

    Why this small city is the ‘eyeglasses capital’ of Japan
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    Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.

    Many places in the country have grown famous by focusing on specific crafts, from exquisite kimonos to perfectly designed knives. Among them is the small city of Sabae, in Fukui prefecture, about a 3.5-hour train ride from Tokyo.
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    It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
    The art of making spectacles
    Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.

    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月12日
  • ArthurAnodo

    How a drab Soviet metropolis became Central Asia’s capital of cool
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    Several cities around the globe have reinvented themselves in recent years, but none more successfully than Almaty.

    Since the collapse of the USSR, Kazakhstan’s largest city (population 2.2 million and growing) has evolved from a drab, run-of-the-mill Soviet metropolis into the urban star of Central Asia.
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    Along the way, the city has developed one of the world’s most beautiful metro systems, grown into a thriving banking and finance center, complemented its vintage bazaars with luxury boutiques and modern shopping malls and reshaped its traditional gastronomy into a nouvelle cuisine that’s drawing raves from foodies around the world.

    Almaty is also evolving into the cultural and artistic hub of Central Asia. It’s already got several world-class museums (including a “secret” underground collection that doesn’t even have a name) and a dazzling new cultural center slated to open early next year.

    “It’s an incredibly livable city,” says long-time American resident Dennis Keen, a historic preservation advocate and founder of Walking Almaty.

    “Green and clean. You don’t need a car. The public transit here is fantastic. And it’s very much the center of contemporary art and dining in Central Asia.”

    Keen adds that whenever he tells someone back home that he lives in Kazakhstan, “Borat” inevitably comes up. The movie’s title character doesn’t paint a very flattering portrait of the Central Asian nation. But nowadays one is tempted to think that if Borat visited Almaty now, he would say, “Very nice!”

    2024年11月12日
  • Georgecycle

    Investing in Ethena: A New Era in Decentralized Finance
    As decentralized finance (DeFi) continues to reshape the global financial landscape, Ethena has emerged as a leading player. Offering innovative solutions for digital asset management, Ethena is set to become a cornerstone of the next generation of decentralized financial platforms.
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    What Makes Ethena Different?
    Unlike centralized finance, where traditional banks and institutions control the flow of money, Ethena offers a decentralized ecosystem where users retain full control over their funds. Powered by blockchain technology, Ethena eliminates intermediaries, reducing costs and making financial services more accessible.

    The Role of Ethena Fi
    The Ethena Fi token is integral to the platform. It facilitates governance, staking, and rewards within the Ethena ecosystem. By holding Ethena Fi, users can participate in decision-making processes and earn rewards, making it a valuable asset for those looking to engage with the platform more deeply.

    Why Invest in Ethena?
    Transparency: All transactions on Ethena are recorded on the blockchain, ensuring full transparency.
    Security: The platform uses advanced blockchain security measures to protect users’ assets.
    Community-Driven Governance: Through Ethena Fi, users have a say in the future direction of the platform, making Ethena a truly decentralized project.
    As the world of finance continues to move toward decentralization, Ethena is positioning itself as a leader in the DeFi space. For investors seeking exposure to the future of finance, Ethena provides a secure, innovative, and community-focused platform.

    2024年11月12日
  • Matthewlon

    Why this small city is the ‘eyeglasses capital’ of Japan
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    Japan is famed for its skilled artisans, masters who maintain a commitment to tradition while modernizing production techniques in line with the development of new materials and processes.

    Many places in the country have grown famous by focusing on specific crafts, from exquisite kimonos to perfectly designed knives. Among them is the small city of Sabae, in Fukui prefecture, about a 3.5-hour train ride from Tokyo.
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    It’s widely known as Japan’s eyeglasses capital – and for good reason. Sabae produces over 90% of the frames manufactured in the country, according to the local government. Signs and objects shaped like eyeglasses can be found on city streets, and there’s even a museum and festival devoted to spectacles.
    The art of making spectacles
    Sabae, located on Japan’s main Honshu island near the city of Fukui, has been producing quality eyewear for more than a century.

    It all started in 1905, when a local government official invited skilled eyeglasses artisans to come to the city to teach their craft, an attempt to create new opportunities for local farmers.

    The move paid off. Today, Sabae has over 100 companies that collaborate to make pairs of glasses.

    Though these studios use cutting-edge machinery to produce new frames made of metal and acetate, most stages still require the skilled hands and trained eyes of Sabae’s master artisans.

    That includes Takeshi Yamae, a frame designer with Japanese brand Boston Club who has lived in the city for 17 years. He tells CNN one pair of glasses can involve more than 200 steps.

    “I first design it, sketch it, then put it into my computer,” he says. “From the time I start designing, to the time I have the perfect product, it takes more than a year.”

    2024年11月12日
  • Jacobalede

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
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    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
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    Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.

    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月12日
  • Jamestrith

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
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    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
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    Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.

    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月12日
  • LamontNob

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
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    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
    https://omgto3.com
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    Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.

    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月12日
  • Williamdok

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
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    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
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    Ten minutes later, Dave noticed sparks in their backyard. The temperature was also picking up.

    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月13日
  • PrestonFrime

    ‘We barely made it out’: Californians desperately flee their homes amid raging wildfires
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    Terrie Morin, 60, and her husband, Dave, were at the barber shop when they heard about a raging wildfire making headway toward their Camarillo home on Wednesday morning.

    The couple were hosting two guests at the time, but because their guests worked late, Morin suspected they slept through the residence’s fire alarms.

    “I run in the house, and I’m banging on the door, and they did not hear me. They were knocked out,” Morin told CNN. “Get the dog. Get out of here. You don’t have time, just get out!” she recalled telling them.
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    “It was hot. It was so hot,” Morin recalled.

    Dozens of homes in California’s Ventura County were set alight in a sweeping wildfire that burned through thousands of acres of land in just a matter of hours midweek –– prompting authorities to send more than 14,000 evacuation notices across the region.

    The Mountain Fire began early Wednesday and was driven by winds gusting over 60 mph. The flames have seared through more than 20,485 acres of land, according to Cal Fire.

    The families who evacuated at a moment’s notice, some who say they have now lost their homes, must deal with other losses that can also be devastating, from daily essentials like medications and shoes to meaningful possessions such as sculptures and artwork, to treasured keepsakes from the birth of a child or the life of a parent.

    At least 132 properties have been destroyed by the fire, while 88 have been left damaged, Ventura County Fire Department officials said Thursday evening. Ten damage inspection teams have been deployed to inspect structures along the path of the blaze.

    Ten people endured non-life-threatening injuries from the Mountain Fire, which are mostly related to smoke inhalation, Ventura County Sheriff Jim Fryhoff said.

    2024年11月13日
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    Scattered across Florida’s hurricane-ravaged communities are piles of debris, remnants of what were once homes. Cherished memories — photo albums, family heirlooms, and tokens of love — swallowed by floodwaters and carried miles away, are now reduced to mere fragments and discarded amid the wreckage.

    But in one of these piles of lost memories, a small, inconspicuous velvet black box was discovered with a ring and a note that read: “I was 18 when my parents gave it to me.”
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    “Everyone has been basically dumping their entire lives onto the curb after the storm when everything flooded. My own boss’ house had 30 inches (of water) in it, and I saw his face and just how devastating it can be for everyone,” Kovach, an engineer with Pinellas County Public Works, told CNN.

    “A lot of people in the community were really affected by these two storms, if there’s just a little bit I can do to give back, then that’s perfect.”

    A contractor, who was gathering and condensing debris with an excavator, discovered the ring when he looked down and saw the box.

    “This was a needle in a haystack for sure. For something like that to survive all that when everything else was so wet and saturated, that was kind of incredible,” Kovach said.
    Although the ring was found after Hurricane Milton, Kovach is sure the treasure was initially lost amid the ruins of Hurricane Helene, based on the pile of debris it came from, which Pinellas County Public Works tracks. It is likely the owner of the ring is from Crystal Beach, Ozona, or Palm Harbor, Kovach said.

    On Tuesday, after the contractor informed him about the ring, Kovach posted a photo of the box and the note on several local community Facebook pages, asking if it belonged to anyone. He did not include a photo or description of the ring to ensure it is returned to the rightful owner who can accurately describe it. On the inside lid of the box is a gold engraving with the jewelry brand, “The Danbury Mint.”

    2024年11月13日
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    Maybe you want to escape the winter months at home, opting instead to take care of your business on a laptop from the comfort of your rented Phuket villa as you gaze over the Andaman Sea. Or perhaps you’re ready to step into the ring and embark on a new career as a Muay Thai fighter.

    Either way, Thailand has you covered.

    The popular Southeast Asia destination recently introduced a new five-year visa targeted at remote workers and other travelers looking to stay in the kingdom for extended periods.

    According to a statement issued by the Thai prime minister’s office, the Destination Thailand Visa (DTV) will allow eligible travelers a period of stay up to 180 days per visit, on a multiple-entry basis, within five years. (This means they will need to leave the country when their 180 days are up, and the time resets when they re-enter.)
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    To apply, travelers need to show evidence that they have a minimum of 500,000 baht (about $13,800) in funds, as well as documents to support the purpose of their visit, such as a letter from a medical center or proof of employment

    2024年11月14日
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    A giant meteorite boiled the oceans 3.2 billion years ago. Scientists say it was a ‘fertilizer bomb’ for life
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    A massive space rock, estimated to be the size of four Mount Everests, slammed into Earth more than 3 billion years ago — and the impact could have been unexpectedly beneficial for the earliest forms of life on our planet, according to new research.

    Typically, when a large space rock crashes into Earth, the impacts are associated with catastrophic devastation, as in the case of the demise of the dinosaurs 66 million years ago, when a roughly 6.2-mile-wide (10-kilometer) asteroid crashed off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula in what’s now Mexico.

    But Earth was young and a very different place when the S2 meteorite, estimated to have 50 to 200 times more mass than the dinosaur extinction-triggering Chicxulub asteroid, collided with the planet 3.26 billion years ago, according to Nadja Drabon, assistant professor of Earth and planetary sciences at Harvard University. She is also lead author of a new study describing the S2 impact and what followed in its aftermath that published Monday in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

    “No complex life had formed yet, and only single-celled life was present in the form of bacteria and archaea,” Drabon wrote in an email. “The oceans likely contained some life, but not as much as today in part due to a lack of nutrients. Some people even describe the Archean oceans as ‘biological deserts.’ The Archean Earth was a water world with few islands sticking out. It would have been a curious sight, as the oceans were probably green in color from iron-rich deep waters.”

    When the S2 meteorite hit, global chaos ensued — but the impact also stirred up ingredients that might have enriched bacterial life, Drabon said. The new findings could change the way scientists understand how Earth and its fledgling life responded to bombardment from space rocks not long after the planet formed.

    2024年11月14日
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